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The Campaign Update Election Results Live Blog [Update 9]

The Campaign Update Election Results Live Blog

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

 

Ok, folks, here we go.

Unlike I did this afternoon, I am going to run the Updates down the page, to keep them from getting mixed up with all the adds.  I will note each update with a number in the title, i.e., I will add “Update 1” to the title with the first update, “Update 2” with the 2nd, etc., so you’ll be able to easily know when something new is there.  I’ll also send out a tweet for those who follow on Twitter.

PLEASE COMMENT – I will be following your comments and responding to as many as I can.

What to look for early:

Kentucky HD 6 and Georgia HD 6 – if the Rs are leading in both these GOP-held districts when the polls close at 7:00 ET, it’s cause for celebration.  If the Ds are ahead, not so much.  Unless you’re a Democrat, of course.

Trump won both of these districts easily in 2016, but the Democrats have spent tons of money trying to turn them both.

Also, keep an eye on Republican incumbent Dave Brat in Virginia’s 7th district.  That’s another the Ds are hoping to turn tonight.

If the Ds are winning in all of these districts, then their probability of taking the House becomes near-certain.  If they are losing them all, then we’re going to have a late night, perhaps early morning before we know where things are going.

Indiana Senate – We will also be seeing first numbers in this race at 7:00 ET, 6:00 CT.  It’s a big one, though not needed for the GOP to retain control in the Senate.  CNN’s already reporting what is most likely the absentee ballots, and Republican Braun is up big over Democrat incumbent Donnelly, but the Rs always lead in the absentee votes in Indiana.

We’ll see.

Back shortly.

UPDATE 9:  DeSantis and Scott are now likely to both win in Florida.  What an amazing turnaround.

Braun has won Indiana.

Blackburn has won Tennessee.

Manchin has won WVA.

Kramer will win North Dakota.

John James is competing strongly in Michigan.

Cruz is 100k votes down but there are still over 100 rural counties who have not reported any votes at all to this point.  Karl Rove says Cruz will win in the end because of that.  I think Rove is right.

Right now, the Ds lead in 31 Red districts, the Rs lead in 5 Blue districts, and Fox News is now projecting the Democrats will gain a majority at the end of the evening.

We’ll see.  I’m not convinced yet.

UPDATE 8:  Barr has won KY 6.  Brat is barely behind know in VY 7.  If Brat can come back, that would be huge.  Still a big fat ZERO votes counted in GA 6.

Both Republicans are still holding on in Florida’s statewide races with 96% of the vote counted, and it appears that the votes still outstanding are pretty evenly split between R and D areas of the state.  Holy cow.

Cruz still a little behind in Texas, but most rural areas are still yet to report.

In Tennessee, the senate race is not close at this point, but will tighten as the night goes along.  But I think Blackburn wins that one.  [Fox just called it for Marsha!]

DeWine now in the lead in the Ohio governor’s race!

Braun still killing it in Indiana!

Kramer’s going to kill Heitcamp!

John James actually leading in the early Michigan returns.

This night is shaping up nicely, folks.  Keep the faith.

 

UPDATE 7:  I continue to be struck how much tonight is like 2016, especially in Florida statewide races.  Here we sit again with 93% of the votes counted, and the races are too close to call.  In 2016, everyone assumed all the outstanding votes were in the Miami/Broward area and Trump would lose.  But it turned out that there were still a bunch of votes sitting uncounted in GOP areas, and in a bunch of GOP-leaning precincts in South Florida.  Trump wins.

Cruz finally takes the lead in Texas, as the early vote returns start to finally come in from rural areas.  He will continue to build that lead as the night goes on.

Right now, I have to say that things are stacking up pretty nicely for the Rs.  Keep your fingers crossed.

 

UPDATE 6:  Ok, things are starting to shape up now:

– Cruz is going to win by 8-10 points, based on what we are seeing early.  Cool.

– Both DeSantis and Scott have now moved into leads in their races.  But most of the outstanding votes are in Miami/Broward area.  You have to think the Ds will win, but we thought the same in the 2016 presidential race, too.

– Barr is building his lead in KY 6.

– Bratt is holding on in VA 7.  Most remaining votes are in R areas.

– Braun still killing it in Indiana.

– Still not a damn vote in in GA 6.  Unreal.

– Despicable Donna Shalala has won FL 27, a Democrat pickup.  Ugh.

 

UPDATE 5:  Barr now dead even in KY 6, Brat has fallen behind, though just by a couple thousand votes.  Still nothing on GA 6.  What the hell?

Oops, Barr took the lead with 77% of the vote counted just as I hit “enter” on this update.

DeSantis now within 1.2%, Scott within 1.4% in Florida, as the Panhandle votes finally start coming in.  Still lots of votes outstanding in Miami/Dade, though, too, though.  No way to call those races yet.

Again, it’s 2016 all over again down there.

Braun retaining a strong lead on Donnelly, but he needs it for when Indiana’s larger cities start reporting votes later tonight.

Irish Bob O’Rourke is up early over Ted Cruz, but it’s just Dallas turning in its early vote totals.  No worries, yet.

 

UPDATE 4:  Brat now moving out to a significant lead in VA7.  Barr has pulled within .3% in KY 6, still tons of votes to be counted.

The FL Gov and Sen races are tightening with every update.  Nelson had led by as much as 6% but now up by 2.  Gillum up by just 1.6.

Nothing in from GA 6 yet, unfortunately.

This feels an awful lot like 2016, doesn’t it?  Yes, it does.

 

UPDATE 3:  Brat now actually looking ok in early returns, which are most likely from urban areas.  He’ll be stronger in the suburbs and rural areas.

Braun running much stronger against Donnelly right now in rural areas than expected.  Well ahead of pace so far.

Can’t help noticing that CNN goes to their black anchor person every time there’s an update to be given on the Florida and Georgia governor’s races, both of which feature black candidates for the Ds.  So damn ridiculous.

The encouraging thing about Florida right now is that, even though the Rs trail in the Gov and Sen races, votes are already coming in from Miami/Dade County, which is unusual.

In KY 6, D McGrath is now well ahead of R Barr.  Ugh.  Still early, though, and don’t know where the votes are from yet.

 

UPDATE 2:  Ok, it’s time to say it:  CNN just kicks Fox’s ass on these election night events.  Fox just has a bunch of people sitting around pontificating while CNN is giving us every detail in every county in every state.  I normally never tune in to CNN, but on election nights, man, there’s really no choice here.

 

UPDATE 1:  Bill Nelson is underperforming his 2012 re-election in Florida so far, by about 5%.  That was a very close race, so that again bodes well for the GOP in the Sunshine State.  Most vote in so far are from heavily-Democrat Pinellas County.

 

That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The McCain Funeral: A Fitting Requiem for the Deep State

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Our long national nightmare is finally over. – Senator John McCain, who died on Saturday, August 25, was finally laid to rest on Sunday, September 2, after eight interminable days of honoring, memorializing and rank demagoguery, all of which the amazingly egotistical Senator planned for himself.  And so, the nation can heave a huge, collective sigh of relief.

I’ll get criticized for that opening paragraph, but I want those of you coming to bash me to remember that in 1963, our country suffered the assassination of a President.  That killing took place on Friday, November 22.  Following a hasty and ill-performed autopsy, the slain President’s body lay in state in the East Room of the White House throughout the day on November 23.  The body was carried by horse-drawn caisson up Pennsylvania Avenue early on the morning of November 24, where it lay in state throughout that day.

And on Monday, November 25, the body of John Fitzgerald Kennedy, the 35th President of the United States of America, was buried.  From beginning to end, the process took just three days, but then, Mr. Kennedy did not have the opportunity to do his own planning, given that he was taken down by the bullets of at least one assassin.

What we just went through as a nation over the past 8 days was unwarranted and unseemly, and everyone involved in making it happen should be embarrassed.  RIP, Senator McCain, at long last.

If you must continue mourning, here’s a new object of your desires. – The 200 year-old national museum of Brazil in Rio de Janeiro suffered a massive fire overnight, destroying most if not all of the 20 million precious historic items in its collection.  Items thought to be destroyed include the oldest human fossil found in Brazil, a fresco that survived the destruction of Pompeii, and a collection of Egyptian artifacts.  A real tragedy of epic proportions for history and the human race.

A fitting requiem for the Deep State. – Back to the McCain funeral one last time before I let the subject go forever.

Despite the unseemly nature of the “service” on Saturday, with two different former presidents and the daughter of the deceased using their time to bash the sitting President rather than memorialized the dead Senator, it occurs to me that it served as the perfect requiem for the Deep State establishment that is currently being dismantled and de-powered by President Trump.

There you had assembled in one place the three previous presidents who, along with elderly ex-President George H.W. Bush, had spent the 28 years prior to Trump’s inauguration “globalizing” America, marginalizing America’s blue-collar workers and de-emphasizing American greatness, all honoring a Senator who had played a leading role in carrying their water for more than 30 years.  You also had all the glitterati of the fake news media which has spent those same years brainwashing the American public to just lie back and take the policy-based pillaging of the U.S. economy and mortgaging of our childrens’ and grandchildrens’ future once again brainwashing you to disregard the realities of John McCain’s life and career.

At the same time, the President who is working to reverse the corrupt and destructive anti-American legacy of the previous 28 years was out playing golf because he had been dis-invited from the service by McCain and the McCain family.  Again, a perfect gesture of contempt on behalf of the Deep State.  The symbolism of the day was perfect:  The three ex-presidents looking old, tired and lacking in energy, their legislative bell cow lying in a coffin, the fake news media collectively spinning yet another tired narrative, with the one guy standing athwart them all out getting his exercise, preparing for another week of dismantling the Deep State they all worked so hard to institutionalize.

Meanwhile, the Democrat Party is radicalizing to the far, far left, and the Republican Party is systematically getting rid of its establishment wing through primary elections and retirements. The Deep State GOP/Democrat “uniparty” that McCain, Bush, Obama and Clinton worked so hard to construct over the last three decades is already greatly diminished, and stands in danger of going away entirely should Trump succeed in getting re-elected in 2020.

With our economy booming, Black and Hispanic unemployment at all-time record low levels, and tens of thousands of blue-collar and union jobs returning to America, the party coalitions of the past are being re-drawn in ways that will render the two Parties more readily distinguishable from one another.  While this process will be difficult and fraught with peril, it will over the next few years produce a result that is far better for the country.

Most people thought this weekend was about a funeral for a senator, but it was about so much more than that if you were paying attention.  The people at that service were mourning much more than the loss of just one man.

Just another day in the Deep State is dying America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Our Public Opinion Polls are Still as Awful as They Were in 2016

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Why we should all stop paying attention to the polls. – In Florida’s GOP primaries, numerous polling groups conducted polls of the governor’s race over the past few months. The RealClearPolitics average of all the most recent polls pegged the race at a 6.7% advantage for Ron DeSantis, who was endorsed by President Trump.

The final result? DeSantis wins by a whopping 20% of the vote.  None of the polls taken in the race had DeSantis pulling more than 41% of the overall vote.  He actually won 56%.

In addition to all of that, barely two months ago, a poll commissioned by Fox News showed DeSantis trailing the other major candidate in the race, Adam Putnam, by 15%.  So the people at Fox are trying to convince us that this race turned around by 37 points in a little over 60 days.  Sure it did.

Stop worrying about polls. They are no better this year than they were in 2016. Most of them are conducted using awful methodologies and absurd samples for the purposes of a) creating fake news stories; b) generating clicks to the web pages of the entities sponsoring or conducting the poll; and c) attempting to influence public opinion.

The race between incumbent Senator Ted Cruz and Democrat challenger Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke in Texas is another great example of why many of these polls really don’t give us a shred of reliable information.  A recent poll in that race, sponsored by the Texas Lyceum, showed the contest actually in almost a dead heat, with Cruz polling 41% support to O’Rourke’s 39%.

Wow.  Shocker, right?  I mean, Texas is a state in which no Democrat has actually won a statewide election in a quarter of a century, a state won pretty easily by Donald Trump in 2016, one in which Democrat statewide candidates had trouble finishing within 20% of their GOP opponents in the last statewide elections in 2014.  So a win by O’Rourke, a man of Irish descent who is attempting to convince Texas’s Hispanic voters that he is one of them with his hip nickname, and Millenials that he is one of them by doing lots of cursing in his campaign events, would be a huge upset.

The Lyceum poll’s snapshot of a dead heat race appeared to gain some support with last week’s release of a poll from Emerson College showing the Cruz lead down to just 1%, at 39-38.  Again, wow, if only it were true.

The problems with these polls are numerous, however.  The Lyceum poll’s sample is fairly large at 1,178, but 27% of those polled aren’t registered to vote, and just 27% of respondents said they were “extremely interested” in the campaign.  All of which means this poll tells us pretty much nothing at all about what might actually happen at the polling places in Texas in November.

But it gets worse.  It turns out that the people who conducted this poll chose to pretend that Texas – a state in which no Democrat has won a statewide race since 1994 – is a dead even state in terms of party identification, choosing to question 39% Democrats, 39% Republicans and 22% Independents.  Now, based on past voting patterns, these percentages should really look more like 44% Republican, 30% Democrat and 26% Independent.  Something close to that, anyway.

All other aspects of this poll being equal, the choosing of a sample truly representative of the Texas adult population would probably have ended up showing Cruz with a lead of 8-10%.  Focusing the sample on likely voters most likely would have increased Cruz’s polling margin, given the historic disparity in party voter turnout patterns in Texas in recent elections.

The Emerson College poll is equally problematic.  While it does focus on registered voters, the sample size consists of just 550 people in a state with a wildly diverse population of 25 million or so. The number of different ethnic groups living in the city of Houston alone probably exceeds the total sample surveyed by this poll.

To make matters worse, party identification breakdown for the poll is impossible to discover.  It may be out there somewhere, but if so, it is extremely well-hidden.  One distressing result of the hilariously inaccurate polling outcomes of the 2016 elections has been a trend of these polling entities being reluctant to publish full, accurate details about the nature of their samples.

Increasingly, polling entities like Emerson do their best to avoid revealing key factors like party ID breakouts to the public.  This is the case with another recent poll in the Cruz/O’Rourke race – the NBC/Marist poll – which shows Cruz’s lead at 4%, but doesn’t really inform us how it got there.

What does that tell us?  It tells us that these polling companies, universities and sponsoring media outlets have little, if any, confidence in their polling methods in today’s rapidly changing society.  Rather than simply be honest and clearly inform the public of that reality, they hide aspects of their methodologies in order to minimize criticism.

Is the race between Cruz and O’Rourke fairly close at this point, with Cruz’s lead at least within single digits?  Yes, probably.  Irish Beto has thus far benefitted from the love affair he’s engaged in with the Texas and national news media, and the fact that most of the Texas population has little idea who he is or knowledge of his radical leftist policy views.  A fear of ending that knowledge gap is probably why Mr. Beto suddenly backed out of his scheduled debate with Sen. Cruz this Friday.  No use spilling those troublesome beans to the voters before he absolutely has to.

But is this a 1 or 2 point race, as these two highly problematic polls attempt to indicate?  Not bloody likely.  What these two polls really tell us is the same thing the disparity between the polls and the actual outcome of the race in Florida tells us:  We should all stop paying attention to these polls.

Just another day in the public opinion polls are a sad joke America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Congress De-funds a Ghost as Trump Eliminates Another Obama-era Scam

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Tired of all this Winning yet?  Oh, wait…:  Great news, everyone!  The 2234-page atrocity that congress refers to as an omnibus “budget” contains a secret provision nobody read that would defund ACORN!  You remember ACORN, don’t you?  That Obama-supported leftist organization that cobbled together hundreds of thousand of fraudulent votes to help Obama fake-win the 2008 presidential election?  Yeah, that ACORN.

Well, ACORN won’t be getting no federal money anymore, thanks to your intrepid establishment congressional Republicans, who work every day to protect by-God America.  One problem, though:  ACORN hasn’t actually existed since 2009.  D’oh!

Your congressional Republicans:  Only a decade late to the fight.

If you have any shopping to do, today’s a great day to go the mall. – Why?  Because the leftist-organized “March for our Lives” rallies will be taking place all over the country.  So, many of those teenagers who spend their days making a nuisance of themselves at your local shopping center will be busy pretending to know something about guns and gun control at a demonstration somewhere else.  So, go shopping, America – the coast will never be more clear.

You can’t fight AR-15s with pistols! The pistol’s bullets are just too slow!  But kids throwing rocks, on the other hand… – Remember the “pistol bullets are just too slow” line of argument against President Trump’s proposal to protect school children by allowing trained teachers and administrators to carry concealed weapons?  Wasn’t that a special one?  Yeah….good times.

Well, no worries, school administrators in Schuylkill County, PA have the conundrum of protecting their kids all figured out, you betcha.  Just ask Superintendent Dr. David Helsel, who bragged to state lawmakers in Harrisburg on Friday that “Every classroom has been equipped with a five-gallon bucket of river stone. If an armed intruder attempts to gain entrance into any of our classrooms, they will face a classroom full students armed with rocks and they will be stoned.”  Yeah, that’ll work.

I swear I don’t make this stuff up.

She’s so fake, she embarrasses all the other fake journalists. – Of all the legion of fake journalists working in the nation’s capital today, the Washington Post’s dimwitted Jennfer Rubin is probably the fakest of them all.  Upon learning of John Bolton’s appointment as the next National Security Advisor, Rubin issued the following tweet:

But just a year ago, Rubin penned a piece advocating for the appointment of Bolton to become Deputy Secretary of State:  “There are few experienced hands who know how the State Department works today and have a granular understanding as to how it should function. If not Bolton himself, someone very much like him would be ideal in the No. 2 spot at State.”  But it gets even better.

As Warren Henry at the Federalist points out, the reason why Rubin wanted Bolton as the #2 guy at State was so that he would become a logical choice to become …wait for it…wait for it…National Security Advisor!  I kid you not:  “Unless Trump wants to go through the rigmarole of hiring a new face, the inevitable [Michael T.] Flynn replacement is very likely to come from within the administration — the No. 2 person at the state or defense departments or some other player with whom Trump has developed a relationship of trust.”

Thus, it becomes crystal clear that Rubin’s real problem with Bolton is simply that he was appointed by Donald Trump, and at the WaPo, agreeing with the sitting, duly-elected POTUS is simply not tolerated.

Trump continues to disassemble the un-American Obama legacy, brick by disgraceful brick. – The fake news media is reporting that President Trump “banned transgenders from serving in the military” Friday evening.  That’s actually not true.  What he did was implement a new policy – based on the recommendation from Defense Secretary James Mattis – that will ban the ongoing scam in which persons with gender dysphoria have joined the military in order to take advantage of a policy implemented by Barack Hussein Obama that forces the taxpayers to pay for their gender reassignment surgery.

Towards that end, the new policy states that “transgender persons with a history or diagnosis of gender dysphoria — individuals who the policies state may require substantial medical treatment, including medications and surgery — are disqualified from military service except under certain limited circumstances.”  Individuals who have been “stable for 36 consecutive months in their biological sex prior to accession,” and those who “do not require a change of gender” will be exempt from the new policy and allowed to serve.

In other words, the scam – which Obama actively encouraged – of enlisting in one of the armed services for a three-year hitch and spending most of that time undergoing gender-transition surgeries at taxpayer expense es no mas.  On the other hand, trans-gender individuals who truly wish to serve their country honorably remain welcome in the U.S. armed services, as they should be.

For all you enraged SJWs out there, this what is known as good public policy.

Just another day in erasing the disappearing Obama legacy America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Georgia Republicans’ Show of Spine is Giving Delta a Case of the Blues

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Tired of all this Winning yet? – President Donald Trump’s public approval rating in the Rasmussen Survey is now 50%, seven percent higher than the rating in the same poll for Barack Obama on the same date in his second term in office.  This should not be surprising, given that Obama at that time was having to defend the Obamacare bill, which would take hundreds of billions of dollars away from working Americans, while Trump is currently promoting the Trump tax cuts, which give hundreds of billions of dollars back to working Americans.  Funny how that works, huh?

Democrats in action. – ICE agents were able to round up 150 illegal aliens in the Oakland area on Tuesday, in a roundup of known lawbreakers.  An ICE spokesman estimated that about 850 more known criminals were able to evade the roundup, blaming at least some of those escapes on Oakland’s nitwit Mayor, Libby Schaff, who issued a warning to the criminals to head for the hills on Monday.  This intentional effort to ensure that known criminals remain at large among her city’s population is what leftwingers like Schaff refer to as “protecting the people.”

More Democrats in action. – Bizarre Barbra Streisand told Variety that she had her dog cloned.  Hey, as long as nobody clones Barb, I got no problem with that.

Still more Democrats in action. – U.S. Olympic skier Gus Kenworthy was horrified by the Korean tradition of eating dogs, saying that “Dogs are friends, not food.”  So the skier admirably decided to engage in a little symbolism of his feelings, adopting a puppy from one of the country’s thousands of food dog kennels.  Amerian social justice warriors, upon learning of Kenworthy’s compassionate rescue of the little puppy, reacted very predictably:  They screamed that he is engaging in “cultural colonialism” and hammered him on social media.  Because this is what SJWs do.

He’s been a real bug-eyed bonanza for CNN and MSNBC. – The Daily Caller reports that California Congressman Adam Schiff, the ranking Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, has now given a phenomenal 227 TV interviews since President Trump took office less than 14 months ago.  According to information compiled by the Republican National Committee, this means that Schiff has been on television more than 26 hours since last January 20.  For all you Millenials out there, that is twice as long as a full season of Game of Thrones.

Speaking of Mr. Schiff, it appears he may be delegating his long-time role as official leaker for the Democrats on the House Intel Committee.  When White House Communications Director Hope Hicks refused to answer certain questions related to the presidential transition process – which the Administration considers to be privileged – in testimony before the committee in closed session on Tuesday, that fact was leaked to the media before her testimony was over by Illinois Democrat Mike Quigley.  So perhaps Schiff has decided to share his leaky wealth.

Delta Airlines has gotten itself into a real pickle down in Georgia.  After Delta engaged in a round of corporate virtue signaling late last week, cancelling a long-time discount ticket arrangement for members of the NRA, the Georgia Senate took up a bill that would retaliate by cancelling property tax exemptions Delta enjoys at its Corporate headquarters in the state.  Delta officials spent all day Tuesday scrambling for a way to retain both their virtue signaling posture and their tax breaks, but thus far the state’s Republican officials are holding firm.

This action by the Republicans in the state is something that would have never taken place in the past.  Up until this time, timid Republicans just sat by and took insults like Delta’s action against the NRA meekly, hoping that, by remaining quiet and hunkered down under their desks, they could avoid any negative attention from the hostile fake news media.  But this is the age of Trump, and Republicans are finally learning from the President that they can win with the public by taking bold, principled stands.  It’s really sad that it has taken until the year 2018 for a very unconventional President to teach Republicans that taking bold action to support your friends is actually smart politics, but hey, better late than never.

For its own part, the NRA issued a statement in which it said that actions such as that taken by Delta are a “shameful display of civic and political cowardice.”  Kind of like the actions of the Broward County Sheriff’s department during the Parkland school shootings.  Couldn’t have said it better myself.

Just another day in singin’ the Delta blues America.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The GOPe’s Next Act: Pretending To Want Tax Reform

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • Well, you know it’s a slow news day in Donald Trump’s America when the biggest story is the introduction by Republicans congress of their long-awaited tax reform bill.  The bill has been ready for at least six months, but true to their goal of not getting a damn thing done during this calendar year, the GOP congressional leadership waited until the end of September to introduce it.
  • This late introduction date – for which there really is no justification at all – naturally produced grumbling among some members of the conservative Freedom Caucus about the “aggressive time frame” left in the year to get such a massive reform of the IRS tax code done.  So, the stage is already set for the December press conference of Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell telling everyone that they just ran out of time this year, but don’t worry, they’ll promise to come back in 2018 and really, truly get the thing done.  Yeah, sure, just like Obamacare, right?
  • Through a contraction of the various tax rates and a doubling of the standard deduction, everyone gets a bit of a tax break in this plan, except for those making more than $400,000 per year, who get stuck with an actual tax surcharge.  Naturally, Democrats rushed to the microphones and Twitter and Facebook to squeal that the plan is…wait for it…wait for it…A TAX CUT FOR THE WEALTHY!  I swear I don’t make this stuff up.
  • Of course, in Democrat “logic”, such as it exists, this is true, since the Democrats consider anyone who makes more than about $100,000 per year to be “wealthy”.  Given that the goal of the plan is to get more money into the hands of those in the lower and middle class, people making between $100,000 and $400,00 do get a tax cut under the plan.  Thus, the whole “tax cut for the wealthy” rhetoric from the party of demagoguery.
  • The plan would also lower the tax rate for – gasp! – evil corporations in the hope of stimulating the economy.   Man, the Democrats haven’t even gotten started demonizing that aspect of the proposal.  Nevermind that the U.S. has by far the highest corporate tax rate of any developed country, costing our country millions of potential jobs that now simply go overseas, lowering tax rates for evil corporations presents Fauxcahontas and Chuck Schumer and Bernie Sanders with prime demagoguery opportunities, and that is not something they will meekly pass up.
  • So, it’s going to be a long fall and winter filled with hyper-partisan rancor.  There is nothing progressives hate more than a healthy, growing economy.  I’m not kidding.  If you think otherwise, you don’t understand progressives.
  • There can be no doubt the GOP proposal would indeed stimulate economic growth in a very big way.  The key stimulus-producing provision is one that would allow businesses of all kinds to deduct most capital costs during the tax year in which they are incurred.  Currently, such costs must be recovered by depreciating them over 5 to 30 years, depending on the asset that is being depreciated.
  • President Trump has often talked about wanting to pass his own economic stimulus package. Well, there is really no need for a separate stimulus bill if congress were to pass this one.  The ability to deduct capital costs would be a stimulus plan in and of itself, and unlike the Obama stimulus, which was basically wasted on expanding government employment and wasteful programs, it would stimulate real infrastructure expansion, and create millions of real, private sector jobs.
  • So of course the Democrats hate it.  They hate anything that would grow the private sector, especially at a time when the government sector is being systematically reduced by a Republican administration.
  • But the dirty little secret is that the establishment Republicans really don’t want to pass this bill, either, which is why they’ve waited so late to introduce it.  The positive side is that the President does want it, and he won’t be shy about publicly pounding on Democrats and Republicans who work to kill it.
  • Just as we have seen President Trump reveal the Democrats and their progressive voters to be perfectly fine with NFL players disrespecting the national anthem and American flag this week, in the coming weeks we will see him speak very frankly about the real reasons why the Democrats and recalcitrant Republican swamp creatures don’t want to pass a meaningful tax bill.
  • It will be a target-rich environment for verbal kill shots, and we all know how the President loves that.

Just another day in Donald Trump’s America.

That is all.

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An America Beset By Immature Children Acting Out

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Ok, lessee here….what’s been going on in America over the weekend?

  • Oh, well, we had three nights of rioting in St. Louis because a St. Louis jury acquitted a St. Louis cop who was falsely accused of murdering a St. Louis drug dealer six years ago.  To hear the rioters tell it, this drug dealer was the second coming of Rosa Parks and just the best person who ever walked the sidewalks of St. Louis.  I hadn’t said anything about this because riots in the greater St. Louis area have become such a regular occurrence since Barack Obama’s Justice Department began encouraging them and George Soros began funding professional rioters to create them in 2014 that they barely make a blip on my screen anymore.  They have become tiresome displays of immature children acting out over false outrages, the audience and sympathy for which grow smaller by the day.
  • Speaking of tiresome displays of immature children acting out over false outrages, for which the audience and sympathy grow smaller by the day, the Emmy Awards were handed out Sunday night.  Hosted by the execrable, unfunny late night outrage show host Stephen Colbert, the program predictably became nothing but a 3-hour platform for spoiled children to act out over false outrages, all directed at the President of the United States.  The overnight Nielsons weren’t available as of this writing, but we can be sure the ratings for this star-studded group temper tantrum will be down from last year – when they hit a historic low – and will continue to fall through the duration of the Trump Presidency.  This is what happens when performers go out of their way to gratuitously offend half of their potential audience at every given opportunity.
  • Rumors were flying prior to showtime that Hillary Clinton would make a cameo appearance at the show, but it turned out she was too busy signing books on the toilet paper aisle of her local CostCo to make the gig.  But Kate McKinnon, who played The Most Corrupt Woman in America in Saturday Night Live skits, took her presenting role as an opportunity to thank Crooked Hillary for her “grace”.  Proving, of course, that Kate McKinnon doesn’t know the difference between graft and grace.
  • Never to be left out, the NFL continues to demonstrate it has its own sub-population of immature children acting out, as players like Seattle’s Michael Bennett have now decided that protesting the national anthem just isn’t enough attention-seeking, and have begun taking their “look at me!” stunts onto the field.  Bennett celebrated a sack on Sunday with a single raised fist, the old “black power” salute made famous in the 1960s.
  • In other news that should not be news, pollster John McLaughlin came out with new data over the weekend, warning establishment Republicans in congress that they need to start actually keeping their campaign promises or Trump voters won’t turn out to re-elect them in next year’s mid-term elections.  The great wonder with this news item is that establishment Republicans apparently need polling data confirmation of something that would be obvious to the average third grader.  But this is how dim-witted establishment Republicans are.
  • The McLaughlin survey also found that a large plurality of surveyed GOP voters believe that Republicans in congress are working in opposition to President Trump’s efforts to “drain the swamp”, and fully 63% of GOP voters believe it is time for Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and Speaker of the House Paul Ryan to be replaced.  If any of these results surprise you, you just haven’t been paying close enough attention.
  • If establishment Republicans were intelligent (hah-hah! I’m cracking myself up here!), they would be working feverishly to keep some of those grand promises they all made during their 2016 campaigns.  Instead, they are currently in the midst of an 11-day vacation following just a week of work that came after their month-long August recess.  When they come back next week, they only have five working days left in September before they take their next vacation.
  • What all this shiftlessness and mendacity reminds us of is that there was a very good reason why establishment Republicans in Washington were, just 12 months ago, the single most-hated subset of the DC swamp among the public at large.  Donald Trump’s resurgent presidential campaign bailed them out from what had been shaping up to be a disastrous election cycle in 2016, but that crutch won’t be available in 2018.
  • Unless these layabout GOP dilettantes get their collective act together and start sending promise-keeping legislation to the President’s desk for signing, it becomes more likely by the day that Trump voters will abandon their stinking, er, “sinking” ship in next year’s elections.  Whether that would result in the turning over of one or both houses of congress remains a good question, since the Democrats remain in a state of insoluble disarray, but it all could be avoided by the Republicans’ simply doing some of the things they promised to do.  But this seems to be a bridge too far for McConnell, Ryan and their hapless minions, who obviously view keeping their vacation schedule sacrosanct as their number one duty.

Just another day in immature children acting out America.

That is all.

Open post

Conservatives Must Focus on Defeating The Alinsky Democrats

Today’s Campaign Update 

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • It is a sad truth of our current societal situation that those on the left wing of the political spectrum no longer possess the ability to argue political issues based on anything resembling facts or logic.  I used to say that they no longer desire to do so, but it has become abundantly clear over the last decade that progressives simply no longer have the ability.
  • The left abandoned any effort to really debate issues at the outset of the Bill Clinton presidency, as the Clintons brought their Saul Alinsky rules for radicals tactics to the White House.  Those rules consist of a dozen tactics that focus away from working cooperatively with the opposition to reach reasonable compromises on issues, and focus instead on a mounting a constant drumbeat of demonization of the opposition.  What was at first a conscious, intentional decision by those on the left to abandon facts and logic has, after 25 years, become a complete loss of the skill.

  • Rule 12 reads “Pick the target, freeze it, personalize it, and polarize it.”  This is the tactic the Democrats and the fake news media have used against President Trump since Hillary Clinton and her campaign people invented the “Russia Collusion” fantasy play two days after last November’s election.  That fantasy, and James Comey’s collusion with it, got them a Special Counel investigation, and will probably nab them a few victims like Paul Manafort for Robert Mueller and his team of Clinton/Obama shills to prosecute.  That tactic initially conformed to Alinsky Rule #6, “A good tactic is one your people enjoy.”
  • But it has now worn thin with the public, as the months and months of investigations turn up no real evidence that Donald Trump and his people colluded with the Russians in any way.  As a result, it has run up onto the shoals of Alinsky Rule 7, “A tactic that drags on too long becomes a drag.”  This is why the Democrat/fake media axis of disinformation had to move onto another tactic for freezing and polarizing the President.
  • So, along came Charlottesville.  We now know that the clown who organized the “Unite the Right” white supremacist rally there and got it permitted, Jason Kessler, is a leftist radical who was also an organizer of the George Soros-funded Occupy Wall Street movement.  Probably not coincidentally, it also appears that he is a former producer at …wait for it…CNN!  Given Kessler’s true identity, it is a safe bet that other leftwing radicals participated in that “Unite the Right” rally in order to create negative footage for CNN and other fake news outlets to air.  Classic Alinsky tactics.
  • To ensure maximum negative footage from Charlottesville, leftwingers funded by Soros arranged to bus in hundreds of Antifa and Black Lives Matter thugs to stage an un-permitted protest and turn the whole thing into a riot.  We now know that the police were told to stand down by the city’s leftist radical mayor to ensure maximum carnage took place, and then reliable Clinton toady Terry McAuliffe, the governor of Virginia, gave a completely false and inflammatory speech once the damage was all done.
  • At that point, it did not matter what President Trump said in the wake of the tragic event, he was going to be demonized by the Axis of Disinformation, because that is the final step in this strategy, in keeping with Alinsky Rule #12.  His statement on Saturday was perfectly fine.  Indeed, both former presidents with the last name of Bush issued almost exactly the same statement on Wednesday, and the media parroted it without negative comment.
  • Thus, the tactic that had drug on for too long – Russia Collusion – now has been shifted to a new tactic the leftists love – Trump is a racist, with the fake news media lapdogs loyally executing Rule #8, “Keep the pressure on.  Never let up.”
  • Make no mistake, this is the left’s playbook for as long as Donald Trump is President.  There will be no logical debates.  There will be no cooperation in congress, no compromise on Obamacare, tax reform, infrastucture or any other of the major issues.  Indeed, so long as congressional Republicans continue their own responsive tactics of cowering in fear and making carefully-worded statements that conform to the left’s current narrative, this is how it will be from now on, because that cowardly response by the GOP only breeds confidence among the left.
  • Real conservatives have a choice to make, and that choice amounts to surrender, or working to defeat the left without quarter and without compromise.  Conservatives need to deploy their own set of tactics against the left designed to achieve victory.  The tactics below are based on Alinsky Rule 1, “Power is not only what you have, but what the enemy thinks you have.”:
    • Stop engaging them in debate – after all, they stopped engaging with you in any real way a quarter century ago;
    • Work to regulate the hell out of social media monopolies like Google, Facebook, YouTube and Twitter.  Make Silicon Valley pay for its collective decision to become a propaganda arm of the Democrat Party.  Anti-trust rules exist for good reason – President Trump should work to become the reincarnation of Teddy Roosevelt;
    • The Justice Department should bring RICO prosecutions against the Clintons and top officials at their pay-to-play family crime foundation.  This classic mob-modeled racket is exactly why the RICO laws exist.  Use them;
    • Jeff Sessions should appoint a second special counsel to investigate Robert Mueller and his obvious conflicts, and his decision to hire only Democrat shills in his investigation, and a third special counsel to investigate Hillary Clinton’s email abuses, and Bill Clinton and Loretta Lynch’s efforts to fix the 2016 FBI investigation;
    • The President should appoint West Virginia Democrat Senator Joe Manchin to be Secretary of Energy, after moving Rick Perry over to be the Secretary of Homeland Security.  That will allow WVA GOP Gov. Justice to appoint a Republican to take Manchin’s place, raising the GOP’s senate majority by one.
    • The Republican senate majority should eliminate the filibuster rule entirely, eliminating the ability of the Democrat minority to roadblock progress.  If Majority Leader Mitch McConnell doesn’t have the stomach for this battle, conservative senators should refuse to cooperate with leadership until McConnell steps down from the job.
  • This could go on and on – there are tons of tactics at the disposal of real conservatives in this fight.  The point is this:  the Republican Party is the clear majority party in this country, and it is long past time that it started acting like it.  Republicans have allowed themselves to be cowed and paralyzed by the left’s Alinsky tactics for a quarter of a century now, and we see them still trying to engage these radicals in constructive debates on issues.
  • The Alinsky Democrats cannot be reasoned with, they can only be defeated.  Albert Einstein famously said that “doing the same thing over and over again, expecting a different result is the definition of insanity.”  There is no time like the present for conservatives to stop being insane.

Just another day in Saul Alinsky-dominated America.

That is all.

Open post

I’m Much Too Young To Feel This Damn Old

Here are some things I’m old enough to remember:

  • I’m old enough to remember when, three weeks ago, the Democrats plagiarized PapaJohn’s Pizza with a new slogan promising they were going to focus on “Better Jobs, Better Wages”, instead of dividing America.

  • I’m old enough to remember 7 days ago when Senator From The News Media John McCain lambasted President Trump for his aggressive posture towards the Crazy Little Fat Guy in North Korea, saying it wouldn’t work.
  • I’m old enough to remember all the way back to January, when Charlottesville Mayor Mike Signor declared his city to be the “Capital of the ‘Resistance’ “.
  • I’m old enough to remember when it was the communists in the Soviet Union and radical muslims in Afghanistan who were going about toppling statues and trying to erase history, rather than the Democrats here in the U.S.
  • I’m old enough to remember when the global temperature records kept by NOAA hadn’t been falsified for political purposes.
  • I’m old enough to remember when radicals on the Berkeley campus were peacefully demonstrating in favor of free speech, not violently rioting to restrict it.
  • I’m old enough to remember when senators of both parties rallied around the president of the United States whenever some nutjob dictator threatened to bomb our homeland, and when those who didn’t do so were criticized rather than praised by the news media.
  • Speaking of the news media, I’m old enough to remember when it was only partially fake.
  • I’m old enough to remember when Barack Obama said “We can’t drill our way to lower gasoline prices.”  Oops.
  • I’m old enough to remember when The National Review was a conservative journal, and The Weekly Standard wasn’t edited by Hillary Clinton shills like Stephen Hayes and Bill Kristol.

  • I’m old enough to remember when the panels on Fox News’s “Special Report” were balanced, unlike the utter disgrace they aired Monday evening.
  • I’m old enough to remember when the Republican Party actually stood for something.

  • Hell, I’m so old I remember 1995, when the GOP had real leadership in both houses of congress.
  • I’m old enough to remember when Hollywood turned out watchable movies – you know, the kind with plots and acting and stuff like that.
  • I’m old enough to remember when I wasn’t a fanatic about Dallas Cowboys Football.  Ok, that’s a lie – I’ve always been a fanatic about Dallas Cowboys Football.
  • I’m old enough to remember when Nancy Pelosi wasn’t a doddering, babbling fool.  Ok, that’s a lie, too.
  • I’m old enough to remember when Maxine Waters lived in her own congressional district.
  • I’m old enough to remember when the Federal Bureau of Investigation was a functioning, respected law enforcement agency, i.e., the pre-James Comey years.
  • I’m old enough to remember when Obamacare didn’t exist and most Americans really did have affordable healthcare insurance.
  • I’m old enough to remember those seven years when every Republican in Washington (except for Sen. Susan Collins, who is really a Democrat) promised they were going to repeal Obamacare.
  • I’m old enough to remember when we all thought John McCain was a genuine American hero.  No really, virtually all of us did.  Silly us.
  • Finally, I’m old enough to remember when both major political parties respected the constitution, the American flag, and the national anthem.  Sadly, the Democrats no longer respect any of those things, and it’s hard to be sure whether many Republicans do anymore.

I’m much too young to feel this damn old.

 

That is all.

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