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Crude And LNG Export Facilities Work To Solve Bottlenecks Before They Can Start

Several recent big items of positive news relating to exports of oil and LNG along the Texas Gulf Coast might come just in time to help allay fears of new, downstream bottlenecks for production coming out of the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford Shale plays.

The current bottleneck, of course, involves a lack of needed pipeline takeaway capacity for oil and gas coming out of the Permian Basin. But a dozen or more pipeline expansions and new-build projects currently in progress promise to quickly alleviate that situation during the course of 2019 and 2020. The vast majority of takeaway capacity in these projects will be designed to move the production to ports along the Texas and Louisiana Gulf Coast, with several of the lines picking up crude and natural gas produced in the Eagle Ford along the way.

This outlook has in recent weeks produced a new concern that, as those new pipelines get filled up with more and more volumes coming out of West and South Texas, new bottlenecks could materialize related to the capacity along the Gulf Coast to refine and export the production. Several recent developments in the Corpus Christi area hold the promise of heading the potential new bottlenecks off before the can form.

Where natural gas is concerned, Cheniere Energy this week was able to load its first shipment of LNG out of its new Corpus Christi LNG terminal . The Maria Energy tanker, which has a capacity of 174,000 cubic meters of LNG, left the terminal with a full load on December 11, the first load of LNG to ever ship out of a Texas-based facility. “Exporting the first commissioning cargo of LNG from Texas demonstrates Cheniere’s ability to deliver projects safely and ahead of schedule, including the first greenfield LNG export facility in the lower 48 states,” Cheniere chief executive Jack Fusco said.

Read the Rest Here

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Swalwell 2020: Nuking Gun Owners For Peace

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, who is Marianne Williamson? –  I honestly have no idea who this person is, but the newsfakers at Politico think it is news that a person named Marianne Williamson is running for the Democrat Party’s presidential nomination in 2020.  According to Politico, she is a “spiritualist” – whatever that means – who ran an independent campaign for a California congressional seat in 2014, and failed. That race was won by Ted Lieu, one of the most despicable Democrats in today’s congress, so maybe we should be wishing she had won instead. She certainly could not be any worse.

Williamson’s main claim to legitimacy in the political arena appears to be that she is a “pal of Oprah Winfrey.”  Given that the two high-profile Democrat candidates Oprah campaigned for this year – Florida’s Andrew Gillum and Georgia’s Stacey Abrams – have been declared loooooooooosers in their gubernatorial races over the last 24 hours, it’s hard to see what value the Oprah seal of approval really has any more.

But hey, in case you’re interested and have actually heard of Marianne Williamson, she’s running. There you go.

Speaking of despicable California congressmen, Eric Swalwell did this on Friday:

Yes, all you gun owners out there, Democrat Rep. Swalwell responded to a guy on Twitter who said that the government would have to kill him to take his guns away by assuring the guy that the government would indeed kill him, with nukes. This promise to nuke gun owners will no doubt play extremely well with the demented Democrat base voters and dramatically enhance Swalwell’s chances in his 2020 presidential run.

Can’t wait to get me one of them “Swalwell 2020:  Nuke ’em for Peace!” bumper stickers.

Holy crap. You seriously cannot make this stuff up.

And since we’re speaking of despicable Democrat politicians… – The aforementioned Oprah acolyte Stacey Abrams “halted” her Georgia gubernatorial run on Friday, but made it clear she would never “concede” the race to the actual winner, Republican Brian Kemp.

In keeping with the Democrat Party’s 25-year campaign to declare every Republican win to be somehow illegitimate, Abrams blamed her loss not on the fact that she received more than 50,000 fewer votes than her opponent, but on “voter suppression”, which is her way of saying all Republicans are racists and she only lost because of their racism, or something. Because of course she did.

No, Texas is not turning blue anytime soon. – We’ve seen a lot of elections “experts”, i.e., liberals in the fake news media, offering sage analyses of the Texas election results and coming up with the conclusion that the state of Texas is going to turn blue as soon as 2020.

Let me assure you, as a 7th generation Texan, that ain’t gonna happen.

Yes, the Democrat Party made gains in Texas in the 2018 elections. The Dems flipped two congressional seats, 2 state senate seats and a dozen seats in the state’s house of representatives. It’s a BLUE WAAAAAAAVE, right?  Um, no, not really.

What those results mean is that the Texas congressional delegation is now 23 Rs and 13 Ds. The Rs will hold a 19-12 edge in the state senate, and 83 of the 150 seats in the state house.

Oh, and here’s the other thing all these “experts” fail to mention:  The Republicans won every statewide election held this year. Every one of them, from the governor’s office all the way down to the land office race. Yes, the winning margins were closer than they have been in the past 5 election cycles, but let’s think about why that happened.

I can explain the majority of it in two words:  Beto O’Rourke. His race against Ted Cruz was the first race on everyone’s ballot this year. O’Rourke, thanks to a flood of money from Hollywood and New York, was able to pour about $80 million into that race, outspending Cruz by a factor of about 3 to 1. Just above the senate race on the ballot was the option to vote straight Republican or straight Democrat tickets.

O’Rourke ran a mostly-positive campaign that excited a lot of voters in Texas. And thousands of those voters, perhaps hundreds of thousands of them, who might have otherwise voted for many Republicans, expressed their excitement for Irish Bob O’Rourke and saved a bunch of time by simply marking the box for the straight Democrat ticket.

There is simply no question that the ability to pour such a gargantuan amount of money into a single statewide race heavily influenced every race down the ballot. If you think the Republicans in Texas are going to get caught flat-footed in the money race again in 2020 or subsequent election cycles, you are going to be highly disappointed when those years come around.

I first started working Texas politics in 1996, two years after George W. Bush had become governor by defeating Ann Richards. At that time, all the “wise people” in Austin, all the analysts and lobbyists and reporters, assured me that this Republican thing was just a temporary aberration and that the Democrats would sweep back into power in the 1998 elections.  Instead, the Rs won every statewide office and took control of the state’s house of representatives and senate.

After that election, all these “wise people” kept assuring me that by 2002 or 2004, the state’s growing community of Hispanic voters would sweep the Democrats back into power. Here it is 2018, and it’s now a quarter of a century since any Dem won a statewide election in Texas.  Why?  Because the Republicans keep getting a higher and higher percentage of Hispanic votes as more and more Hispanics move up into the middle and upper classes of society. Republican candidates in this year’s election also saw a significant gain in their percentage of black voters.

Now, there is no doubt Texas Republicans have some work to do, especially with suburban and rural women, where they saw significant erosion of support in this year’s voting. Some of that is the Beto effect, but you sure can’t blame it all on that.

That is where the narrowing of the GOP majorities in both houses of the legislature could turn out to be a blessing in disguise, because those smaller margins are likely to force Republican leaders to focus on the state’s economic and budget matters in the upcoming legislative session, and leave all the social issues that tend to turn off those women voters on the sidelines.

In any event, any Democrat thinking they can just chalk up Texas’s mass of electoral votes to their party’s candidate for the presidency in 2020 or even in 2024 is just whistling past the graveyard.

That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Pro Tips for Election Night Results-Watching

The Evening Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[I will be live-blogging the mid-term election results here starting at 6:00 p.m. Central Time Tuesday.  Please join me in the comments section for tons of fun as the results either make me look like the smartest guy on the planet or a damn fool.  Could go either way.]

Some pro tips for Election Night Results-Watching:

  • We may have a very good idea on how the House balance of power will end up fairly early in the evening. – A large number of the “tossup” seats in this election are in closely-divided districts in Florida, Virginia, New York and Pennsylvania, all in the Eastern time zone.  So, by 8 p.m. Central Time, we should have a pretty good idea of what the trend in those districts is, or if there is no trend at all.
  • There aren’t many other key House districts in the Central or Mountain time zones. – Once you get out of the states on the Eastern Seaboard, you only have a handful of key House districts until you get to California, where the Democrats are heavily contesting 10 remaining GOP-held seats.  If the Ds haven’t clinched the majority in the House by the time polls close in California, it’s going to be a long night.  If they have, the state loses its importance in the grand scheme of things, though it will still be interesting to see if Rs like Dana Rohrabacher can hang in there for one more term in office.
  • If the House goes early, the Senate probably will, too. – Here is where Florida is such a key.  The Republicans are going to end up at least 60,000 votes ahead of 2016 in the early voting results.  Trump won Florida by 117,000 votes in 2016, so if you add 60,000 to that, you get a fairly high hill for incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson to climb in his run for re-election against sitting GOP Governor Rick Scott.  If we see Scott losing this race by, say, 5% or more when the early returns come in, then that will likely mean it’s going to be along night for the GOP.  If we see Scott keeping it closer than that in the early returns, that means good news for Republicans is probably going to be coming in all night long.
  • Georgia’s governor’s race is also key. – This race shouldn’t be as close as the polls claim it is.  If the early returns show a neck-and-neck race here, then you can probably expect a pretty late night overall.
  • Don’t be surprised if Irish Bob O’Rourke leads Ted Cruz early in Texas. – The major metro areas in Texas lean Democrat as a whole, and their returns always come in earlier than the rural counties.  Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump by ~160,000 votes when the early voting was reported at 7:00 by the Secretary of State’s office.  But then the rural counties started to come in and that more than reversed.  In total, rural Texas went for Trump by more than 1 million votes in 2016.  Expect to see a similar dynamic in this race.
  • Ignore leaked “exit polls.” – At some point around mid-day, one more more major media outlets will report on “leaked” exit poll information showing Democrats well ahead and moving towards their long-coveted “blue wave.”  Ignore those reports.  First of all, these “exit polls” are commissioned by those same damn media outlets, and the “leaks” are designed to depress GOP turnout on Election Day.  They’ve been playing this despicable game since 2000.  The good news is, it never works.
  • It’s Ok to watch CNN. – Aside from the obvious benefits of seeing all the long faces over there if the Republicans have a good night, John King was actually much better and more even-handed at reporting on results and trends than anyone else on Election Night 2016.  Fox News was actually the worst place to be on Election Night 2016, as they focused far more on giving everyone with a contributor contract time to weigh in on stuff they know nothing about than on actually reporting on election results.  Thus, Fox News was among the last to recognize the reality that Trump was actually about to win.
  • Whenever Juan Williams or Shep Smith appear on your TV screen, change channels. – Trust me, it’s better for your blood pressure.
  • Pace yourself on your favorite beverage. – Don’t hit the juice too hard early, because it could be a long night, just like 2016.  And don’t break out the champagne too early like all the Democrats did two years ago – it’ll go flat in just a few hours, and that’s never good.

Personally, I’ll be drinking Tito’s and Topo Chico with a twist of lime and a couple of cubes of sugared ginger root – my own personal Texas Mule recipe.  If Florida goes bad early, that’ll probably start showing up in my updates around 8:30 Central Time.

Be careful out there.

That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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To Donald Trump, it’s all About America

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, of course she did. – Bad comic Amy Schumer – niece of Chuck Schumer – held a press conference in which she announced all the Democrat candidates who she, in her infinite wisdom, wants everyone else to vote for.  Almost as an afterthought, she also announced she was pregnant.  We all have our priorities in life, and these are hers.

America’s Biggest Mistake suddenly reappears on the campaign trail, and boy is it rich. – Barack Hussein Obama – who had mysteriously disappeared from the campaign trail after making a big announcement promising to campaign all over the country back in early September – suddenly materialized before a mediocre audience out in Las Vegas.  There, in a 38-minute TelePrompter speech in which he referred to his own self 92 times, he also had this to say:

No word if he then went on to say “If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor. If you like your plan, you can keep your plan. Those manufacturing jobs are never coming back. I didn’t know anything about Uranium One.  I found out about Hillary’s private server when everyone else did. Same thing with all that gun-running Eric Holder was doing down in Mexico. You can’t just wave a magic wand and get 3 percent growth…”, but it seems pretty likely.

Why you should be following @GDBlackmon on Twitter, part 5,351 – 

Is that mean-spirited?  Yeah, I guess.  But we put up with waaaayyyyy too much BS in this society, and it’s time to start walking some of it back.

And speaking of walking things back… – The newsfakers at NBCNews continued the steady walking-back of their year-long “Blue Wave!!!!!” fantasy with a Monday article headlined “Republicans Out-pacing Democrats in Early Voting in Key States, NBC News Finds.”  Wow, who knew?

The piece looks at early voting numbers from Texas, Florida, Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Montana, Indiana and Georgia.  In every state but Nevada, Republican-affiliated voters lead in the preliminary mail-in and early in-person voting totals.  Republicans usually lead in mail-in ballots in most states, but do not normally lead in early in-person voting in some of the states studied.

In this particular analysis, the most crucial states to keep watching are Nevada, where Republican Dean Heller is really the lone GOP incumbent senator in trouble this time around, and in Florida, Montana and Indiana, where it is somewhat unusual for Republicans to be leading in these early totals.  If these leads continue, the Democrat incumbents in those states are in a ton of trouble given that Republicans will dominate the turnout on Election Day itself.

Man, nobody could have seen that one coming…oh, wait…

Monday was another bad day for our favorite Creepy Porn Lawyer. – A judge in California has ordered the Creepy Porn Lawyer to pay $4.85 million that he has owed his law partners for several years while living an extravagant lifestyle.  Other reports indicate that CPL was recently evicted from his Los Angeles law offices in relation to the dispute.  The Daily Beast also reported last week that CPL owes $1.2 million in back taxes to the federal government.  Hey, how come CPL doesn’t have his own GoFundMe account?  Surely all those liberal suckers who gave millions to Stormy Daniels and Christine Ford would pony up for their Creepy Porn hero too?

Oh, hey, and President Donald Trump (I never tire of typing those three blessed words) was in Houston last night! – Boy, was it epic.  You had 19,000 people sitting or standing inside the Toyota Center, and another 19,000 or so watching the event on huge video screens that had been set up outside the arena.  Below is a shot of a portion of the huge crowd that had gathered on the Downtown Houston streets by mid-afternoon:

The President was there stumping on behalf of the guy he used to call “Lyin’ Ted Cruz.”  Before he even left Washington D.C. Monday afternoon, Mr. Trump set the White House fake press corps into a frenzied set of the vapors, telling them as he boarded Marine One that  “He’s not Lyin’ Ted anymore. He’s Beautiful Ted. I call him Texas Ted.”  Much tsk-tsking and tut-tutting immediately materialized on the Twitter accounts of fake journalists all over Washington and New York.

The newsfakers at CNN were further scandalized when the President embraced the fact that he is an American nationalist, saying:

“A globalist is a person that wants the globe to do well, frankly not caring about the country so much. You know, we can’t have that,” Trump said, prompting boos from the crowd.  “You know what I am, I’m a nationalist,” he added, as the crowd erupted in “USA! USA!” chants. “Use that word.”

Millions of Americans in Texas and all over the rest of Flyover Country heard that and said, “Hey, #MeToo!” But of course, the leftwingers in the Democrat Party and our fake news media have spent the last 25 years turning the term “nationalist” into a political cussword, so they’re all in a fury about it this morning.

The Houston Chronicle noted that “Trump acknowledged that he and Cruz ‘had our little difficulties’ and ‘it got nasty’ during the 2016 Republican presidential primary, when Trump called Cruz ‘Lyin’ Ted.’ But he commended Cruz for doing a ‘beautiful job staring down an angry left-wing mob’ during the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh,” all of which is absolutely true, but we can be sure that a bunch of leftist “fact-checkers” in the Texas and national news media will determine it isn’t.  Because that’s what our fake news media does to this President.

In the end, having both America’s Biggest Mistake and President Donald Trump book-ending the political day served as a perfect object lesson about why our country is so blessed to have Trump as Obama’s successor: While Obama’s speech was filled with “I” and “me” and carefully read off of a TelePrompter, Trump’s speech was all about “we”, and largely extemporaneous.

For Obama, everything was always all about him. For Trump, it’s all about America.

What else do we really need to know?

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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I Am Shocked – Shocked! – To Learn of Democrat Voter Fraud Happening in Texas!

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Texas Democrats everywhere are wondering why this is a problem as they write down names off of tombstones to get them registered, too.  – The Texas Democrat Party has allegedly been sending out voter registration cards to illegal immigrants with the citizenship box already checked “yes”, according to multiple complaints filed with the Texas Secretary of State’s office.

Even better, according to the report in the Washington Times, “The applications were pre-addressed to elections officials, which is likely what left many voters to believe they were receiving an official communication from the state.  But the return address was from the State Democratic Executive Committee, and listed an address in Austin that matches the state Democratic Party’s headquarters.”

Anyone who thinks this is anything unusual in Texas has never lived in Texas.  Were it not for this kind of Democrat-organized voter fraud effort, Lyndon Johnson would have never been anything more than a teacher at some backwater school in the Texas Hill Country.

And hey, it’s not limited to illegal aliens in the state – it’s a Democrat tradition to go after all the dead voters, too, because, after all, there are no dead Republicans in Texas.  “Sam Taylor, spokesman for Texas’s secretary of state, said they heard from people whose relatives were receiving mail despite having passed away 10 years ago or longer. One woman said her child, who’d been dead 19 years, got a mailing asking to register.”

Texas Governor Greg Abbott said he would order an investigation, and “If true there will be serious consequences,” but Texans have heard such promises from Texas governors going all the way back to the 1948 senate race between LBJ and Coke Stevenson and the infamous “Box 13” incident, and seldom seen any real results.  This is just what Democrats do down here – they believe they’re entitled.

Speaking of entitled Democrats… – Irish Bob O’Rourke was given an hour of free air time by CNN last night, because with CNN’s ratings, all the air time might as well be free these days. More people were watching re-runs of SpongeBob SquarePants than tuned into see the fawning CNN fake journalists pepper Irish Bob with Nerf ball questions like “Why are you so darn handsome?”, and “We know you aren’t really Hispanic, but you would be if you could, right?”  Ok, I just made those up, but the actual questions weren’t any harder.

Next Monday, President Trump will be in Houston doing a rally for Ted Cruz.  That’ll be shown on Fox News, where a 300% larger audience tunes in each night.

You do have to give Irish Bob credit, though: He has the most tireless fundraising machine ever seen in Texas politics.  My poor little wifey received no fewer than six fundraising calls from his campaign yesterday alone, every one of them from a different number.  They quit calling me a month ago after I told one of them to “kiss my a**”.

This guy has raised more than $60 million in a Texas senate race, where winning candidates of the past have spent less than $20 million, and he still wants more.  No wonder all those other losing Democrat senate candidates are angry at him for refusing to share the wealth a little bit.  After all, the Democrats are openly admitting they are the Socialist party now after decades of pretending not to be, so a little redistribution of the wealth and control of the means of production seems to be in order here. But Irish Bob is having none of it – the money is his, all his.

He’s entitled.

But…but…but…we have been assured by our fake news media that this is not happening! – The Associated Press, believe it or not, is actually reporting on the fact that a South African city is openly seizing land from private landowners with zero compensation in what is being called a “national test case” for adopting land seizures as a formal national policy.

The city council of Ekurhuleni – which, with 4 million people is the size of Houston – voted to move ahead with the stealing of hundreds of acres of land without compensating the landowners in what the AP refers to as a “legal tool that the ruling African National Congress says is necessary to correct the historic injustices of apartheid and distribute land more equitably.”

In other words, the landowners are white, and those seizing the land are black, which is why our fake news media has refused to cover the story.  This has in fact been going on for years in more rural areas of the country, with many landowners being murdered in the process, but suddenly the AP wakes up and decides, I guess, that because it is happening in one of South Africa’s larger cities, it is worth covering.

Journalism is truly a dead profession in this country.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Beto O’Rourke ‘Fully Supports the Second Amendment’ and Other Obvious Lies

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

All the BetoMania SJWs and snowflakes be all like “Say whaaaaaaattttt?”. – In their debate on the SMU campus Friday night, Texas Senator Ted Cruz forced gun-grabbing Democrat challenger Irish Bob O’Rourke into saying, multiple times, that “I fully support the second amendment.”  No word if the all-abortion, all-the-time Congressman from El Paso also now claims to somehow be “pro-life”, but it would be an equally honest statement.

Hooboy.

 

11/9 appears to be roughly its box office gross. – Michael Moore’s new Trump-bashing film, stupidly titled “Fahrenheit 11/9” is tanking at the box office.  Man, nobody could have seen that one coming.

 

A little Twitter Truth here…

And another bit of Twitter truth from my own Twitter feed (which each and every one of you should be following, by the way, dammit)…

 

And hey, if you followed me on Twitter (@GDBlackmon), you’d get to enjoy witty, sexy banter like this on a daily basis:

Ok, back to business.

 

Next time some nitwit tries to tell you Donald Trump is not popular, whip this out:

Now, think about this:  This is how you know that all the media reports about how Trump’s base voters are all discouraged and probably not going to come out to vote on November 6 are nothing more than fake news media wishful thinking.

That line in Missouri last night was no fluke, not an exception to the rule.  In all, police estimated that more than 20,000 people had lined up to try to get into the 11,000 seat arena.  The fact is that, just like during the 2016 election campaign, the President’s rallies all draw far more people wanting to get into the event than the venues will hold.  All of them.  Without exception.

If these people are going to come out at 5:30 in the morning to stand in line hoping to get into a rally that starts 14 hours later, do you really think they are going to hesitate to go out and stand in line for maybe 5 minutes at their local polling station on November 6?  Please.

But it gets even better.  CNN’s Kaitlan Collins had to be terrified to learn what she put into this tweet:

Ok, but Ms. Collins’ employer wants you all to think that that guy, the guy who waited in line for 22 hours in the drizzle to get a glimpse of the President of the United States is going to just sit at home on Election Day despite that same POTUS urging him to get out and vote.  Yyyyyeeeaaaahhhh, no.  That’s not going to happen.

You want to know what else is not going to happen on Election Day, 2018?  A Blue Wave.  Bank it.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Democrat/Media’s ‘Blue Wave’ Crashes on the Shoals of Texas Reality

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

But…but…but…BLUE WAVE!!!!…or…or something… – Just as Beto Mania and We’re Turnin’ Texas Purple Fever began to really kick into high gear, that inconvenient thing called “harsh reality” jumped up and slapped Democrats and their fake news media press agents in their collective ugly face in Texas on Tuesday.

The first event early in the day came in the form of a new poll from Quinnipiac, showing Governor Greg Abbott holding a 19-point lead over his poor, un-funded, out-of-her-depth Democrat opponent, Lupe Valdez, and coming up with a 9-point lead for Ted Cruz over Irish Bob O’Rourke, who likes to call himself “Beto” in order to try to attract Hispanic voters.  While this poll is probably no more useful than any of those that came before, it did at least survey “likely” Texas voters, and provides one data point indicating the race is moving into a more normal paradigm as Election Day approaches and Cruz. after basically ceding the playing field to his opponent during the first 9 months of the year, actually begins to campaign in earnest.

For those of you still thinking “But Beto’s soooooo cute!  Beto cusses a lot so Millenials will rush to the polls to vote for him!  Beto’s just like a Kennedy!  Beto can stillllllll wiiiiiinnnnnnnn!!!!”, think about this:  While some polls taken in this race this year have indicated that it might be close, not a single one of them has resulted in a lead for Irish Bob.  Not one.  Even an August poll that absurdly used a sample containing an even percentage of Republican and Democrat voters showed Cruz with a narrow lead.

If this race were really all that close – like the Senate races in Missouri or Florida, for example – you would have polls alternately showing Cruz and Irish Bob with leads.  That hasn’t happened because this race really isn’t close.  It’s a 10-12 point election in favor of Ted Cruz – always has been, and will be in the end.

The second event that threw Texas Democrats into fits of despair was the runoff election in Texas Senate District 19, in which long-time Democrat state legislator Pete Gallego squared off against Republican Pete Flores in the race to replace former Democrat Sen. Carlos Uresti, who was sentenced to prison in a fraud case earlier in the year.  Given that the race was in a heavily-Democrat district, a district that The Pantsuit Princess won by 12 points in 2016, and featured a seasoned veteran as the Democrat candidate, Texas Democrats assumed they’d be able to hold the seat.

Uh, no.  The voters in District 19 decided they’d had enough Democrat representation for awhile, and Flores walked off with a surprisingly easy 6-point victory.  For Texans, it is important to note that the pickup of this seat most likely means that the GOP will control a true super-majority in the Texas state senate when the legislature convenes in January for the first time in, well, forever.  Texas isn’t turning “purple” in 2018 – it’s most likely going to end up turning even more “red.”

God Bless Texas.

The Kavanaugh accuser is clearly lying, and it shows. – How do we now know for certain sure that Christina Ford is lying about her accusations against Brett Kavanaugh?  Let us count the ways:

  • She’s now refusing to show up on Monday to tell her tale of a 36-year-ago sexual assault that really wasn’t a sexual assault at all to the Senate Judiciary Committee;
  • She’s absurdly demanding the FBI conduct an investigation into a 36-year-ago event for which, even if it is a thing, the statute of limitations ran out at least 29 years ago, and for which literally the only “evidence” is her claim.  Any FBI agent can perform all the “investigation” necessary by simply reading the Washington Post;
  • She makes this ludicrous demand safe in the knowledge that a) the FBI doesn’t have jurisdiction in the case in any event, and b) the FBI has already announced it won’t be investigating anything because, hey, IT DOESN’T HAVE JURISDICTION IN THIS CASE;
  • Sen. Dianne Feinstein, the despicable, corrupt creep who initially served as Ford’s sponsor in this transparent attempt to delay or derail the nomination, started crawfishing late yesterday, telling reporters that she “can’t be sure everything is true.  I just don’t know.”  This is creepy politician-speak for “She’s lying; I know she’s lying, so I’m going to start slowly backing away from her and pretending I really had nothing to do with any of this in order to cover my own butt.”

Naturally, Ford’s lawyer rolled out the obligatory “she’s been getting death threats” claim as her client’s story was falling apart yesterday in a desperate effort to curry favor with the news media and the public.  This is something like Page 72, paragraph 3 of the Democrat/fake news media Saul Alinsky Memorial Playbook, and was so predictable you just have to look on in wonder at the fact that some people are still stupid enough to buy it.

Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley and Majority Leader Mitch McConnell finally started to grow some huevos late in the day as their indignation at this spectacle grew, with both men holding firm to next Monday as Ford’s one and only shot at coming forward to make her transparently false claims under oath and possible penalty of perjury.  But it’s a long way until Monday, and the Democrats and fake news media will continue to pound for further delay day after day until then.  We’ll just have to wait and see if these gents can hold firm in the face of all of that, and there is literally no reason at all to believe they will, based on past performance and the fact that they continue to take their communications advice from the very same firms that advise all these creepy, corrupt Democrats.

What will most likely happen will be for Ms. Ford to go onto several of the Sunday morning talk shows – avoiding Fox News Sunday like the plague, of course – where she can be sure she will only be asked easy, softball questions by reliable Democrat toadies like George Stephanopoulos, Chuck Todd and Jake Tapper.  Most importantly, she won’t have to answer questions under oath or thus face potential perjury charges. ABC, CNN and NBC will no doubt the thrilled to serve as her vehicles in this endeavor because, hey, this is what they do for leftwing activists like Ms. Ford.

The most intelligent course for McConnell and Grassley will be to just realize nothing they do will appease the fake news media, which will pummel them regardless.  So they might as well just hold firm to Monday’s date, give Ford until noon Friday to accept the offer, and cancel the hearing if she refuses to accept.  That’s a more than fair process, and will pretty clearly demonstrate to any fair-minded individual that Ford should be disregarded if she isn’t willing to participate in it.

After that, hold the damn vote and get the man confirmed.  Stop letting the senate minority and our fake national news media hold this country hostage.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Our Public Opinion Polls are Still as Awful as They Were in 2016

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Why we should all stop paying attention to the polls. – In Florida’s GOP primaries, numerous polling groups conducted polls of the governor’s race over the past few months. The RealClearPolitics average of all the most recent polls pegged the race at a 6.7% advantage for Ron DeSantis, who was endorsed by President Trump.

The final result? DeSantis wins by a whopping 20% of the vote.  None of the polls taken in the race had DeSantis pulling more than 41% of the overall vote.  He actually won 56%.

In addition to all of that, barely two months ago, a poll commissioned by Fox News showed DeSantis trailing the other major candidate in the race, Adam Putnam, by 15%.  So the people at Fox are trying to convince us that this race turned around by 37 points in a little over 60 days.  Sure it did.

Stop worrying about polls. They are no better this year than they were in 2016. Most of them are conducted using awful methodologies and absurd samples for the purposes of a) creating fake news stories; b) generating clicks to the web pages of the entities sponsoring or conducting the poll; and c) attempting to influence public opinion.

The race between incumbent Senator Ted Cruz and Democrat challenger Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke in Texas is another great example of why many of these polls really don’t give us a shred of reliable information.  A recent poll in that race, sponsored by the Texas Lyceum, showed the contest actually in almost a dead heat, with Cruz polling 41% support to O’Rourke’s 39%.

Wow.  Shocker, right?  I mean, Texas is a state in which no Democrat has actually won a statewide election in a quarter of a century, a state won pretty easily by Donald Trump in 2016, one in which Democrat statewide candidates had trouble finishing within 20% of their GOP opponents in the last statewide elections in 2014.  So a win by O’Rourke, a man of Irish descent who is attempting to convince Texas’s Hispanic voters that he is one of them with his hip nickname, and Millenials that he is one of them by doing lots of cursing in his campaign events, would be a huge upset.

The Lyceum poll’s snapshot of a dead heat race appeared to gain some support with last week’s release of a poll from Emerson College showing the Cruz lead down to just 1%, at 39-38.  Again, wow, if only it were true.

The problems with these polls are numerous, however.  The Lyceum poll’s sample is fairly large at 1,178, but 27% of those polled aren’t registered to vote, and just 27% of respondents said they were “extremely interested” in the campaign.  All of which means this poll tells us pretty much nothing at all about what might actually happen at the polling places in Texas in November.

But it gets worse.  It turns out that the people who conducted this poll chose to pretend that Texas – a state in which no Democrat has won a statewide race since 1994 – is a dead even state in terms of party identification, choosing to question 39% Democrats, 39% Republicans and 22% Independents.  Now, based on past voting patterns, these percentages should really look more like 44% Republican, 30% Democrat and 26% Independent.  Something close to that, anyway.

All other aspects of this poll being equal, the choosing of a sample truly representative of the Texas adult population would probably have ended up showing Cruz with a lead of 8-10%.  Focusing the sample on likely voters most likely would have increased Cruz’s polling margin, given the historic disparity in party voter turnout patterns in Texas in recent elections.

The Emerson College poll is equally problematic.  While it does focus on registered voters, the sample size consists of just 550 people in a state with a wildly diverse population of 25 million or so. The number of different ethnic groups living in the city of Houston alone probably exceeds the total sample surveyed by this poll.

To make matters worse, party identification breakdown for the poll is impossible to discover.  It may be out there somewhere, but if so, it is extremely well-hidden.  One distressing result of the hilariously inaccurate polling outcomes of the 2016 elections has been a trend of these polling entities being reluctant to publish full, accurate details about the nature of their samples.

Increasingly, polling entities like Emerson do their best to avoid revealing key factors like party ID breakouts to the public.  This is the case with another recent poll in the Cruz/O’Rourke race – the NBC/Marist poll – which shows Cruz’s lead at 4%, but doesn’t really inform us how it got there.

What does that tell us?  It tells us that these polling companies, universities and sponsoring media outlets have little, if any, confidence in their polling methods in today’s rapidly changing society.  Rather than simply be honest and clearly inform the public of that reality, they hide aspects of their methodologies in order to minimize criticism.

Is the race between Cruz and O’Rourke fairly close at this point, with Cruz’s lead at least within single digits?  Yes, probably.  Irish Beto has thus far benefitted from the love affair he’s engaged in with the Texas and national news media, and the fact that most of the Texas population has little idea who he is or knowledge of his radical leftist policy views.  A fear of ending that knowledge gap is probably why Mr. Beto suddenly backed out of his scheduled debate with Sen. Cruz this Friday.  No use spilling those troublesome beans to the voters before he absolutely has to.

But is this a 1 or 2 point race, as these two highly problematic polls attempt to indicate?  Not bloody likely.  What these two polls really tell us is the same thing the disparity between the polls and the actual outcome of the race in Florida tells us:  We should all stop paying attention to these polls.

Just another day in the public opinion polls are a sad joke America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Democrats’ Fading “Rising Star” and NBC’s Sleepy Chuck Todd

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Tired of all this Winning yet? – Hey, I’m old enough to remember last week, when every fake journalist in Texas and America was telling us that Texas senate candidate Robert “Beto” O’Rourke, an Irish guy who represents a largely-Hispanic congressional district (thus the ‘nickname’), was the Democrat Party’s “rising star” who was going to whip Ted Cruz in the general election this coming November.  Yeah, that was just another bit of fake news fed to all the fake reporters by the Democrats, who are desperate to pretend they have momentum and are about to have a “blue wave” election this Fall.

Even the increasingly disgusting leftwingers who infest the increasingly fake-newsy The Hill these days are facing up to reality now, with a new narrative on Irish Beto titled “O’Rourke faces uphill battle against Cruz after lackluster primary win”.  This comes after Irish Beto only managed to pull 62% of the vote against a couple of other Democrats with zero name recognition in the primary last week, receiving fewer than half the number of votes Cruz received in the GOP primary.  Clearly, the articulate and good looking Irish Beto is going to have to do more than be articulate and good-looking to appeal to Texas voters outside of Austin.

But don’t blame Irish Beto – this pattern of big “we’re gonna turn Texas blue!” buildup followed by a huge crash and burn at the ballot box is becoming an every-four-year tradition for the Democrats and their fake news media toadies in Texas.  Who could ever forget the gigantic buildup Texas and national media outlets gave to Wendy Davis, who thought she could ride a pro-abortion-until-birth-and-maybe-even-after-birth filibuster in the Texas Senate all the way to the governor’s office in 2014?

In that campaign, Barack Obama sent his Organizing for America clowns down to Austin to assist with the Davis effort, the web-based Texas Tribune became basically the Davis for Governor pep squad, and the New York Times treated its Upper East Side subscriber base to breathless weekly updates on its front page about the coming Reign of Wendy.  On election day, reality came home to roost, as Davis pulled in 38% of the vote against Republican Greg Abbott.

With the Texas Democrat Party probably stuck with a lackluster Dallas County sheriff as its candidate for the governor’s office (Sheriff Guadalupe Valdez, who will face some guy named Andrew White in a runoff for the nomination) Irish Beto has now become the Great Democrat/media Hope for 2018.  The truth is that his chances to defeat Senator Cruz were never any better than virtually non-existent, and all the fawning attention the NYTimes and Texas Tribune can muster on his behalf won’t change that.  Thus, Mr. O’Rourke is destined to become just the latest Great Democrat Disappointment in November, and join Ms. Davis as just another former Democrat “rising star” who has no future in politics.

Because this is Texas, not New York or California, and that is how this stuff works here.

God Bless Texas.

Meanwhile, all those NYTimes-reading Upper East Siders were tut-tutting and clicking their tongues in snobbish horror Saturday night as President Donald Trump delivered one of his classic ad lib stem-winders to a huge crowd in Pittsburgh.  Trump, fresh off a week of #Winning as only Trump can do, was pumped up and in rare form, as he went after his tormentors in the fake news media and the Democrat Party.  Here are some of the highlights:

Speaking of NBC fake journalist Chuck Todd:  The President first referred to Todd as “Sleepy Eyes Chuck Todd,” then followed with “He’s a sleepy son of a bitch, I’ll tell you.”  Wine glasses crashed to floors at dinner parties all around Central Park at that one.  The NYTimes tried to reach Todd for comment, but he was napping.

On CNN:  “…fake as hell CNN.  So fake.  The worst.”  Correct.

On the fact that his candidacy and presidency have been a boon for ratings at the cable TV networks, except for CNN:  “Could you imagine covering Bernie? Or Pocahontas?  How about that? Can you imagine having to cover Elizabeth Warren for four years?”  No.  We can’t.

On Mad Maxine Waters:  [She’s a] “low-IQ individual.”  He repeated this 100% true statement several times, just to irritate everyone in coastal California even more.

On Oprah Winfrey possibly running against him in 2020:  “I’d love Oprah to win, I’d beat Oprah. I know her weakness,” he said. “Wouldn’t we love to run against Oprah? I’d love it. That would be a painful experience for her.”  Again, all true, so delightfully true.

It was epic, all over the place, completely un-presidential, stream-of-consciousness Trump at his  best – or worst, if you live in the regional Democrat Party centers of New York, Hollywood or Chicago.

He should do this more often.

Just another day in the Democrats have no clue what to do about all of this America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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