Tag: polls

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The Corrupt News Media’s Plan to Expand its Mass Brainwashing Efforts to Your Workplace

And now, a Because Science Look-in at how the “science” about COVID-19 is working out for the people in North Dakota and South Dakota:

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This concludes your Because Science Look-in for today.

Speaking of COVID-19, here is what happens when CNN, MSNBC and every local news channel in America removes their “death tracker” graphic from you TV screens right after a new president is sworn into office:

Yes, America, fully 2/3rds of you approve of the non-existent “plan” of a DC Swamp Sock Puppet to address COVID-19, even though that very same sock puppet admitted just 3 days ago that he has no plan to address the viral gift from China over the next several months.

This is the power of mass brainwashing and fake polling by our Nazi-style news media.

Holy crap.

Hey, wait, this is kind of inconsistent, isn’t it? – Meanwhile, as you are expected to believe the absurd results of that obviously faked-up poll, another leftwing media outlet, Axios, is telling that you do not trust Nazi-style news media to tell you the truth! Go figure.

I swear I don’t make this stuff up. Check out this excerpt from that story:

Trust in traditional media has declined to an all-time low, and many news professionals are determined to do something about it.

Why it matters: Faith in society’s central institutions, especially in government and the media, is the glue that holds society together. That glue was visibly dissolving a decade ago, and has now, for many millions of Americans, disappeared entirely.

By the numbers: For the first time ever, fewer than half of all Americans have trust in traditional media, according to data from Edelman’s annual trust barometer shared exclusively with Axios. Trust in social media has hit an all-time low of 27%.

  • 56% of Americans agree with the statement that “Journalists and reporters are purposely trying to mislead people by saying things they know are false or gross exaggerations.”
  • 58% think that “most news organizations are more concerned with supporting an ideology or political position than with informing the public.”
  • When Edelman re-polled Americans after the election, the figures had deteriorated even further, with 57% of Democrats trusting the media and only 18% of Republicans.

[End]

Boy, that’s a real surprise, huh? Note how, in the passage I’ve bolded, Axios and Edelman include the corrupt, Nazi-style news media as one of “society’s central institutions”. Who knew that Fredo Cuomo was so crucial to the survival of our society?

But that’s not the best – and most insidious for our nation’s future – part of this Axios piece. Check this out:

How it works: Media outlets can continue to report reliable facts, but that won’t turn the trend around on its own. What’s needed is for trusted institutions to visibly embrace the news media.

  • CEOs (a/k/a the fourth branch of government) are at or near the top of Edelman’s list of trusted institutions.
  • By the numbers: 61% of Trump voters say that they trust their employer’s CEO. That compares to just 28% who trust government leaders, and a mere 21% who trust journalists.

The bottom line: CEOs have long put themselves forward as the people able to upgrade America’s physical infrastructure. Now it’s time for them to use the trust they’ve built up to help rebuild our civic infrastructure.

[End]

Get that last part that I bolded for you? Do you understand what is being telegraphed here? The CEOs of the companies you work for are about to be deluged with mass re-education propaganda by leftist media outlets and government officials, pounding on them to force their employees to attend retraining classes in which they will receive media-prepared propaganda designed to convince them that CNN, MSNBC, the New York Times and the Washington Post are the company-approved places to get their news.

Your CEOs will further be influenced to provide copies of government-approved newspapers to employees, and to ensure that the TVs in the company break rooms are all tuned to CNN or MSNBC. Some of that influencing will be subtle; some of it will be less subtle and will come in the form of “education materials” from federal regulatory agencies like OSHA, along with implied or perhaps outright threats of regulatory penalties for companies who do not comply.  Some of it will go directly to your CEOs; much of it will be routed to your company’s regulatory compliance and human resources managers.

Even more insidious, your CEOs and other key employees will be urged to implement internal programs to monitor which news sites their employees are accessing on company time, and to subject employees who access sites that are not approved by the government to additional re-education exercises. Eventually, this will all be turned into a key part of your annual employee evaluations.

Many of you will read all of this and think I’m crazy, that this would never happen in America. You would be wrong about that. If you are one of those people, bookmark this piece and check back in with me in three years so we can assess how it’s all going for you.

Imagine If You Will...... - Imgflip

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever before. Whatfinger.com is the only real conservative alternative to Drudge. It’s the tool I use to help keep up with all the day’s events, and it should be your tool, too.

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Friday News Roundup: Why Donald Trump Will be a Two-Term President **UPDATED**

Note to Joe: When you’re bitching about the size of the other guy’s crowd, you’re behind. – Creepy Uncle Quid Pro China Traitor Joe Biden is so concerned about the size and number of Trump rallies that yesterday he accused the President and his rallies of being “super-spreader events” for the China Virus. That accusation comes without a shred of evidence of being true, of course, but no U.S. media outlet would dare to point that truth out. Because objective truth is anathema to our Nazi-style media/propaganda establishment these days.

But Trump supporters should rejoice in Biden’s complaint, because if you’re complaining about the size of the other guy’s crowds while speaking to a near-empty parking lot with maybe 50 cars in it while he’s speaking to a rally of 15,000 people in the very same city you’re in, that is a great indicator that you are losing.

Creepy Uncle McWifeMolester is, of course, going all-in on joining the corrupt news media in spreading China Virus fear porn as a last resort to stem the Trump-led Red Tide in key battleground states. Because, in reality, that is all he has left.

Yesterday’s incredible report that 3rd Quarter U.S. economic growth came in at a staggering 33% puts the lie to Biden’s false claims about Trump’s economic record, proving conclusively that America is indeed in the midst of the V-shaped recovery the President promised despite the best efforts of communist Democrat governors to create a massive economic depression. The signing of peace deals with Israel by four different Arab states in the Middle East with several more poised to do the same soon demonstrates that the Trump foreign policy is causing peace to break out all over in regions where the Obama/Biden Administration had done nothing but actively foment more conflict.

As this campaign winds down, Traitor Joe is plumb out of ammunition, and coronavirus fear porn is all he’s got.

Glorious.

Huge decision in Minnesota. – In a 2-1 ruling, the Eighth Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals ordered yesterday that all mail-in ballots received after 8 p.m. on Election Day be set aside, setting the stage for a potential legal battle after the election. The order stopped short of a final determination on the validity of the post-Election Day ballots, but the order to segregate them potentially indicates the direction in which the 8th Circuit is inclined to rule.

And here’s the thing: if the 8th Circuit rules for the Democrats and their vote-stealing plans, we now have a valid 5-4 majority on the Supreme Court poised to reverse it.

This new reality set Amy Klobuchar off into a panic:

Awesome.

Early voting trends continue to move in Trump’s favor. – In addition to the great early voting news coming out of the key states of Florida, North Carolina and others, Larry Schweikart cited a new, potentially consequential trend taking hold in Virginia, Arizona and Colorado yesterday:

**UPDATE** Oh, my, oh, my, oh, my, my, my – this trend is also happening in a very big way in…wait for it…NEW MEXICO:

Holy smokes.

This all supports my theory that America is about to experience what its first “outrage election” looks like. One of the main demographic groups that has failed in the past to turn out in big numbers is the white, non-college educated, lower-to-middle-class voter. Especially the men in that group.

This was the demographic that did show up in big numbers for Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania in 2016, and they essentially were the difference in the entire election. Now, we appear to be seeing this same demographic of voters, disenchanted by the media/Democrat propaganda merchants calling them all racists for years now, sick of being lectured by multi-millionaire athletes like Lebron James about the ‘white privilege’ they have never personally experienced in their own lives, and outraged by all the riots and street violence they have witnessed on their televisions over the past 5 months, apparently now quietly coming out to vote en masse to express their displeasure with our culture’s prevailing status quo.

If we all wake up next Wednesday to the news that President Trump has scored upset wins in Colorado and/or Virginia (he was always going to win Arizona), we will likely see evidence of this great “silent majority” everyone’s been speculating about.

This is a very big deal, as Larry pointed out:

New Trafalgar polls show Trump momentum in key swing states. – Regarding Larry’s last question up there, as far as I can tell, this higher-than-normal turnout among white, working class voters is not a trend that any pollster, not even the Trafalgar Group, has made a point of trying to capture. Which is in part why the new swing state polling released by Trafalgar on Tuesday is so incredibly encouraging.

Here are those new polls:

In Michigan, Trump leads by 2.5%:

In Nevada, Trump trails by just 2.3% and the gap is narrowing:

Trump now leads by 2.7% in Florida:

Biden leads by just 3.2% in the very, very Blue state of Minnesota:

Trump trails by just .4% in Wisconsin:

And finally, Trump leads by .8% in the most critical state, Pennsylvania:

All of the momentum and every key indicator outside of the corrupt, media-sponsored polls is behind President Trump in this election.

I’ve told you since Day 1 that Donald Trump would serve two consecutive terms in office, and I see no reason to revise that prediction today.

Glorious.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is the only real conservative alternative to Drudge, and deserves to become everyone’s go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Monday News Roundup: Did Biden Really Call a Lid Through Election Day?

The Campaign That Never Was… – At 9:00 Sunday morning, the talking points monkeys who staff Joe Biden’s twitter account sent a message saying “9 Days. Let’s go!”

At 9:01 Sunday morning, Biden’s elder-abusing handlers called a press lid for the rest of the day.

You seriously could never make this stuff up, folks.

Some outlets, like Gateway Pundit, reported yesterday afternoon that the Biden camp actually announced the Unfrozen Caveman Candidate had called a lid on any campaigning outside his basement for the duration, all the way through Election Day. I can find no evidence that that in fact is the case.

But hey, you couldn’t blame Biden’s handlers if they did decide to keep him permanently in his basement. – After all, every time his elder-abusing handlers let him out he does something like this:

Yes, friends, Quid Pro China Joe McNastyFinger often doesn’t even know which Republican he’s running against, and has to have help from the interviewer and his abusive wife to recover.

Hilariously, President Trump responded to this little episode on Twitter:

Mind-boggling.

The Trump endorsements keep rolling in and becoming increasingly diverse.  – President Trump has made inroads in to all sorts of constituencies the Democrat Party has for decades considered to be a part of its political plantation. We’ve all heard about the dozens of key endorsements that have rolled in from the Black, Hispanic and Jewish communities; the endorsements from major labor unions that have traditionally gone to the Democrats; the hundreds of endorsements from police and other law enforcement organizations across the land.

This universe of formerly Democrat constituencies moving to the GOP column under this President expanded further over the weekend with the endorsement from the Crow Nation, one of the country’s largest Indian nations:

It’s not just the Crow Nation. On Sunday, the Associated Press carried a rare semi-unbiased report quoting officials from the Navajo Nation – the country’s largest – and Oklahoma Cherokee Tribe about the growing support for President Trump in America’s Indian country. As has been happening in the Black community over the past few years thanks largely to the leadership of Kanye West, there is a growing realization among Indian Country leaders that the Democrat Party has taken their votes and delivered nothing in return. Which is not surprising, given that that is what the Democrat Party has always done.

Here’s a snip from that piece:

Myron Lizer has no qualms about it: As one of the top officials on the country’s largest Native American reservation, he’s a proud Donald Trump supporter.

The Navajo Nation vice president says Native American values — hard work, family and ranching — align more with the GOP than with Democrats.

“I’m finding that we’re giving the Navajo Republican voters confidence in coming out and showing their support,” he told The Associated Press. “We don’t need that, per se, but we do need that, but we do need that at the polls.”

U.S. Rep. Markwayne Mullin of Oklahoma, where Native Americans make up 7% of the state’s population, is already counting Indian Country as a GOP gain in 2020.

“Indian Country is not blue, it’s purple,” Mullin, who is Cherokee and one of two Native American Republicans in Congress, told The Associated Press. “And before long, it’s going to be red.”

[End]

Just another little key impact the Trump Administration has made that the corrupt news media completely ignores. Of course, that is also just one more reason why the Democrats and their media toadies are so focused on getting rid of Trump – he’s upsetting far too many apple carts on their plantation.

Here are some more of those apple carts, by the way. – From our “Happy Days Will Soon be Here Again” file, the Daily Beast put out a report on Sunday claiming that President Trump plans to go about firing a whole bunch of DC Swamp skunks and snakes shortly after he wins re-election.

Among the names blessedly included in the Daily Beast’s list of likely suspects are CIA Director Gina Haspel and worthless, corrupt FBI Director Christopher Wray. Oh, be still my beating heart.

Here is a clip from that article:

President Trump reportedly has a list of officials to fire after Election Day if he wins, starting with FBI Director Christopher Wray, who The Daily Beast previously reported Trump believes is part of the so-called deep state.

Two administration officials told Axios that Trump also plans to get rid of CIA director Gina Haspel and Defense Secretary Mark Esper. If not for the political fallout of ousting officials so close to Election Day, one official told the website that Trump would have fired Wray and Haspel already. However, Trump reportedly has no formal plans to replace Attorney General William Barr despite privately venting about his failure to release the Durham report, which delves into how the Obama administration investigated ties between Trump and Russia.

The period between Election Day and the inauguration is traditionally when re-elected presidents switch their teams. In response to Axios, the White House said in a statement: “We have no personnel announcements at this time nor would it be appropriate to speculate about changes after the election or in a second term.”

[End]

Oh, my. Oh, my, my, my. November 4 cannot arrive soon enough.

Speaking of Happy Days… – ABC White House fake reporter Katherine Faulders issued this wonderful bit of information last night:

With early voting trending heavily in Trump’s favor in all three of those states, these percentages – if accurate – among voters who have yet to go to the polls put the quietus to any Biden hopes of carrying any of them on November 3.

Of course, it is a media-sponsored poll, so the likelihood of it being accurate is not good. Still, its mere existence out in the Democrat/media fake polling universe no doubt had hair being set on fire at Biden’s basement HQ, and that’s a great thing no matter how you cut it.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is the only real conservative alternative to Drudge, and deserves to become everyone’s go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Tuesday News Roundup: Trump is Going to Win, Bigly

Well, ok, Joe, if you insist:

Speaking to a parking lot in Ohio on Monday, Creepy Uncle Quid Pro China Joe Biden talked about how great it was to be in Eerie, Pennsylvania, forgot Mitt Romney’s name – referring to him only as “that Mormon Senator” – and told the crowd he is “a proud Democrat running for the United States Senate.”

So, he doesn’t know where he is, can’t remember names, and doesn’t even understand what office he is supposedly seeking, but you are expected to believe he is so far ahead of President Trump that he’s already won.

Yeah, no.

Does this look like a guy who is losing to you?

That was at Trump’s massive rally in Sanford, Florida on Monday, where he jump-started his campaign in the wake of his bout with what was a mild case of the China Virus. As always, Trump supporters lined up for miles to get into the event, held in a hangar at the local airport, which has become the model for Trump’s campaign this year.

In his energetic speech to the crowd, the President declared that he was not only not trailing in the race, but well ahead of where he was at the same point in 2016, and frankly, I believe him. His campaign bears none of the traditional hallmarks of a losing effort, and Biden’s moribund franchise bears none of the signs of a winning effort.

We have witnessed hopeless presidential causes in recent history. Think back to the campaigns of John McCain, Bob Dole and Mike Dukakis as the most recent examples. As election day approached in 2008, 1996 and 1988, it was blatantly obvious who was winning.

The sure losers had no ability to draw a real crowd – although Sarah Palin, McCain’s running mate, was able to generate semi-large turnouts right through the campaign’s final day in 2008. It was obvious that all three of those candidates were going to lose, and everyone knew it.

To the trained eye, what did all of those losing campaigns look like? They looked just like the Biden/Harris Harris/Biden campaign looks today. This is not a coincidence.

In 2008, those of us who were holding our noses and supporting the execrable McCain as the only viable alternative to the epic disaster that the Obama presidency became kidded ourselves that the massive crowds Obama was able to draw day-in and day-out were just anecdotal events, not truly indicative of the election blowout that was building. Those crowds didn’t really mean anything, we told ourselves again and again and again.

Well, it turned out they did mean something, as did the Clinton crowds in 1996 and the Poppy Bush crowds in 1988. They meant a lot, as they were completely predictive of the election landslide that was to come. And folks, the turnouts for those past candidates paled in comparison to what we see on a daily basis for President Trump in the form of not just the rallies, but the car parades, boat parades and peaceful demonstrations happening all over the country.

Our nation has never, in its entire history, witnessed this kind of massive outpouring of support for any presidential candidate, period.

In this election, you can either believe the media-sponsored suppression polls, or you can believe your lyin’ eyes.

The most recent Gallup Poll had two very interesting bits of data that presage what is to come. That poll asked respondents two key questions that Gallup asks during every presidential election cycle:

  1. Are you better off today than you were four years ago?
  2. Which candidate do you expect to win?

Even though Gallup’s polls this year have shown Biden holding a lead for the national popular vote, the answers to those two questions tell the opposite story.

By a 56-44 margin, the random adults surveyed said they are indeed better off than they were four years ago, even in the midst of the impacts of a global pandemic. Think about that – that is a truly astonishing finding.

But the second question is even more interesting and compelling: By a 56-40 margin, these voters said they expect Donald Trump to win this election. This expectation measure by Gallup has correctly predicted the ultimate outcome of every presidential election since 1984, and has typically ended up being a pretty accurate indication of how the voters themselves really intend to vote.

We’ve talked a lot about the “shy” Trump voter phenomenon in this election. If you’re a Trump voter who is reluctant to share how you plan to vote with a pollster, that makes perfect sense given the heinous ways in which the President and his supporters have been smeared by the corrupt news media.

But if you’re asked how you think your neighbors are planning to vote, or whether you are better off today than you were four years ago, you’re not going to have the same reluctance to answer honestly. Right?

Right.

There is no question that America has a crisis in its news media right now. After Election Day, we’re all going to discover that our country’s polling industry is also in a crisis.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is the only real conservative alternative to Drudge, and deserves to become everyone’s go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Thursday News Roundup: Trump is NOT Doing a “Virtual Debate”

So, who won last night’s debate in the only measure that matters – public opinion? – The Drudge Report’s snap poll following the debate showed Vice President Mike Pence destroyed Kamala Harris by a 69-31 margin. Yikes.

Image

A similar poll conducted by the Spanish language station Telemundo arrived at an even more-lopsided 76-23 edge for the VEEP:

Mercy.

Thus, because of this very fact that Pence scored a lopsided shellacking of his sneering Valley Girl opponent, the New York Times, CNN and all the other corrupt news outlets are focusing their post-debate coverage this morning on two brief outtakes:

  1. When a fly landed on Pence’s head for a moment; and
  2. When Harris said to Pence “Mr. Vice President, I’m speaking” at a point in time in which Pence had not even interrupted her.

That’s it. That is all you are going to see and hear talked about related to this debate in the corrupt mainstream news media today. Had their girl had a good night, we’d be hearing about all the debate points she scored. Trouble is, she didn’t score any points.

Thus, flies and feigned indignation it is.

So. Damn. Tiresome.

Remember, though, that Kamala Harris is the Democrat Party’s de facto presidential candidate. – No one, not even in the Democrat Party’s leadership, expects Joe Biden to remain in office for long should he win this election. Harris was the Obama faction’s favored candidate going into this election cycle, and she was hand-chosen to become Biden’s successor-in-waiting for that very reason after her own campaign for the party’s nomination crashed and burned.

If you’ve been wondering why last night was basically the first thing you have seen from Harris during the general election campaign, there’s a good reason for that. Everyone in the Democrat Party understands that she is an awful candidate who turns off everyone with whom she comes into contact. The reactions by viewers to what they saw last night as measured by those two snap polls did not surprise anyone, which is why corrupt news outlets like CNN and the Times were so prepared to leap into the lurch and try to defend her and push the DNC’s preferred narrative.

With nothing real and positive to point to in terms of Harris’s performance, they rely on these silly deflections instead.

Again, very tiresome, but utterly unsurprising.

On the whole “I’m speaking, Mr. Vice President” thing… – Why is it that feminists are all about strong women being able to stand and compete on exactly the same platform and rules as any man, until there’s a debate, when they pretend that any effort by the man to engage in some real back-and-forth with the woman is somehow “mansplaining” or bullying?

This is an incredibly sexist allegation, not towards Pence, but towards Harris, because the pretense is that, because she’s a woman, she is immune from being questioned during a debate by her opponent. Pence was simply attempting to engage with Harris as he would try to engage with a male opponent, which was exactly what leftist “feminism” pretends to be all about.

But when politics come into play, it is not about that, not at all, not even a little bit.

What made last night’s episode even worse is that Harris, being fully aware of the double-standard her media pals would impose on Pence, chose to play into it by pretending to be offended by his non-interruption. If anything, she may be an even more off-putting candidate than Hillary Clinton was, which again explains why the DNC and Biden campaign have striven so hard to keep her under wraps.

A virtual debate? Isn’t that what they all are? – News broke last night that the next presidential debate will be one of the “virtual” variety, causing the initial question of “so, what will be different?” I mean, we haven’t had a real debate between presidential candidates in this country since 1860.

The difference with this next one will, of course, be technological: Due to the President’s positive test for the China Virus, the Biden camp has insisted that it be held via Zoom or some such platform. From a story at the Washington Examiner:

“The second presidential debate will take the form of a town meeting, in which the candidates would participate from separate remote locations,” the Commission on Presidential Debates said in a statement Thursday morning about the Oct. 15 event.

The change in format, made “in order to protect the health and safety of all involved with the second presidential debate,” follows the president testing positive for the coronavirus last week just two days after he debated the Democratic presidential nominee, potentially exposing Biden to the virus.

“The town meeting participants and the moderator, Steve Scully, Senior Executive Producer & Political Editor, C-SPAN Networks, will be located at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts of Miami-Dade County in Miami, Florida. The White House Pool will provide coverage of the second presidential debate,” the commission said.

Earlier this week, Biden said that the debate should not be held if Trump still has the virus.

[End]

*sigh*

But wait, President Trump has not agreed to that change! – As I was typing the above, President Trump, during an interview with Maria Bartiromo, just said this:

“I heard that the commission a while ago changed debate style, and that is not acceptable to us,” Trump said. He added, “I’m not going to do a virtual debate.”

Bartiromo then followed up to make sure she had heard correctly:

“I’m not going to waste my time on a virtual debate,” Trump responded. “That’s not what debating is all about. You sit behind a computer and do a debate. It’s ridiculous.”

Hey, maybe the Commission on Presidential Debates – which needs to be completely blown into a million pieces and scattered to the winds – ought to check with both campaigns before issuing statements about format changes.

Seems like a sound business practice, anyway.

That is all.

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Convention Post-Mortem: Trump Gets the Bump that Biden Lost

For those who are into polls, several have come out over the weekend. All show President Donald Trump receiving a significant “bump” from his convention, in contrast to the slightly negative non-bump Joe Biden received from his.

The corrupt news media is covering two polls, both of which of continue to grossly over-sample Democrats. The first, from YouGov, shows Biden holding a six-point lead today after having a 10-point lead prior to the conventions. The second, from Morning Consult, shows exactly the same shift, from a 10-point Biden lead down to a 6-point lead.

A third poll is out this morning, and it shows President Trump moving into the lead nationally and in the “swing” states.  This is a poll that had an extremely accurate track record of predicting the correct results in 2016. It is a poll that takes the time to survey likely voters rather than taking the lazy way out with registered voters. And, perhaps most importantly, it is the only poll that correctly predicted both the outcome of the UK’s Brexit vote in July 2016 and the Donald Trump victory in November of that year.

The corrupt news media is not covering this poll, because it doesn’t fit their “standards,” i.e., their narrative.

This poll is from the Democracy Institute, a firm based in Washington, DC and in London. Nationally, the poll shows President Trump holding a seemingly narrow lead of 48-45. But in the battleground states of Michigan, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota and Pennsylvania, where the election will be determined, the President holds a substantial lead of 49-42.

Remember, Biden is likely to run up huge popular vote margins in lost states like New York and California, big population states where the Democrat party dominates. Those states are gone, and there is no reason for the President to spend anytime campaigning in them. The battleground states are called battlegrounds for a reason.

But the internal findings of this polls are even more interesting than its top line. Because the internals show Trump running much stronger than expected among minority voters and that the Democrat Party has badly miscalculated with its “Black Lives are the Only Lives That Matter” brainwashing campaign.

Here are some of those internals:

Better on standing up to China – Trump: 67% Biden 31%

The candidate you trust to do the best job handling the economy – Trump: 59% Biden 41%

Those who are “very supportive” of their preferred candidate – Trump 82% Biden 40%

The Democracy Institute structured its sample for this poll at 37% Democrat, 35% Republican and 28% independents. That breakdown mirrors the actual turnout pattern nationally for the 2016 presidential election. Meanwhile, the national media-approved polls regularly survey 10-12% more Democrats than Republicans. One recent Fox News poll surveyed 51% Democrats in its sample.

If you remember, CNN released a poll two weeks ago showing both that President Trump had a 10% lead among independents, but Biden held a 50-46 lead nationally. Folks, that outcome is statistically impossible without a massive over-sampling of Democrat voters.

The DI poll may or may not be right, but it is unarguably pretty much exactly the result you would expect to see from an accurately-structured sample of likely voters.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Yes, Donald Trump Will Win Re-Election in November

Democrats going through the playbook, part 15,989. – In some sort of telepromptered speech yesterday, Creepy Uncle Quid Pro Farty China Joe Biden called President Trump the first “racist” U.S. president. Woodrow Wilson, Lyndon Johnson, Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman all rolled over in their graves after hearing of those remarks. The 12 U.S. presidents who actually owned slaves had no comment.

It’s fair to point out that the despicable, depraved Democrats, who created the Ku Klux Klan and used it as their party’s paramilitary arm for more than a century have attempted to paint every Republican president and presidential candidate since Barry Goldwater as a racist. They do this as a means of frightening Black voters into continuing to vote Democrat despite the fact that the Democrat Party has never done a damn thing for their community in this country.

This tactic is basically Page 1 in the Democrat/Media joint playbook. It was wielded in a ubiquitous manner in 2016 without success. It will meet with little, if any success in this campaign as well.

After making his remarks, Biden and his handlers fled after refusing yet again to take any questions from the slavish fake journalists who made up basically his entire audience. Earlier in the day, Biden held a livestreaming video event. At the 26 minute mark, he had attracted 19 viewers. I kid you not:

Image may contain: 1 person

You just can’t make this stuff up, folks. You really can’t. But you’re supposed to believe, based on the current prevailing media narrative, that Biden is anywhere from 7 to 15 points ahead in the national polls.

You want to look at polls? We’ll give you polls. The two most accurate polling organizations in the 2016 were without question Rasmussen and the Trafalgar Group. No other organization was even close. Last week, Trafalgar reported the results of polls in the key swing states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Contrary to other media-based polls showing Biden with big leads in all of them, Trafalgar had them all within 1 or 2 points, with the President leading in two of the states.

Oh.

Rasmussen yesterday pegged the race at 47-45 in favor of Biden, essentially a tie, and has the President’s public approval rating sitting right back at 49%, where it has held for much of his term in office.

Oh.

Rasmussen also issued polls in the same three swing states: All show the President holding small leads over the Unfrozen Caveman Presumptive Nominee.

Oh.

It’s important to note that both Trafalgar and Rasmussen take the time to ensure they are polling likely voters, not just adults or “registered voters” as almost all of the other pollsters are still doing at this point. The reason for looking at likely voters is because – guess what? – those are the people who are actually going to vote in the election.

Oh.

Is the race close right now? Sure it is. Is the President running slightly behind Biden at this point? Probably, and he probably is going to once again lose the popular vote in November because Biden will run up overwhelming margins in lost states like California, New York and New Jersey.

But – and here’s the “but” – the popular vote is not what counts. I don’t know how many times this must be pointed out before some folks get it. We do not elect presidents based on a popular vote. Never have. It’s in the freaking constitution, for crying out loud.

A good friend contacted me yesterday. He was listening in on a national trade association meeting in which all of the experts brought in to speak were assuring the members that Joe Biden was almost an inevitability at this point. Guess what? That was the prevailing message at that same association meeting four years ago. I also spoke at that meeting that year and warned the members that Donald Trump was actually most likely going to win that election. People looked at me like I’d lost my mind. There was audible snickering around the table as I gave my presentation.

Donald Trump has barely even started campaigning yet. The rollout yesterday of Operation Legend was essentially the campaign’s kickoff event. From this point forward, he is going to fill the airwaves with images of a doddering Joe Biden who is barely able to put a coherent sentence together when not reading from a script. He will also expose Biden making the most extreme leftist policy proposals in U.S. history when that Teleprompter is turned on.

Biden’s handlers can hide him in the basement until November if they so desire, but they can’t make all the frightening video of Biden’s words and deeds over the last 50 years suddenly disappear. That’s all fair game and the impacts of it being aired hour after hour, day after day are going to be devastating.

Trump will win again this November, and all of the DC-based “experts” whose livings depend on the maintenance of the status quo there will be shocked again. But it is going to be a wild and woolly ride getting there, so buckle up.

The game is afoot.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Friday News Roundup: DOJ Puts Maxwell on the Epstein Narrative and an Encouraging New Poll

Epstein tapes? What Epstein tapes? – With rumors continuing to circulate that Ghislaine Maxwell has copies of all of Jeffrey Epstein’s illicit client sex tapes and plans to use them as a means of making a deal with the U.S. Department of Justice, now seems a good time to warn everyone to temper your expectations here.

Understand that, because Ms. Maxwell is being held in a federal lockup in New York City, her case will be prosecuted by the Southern District of New York (SDNY). That would be the very same SDNY that has had access to Anthony Weiner’s laptop computer since 2016 and has done absolutely nothing with it. Historically, the SDNY has been the place where cases inconvenient to the DC Swamp go to die.

We can hope that the steps William Barr has taken recently – the firing of lead U.S. Attorney Geoffrey Berman being the most obvious among them – will change that rule of thumb for this case, but hope is all we have.

Speaking of cases going to New York City to die… – Yesterday, Ms. Maxwell’s clothes were taken from her and replaced with paper clothing as federal officials now fear she might commit “suicide” just like Epstein did (not do) last August.

From a story at Business Insider:

Federal officials were so worried Jeffrey Epstein’s longtime confidante Ghislaine Maxwell might take her own life after her arrest that they took away her clothes and sheets and made her wear paper attire while in custody, an official familiar with the matter told The Associated Press.

The steps to ensure Maxwell’s safety while she’s locked up at a federal jail in New York City extend far beyond the measures federal officials took when they first arrested her in New Hampshire last week.

The Justice Department has implemented additional safety protocols and federal officials, outside of the Bureau of Prisons, have been specifically tasked with ensuring there’s adequate protection and the prisons protocols are being followed, the official said. The protections are in case she harms herself, and in case other inmates wish to harm her.

[End]

Oh, gee, guess what? Jeffrey Epstein himself was also placed on suicide watch shortly after his arrest last July, because of “concerns” by those same federal officials. Guess what else? Epstein was conveniently taken off of suicide watch – and the special security measures that come with that status – just a few days before he committed (not really) “suicide.”

You see where this is going, right? Right. So far, Maxwell’s getting exactly the same narrative that Epstein got.

Pray for this wretched human being’s safety. She needs all the help she can get.

For those who thought there was no silver lining to this COVID-19 deal, I give you this…

Cool!

If you insist on being obsessed with polls, here’s one for you. – The UK Sunday Express has a new poll out that indicates that the radical, Marxist Black Lives Matter-led riots and demonstrations are doing a lot of harm to Joe Biden and the Democrats.

From the article at the Express:

THE FALLOUT from the Black Lives Matter protests in the US offers Donald Trump his best chance of winning the Presidential election, a shock poll for the Sunday Express has revealed.

According to the poll conducted by the Washington based thinktank the Democracy Institute, President Trump is neck and neck with his rival Joe Biden on 47 percent. However, Mr Trump would win in the electoral college system by 309 to 229 delegates because he is on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where he outpolls Vice President Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.

The findings come as the US President went to the iconic Mount Rushmore to make a speech attacking “the angry mobs” who want to erase America’s history.

He told the crowd of supporters: “There is a new far-left fascism that demands absolute allegiance. If you do not speak its language, perform its rituals, recite its mantras, and follow its commandments then you will be censored, banished, blacklisted, persecuted, and punished. Not gonna happen to us.”

According to the poll, the concerns over the effects of the protests appear to be boosting Mr Trump’s chances even though his campaign is believed to be flagging.

Given a choice between which phrases identified their views 71 percent chose “all lives matter” while 29 percent picked “black lives matter”.

[End]

Now, is this poll any more valid than those polls showing Biden with an 8 to 12 point lead? Probably not. But there are two key things to emphasize about it:

– It was taken right in the wake of President Trump’s speech at Mount Rushmore, and

– That preference question at the end between “Black Lives Matter” or “All Lives Matter” is extremely telling, given that 98% of our corrupt news media has been trying to shame every American against believing the latter for five long years now.

Make no mistake about it, the President’s speech at Mount Rushmore was essentially the kickoff point to his general election campaign. Before that, other than the Tulsa rally, he had not been campaigning at all.

Trump is armed with an enormous financial war chest now, and he is about to start flooding the airwaves with both positive messages about America’s rapid economic recovery and negative messages about Biden’s obvious elderly state and cognitive decline. Biden himself has provided an amazing wealth of moments for the Trump media people to pick and choose from.

Polls taken before one candidate – as all of those corrupt U.S. media polls have been to this point – are utterly meaningless and should be ignored. The Trump campaign will begin in earnest in the coming weeks. If you see him still trailing significantly in the legitimate polls like Trafalgar, Rasmussen and HarrisX in late September, then you might want to start getting a little concerned.

For now, you should remain calm and confident that Trump is going to WIN. Because WINNING is what he does.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Thursday News Roundup: Joe Biden Needs More Fiber, the Times Beclowns Itself Again, and the Trouble With Polls

Pray for these debates to happen. – Think about it: If a debate breaks out this fall between Donald Trump, Kanye West and Joe Biden, we are all going to think we must have accidentally ingested a massive amount of peyote. It would be such a wild trip that we absolutely must find a way to make it happen.

Kanye West no longer supports President Trump, says Joe Biden not ...

This cracked me up, but only because it could be based in reality:

James Woods is a national treasure.

Your corrupt news media in action. – The New York Times weighed into the ongoing tit-for-tat exchange between Fox’s Tucker Carlson and depraved Democrat/Marxist Senator Tammy Duckworth. Because Duckworth cannot be defended based on facts and logic, the Times very predictably based its defense of her by proclaiming that, because Duckworth was born in Thailand and lost her legs serving her country in Iraq, she is above any form of criticism.

From a piece at The Federalist:

The New York Times charged Fox News’ Tucker Carlson of espousing nativism Wednesday after the prime time television host criticized Illinois Democratic Sen. Tammy Duckworth, who said Americans ought to consider cancelling George Washington and called American heroes honored in Trump’s Friday speech at Mount Rushmore “dead traitors.”

“Tammy Duckworth Confronts Nativist Smears From Tucker Carlson,” blared the Times headline. “Senator Tammy Duckworth of Illinois, a Thai-American Democrat who lost both of her legs fighting the Iraq war and is now a potential vice-presidential nominee, was targeted with nativist smears for the second night in a row on Tuesday by Fox News’ Tucker Carlson.”

Carlson however, did no such thing. His rant had nothing to do with where she was born which was in Thailand, and nothing to do with her citizenship, which was granted by having an American father. See for Yourself:

https://twitter.com/i/status/1280855419813015552

[End]

As you can see, what Carlson actually did was take Duckworth to task for saying it’s time for Americans to “cancel” George Washington, without whose amazing courage America literally would not exist, and for characterizing him and many others, like Thomas Jefferson, Teddy Roosevelt, Ulysses Grant, Andrew Jackson, Frederick Douglass, Abraham Lincoln, Martin Luther King and many other real American heroes as “dead traitors.”

Tammy Duckworth hates America, which of course just makes her a typical Democrat member of congress these days. But of course, her status as a Democrat is why the Times is obligated to defend her by any means available, even when the only means available happen to be intellectual dishonesty and abject stupidity. Because that’s what our corrupt news media does.

Hey, didja ever wonder what Creepy Uncle Quid Pro Farty China Joe Biden believes with every fiber of his being? – Well, yesterday, the Unfrozen Caveman Presumptive Nominee tried to explain it, and sadness and unintentional hilarity ensued:

Verbatim Transcript:

Biden: Lonnie knows I believe this every fiber my being. We’re posed. I, what I proposed is, is………..it can be done. I hink we’re in a position ta, ta really make it happen. And my team and your team…already working closely together, and light, to light up the path forward here. Critical laws like the pro act to strengthen collective bargaining. On politics like the prevailing and pr……look, I guess…I’m gettin’, I’m, I’m gettin’, f, takin’ too much time. You know…

[End]

So, there you have it, folks – Joe Biden’s core beliefs, beliefs that he feels with every fiber of his being. Or maybe he meant he just didn’t get enough fiber in his Metamucil – it’s all so confusing. Who really knows?

So, you needed one more reason not to watch CNBC? – Well, here you go:

Can’t wait to see the ratings for that time block.

The trouble with polls, part 6,572. – A new national poll released yesterday by The Hill/HarrisX has Democrats concerned. Why? Because HarrisX is an actual legitimate polling organization that has little-to-no incentive to fake up its results.

This poll of 933 registered voters was taken on July 3-4, and it finds Biden leading President Trump by a margin of 43 to 39. That 4-point margin is well below the 8-12 point leads found by a series of media-driven polls released over the past month, and it has some Democrats very concerned, as reported in a piece at The Hill:

“I think a four point lead should be very concerning,” Democratic pollster and founding partner at Hit Strategies, Terrance Woodbury, told Hill.TV.

“We know the enthusiasm gaps between Biden and Trump, with Trump’s supporters being very enthusiastic and insistent on voting for him, margins that close are problematic,” Woodbury added.

A recent USA Today-Suffolk poll found half of Trump supporters said they were “very excited” to vote for the President while 27 percent of Biden supporters said the same.

A New York Times-Siena College survey from early June showed similar gaps in voter enthusiasm when looking at battleground states.

[End]

As good an organization as HarrisX is, even its polls on this race remain extremely problematic, for one simple fact: Most Trump supporters are very uncomfortable expressing their real views with any stranger who claims to be a pollster. One poll of Trump voters on Twitter earlier this week showed that well over 70% of the respondents would fear retribution from employers or others for admitting to be a Trump supporter.

That’s how pervasive the media campaign to demonize supporters of the President of the United States has become.

Now, think of what that means for pollsters, even the really good ones like HarrisX. It means you can never be confident that you have compiled a truly representative sample of the American public, no matter how hard you try. This is why no one should waste a bunch of time worrying about these polls, especially four months in advance of Election Day.

Those Democrats have every reason to be worried, because if Biden really does have a 4-point “lead” in the current polls, it likely means he really trails the President by half a dozen points or even more.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Utter Disgrace That is Fox News

I finally had to give up watching The Five last week, because I just couldn’t take another day of Juan Williams uttering fabricated nonsense and having none of the other four hosts do a damn thing to correct the record. It’s obvious management at Fox has told the others that it is hands-off time on Juan in the new age of Black Lives Matter TV.

Just as obvious is that every host on the cable news channel is required to cite the hysterically inaccurate Fox New Polls as of they are the gospel handed down on stone tablets from atop the mountain. When the otherwise sensible Maria Bartiromo is parroting the latest findings at least twice every day on Mornings With Maria, you know the talking points and segments are being forced upon her.

Sunday, things got even worse. Fox Business Analyst Charlie Gasparino appeared on the channel and made a completely fabricated report contending that President Trump is thinking about pulling out of the campaign due to bad polling numbers. From a report at The Hill:

“It’s too early, but if the polls continue to worsen, you can see a scenario where he drops out,” a GOP operative who asked to remain anonymous told Fox News.

Gasparino also reported that one “major player” within the Republican Party described “Trump’s current psyche as ‘fragile.'”

Gasparino said he’s “not convinced yet” that Trump will bow out. He noted that Biden has been largely pushed off the campaign trail by the coronavirus.

[End]

This is not only utterly and completely absurd and without any foundation whatsoever, it is patently irresponsible. Even worse, we saw this same sort of despicably false “reporting” from hacks on CNN and MSNBC about this time during the 2016 election cycle. It’s as if Fox News now has its hack “reporters” coordinating daily talking points and narratives with the Democrats and CNN.

Folks, President Trump is not only not going to withdraw from this race, he is going to win it, just as he has won every other difficult challenge during the course of his life. Furthermore, his polling is not all that bad right now. Anyone who looks into the internals in these polls knows that they are almost uniformly oversampling Democrat voters and under-sampling Republicans.

Here’s a great example: A Susquehanna poll released on Monday gives Biden a 5-point lead over Trump in Pennsylvania. Even if you accept that result, Trump could turn that number around in a week. But that number is completely fabricated, given that the pollster over-samples college-educated voters in the state by at least 20%.

Also on Monday, we had a Trafalgar Group poll of the key state of Wisconsin showing Trump with a one point lead in that state. Note that Trafalgar was one of only two pollsters in 2016 that correctly called the race for Trump instead of Clinton. Note also that Trafalgar released a poll of Michigan last week showing Trump ahead in that crucial state as well.

We can cherry pick polls all day long, but that is an exercise in futility given that, with a few notable exceptions, the sector as a whole is absolute gutter trash at this point, just like Fox and the rest of the national news media.  There was a time when Fox News could at least be relied upon as a source of accurate factual content, but with hacks like Gasparino polluting its airwaves, and hosts being forced to pretend that its notoriously inaccurate polling represents a “news” story, that now has obviously gone by the wayside.

Call it the pernicious influence of Paul Ryan, call it whatever you want, but Fox News is not a “news” channel anymore, and that’s a shame.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Biden Bumbles, Stumbles and Mumbles as Trump’s Approval Ratings Soar

Today’s Campaign Update (Because the Campaign Never Ends)

Trump’s numbers are booming. – Two new polls released on Tuesday show President Donald Trump gaining popularity thanks to his handling of this China Virus crisis. His overall approval ratings reached new highs in both the Gallup Poll (49%) and the latest HarrisX Survey (54%). The Gallup poll now pegs his approval for his handling of the China Virus at a whopping 60%, with just 38% disapproval.

This is very troubling news for the elder abusers attempting to pass Quid Pro Joe Biden off as someone who can handle the job. Very troubling news indeed.

They never should’ve given up on Operation Hide The Geezer. – For a week there, the world was Quid Pro Joe’s oyster. His recent sweeps of state after state after state in his nomination contest with The Commie, combined with government advisories to stay at home and avoid contact with others had provided the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator and his evil staff the perfect excuse to keep their obviously declining candidate under wraps.

The inability to hold more campaign “rallies” is a blessing to Creepy Uncle Joe.  Think of it: No more need to partition off small high school gymnasiums with temporary walls at mid-court because he couldn’t fill them up. No more ability for the handsy candidate to incur embarrassing videos of him inappropriately fondling young girls and other people’s wives.  No more uncontrollable live events where his handlers risk the clearly impaired candidate going off-script and referring to God as “you know, the thing.” No more opportunities for the “tough guy” Biden to curse, insult and challenge auto workers to a fight when they ask him semi-tough questions.

It was without doubt an elder abuser’s dream world. They could have let the Geezer sit in his study for weeks, maybe months, doing nothing but pretending to sign off on press releases and tweets written for him by others and no one in the corrupt news media would have said boo about it. Hell, most of them would have gone on and on about what a statesman he was being, setting such a great example for the rest of the population.

Why, nobody shelters in place like that great American, Joe Biden, by golly!

But it is always the natural tendency of campaign professionals to “do something,” and when they began to see President Donald Trump’s public approval ratings shooting up as the people started taking his daily public briefings seriously, the alarm bells sounded in Bidenland. Even more threatening in the nearer term, they saw New York Governor Andrew Cuomo doing his own daily briefings and receiving increasing praise from the same corrupt media toadies that have been in the tank for Quid Pro Joe. With every passing day, it seemed to them that Cuomo was becoming more and more of a threat to sweep into the July convention in Milwaukee in the role of the “white night” to save the party from nominating an increasingly incapacitated candidate.

Thus it was that after just one week of successfully hiding the Geezer, Biden’s abusive handlers decided they had to roll him out in front of the cameras again. They touted their latest scam as an effort by Quid Pro Joe to hold regular counter-briefings so he can “correct the record” because of all of the evil Trump’s “lies” to the American public. They set up a handy teleprompter and video feed in the study of Biden’s palatial home and handed him an 8-minute script in a gigantic font for the Geezer to hopefully read verbatim.

That approach almost worked semi-well during Biden’s first “counter-briefing,” until the teleprompter malfunctioned, causing Biden to start stammering and gesturing to his staff to get the damn thing scrolling again:

That was Monday’s fiasco. Things only got worse on Tuesday, as the Biden handlers decided to throw all caution to the wind and roll him out there for a series of softball interviews on CNN, ABC and MSNBC.

Appearing with the execrable hack Jake Tapper on CNN, Quid Pro Joe repeatedly coughed into his fist, so many times that Tapper felt the need to give the former Vice President of the United States instructions on the proper way to cough into his elbow, a decades-old technique of which the Geezer was apparently blissfully unaware:

In an interview on MSNBC with despicable Nicolle Wallace, Quid Pro Joe repeatedly got confused and stopped in mid-sentence:

In that same interview, the pathetic fan girl was so anxious to get rid of him that she felt the need to say thank you no fewer than seven times:

The coup de gras came in an appearance on ABC News. There he was asked by Sara Haynes if President Trump is right when he says “we can’t let the cure be worse than the virus itself.”

Biden’s answer: “We have to take care of the cure. That will make the problem worse no matter what.”

I swear I don’t make this stuff up:

Naturally, the liberal activist Haynes had no follow-up question to that gibberish answer.

But the reality for the Biden camp is that they cannot expect to survive the grueling campaign to come via corrupt media bias alone. As this post demonstrates, these clips are viewed by millions of people every day on social media. Try as they might, the evil minions who spend their days censoring conservative thought and speech on Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and all the other platforms are simply not capable of hiding them from a curious public.

Don’t get me wrong: They can almost certainly make it to the July convention through media bias and censorship, because the Democrat voter base is really good at refusing to deal with reality. But the general election campaign is an entirely different animal, one that cannot be rigged by the DNC. And the reality of the Unfrozen Caveman Senator is that he is clearly and unambiguously not competent to hold the office of the presidency.

Biden’s abusive handlers and family would do well to reconsider this latest failing strategy, and re-implement Operation Hide the Geezer. Hide him all the way to July if you can, and then hope for a miracle in the fall.

That’s not an especially good strategy, but when you’re actively trying to force an impaired candidate into the White House, it’s the best one available.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Impeachment is Killing the Democrats in Battleground States

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Axios is reporting that morning that new polling shows President Donald Trump gaining ground in three key battleground states as this impeachment clown show plows along. The new polls, conducted by Firehouse Strategies, show the President gaining tremendous ground vs. Quid Pro Joe Biden in the three key states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which were decisive in his 2016 victory over the Pantsuit Princess.

Biden vs. Trump in battleground states

The President’s biggest gains have taken place since September, when the Democrats and their media toadies kicked off their whole Ukraine scam as a pretense for impeaching Mr. Trump. In Pennsylvania, he has moved from 7 points down in September to leading by 4 in December; in Michigan, he has moved from down 2 to leading by 5; and in Wisconsin he has gone from minus 3 to plus 9, a whopping 12 point shift in just three months.

A December 3 report by Axios, which looked at a dozen October/November polls gauging voter support for impeachment, found it opposed in 8 key battleground states by a 51-44% margin. Not a good sign for the power-mad Democrats and their corrupt media organ grinder monkeys.

I’m not generally a fan of polls – especially the national horse-race polls – because of the obvious bias in the polling industry, a bias that regularly produces polls that over-sample Democrat voters. The simple fact of the matter is that most polls taken these days are compiled in order to create news stories and generate clicks to websites, not to legitimately gauge voter attitudes. National polls are also skewed by the overwhelmingly Democrat margins in California and New York, two states that have rendered themselves completely irrelevant in presidential elections due to their single-party status.

But polls taken repeatedly over time, or multiple polls taken in aggregate can be valuable in the assessment of overarching trends, as the polls cited by these two Axios reports do. The overarching trends in the key battleground states that will ultimately decide the 2020 vote in the Electoral College – the only vote that matters – are decidedly and unarguably bad for the power-mad Democrats.

Simply put, the Democrats are destroying themselves with this impeachment farce, and that is very good news for America.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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British Election Will Provide a Preview of Trump’s 2020 Re-Election

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[Note: Today’s Campaign Update will be on a delayed morning schedule from November 30 through  December 4.]

When voters in the United Kingdom went to the polls on June 23, 2016 to vote on the referendum on whether to leave the European Union (Brexit) or remain in it (remain), the polls all predicted – by an average of 8% – that “remain” would win handily. But of course we all know that the actual vote ended with a 52-48% Brexit victory.

Five months later, all the polls predicted Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential contest, with the New York Times at one point giving Clinton a 99% chance of prevailing.  In the end, Mr. Trump prevailed with a near-landslide in the electoral college, the only measure that matters in our system.

Keen observers understood that the two elections were fought on basically the same issues: economic malaise, open borders, and general national decline brought to both nations by the forces of globalism and the politicians who impose it on their populations. Voters in favor of Brexit and Trump were under-polled by biased polling organizations, many of whom are run by corrupt media outlets determined to slant their reporting in favor of “remain” and Clinton. A few observers – including Today’s Campaign Update – predicted that the Brexit vote would actually serve as precursor to a Trump victory, which is clearly what happened.

Since those elections were held in 2016, the corrupt and disloyal forces of globalism in both nations have attempted to regroup and reclaim power, while doing everything in their power to deny the voters the fruits of their respective victories. In Britain, Brexit agreements negotiated with leaders in the EU by Prime Minister Theresa May were repeatedly rebuffed in Parliament, with many disloyal members of her own Conservative Party joining forces with the Labor Party – led by the mendacious and corrupt Jeremy Corbin, Britain’s version of San Fran Nan – to vote down every iteration of the proposal.

That failure to deliver led first to the Conservatives losing their parliamentary majority, and ultimately to May’s being replaced earlier this year by early Brexit advocate Boris Johnson. When Johnson saw his own initial proposed Brexit deal voted down in September,  that in turn led to a purging of disloyal Conservatives from the Party, and Johnson’s demanding a so-called “snap election” in which Johnson hopes to win a new mandate from the voters.

With that vote scheduled to take place on December 12, today’s polls in Britain now reflect a decided pro-Conservative, pro-Johnson, pro-Brexit sentiment among the country’s voters. The latest poll from YouGov projects that Johnson’s Party will score its largest landslide win since Lady Margaret Thatcher won her third term in office in 1987. YouGov projects a net Conservative gain of 42 seats, which would give it a clear majority of Parliament’s 650 seats. Although other polls also project a major Conservative victory, the YouGov result seems particularly significant since it was the only major poll to correctly predict the Conservative Party’s big losses in the 2017 elections.

If the December 12 vote does deliver a Conservative majority approaching the 68-seat advantage YouGov predicts, it would manifest the demand from British citizens that Parliament finally act on the mandate they delivered three and a half years ago. Good for them.

So, what does that mean for next November’s elections in the United States? Well, let’s think about it: What has been taking place in the U.S since November 2016? Just as in Britain, the forces of globalism have been working tirelessly, employing every dishonest tool at their corrupt disposal to deny Trump voters the fruits of their victory. President Trump has been subjected to an unending series of hoax ‘scandals’ and fake investigations and clown show impeachment hearings and congressional obstruction and all the fake news our corrupt media establishment can produce, all in an effort by the powers of globalism to regain their lost power.

American voters are becoming weary of the refusal by the Democrat Party to accept the results of the 2016 election, with polls showing more and more Democrats showing up at Trump rallies and pledging their support for the President. This is especially true in the African American community, where multiple recent polls now indicate 34% support for President Trump. If the President can achieve half that much support from the Black community, next year’s election will become an historic landslide.

So, keep an eye on the results from the December 12 voting across the Pond. Just as it did in 2016, the result of that election is likely to eventually serve as a precursor of things to come next November.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Fox News Leads the Parade of Garbage Impeachment Polls

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

These impeachment polls are very mysterious and confusing. Until you look at the details, that is.  –  The increasingly-trending-left Fox News came out with a “bombshell” new poll on impeachment Wednesday which Bret Baier solemnly told us shows that 51% of those polled favor both impeachment and removal from office. Baier further said that is an increase of 9% over an earlier poll taken before any of this nonsense about Ukraine broke. Which basically means that every leftist nitwit in the country has always wanted him impeached and removed, which should surprise no one.

This seems pretty strange since the President’s public approval rating in this poll and basically every other poll is essentially the same as it was in August. So, I decided to go take a look into the bowels of the results and guess what I discovered? Fully 48% of this poll’s sample identify as Democrats. This despite the fact that recent polling by Gallup and other organizations show that less than 30% of the U.S. population now self-identifies that way. 40% were Republicans, despite recent polling by Gallup and others showing that less than 30 of the actual population self-identifies that way. That leaves just 12% of this sample taken from the vast middle of the country that identifies with neither party.

This poll is trash. Garbage. A fake poll taken simply to create a fake news story for Bret Baier to parrot. Fox News is almost all the way achieving its goal of becoming CNN.

Ok, so, let’s go on to the poll from The Wall Street Journal/NBC released on Tuesday. This poll claims to find that 43% of the public favor “supporting [Trump’s] removal based on what they know today,” according to the linked NBC article. Yet, when you go take a look at the details of the findings, here is what you actually discover: When asked whether there is “enough evidence to impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office now,” just 24% in the poll’s sample say “yes.”

TWENTY-FOUR PERCENT.

Another 31% are in favor of holding “an impeachment inquiry to determine of there is enough evidence” to remove the President from office, because Americans just love their investigations. Fine.

But look at how absurdly NBC has misrepresented this poll’s actual findings to the public, simply to create a “news” story that might attract viewers and clicks to its website. It’s a disgrace.

One big difference in this poll as compared to the Fox poll is that it has a more reasonable partisan breakdown of 30% Democrat and 25% Republican, with the rest of the sample basically independents.

These are just two of the most recent of dozens of polls taken on the impeachment and removal questions, and when you look closely at the entire group of them, what you find is that this Democrat/Media coordinated anti-Trump frenzy over the innocuous Ukraine phone call has moved public opinion towards removal from office by maybe 2 or 3 percentage points.

Meanwhile, the President’s public approval rating as measured by the RealClearPolitics average of polls sits at 43.6% approval, slightly above his average for all of 2019.

This is not remotely what the Democrats and their media toadies were hoping to achieve here. Not at all.

They’re gonna need a bigger hoax.

Image result for we're gonna need a bigger hoax meme

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Pelosi’s “Official” Fake Impeachment Inquiry Threatens The Country’s Survival

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“It’s really a sad day for our country. I feel very sad right now.” – Nancy Pelosi

Oh, yeah, it really is a sad day for our country, San Fran Nan. – The saddest part of all of it is that many of us have known all along that the deranged, despicable, depraved Democrats would take the country down this road sooner or later since the day after Donald J. Trump was elected to the presidency. Every step the Democrat Party has taken, from the creation and funding of Antifa, to the efforts to entrap and frame a sitting President of the United States, to the Mueller Witch Hunt, to the Congressional Clown Circus led by Jabaa the Nadler and Bug Eyes Schiff, has obviously and overtly been designed to lead to yesterday’s crowning moment of shame.

We all knew the depraved Democrat Party would take the nation to this sorry point sooner or later, even though it has still never been able to find any actual legal basis for doing so. We knew this would happen because the Democrat Party no longer has any interest in governing under our constitutional republican system of government, and only cares about the acquisition and maintenance of political power.

This reality has been the case since at least 1992, but has never been rendered more nakedly obvious than it has since the Democrats and San Fran Nan assumed power in the House of Representatives on January 1 of this year. The Judiciary and Intelligence committees chaired by Nadler and Schiff, along with the Oversight committee chaired by the equally depraved Elijah Cummings, have yet to spend a moment of time on any real work for the public interest during the first 9 months of this year, instead maintaining a myopic focus on dummying up some pretense – any old pretense would do – to move towards impeachment of the President.

But here’s the funniest part of yesterday’s antics by Pelosi: Despite all the weasel words she spoke in her statement late in the afternoon, nothing real changed. Pelosi said this:

Image

The only problem here is that an “official impeachment inquiry” has no meaning under the constitution and the law. Pelosi knows that, which is why she used those specific words, and made no reference to mounting a formal impeachment inquiry via a vote of the full House, which would have some meaning under the law.

See, the speaker of the house has no power whatsoever to unilaterally declare a formal impeachment inquiry. None. Doing that requires a majority vote of the entire body of the House. That would mean San Fran Nan would have to somehow cobble together 217 actual, recorded “yes” votes on the floor of the House.

Given that the Democrats currently control 235 seats to 198 (2 seats are vacant) for the Republicans, one might think getting to a simple majority would be an easy task for the doddering, stammering Speaker. But one would be surprised for holding that thought.

Pelosi’s big problem in all of this is that she has 35 or so members who managed to steal districts in the 2018 elections normally held by Republicans. Few if any of those folks, who would like to get re-elected in those same districts next year and been working hard to fool their constituents into believing they are “moderates,” are willing to go on the record as formally supporting a formal impeachment inquiry targeting a Republican president when there are no real grounds for going down that radical road.

So, just as with everything else she and her fellow Democrats do, yesterday’s theatrics by Pelosi were just that: Theater. Dishonest theater. Nothing real will change – those committees will just keep doing what they’ve been doing all year.

The only thing that will change will be the talking points parroted by the Democrat toady media, which will henceforth parrot the words “official impeachment inquiry,” peppering them into every report they make. This is how the mass public brainwashing process works – repetition of key messages is crucial. Goebbels and his fellow Nazis called it the “big lie.”

If you don’t believe that’s what the Democrats are doing here, read this morning’s piece in Politico titled “Vulnerable Democrats fear impeachment messaging stumbles” and count the number of times Democrat members quoted in the piece focus on “messages.” In that 600 or so word piece, I count 15 references to “messages,” “messaging,” “talking points,” or some other iteration of those words. It’s pretty much all they talk about.

The Democrats are very desperate here, because their mass brainwashing efforts keep failing. As of yesterday, President Trump’s public approval rating in the Rasmussen survey stood at 53%, a two-year high and fully 6 points higher than the rating received by Barack Hussein Obama at the same point in his presidency 8 years ago. Trump’s standing in the RealClearPolitics average, which includes all the fake polls created by media outlets purely to drive fake news stories, stands at 45.1%, also a two-year high.

The truth is that Donald Trump is a very popular president when compared to his immediate predecessors in office, Obama and George W. Bush, and his base of support, which represents over 40% of the nation, is steadfastly loyal. Making matters even more desperate for the Democrat “leadership,” such as it exists, is the fact that all the Marxist/fascist promises made by the radicals running for their presidential nomination are backfiring, especially in those swing congressional districts.

The President is going to release the transcript of his call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky today, along with the complaint by the Democrats’ fake “whistleblower,” an Obama loyalist who has no first-hand knowledge of that conversation. That fake whistleblower will also testify before Bug Eyes and his committee in the coming days.

The transcript will no doubt prove the President said nothing wrong, but the fake media and their Democrat masters will do everything they can to spin it otherwise, or even better, to claim the transcript has been somehow “doctored.” Despicable media hacks at MSNBC and CNN were laying the groundwork for those tactics yesterday.

Make no mistake about this: Regardless of the ongoing brainwashing efforts by the Democrat/Media propaganda complex, if the Democrats move down this road and end up holding a successful impeachment vote in the House, Democrats in those swing districts will pretty much all lose their re-election bids. Any Republican who joins an effort to remove the President via a 2/3rds vote in the Senate will be writing the end to his or her political career, and possibly to the GOP itself. There will be no forgiveness for such a despicable act of sedition, nor should there be.

Finally, should the Senate end up removing the President from office absent any real grounds for doing so, then the social contract between the public and the entire ruling class, already hanging on by a mere thread, will have been completely severed. If that sad day should come to pass, all bets for our nation’s survival in its current form will be off.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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And Just Like That, Biden’s Lead Evaporated

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:

Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.

But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:

The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.

Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.

But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.

That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?

Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.

The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.

Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2

The Commie – 5 to 1

Harris – 10 to 1

Biden – 100  to 1

Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1

Someone not in the current field – Even money

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time. 

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About That Biden “Surge” in the Polls…It Isn’t Happening

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

When a “surge” is actually a durge. – As is always the case with the DC punditry these days, they’re wrong.

Over the past week, poll-watching pundits like Karl Rove and pretty much all the others have been marveling about Joe Biden’s “pop” or “surge” or whatever word you want to put to it – in the polls. Talking about him in a way that is clearly designed to make you think he is a virtual shoe-in to be the Democrat nominee in 2020, and a real, strong challenger to the re-election of President Donald Trump. The only problem with all of this is that it just isn’t happening. Take a look at this:

 

See that green line? That’s Joe Biden. It’s his average in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. See which way it has been heading over the past 10 days? Clue: it isn’t up. It isn’t a “pop.” It’s not a “surge.”

What that line actually represents is the inevitable: Biden’s precipitous plunge back earthwards as all the people in the Democrat voter base get a good gander at him and listen to the idiocy that pops out of his mouth and remember exactly who Joe Biden really is.

Who Joe Biden is, is a clown. A human gaffe machine. A guy who has no respect for the personal space of women and children. A guy who can’t keep his creepy hands to himself at public events. A guy who has been mucking around in the DC Swamp for 46 years; a guy who has a record as long as your arm and none of it is good.

That’s who Joe Biden is.

And so, the numbers plunge, and they will keep plunging until that gap between his green line and one of the other candidates’ line is gone. I figure that will happen along about October 1 or so, maybe sooner depending on how Biden performs in the early debates.

How fast is Biden falling? Good question. See that poll by The Hill, where Biden’s sitting at 33? Two weeks ago, right after his formal campaign kickoff, he was sitting at 46. That’s the most severe drop in any of them thus far, mainly because that 46 number is the highest Biden has achieved in any of the myriad polls.

In any event, you are best advised not to believe the media buzz that Biden’s the most likely Democrat nominee, for a variety of reasons.

His inherent goofiness as a human being is just one of them. His advanced age, which shows more and more every day, is another. But the main reason is the fact that the Democrats are awarding delegates in their primaries on a modified-proportional basis in all states this time, rather than a winner-take-all basis.

Any candidate winning at least 15% of the vote in a state primary will receive a share of the delegates. If only one candidate reaches that level, then it becomes winner-take-all. If no candidates receive 15% – which is entirely possible in some states with such a large field – then “the minimum to receive delegates will be 50% of the vote received by the front-runner.  For example, if candidate A wins with 10% of the vote, delegates will be allocated proportionately to anyone that receives 5% or more.”

With 25 candidates in the race and counting, this system is setting up a free-for-all in which it is very likely that the Democrats will show up to their national convention next summer without a clear nominee, and maybe without any candidate even coming close to that threshold.

What does that mean? A brokered convention, at which you could even end up with a nominee who did not run in the primaries.

Hey, which prominent, extremely ambitious Democrats are not announced candidates, but are rumored to be working towards that exact possibility as we speak?

What do you think Hillary Clinton is doing with her spare time?

I’m just sayin’.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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God Save us From Reliance on “Experts”

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

God save us from reliance on “experts”. – David Epstein has a fantastic piece in the June issue of the Atlantic, one which illustrates why we “normals” out here in Flyover Country should avoid listening to predictions made by “experts”.

Regular readers will know that I make fun of “experts” and their persistent wrongness all the time, especially those in the fields of politics, “climate change” and economics. Epstein’s piece doesn’t directly address those specific fields in any detail, but he does illustrate major reasons why media-recognized “experts” are so consistently-wrong about pretty much everything.

How many consecutive months do we have to read headlines like “Trump economy adds 263,000 jobs in April, far surpassing expert projections” before we stop listening to “experts” on the economy? How many times must we see headlines like “Australia’s conservative party shocks pollsters and pundits with easy victory” before we accept the reality that almost all pollsters and pundits suffer from a chronic anti-conservative bias? How many times must we reflect on predictions by climate “experts” that the polar ice caps would be gone by 2015, that snow would end by 2020, that New York City would be under water by 2025 before we realize that these people are just a bunch of politically-motivated scam artists?

Epstein’s piece is long but well worth reading in full, so I highly recommend you all do so. But here are some key snippets that tell us all we really need to know about “experts” in any field:

The integrators [those who had expertise in multiple fields] outperformed their colleagues in pretty much every way, but especially trounced them on long-term predictions. Eventually, Tetlock bestowed nicknames (borrowed from the philosopher Isaiah Berlin) on the experts he’d observed: The highly specialized hedgehogs knew “one big thing,” while the integrator foxes knew “many little things.”

Hedgehogs are deeply and tightly focused. Some have spent their career studying one problem. Like Ehrlich and Simon, they fashion tidy theories of how the world works based on observations through the single lens of their specialty. Foxes, meanwhile, “draw from an eclectic array of traditions, and accept ambiguity and contradiction,” Tetlock wrote. Where hedgehogs represent narrowness, foxes embody breadth.

Incredibly, the hedgehogs performed especially poorly on long-term predictions within their specialty. They got worse as they accumulated experience and credentials in their field. The more information they had to work with, the more easily they could fit any story into their worldview.

One study compiled a decade of annual dollar-to-euro exchange-rate predictions made by 22 international banks: Barclays, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and others. Each year, every bank predicted the end-of-year exchange rate. The banks missed every single change of direction in the exchange rate. In six of the 10 years, the true exchange rate fell outside the entire range of all 22 bank forecasts.

Tetlock, along with his wife and collaborator, the psychologist Barbara Mellers, ran a team named the Good Judgment Project. Rather than recruit decorated experts, they issued an open call for volunteers. After a simple screening, they invited 3,200 people to start forecasting. Among those, they identified a small group of the foxiest forecasters—bright people with extremely wide-ranging interests and unusually expansive reading habits, but no particular relevant background—and weighted team forecasts toward their predictions. They destroyed the competition.

And here is the real killshot:

Tetlock and Mellers found that not only were the best forecasters foxy as individuals, but they tended to have qualities that made them particularly effective collaborators. They were “curious about, well, really everything,” as one of the top forecasters told me.

“Curious about…everything.” Think about that for a moment: My most persistent criticism of both pollsters and pundits is that they are singularly lacking in curiosity. They are stuck in their little New York City or Inside-the-Beltway echo chambers and never make any effort to venture out of them. They are comfortable; they are content; they love existing in a tiny, insulated world in which they are recognized as somehow being someone special. To venture out of that comfort zone is to risk that feeling of special-ness.

The average margin of error among pollsters in Wisconsin in 2016 was 6 percentage points. Yet, the conceit of every one of those “expert” pollsters is their methods produce results with only a 2-3 point “margin of error.” If you point that out to them, you invariably get some flippant insult or sarcastic retort, but never any sort of thoughtful, introspective admission that their methods are frankly crap.

The same is true of pundits and journalists.  Charles Krauthamer, who I admired throughout his career and life, was wrong about literally every aspect of the GOP’s 2015-16 nominating contest in general, and Donald Trump specifically. In that studious and stubborn wrongness, he had plenty of company. Pretty much every other recognized Inside-the-Beltway pundit was similarly wrong.

These folks were 180 degrees wrong because they never ventured outside of the Beltway to actually talk to some Trump supporters and try to figure out who they really were and what they were really thinking. That same refusal to learn was also shared by all pollsters except for Scott Rasmussen and pretty much every working reporter and editor in every national media outlet. They all hated being constantly proved wrong, hated the people who were responsible for their wrongness, and thus refused to make any effort to learn about them and understand how they think. They clung to their biases and preconceived misconceptions because are the very things that drive their own personal self-esteem.

To this day, in fact, two-and-a-half years after the 2016 election, almost none of these “experts” have ever made that effort. They remain ignorant, hived up in their echo chambers, and thus remain constantly wrong about pretty much everything.

So, why do the media-recognized “experts” seem to be consistently wrong about pretty much everything?

Because they are. It isn’t your imagination.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Biden’s Fading, Beto’s Flailing, and DeBlasio’s Just Wasting Everyone’s Time

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

I know it’s a repugnant subject, but let’s talk Democrat politics this morning. – First, we’ve had Irish Bob O’Rourke re-boot his failed campaign this week, and boy what a massive fail that has been. As part of his “reintroduction to America”, he live-streamed himself having a haircut and massage! I swear I do not make this stuff up.:

Oh, he also appeared with the four nagging, substance-devoid shrews on The View, which I suppose meant that Tuesday’s episode of The View actually featured five nagging, substance-devoid shrews. There, he apologized for his being white, male and privileged, and the very next day he’s got a video up of him having a hair cut and massage.  Why do I get the feeling that, before the week is over, Irish Bob is going to announce that next week he will re-re-boot his failed campaign?

Here’s the amazing thing about that video: Some supposedly “professional” campaign advisors told Irish Bob that that was just a fab-o idea. Well, they probably didn’t use the term “fab-o” since they’re probably all under the age of 80 or so, but still.

Seriously, who in their right mind would think that this is a good look for their candidate? No wonder Donald Trump decided not to listen to such “professional” advisors during his 2015-16 campaign.

Speaking of truly awful political ideas… – Bill DeBlasio is now a candidate for president! Aren’t y’all thrilled out there in Flyover Country? Yeah, neither are the people whose lives he has helped to make miserable – the citizens of New York City – 76% of whom told a pollster this week that their communist Mayor really should not go down this road.

The James-Comey-tall Mayor first announced his candidacy at a Monday event Trump Tower, which some idiot told him was a very clever idea. That is, until he was mocked by protesters riding down the escalator behind him carrying pro-Trump signs. How is it that none of these campaign “professionals” thought that it might be a lousy idea to place their candidate in front of a public escalator?

The Marxist Mayor then traveled to Iowa for a kickoff rally. There, the people who printed the signage for the event misspelled his name as “DiBlasio”. Since only a few dozen showed for the event – and who knows how many of them could even read – it didn’t really much matter.

In any event, DeBlasio joins New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand as Empire State presidential candidates who have literally no rationale at all for entering this race. They will both leave the race without having won a single delegate to next year’s national convention.

Hey, there’s nobody in the field named George yet – maybe he should run, too! – Over in London, dimwitted actor George Clooney told the assembled press that “we are facing a pretty absurd time in our lives.” No word if he was referring to the 2020 Democrat presidential field, but he should have been.

The Biden Juggernaut is already fading. – When Joe Biden kicked off his campaign at the first of May, I told you that he would experience the best polling numbers of the entire campaign season in the first 2-3 weeks following his announcement. Sure enough, he did put up some phenomenal numbers in the first few polls issued early this month, rising to as high as 46% support in a poll put out by The Hill and 44% in the Harvard/Harris poll. Very impressive given the number of candidates in the field.

But very predictably, the bloom is already coming off the Biden rose, as the excitement among the deluded Democrat voter base fades and the reality of the energy-devoid, elderly candidate-who-has-been-wrong-about-everything-for-half-a-century sets in.

We’ve seen two new polls this week, and Biden is sub-40% in both, sitting at 39% in Morning Consult and 33% in the Emerson poll. The Emerson poll is the most current, having been conducted from May 10 through May 14.

Karl Rove, whose political analyses stopped being in any way relevant along about April of 2015, was on Fox News on Wednesday marveling at Biden’s 23-point lead over The Commie in the also no-longer-relevant RealClearPolitics average of polls, but that lead will be down to less than 10 in a month, and will be completely gone by October.

Joe Biden is this cycle’s Jeb! Bush, the guy with all the establishment support, a ton of money, zero energy and, at the end of the day, zero appeal to the people who actually vote in these nominating primaries. I still think his campaign ought to just start calling him Joe! and get it all over with.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Dying CNN Fakes up a Poll for Foundering Beto

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Another day, another fake poll. – The Democrats and their media enablers have apparently decided it’s time to try to revive the moribund campaign of their former “next Kennedy”, Irish Bob O’Rourke. With the fake Hispanic’s support among Democrats mired in the mid-single digits for the last six weeks, party leaders and fake media mavens hoping their party’s primary season will produce an interesting race that doesn’t quickly boil down to a depressing slog between two near-octogenarians know that means they need their precious “Beto” up on stage waving his arms around and promising to use his office to ban everything from reliable electricity to guns to Tylenol.

So, what’s the easiest way to rev up Democrat base-voter interest in a candidate? Why, get the news-fakers over at CNN to dummy up a fake poll showing that Irish Bob is the one guy among the 20 or so circus clowns lined up to seek the nomination who can not just defeat, but wallop President Donald Trump in the 2020 general election. You betcha.

Presto! CNN has a new poll of “registered voters” this morning pretending to show that Precious Beto would beat the President in a head-to-head race by a 52-42 margin! It’s like magic, I tell ya!

Here are the fake poll’s full top-line results:

In a new poll Beto O'Rourke emerged as the most likely to take out President Donald Trump if he were to run against him in the general elections. Of six top Democratic candidates, those polled favored five of them over Trump

In addition to its obvious, blatant effort to pump up support for the Party’s fake Hispanic – hey, why do the party and its captive media continue to ignore the real Texas Hispanic in the race, Julian Castro? –  this poll is designed to serve a couple of other purposes:

  • Put a leash on the Democrats’ fake Indian, Elizabeth Warren, who amazingly has begun to show a little momentum among Democrat voters who, after all, love to be lied to; and
  • Reassure the restless among the Democrat base that the Party’s strategy of desperately trying to keep its whole “Russia Collusion” fantasy alive right through Election Day, 2020 is working.

So, just like the New York Times has done the past couple of days with their carefully-planted fake stories designed to support the Deep State narrative, when the Democrat Party poobahs need a favor, no fake news outlet is more willing to whip it out than America’s least-favorite news-flasher, despicable old CNN.

The irony here is that the Democrat Party’s “Russia Collusion” strategy obviously is failing, and the best way to tell that is by looking at CNN’s own ratings, which have crashed through the floor since the release of the Mueller Report and its revelation that there never was any “collusion” to begin with. At least, not by anyone involved in the Trump Campaign.

The fake news network’s ratings declined by an amazing 26% in April compared to March, as the fantasy it had used to attract viewers for two solid years came up a crapper. That’s an even more amazing 41% below the network’s average rating from April, 2018. If our nation’s airports stopped their mysterious practice of giving CNN a monopoly on their captive travelers, the cable network would have almost no viewers at all.

The big problem here for the Democrats is that they really don’t have anything else other than hate and division and lies to offer the American people. Those three things form the entire basis of their Party’s reason for existing today. There is no more there there. So they have no choice but to keep doubling and tripling and quadrupling down on the only things they know to do anymore.

That means that CNN, the New York Times and all the other fake media outlets in our national fake media universe are left with no choice but to double and triple and quadruple down right along with their masters.

What a sad and destructive existence these people lead.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Biden, Bernie, Buttigieg and Beto: The Democrat Killer Bs Lineup is Complete

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, Biden’s announcing today – we need some fake polls! – And just like clockwork, Morning Consult produces one! It’s almost like it was pre-planned, designed by fake-polling Democrat activists to coincide with Creepy Uncle Joe’s announcement, right? But that couldn’t be the case, could it?

Well, sure it could. And it was. This stuff happens every day in Democrat/media/pollster world. Here’s the graphic that accompanies Morning Consult’s “online poll” – the word “online” means “utterly without any validity whatsoever” – released overnight:

Now, if you believe any of that, I want some of what you’re drinking, ‘cuz it must be real gooood.

Start with the Trump overall support number of 34% among “registered voters.” First, it’s an online poll – how in the world would Morning Consult know if respondents are even real people and not fake accounts created by those nefarious Russians, much less whether anyone who responds happens to be properly registered to vote?

But back to the 34%: President Donald Trump has a 49% public approval rating in the latest Rasmussen survey, which has been the most accurate polling operation in the country over the last two election cycles. He’s at 45% in the HarrisX survey, and even in the useless RealClearPolitics average of polls – which mysteriously still insists on including polls from news outlets and the hysterically fake Reuters – has him at 43.4%.

Does anyone really believe that, if all these “likely voters” surveyed by Rasmussen (one of a handful that bothers to structure its sample on those most likely to actually vote) go to the polls, almost 1/3rd of them would abandon the sitting President who has delivered the strongest economy in modern times to vote for Joe Freakin’ Biden? Please.

But enough about fake polls.

Biden’s long-anticipated and long-delayed entrance into the race today (which he announced by posting a carefully-constructed video on Twitter so he couldn’t screw anything up) completes the Democrat field for all intents and purposes. Other no-accounts like New York City Governor Bill DeBlasio might still jump in, but hey, the field is already chock full of communists, so he’d be wasting his time. The reality is that Biden is the last candidate who matters, which is part of the reason why he’s waited so long to formally announce.

Biden now joins the party’s other three B-listers (there apparently are no A-listers available), the pasty-faced lineup of white guys who are giving the Party’s social justice warrior-filled voter base heartburn: Bernie, Buttigieg and Beto, i.e., The Commie, Mayor Pete and Irish Bob O’Rourke.

Yes, the Killer Bs have come back to life in this race, and, according Morning Consult, they are taking almost all of the SJW air out of the identity politics room, combining for 69% support. That total goes as low as 59% if you want to believe Monmouth’s poll, or as high as 70% if you choose to look at Emerson. Regardless, the Killer Bs aren’t leaving a lot of room for the women, fake Indians and minority candidates to break through the white guy wall.

But don’t worry, all you SJWs, this will not last for long. Joe Biden might as well brand his campaign “Joe!” because he’s just “Jeb!” all over again, a completely out-of-place, unexciting dinosaur who will spend a ton of money and be out of the race shortly after the New Hampshire primary, if not before.

The most fascinating part of Biden’s campaign will be watching to see how he deals with all the attacks that are coming his way from the SJW crowd – like his 40 year-old statement that gay people in key federal employee roles are a security risk because they’re susceptible to blackmail – and the looming scandal over the billion-dollar sweetheart deal with the Ukraine that he set up for his son’s firm to profit from. Combine those things with his half-century history of inappropriate touching of women and children, and he presents an awful lot of problems for the fake news media to cover up.

The reality for Biden is that today is most likely the best polling day he will have in this race, and it’s all downhill from here.

Irish Bob O’Rourke is probably on a similar trajectory at this point. His polling numbers spiked up above 10% for a few weeks after he finally announced, but are now mired in the mid-single digits and not showing any positive signs. He has not only lost his “rising star” media-fed mojo to Mayor Pete, but he’s also running a completely meaningless, substance-devoid campaign.

Irish Bob’s campaign is like an episode of Seinfeld: A show about nothing starring a cynical clown who makes a living telling fake stories to small audiences. His entire basis for running was the foundation of support he’d receive from a fawning media. But he waited too long to announce, and the fickle media turned its eye to Mayor Pete. It’s hard to see how Irish Bob stages a breakthrough at this point in such a crowded field.

Mayor Pete and The Commie are the Killer Bs with a real future in this race: The Commie because he’s a true, committed commie and Mayor Pete because he’s the media’s current prom date and can easily run just slightly to the right of The Commie and pretend to be a mere socialist. Mayor Pete’s other advantage is that, being gay, he ticks off one of the major SJW boxes that sort of dims his otherwise-glaring white-maleness.

I still think that Andrew Yang will make some noise in this race, but not until the televised debates begin this summer. He’s a very non-conventional thinker in a Marxist lunatic sort of way, and he will really stand out in that format. And we should also expect Spartacus Booker to have a little boomlet at some point, because he is also really adept at attracting media attention. Julian Castro might also jump up the polling ladder at some point, because sooner or later the creeps in the fake news media are going to feel very guilty about ignoring the only real Hispanic candidate in the race.

But the field is set and the Democrats’ Star Wars bar scene cast is now complete. It’s off to the races, and oh, what a frightening display it’s all going to be.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Live Blog: Election Day On Twitter – Data, Media Bias, Fun Stuff

The Campaign Update Election Day Preview Live Blog

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[Note:  I will be live-blogging election results on a new thread starting at 6:00 p.m. Central Time.]

Check in here throughout the afternoon for further updates.

UPDATE @4:20 CT:

Ok, I’m going to close this one down right here.  Will start this evening’s open thread at 6:00 CT sharp – please join me and offer comments and information as you find it.  Thanks.

 

UPDATE @4:10 CT:

The folks at ZeroHedge.com have a really nice piece on when the polls in every state close and what to watch for when they do…

 

UPDATE @3:55 CT:

Not good news for Dean Heller out in Nevada…

UPDATE @3:10 CT:

Michael Newton with some more good early voting data…

 

UPDATE @2:20 CT: 

Nate Silver’s 538.com weighs in with its final “blue wave” prediction…

It’s fair to note that 538 also gave Hillary Clinton better than a 70% chance of winning the presidency on Election Day 2016.

538 also provides this interesting look-back at previous mid-term outcomes…

 

UPDATE @ 2:00 CT:

Final AZ early voting numbers are in, and they look good for McSally…

Michael Newton, who everyone would do well to follow on Twitter, makes a great point here…

Another tweeter everyone would to well to follow, au ng, has final Early Voting numbers from Florida, and again, they are very positive for the GOP…

 

UPDATE @12:30 CT:

Man, nobody would have ever guessed this would happen.  Oh, wait…

What?  Climate Change is not at the top of everyone’s mind today?  How can this be?

UPDATE @12:22 CT:  Trafalgar with some more final polls…

 

 

Noon, CT:  Let’s start with some key data points that have come across the @GDBlackmon Twitter feed today….

The Republican polling firm Trafalgar Group releases its final Florida poll this morning, and it is glorious if accurate:

Trafalgar was also the last firm to poll the Texas senate race…

Man, if this TargetSmart bunch has an accurate means of estimating early vote turnout, this is going to be an epic Red Wave.  TargetSmart, by the way, is a Democrat polling firm…

In Phoenix, Republicans are doing better in every city ward than they did in 2016. Bad news for nutjob Democrat Kyrsten Sinema…

This just happened in the world of media bias…

Ok, this is funny.  And sadly accurate…

 

That is all, for now.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Media and Pollsters are Getting Cold Feet on this Whole “Blue Wave” Thing

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

This is really not a good look for any Pope.  – This happened yesterday.  I have no idea what to say about it, other than that just happened:

Why do we have to read about this in a British news outlet? – Just when you thought the Department of Justice was completely asleep at the wheel, it goes and arrests a leaker.  The UK Daily Mail reports that one Natalie Mayflower Sours Edwards (I swear I did not make up that name) was arrested on the streets of Washington, DC on Tuesday and charged by DOJ investigators on Wednesday with crimes related to illegally leaking the private banking records of various Trump Transition Team members to the fake media outlet Buzzfeed.

When she was arrested, Ms. Mayflower Sours Edwards, an employee of the U.S. Treasury Department, was actually carrying a thumb drive that contained the records in question.  So, obviously not the brightest bulb in the Treasury Department’s light fixture.

Interestingly, Ms. Edwards (sorry, I’m not typing all that other crap anymore) leaked information related to Paul Manafort and Rick Gates, along with suspected Russian spy Maria Butina, all of whom have been subjects of Robert Mueller’s Special Counsel “investigation.”  Others whose records she leaked are not specifically identified in the complaint filed by the DOJ.

Why am I mentioning this?  Well, one of those “others” is likely to eventually be revealed to be former Trump lawyer Micheal Cohen, who became a target of the Mueller “investigation” when his own banking records were mysteriously released to several media outlets, including to Ronan Farrow at The New Yorker in May.  The U.S. news media is under-playing this story for now, but this lady with the odd name is likely to be revealed to be a pretty important player in how all of this “Russia Collusion” fantasy play morphed into a bank-and-tax fraud investigation over the course of the last year.

Oh, and one other thing:  The complaint also states that Ms. Edwards boss was leaking to reporters.  So, the arrests over at the Treasury Department might just keep on coming.  What in the hell is going on over there?

Little Mouth Always Running lives in her own little dreamcatcher world.  – The newsfakers at The Washington Post tweeted this little gem out early this morning:

Good to know.

More proof that a Lindsey Graham freed from the pernicious influence of John McCain is a vastly improved Lindsey Graham:

You go, Senator.

Today’s lesson in Democrat Mob Civility from the People’s Republic of Portland, Oregon:

Just a reminder that this is exactly the behavior that has recently been endorsed and encouraged by leading Democrats like Maxine Waters, Hillary Clinton and Eric Holder.  Keep that in mind on Election Day.

And speaking of the elections… – Some interesting pieces of information from the past couple of days show the media and pollsters who have been pushing their treasured “Blue Wave” theory for the last year now starting to back off as Election Day approaches and the actual data fails to give them comfort:

  • NBC News getting cold feet.:  “Uncertainty Over A Blue Wave:  NBC News Finds Democratic and GOP Voter Registrations at Same Levels as Past Election Cycles.”  You don’t say…
  • Speaking of cold feet, there’s Nate Silver.:  “Nate Silver’s warning about midterm predictions that journalists won’t want to hear”.  Man, it’s 2016 all over again.
  • The Times keeps getting results it doesn’t want. – New York Times live poll shows Texas Congressman Will Hurd with an 8-point lead in what was supposed to be a tossup district.
  • From our That’s Not a Valid Sample file… – CNN released a poll on the Texas Senate race on Tuesday that shows Ted Cruz leading Irish Bob O’Rourke by a 52-45 margin.  Ok, so, why am I mentioning this poll?  Because its sample included just 25% Republicans, 25% Democrats and 50% “other”.  This in a state in which the GOP had a 50% turnout edge over the Ds in the primary elections, and in which Republicans have won every statewide election since 1994.
  • Why even bother? – In Indiana’s senate race, Gravis released a poll this week purporting to show incumbent Democrat Joe Donnelly with a 4 point lead over GOP challenger Mike Braun.  But the poll only surveyed 377 “likely voters”, and has a margin of error of 5.1 percent.  Which means that, in reality, we know nothing more about the true state of the Indiana senate race today than we did before that waste of time poll was released.
  • This is what you do in the final weeks of a campaign when you have tons of money and you know you are losing. – “Beto Goes Negative on Cruz in New Ads”. 

So what does this all mean?  It means you need to stop worrying about polls and stop asking me about polls.  Because, as I keep pointing out to you, most of these polls are meaningless.  Most of them are not even commissioned to actually gauge the status of a race, but to influence the direction of a race.  In fact, that is pretty much the only kind of poll we have seen throughout the duration of the Cruz/O’Rourke race, with only a few exceptions.

The best ways to gauge the status of the races are to get a grip on the overall national mood, which this year favors a pretty much status quo election, and to also look at how the candidates themselves are behaving – O’Rourke being just one of many examples available to us.  It is also obvious that the Democrat senate candidates in North Dakota, Arizona, Florida, Missouri, Tennessee and Nevada are sucking wind right now, and the Democrats in West Virginia, Indiana and even New Jersey are getting very nervous.

One more time:  When all is said and done, expect the Republicans to lose 10-15 seats in the House, but not the 23 necessary for the Democrats to assume a majority there.  In the Senate, expect the Rs to gain a net 4-5 seats.  That’s been my prediction since January, and I still see no reason to adjust it.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Why 2018 is a Status Quo Election

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Annnndddd the race between Cruz and O’Rourke is…still all over the damn place. – A polling group that calls itself Vox Populi   came out with a poll in the Texas senate race on Thursday, showing Ted Cruz and Irish Bob O’Rourke tied at 50-50 in the race.  In its sample, Vox Populi included 39% Republicans and 36% Democrats, a sample that the group apparently feels is reflective of the Texas voter population.

Think about that for a minute.  Texas is a state in which no Democrat has won a statewide election in 24 years.  Not one.  It is a state in which Republicans prevailed in the statewide elections four years ago by about 15-20 points each.  It is a state in which the GOP voter turnout in the primaries earlier this year exceeded Democrat primary turnout by a whopping 50%, even though the Democrats had close contested races for the governor’s race and several other statewide offices.

Does that sound like a 39-36 state to you?  I’m picking on Vox Populi, but the reality is that their sample is pretty typical of the samples being taken in polling in Texas this year.  It is instructive to note that, four years ago, Texans were being treated to an array of polls about this time in the race pretending to show that Democrat Wendy Davis was a serious threat to Republican Greg Abbott in the governor’s race.  Abbott won that race by 21% of the vote.

In fairness to Vox Populi, the group does say it applies a complex weighting method to its sampling, including this passage:  “These screens significantly improve how reflective the sample is to the actual target voting population. Finally, Pop Polling weights survey results based on projected voter demographics. We do not weight on partisan affiliation or identification, helping reduce the risk of any bias during our analysis process.” Ok, cool, this is pretty common practice, but does it really inspire public confidence to know that, after the interviews have been conducted, the group goes in and monkeys around with the results?  Maybe it does – who knows for sure?  But if you’re going to apply this complex weighting method after the surveys are complete, why not just conduct more surveys and then stratify your sample via random eliminations in the various demographic groups to the breakdowns you want once that is done?

Also on Thursday, a new Public Policy Polling poll pegged the race at a 48-45 lead for Sen. Cruz.  That poll surveyed 40% Rs and 35% Ds.  So, that’s a little better, but is it really reflective of how Texas voters vote?  This PPP poll was conducted on behalf of a pro-Obamacare activist group.  So perhaps this one is a case of the polling group engaging in a little confirmation bias for its sponsor.  Or maybe not – who knows?

For a third data point, you have the Quinnipiac poll released earlier this week that shows Cruz leading by 54-45.  Quinnipiac unfortunately does not reveal the poll’s breakdown between Rs and Ds, but by extrapolating backwards from the results, it looks like it was right at 8-9% more Rs than Ds, a much more reasonable reflection of how Texans actually vote.

So, what you end up with is a confusing mish-mash of differing methodologies producing wildly different results, yet with all of them claiming to have just a 3-4% margin of error.  Embarrassing, for the whole polling industry.

Meanwhile, over in BLUE WAAAAAAAVVVVVEEE country… – We also have an interesting new poll in Texas Congressional District 32, in which incumbent Pete Sessions is supposedly facing a tough re-election challenge.  This poll, conducted by Siena College, shows Sessions holding a 52-44 lead over his Democrat opponent.

This one’s interesting because this is a seat the Democrats pretty much have to win in order to gain a majority in the House of Representatives in November, and previous polling in CD 32 have indicated the race was tight.  My view is that this race is reflective of what is going to happen all over Texas and really the rest of the country as Election Day grows closer.

As I’ve pointed out several times in the past, my view is that the best way to predict what is going to happen in any election is to judge the overall mood of the public.  Every election has an overriding inertia that serves to move the public in one direction or another on Election Day.  The overriding mood in 2016 was for major change, and we ended up with the most major change results in modern times.

The trend we are likely to see this year is that voters who make up their minds late in the game in this particular election are going to overwhelmingly decide to preserve the status quo in their state or district, wherever that may be.  Why?  Because, to quote James Carville, it’s the economy, stupid.  And the economy is roaring.

Despite all the daily hysteria brought to you by the fake news media, extraordinarily good economic news comes out on almost a daily basis.  In such times, late-deciding voters are going to take a look around their neighborhoods and see all those people who collected unemployment for the 8 years of Barack Obama getting up and going to work in the morning.  They’re going to see the new car in their neighbor’s garage, and the new refrigerator in their own kitchen.  They’re going to see that the balance in their 401(k) plan is 25% higher than it was 2 years ago.  They’re going to see all those cranes building that new manufacturing plant on the outskirts of their city.

They’re going to look around and see all of those real, tangible things that are taking place in their communities and think, “hey, maybe this isn’t the time to go vote for some guy who wants to eliminate ICE and take my guns away.  Maybe ol’ Ted isn’t so bad after all.”

This is a status quo election.  There is no “Blue Wave” coming.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Sorry Nancy, Your Coveted “Blue Wave” Just Isn’t Building

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Democrats – if they didn’t exist, no one in their right mind would dream of making them up. – In an interview on Monday, San Fran Nan said she agrees that, where the Democrats are concerned, “it’s time for new blood and we should move on.”  That’s the good part.  But in her next breath, she promised to continuing clinging to power so long as Donald Trump is President: “to have no woman at the table and to have the Affordable Care Act at risk, I said, ‘As long as he’s here, I’m here.”

Republicans everywhere popped open the champagne at the prospect of continuing to have the past and possibly future Speaker of the House as fodder for their campaign ads.

Hey, if he won’t get down into the ’30s on his own, we’ll just put him there. – The fake news hacks at CNN loudly trumpeted their new “poll” on Monday, a “poll” which purports to show President Trump’s public approval rating at just 38%.  That all looks pretty disturbing for the President until you look into the bowels of how the “poll” was conducted and realize that it included just 25% Republicans in its sample of self-described “registered voters.”

Had the poll instead included around 34-35% Republicans, which is what it should have done, its result most likely would have shown the President’s approval at about 42-43%, which is pretty much where other polls of registered voters are putting it these days.  Meanwhile, the most accurate poll during 2016, Rassmussen, which is also the only poll taking the time and effort to survey “likely” voters, pegs Mr. Trump’s approval rating at 48%.

Thus, what we clearly have with the CNN poll was yet another example of a fake news organization dummying up some more fake news on what was otherwise a fairly slow news day.  Sadly typical.

But CNN’s not alone.  We saw ABC and the Washington Post issue a similarly faked-up poll on the generic congressional preference question at the end of August.  This poll pretended to find that the Democrats suddenly had a 14-point lead among registered voters on that question.  Really?  Can that be right?

Well, given that other recent polls of registered voters (Economist/Yougov and Reuters/Ipsos) pegged the Democrat edge at 9 and 5 points, probably not.  Then when you consider that the two recent polls on this question that look at “likely voters” (Rasmussen and Grinnell/Selzer) show the Democrat edge barely present at 4 and 2 points, the ABC/WaPo poll becomes a clear outlier.

A real polling organization, when its “sample” (assuming there really was a sample) produces a result so clearly outside of any notion of reasonableness, might be expected to take a second look at things before rushing to publish.  But ABC/WaPo and CNN are not real polling organizations – they are ostensibly “news” organizations, and they unfortunately seem to produce these polls in an effort to manufacture news, not to truly inform the public.

You may remember that ABC/WaPo are also the same two media organizations that dummied up a poll just two weeks prior to Election Day 2016 that pretended to show Hillary Clinton holding a 13-point lead over Donald Trump.  When even the Nate Silvers and New York Times‘s of the world guffawed at that silly result, I predicted what its new margin would be each and every day over the next ten days, and got it on the nose every day but one as the fake poll’s margin very predictably narrowed to within its margin of error the Friday before the votes were cast.  I was able to do that because the poll’s results were pretty clearly tailored to make news, not to accurately gauge the state of the race.

The thing about polls these days is that the legitimate polling organizations continue to struggle with how to actually obtain a decent sample that really is reflective of society at large.  Some of these groups, like Rasmussen, appear to have a pretty good handle on things, and some of them keep monkeying around with their methodologies.  The one disturbing generic congressional ballot poll by a legitimate organization recently is the one by Emerson College last week that arrived at a 13-point edge for the Democrats.

Emerson describes its methodology as follows:

“The sample consisted of registered voters, n=1,000, with a Credibility Interval (CI) similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.2 percentage points. The data was weighted by ethnicity, age, party affiliation, region and mode. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, party breakdown, ethnicity and region carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=500) and an online panel provided by Survey Monkey (n=500).”

Who knows if that convoluted method renders a result that can be trusted?  Then again, after the absurdity of the polling results in 2016, it’s an open question whether any of these poll results really produce anything worth reading, other than providing, on average, some general trend.

Right now, the trends are a) President Trump’s public approval rating is right where it has been throughout this entire year, and b) the Democrats have a modest edge in the generic ballot question, but not a big enough edge that would produce their much-coveted “blue wave” come November.

The Campaign Update told you way back in December that there would be no “blue wave” in this election, and nothing that has happened since that time has changed that general outlook.  Lots can happen in the 8 weeks remaining until Election Day, but the reality is that public attitudes appear to be pretty much set.

All of which means that we should expect the Republicans to pick up somewhere between 2-5 net seats in the U.S. Senate, and the Democrats to gain seats in the House, but not enough to saddle the nation with San Fran Nan as Speaker of the House one more time.

Just another day in just ignore all the fake polls America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Note to Democrats/Media: “If You Ain’t First, You’re Last”

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Remember what Ricky Bobby said:  “If you ain’t first, you’re last.” – The Democrat shills in our fake national news media spent their entire day yesterday trying to convince themselves – and I suppose their audiences, though that was a secondary concern, really – that Republican Troy Balderson’s win in the Ohio congressional district 12 race on Tuesday was actually a “win” for the Democrat Party.

The news fakers at NBC even went so far as to run a web piece hilariously headlined “Democrats are Losing This Race.  And they’re Thrilled About it.”  Their fake newsman Chuck Todd told the giddy Today Show hosts that he thinks the Democrats are going to pick up an additional 40-60 seats in the House.  Holy cow.  Talk about pushing a narrative.

See, because the race was close, and it was in a congressional district that has been held by the GOP for more than 30 years, and Trump won the district in 2016 by 11 points, so that means that a close loss is actually a “win” for the losers.  Get it?  Nevermind that 2016 was obviously a presidential election year and that voter patterns in presidential years are entirely different than in midterm years; nevermind that voter patterns in special elections like this one are also entirely different than voter patterns in regular elections – the media needs something to keep feeding its fake “Blue Wave” narrative, and if a “moral victory” is all they got, that’s what they’ll go with.

Now, what this all really was was an effort to buck up the troops.  Because the reality is that, other than the special election to fill the Alabama Senate seat left open by Attorney General Jeff Sessions way back in December of last year, the Democrats just keep losing these special elections.  This consistent pattern of their beloved Democrats coming up “close, but no cigar” is no doubt causing massive collective depression in news rooms all across America, so the narrative pushers push the “moral victory.”

It’s just like when Georgia Tech loses a close one to Georgia:  Yes, it’s just another loss, but the program needs to give the fans some reason to keep holding out hope that next year will be the year when the coach finally turns things around.  (Hint:  It won’t be.)

Meanwhile, the data and outcomes just refuse to support the narrative.  Chuck Todd obviously hadn’t noticed, but the three most recent generic congressional preference polls are as follows:

Economist/YouGov:  Democrats +3

Rasmussen:  Democrats +4

IBD/TIPP:  EVEN

No matter how one plays with those numbers, they do not add up to a Democrat “Blue Wave” that sweeps them into a new majority in the House of Representatives.

That IBD/TIPP poll, by the way, included a question about whether those being interviewed believe the country is on the “Right Track/Wrong Track”.  It came in at 50% Right Track, 48% Wrong Track, the first national poll on this question since late January 2017 to come in with a positive margin.

The RealClearPolitics average on that polling question is currently -10%, which itself is extremely good for President Trump.  Throughout Barack Obama’s entire second term in office, that question averaged in the -30s or even worse, as the public became increasingly sick of all the corruption and massive regulation brought to them by The One.

Folks, these are not polling numbers that support the notion that a big congressional turnover is coming.  That congressional preference poll average is going to have to be 7% or more in favor of the Democrats for them to pick up enough seats in the House to gain control.  It would have to be in double digits for them to have a real shot at doing the same in the Senate.

The movie “Talladega Nights” was about auto racing, and everyone laughs when Ricky Bobby utters his famous line, “If you ain’t first, you’re last.”  Because, after all, the guys who finish 2nd and 3rd in the average NACAR race still go home with tons of money and a big trophy.

But politics is different, and the guy who finishes 2nd in a special election doesn’t go home with a trophy or a seat in the U.S. House of Representatives.  He just goes home.  In politics, if you’re not first, you really might as well be last, and moral victories are totally for losers.

Just another day in Ricky Bobby’s right America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Democrat Hysteria Over Helsinki Has Failed. New Hysteria Coming Soon.

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Presiding over the fakest news operation on earth turns out to be a high-stress gig. – CNN President Jeff Zucker is taking time off to have heart surgery.

If you watch The View, you should really reconsider your bad life choices. – The Democrat campaign to bully, harass and assault Trump supporters in public venues has now been extended into the realm of TV talk shows.  Appearing with the cackling shrews on The View on Thursday, Fox News host Judge Jeanine Pirro was harassed and bullied by the execrable Whoopi Goldberg while on air, and then assaulted by Goldberg backstage during a commercial break.  You can read all about it here.

Because when you can’t indict anybody real, you indict ham sandwiches.  It’s the DOJ way. – Our oily Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, speaking at the Aspen Institute’s annual gathering of globalist freaks Thursday, defended his and Robert Mueller’s practice of indicting Russian nationals as a way to pretend they’re actually making progress on their Democrat/media invented “Russia Collusion” fantasy.

Ignoring the fact that Mueller’s team was completely unprepared to make even a semblance of a case when one of the indicted Russian entities actually showed up voluntarily for trial back in May, Rosenstein pretended this practice is somehow crucial to our rule of law or something:  “Exposing schemes to the public is an important way to neutralize them,” he said. “The American people have a right to know if foreign governments are targeting them with propaganda.”

That much is true.  But the American people also have a right to know why this special counsel exists in the first place, documents for which Rosenstein has now stonewalled in producing for more than a year now, and whether that special counsel and his band of Clinton/Obama hacks are abusing our legal system, as the judges presiding over the cases of Michael Flynn and the Russian firm Concord Management appear to believe.

But Mueller’s corruption of the process isn’t limited to indicting ham sandwiches – far from it.  Now, he’s in the process of attempting to protect several Clinton/Obama cronies from prosecution by asking a judge to grant them “use” immunity in the case against Paul Manafort.  Fox News host Tucker Carlson confirmed on his program last night that one of those cronies is …wait for it…Tony Podesta, brother of Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta.

Here we should remember that the Mueller case against Manafort involves alleged crimes that supposedly took place long before Donald Trump announced his candidacy in 2015.  Tony Podesta and Manafort worked together for some Ukrainian clients way back in 2012, when some of the alleged crimes supposedly happened.

Thus, Mueller’s thought process here is that if you worked for 60-odd days for Donald Trump in 2016, you get prosecuted, but if you’re a crony of anyone named Clinton or Obama, you get use immunity.

Don’t believe me?  Another name rumored to be on Mueller’s immunity list is…wait for it…John Podesta.

If you were still laboring under the illusion that our country doesn’t have a two-tiered justice system, stop it.  Now.

This is not working out the way the Democrat/Media Axis of Propaganda wanted.  Not at all. – If you’re depressed by the heinously biased coverage of the Trump meeting with Vladimir Putin in Helsinki, don’t be.  A series of new polls taken after Monday’s summit that were issued yesterday have some highly-disappointing results for liberals trying to use the meeting as a hammer against the President of the United States:

  • The new Economist/YouGov poll has Trump’s approval post-Putin Summit at 44%. The last YouGov poll released last week had him at…wait for it….43%.
  • Thursday’s daily Rasmussen Tracking survey had President Trump’s approval rating at 45%, exactly where it was on Sunday, the day before the Helsinki meeting.
  • The new Reuters/Ipsos poll has the President’s approval at 42%.  Last week’s poll from this group had it at 41%
  • A new Gallup poll asked registered voters to pick the “most important problem” facing America today from a list on which “Situation with Russia” was prominently included.  The results left Gallup stunned:  “The percentage of Americans saying ‘Situation with Russia’ is the most important problem is literally too small to represent with a number.”
  • A new Survey Monkey poll has President Trump’s approval rating sitting at 22% among registered Black voters, and 38% among registered Hispanic voters.  I don’t believe I’ve ever seen any GOP POTUS with that high a rating among Blacks, and only GW Bush rivaled that rating among Hispanics.

To be clear: If Donald Trump were to win as much as even 15% of the Black vote and 30% of the Hispanic vote in 2020, he’d win 45 states and kill the Democrat Party even deader than it already is for a generation.

So if you’ve been wondering why, starting early on Thursday, Democrats and their coordinating media agents began to slowly walk back all of their “Trump committed TREASON!!!!!” hysteria, this is why.  The Democrats never believed it was true, they thought it would poll well, it isn’t polling well, so they’re dropping it.

Expect the Axis of Propaganda to either go back to their “But the Babies!!!!!!” border hysteria, dig up a new porn star to obsess about, or invent something entirely new to keep their irrational, ignorant voter base whipped up with starting today.  Because this is all they got, and it’s only going to get worse.

Just another day in Trump Derangement Syndrome America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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It Was a Big Fake News Weekend for America’s Fake News Media

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Tired of all this Winning yet? – Three new polls were released this past week showing that, despite the ongoing anti-Republican onslaught by the fake news media, the generic congressional preference measure leading into the mid-term elections continues to narrow.  On Sunday, Fox News released its new Opinion Dynamics poll, which shows the measure narrowing from a 15 percent Democrat advantage in November to just 5 percent today.  Marist also released its latest survey, which also pegs the Democrat edge at 5 percent.  A couple of days earlier, Reuters/Ipsos said its newest data shows the Democrat lead down to just 3 percent.

Make no mistake about it:  The Democrats do currently have a real advantage in voter enthusiasm, and we see evidence of that every day.  That edge is likely higher today than it was a week ago in the wake of the GOP congress’s passage of that horrific Omnibus bill on Friday.  But more than 6 months remain until Election Day, so President Donald Trump and the GOP have plenty of time to create some voter enthusiasm on their side as well.

President Trump has repeatedly proven himself to be capable of doing that.  The rest of the GOP?  Not so much.  Still, if we are still seeing congressional preference polls with such narrow margins come November, Democrats will find themselves disappointed yet again when the vote counts start coming in.

Yeah, so, who’s counting? – Speaking of Democrat voter drive opportunities, the “March for our Lives” rallies took place on Saturday, and the fake news media did all it could to glorify all who took part in them, and vilify all who did not.  Because, after all, that’s what today’s fake journalists get paid to do.

Immediately after the rally in Washington, D.C. had concluded, fake news media outlets breathlessly reported the attendance to have been as high as 800,000, which, if accurate, would have made it the largest such rally in D.C. history.  Organizers of the event had been a little more conservative in their estimates of the crowd size, pegging it more in the range of 500,000 to 600,000, which would still be a record for those who are keeping score at home.

Unfortunately for everyone, an independent, non-political firm out of Virginia begs to differ with those estimates.  Digital Design & Imaging Service, which uses flyover imaging of such crowds as the basis for forming its calculations, told CBS News that the turnout for the event was more in the range of 200,000 at its early-afternoon peak.

That’s still a big bunch of people, and wasn’t it just great seeing all those teenagers exercising their constitutionally-guaranteed freedom to protest against…um….well, ok, they were protesting against their constitutionally-guaranteed freedoms.

Meanwhile, Broward County Sheriff Scott Israel, whose gross incompetence and shameful grasping for money led directly to the tragic school killings that germinated Saturday’s protest marches, still has a job.  As always seems to be the case when abject failures by leftwing government officials lead to tragedy, no one who was really responsible is being held accountable.  The fact that Israel still has his job more than a month after the atrocity that his negligence caused is an insult to every American.

Facebook is losing favor with the public, according to opinion polls in the U.S. and Germany published over the weekend.  The only question I have is, why?

Of all the fake scandals made up by our fake news media hacks at CNN and elsewhere, this ongoing attack on Facebook may well be the fakest of them all.  There is literally nothing new in what Facebook is being accused of having done in its unethical sharing of user data with the Cambridge Analytica firm.  Nothing.  Not one damn thing.

Facebook has been unethically sharing its user data with all manner of firms and political campaigns pretty much since its inception.  Numerous former Obama campaign officials have now publicly stated that they had exactly the same access to your Facebook data during the 2008 and 2012 campaigns.  The fake media knew about this, even reported on it, and there was no scandal about it.

The only difference today is that Cambridge Analytica temporarily did work for the Trump Campaign, an unforgivable act of evil in the collective hive mind of the fake journalist fake profession.  Thus, Facebook, whose own evil minions worked as hard as they could possibly work to tilt the 2016 election in favor of Hillary Rotten Clinton, has suddenly become the fake media’s favorite whipping boy.

The truth about this fake scandal is that, had Cambridge Analytica done work for the Clinton Campaign, none of you would have ever heard of them.  There is no scandal here, there is only fake news at its very worst.  Far be it from me to want to defend the sleazebags who run the Facebook scam, but this episode really has taken the practice of fake news to a whole new level of fakery.

Just another day in fake news America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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