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British Election Will Provide a Preview of Trump’s 2020 Re-Election

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[Note: Today’s Campaign Update will be on a delayed morning schedule from November 30 through  December 4.]

When voters in the United Kingdom went to the polls on June 23, 2016 to vote on the referendum on whether to leave the European Union (Brexit) or remain in it (remain), the polls all predicted – by an average of 8% – that “remain” would win handily. But of course we all know that the actual vote ended with a 52-48% Brexit victory.

Five months later, all the polls predicted Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential contest, with the New York Times at one point giving Clinton a 99% chance of prevailing.  In the end, Mr. Trump prevailed with a near-landslide in the electoral college, the only measure that matters in our system.

Keen observers understood that the two elections were fought on basically the same issues: economic malaise, open borders, and general national decline brought to both nations by the forces of globalism and the politicians who impose it on their populations. Voters in favor of Brexit and Trump were under-polled by biased polling organizations, many of whom are run by corrupt media outlets determined to slant their reporting in favor of “remain” and Clinton. A few observers – including Today’s Campaign Update – predicted that the Brexit vote would actually serve as precursor to a Trump victory, which is clearly what happened.

Since those elections were held in 2016, the corrupt and disloyal forces of globalism in both nations have attempted to regroup and reclaim power, while doing everything in their power to deny the voters the fruits of their respective victories. In Britain, Brexit agreements negotiated with leaders in the EU by Prime Minister Theresa May were repeatedly rebuffed in Parliament, with many disloyal members of her own Conservative Party joining forces with the Labor Party – led by the mendacious and corrupt Jeremy Corbin, Britain’s version of San Fran Nan – to vote down every iteration of the proposal.

That failure to deliver led first to the Conservatives losing their parliamentary majority, and ultimately to May’s being replaced earlier this year by early Brexit advocate Boris Johnson. When Johnson saw his own initial proposed Brexit deal voted down in September,  that in turn led to a purging of disloyal Conservatives from the Party, and Johnson’s demanding a so-called “snap election” in which Johnson hopes to win a new mandate from the voters.

With that vote scheduled to take place on December 12, today’s polls in Britain now reflect a decided pro-Conservative, pro-Johnson, pro-Brexit sentiment among the country’s voters. The latest poll from YouGov projects that Johnson’s Party will score its largest landslide win since Lady Margaret Thatcher won her third term in office in 1987. YouGov projects a net Conservative gain of 42 seats, which would give it a clear majority of Parliament’s 650 seats. Although other polls also project a major Conservative victory, the YouGov result seems particularly significant since it was the only major poll to correctly predict the Conservative Party’s big losses in the 2017 elections.

If the December 12 vote does deliver a Conservative majority approaching the 68-seat advantage YouGov predicts, it would manifest the demand from British citizens that Parliament finally act on the mandate they delivered three and a half years ago. Good for them.

So, what does that mean for next November’s elections in the United States? Well, let’s think about it: What has been taking place in the U.S since November 2016? Just as in Britain, the forces of globalism have been working tirelessly, employing every dishonest tool at their corrupt disposal to deny Trump voters the fruits of their victory. President Trump has been subjected to an unending series of hoax ‘scandals’ and fake investigations and clown show impeachment hearings and congressional obstruction and all the fake news our corrupt media establishment can produce, all in an effort by the powers of globalism to regain their lost power.

American voters are becoming weary of the refusal by the Democrat Party to accept the results of the 2016 election, with polls showing more and more Democrats showing up at Trump rallies and pledging their support for the President. This is especially true in the African American community, where multiple recent polls now indicate 34% support for President Trump. If the President can achieve half that much support from the Black community, next year’s election will become an historic landslide.

So, keep an eye on the results from the December 12 voting across the Pond. Just as it did in 2016, the result of that election is likely to eventually serve as a precursor of things to come next November.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Fox News Leads the Parade of Garbage Impeachment Polls

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

These impeachment polls are very mysterious and confusing. Until you look at the details, that is.  –  The increasingly-trending-left Fox News came out with a “bombshell” new poll on impeachment Wednesday which Bret Baier solemnly told us shows that 51% of those polled favor both impeachment and removal from office. Baier further said that is an increase of 9% over an earlier poll taken before any of this nonsense about Ukraine broke. Which basically means that every leftist nitwit in the country has always wanted him impeached and removed, which should surprise no one.

This seems pretty strange since the President’s public approval rating in this poll and basically every other poll is essentially the same as it was in August. So, I decided to go take a look into the bowels of the results and guess what I discovered? Fully 48% of this poll’s sample identify as Democrats. This despite the fact that recent polling by Gallup and other organizations show that less than 30% of the U.S. population now self-identifies that way. 40% were Republicans, despite recent polling by Gallup and others showing that less than 30 of the actual population self-identifies that way. That leaves just 12% of this sample taken from the vast middle of the country that identifies with neither party.

This poll is trash. Garbage. A fake poll taken simply to create a fake news story for Bret Baier to parrot. Fox News is almost all the way achieving its goal of becoming CNN.

Ok, so, let’s go on to the poll from The Wall Street Journal/NBC released on Tuesday. This poll claims to find that 43% of the public favor “supporting [Trump’s] removal based on what they know today,” according to the linked NBC article. Yet, when you go take a look at the details of the findings, here is what you actually discover: When asked whether there is “enough evidence to impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office now,” just 24% in the poll’s sample say “yes.”

TWENTY-FOUR PERCENT.

Another 31% are in favor of holding “an impeachment inquiry to determine of there is enough evidence” to remove the President from office, because Americans just love their investigations. Fine.

But look at how absurdly NBC has misrepresented this poll’s actual findings to the public, simply to create a “news” story that might attract viewers and clicks to its website. It’s a disgrace.

One big difference in this poll as compared to the Fox poll is that it has a more reasonable partisan breakdown of 30% Democrat and 25% Republican, with the rest of the sample basically independents.

These are just two of the most recent of dozens of polls taken on the impeachment and removal questions, and when you look closely at the entire group of them, what you find is that this Democrat/Media coordinated anti-Trump frenzy over the innocuous Ukraine phone call has moved public opinion towards removal from office by maybe 2 or 3 percentage points.

Meanwhile, the President’s public approval rating as measured by the RealClearPolitics average of polls sits at 43.6% approval, slightly above his average for all of 2019.

This is not remotely what the Democrats and their media toadies were hoping to achieve here. Not at all.

They’re gonna need a bigger hoax.

Image result for we're gonna need a bigger hoax meme

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Pelosi’s “Official” Fake Impeachment Inquiry Threatens The Country’s Survival

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“It’s really a sad day for our country. I feel very sad right now.” – Nancy Pelosi

Oh, yeah, it really is a sad day for our country, San Fran Nan. – The saddest part of all of it is that many of us have known all along that the deranged, despicable, depraved Democrats would take the country down this road sooner or later since the day after Donald J. Trump was elected to the presidency. Every step the Democrat Party has taken, from the creation and funding of Antifa, to the efforts to entrap and frame a sitting President of the United States, to the Mueller Witch Hunt, to the Congressional Clown Circus led by Jabaa the Nadler and Bug Eyes Schiff, has obviously and overtly been designed to lead to yesterday’s crowning moment of shame.

We all knew the depraved Democrat Party would take the nation to this sorry point sooner or later, even though it has still never been able to find any actual legal basis for doing so. We knew this would happen because the Democrat Party no longer has any interest in governing under our constitutional republican system of government, and only cares about the acquisition and maintenance of political power.

This reality has been the case since at least 1992, but has never been rendered more nakedly obvious than it has since the Democrats and San Fran Nan assumed power in the House of Representatives on January 1 of this year. The Judiciary and Intelligence committees chaired by Nadler and Schiff, along with the Oversight committee chaired by the equally depraved Elijah Cummings, have yet to spend a moment of time on any real work for the public interest during the first 9 months of this year, instead maintaining a myopic focus on dummying up some pretense – any old pretense would do – to move towards impeachment of the President.

But here’s the funniest part of yesterday’s antics by Pelosi: Despite all the weasel words she spoke in her statement late in the afternoon, nothing real changed. Pelosi said this:

Image

The only problem here is that an “official impeachment inquiry” has no meaning under the constitution and the law. Pelosi knows that, which is why she used those specific words, and made no reference to mounting a formal impeachment inquiry via a vote of the full House, which would have some meaning under the law.

See, the speaker of the house has no power whatsoever to unilaterally declare a formal impeachment inquiry. None. Doing that requires a majority vote of the entire body of the House. That would mean San Fran Nan would have to somehow cobble together 217 actual, recorded “yes” votes on the floor of the House.

Given that the Democrats currently control 235 seats to 198 (2 seats are vacant) for the Republicans, one might think getting to a simple majority would be an easy task for the doddering, stammering Speaker. But one would be surprised for holding that thought.

Pelosi’s big problem in all of this is that she has 35 or so members who managed to steal districts in the 2018 elections normally held by Republicans. Few if any of those folks, who would like to get re-elected in those same districts next year and been working hard to fool their constituents into believing they are “moderates,” are willing to go on the record as formally supporting a formal impeachment inquiry targeting a Republican president when there are no real grounds for going down that radical road.

So, just as with everything else she and her fellow Democrats do, yesterday’s theatrics by Pelosi were just that: Theater. Dishonest theater. Nothing real will change – those committees will just keep doing what they’ve been doing all year.

The only thing that will change will be the talking points parroted by the Democrat toady media, which will henceforth parrot the words “official impeachment inquiry,” peppering them into every report they make. This is how the mass public brainwashing process works – repetition of key messages is crucial. Goebbels and his fellow Nazis called it the “big lie.”

If you don’t believe that’s what the Democrats are doing here, read this morning’s piece in Politico titled “Vulnerable Democrats fear impeachment messaging stumbles” and count the number of times Democrat members quoted in the piece focus on “messages.” In that 600 or so word piece, I count 15 references to “messages,” “messaging,” “talking points,” or some other iteration of those words. It’s pretty much all they talk about.

The Democrats are very desperate here, because their mass brainwashing efforts keep failing. As of yesterday, President Trump’s public approval rating in the Rasmussen survey stood at 53%, a two-year high and fully 6 points higher than the rating received by Barack Hussein Obama at the same point in his presidency 8 years ago. Trump’s standing in the RealClearPolitics average, which includes all the fake polls created by media outlets purely to drive fake news stories, stands at 45.1%, also a two-year high.

The truth is that Donald Trump is a very popular president when compared to his immediate predecessors in office, Obama and George W. Bush, and his base of support, which represents over 40% of the nation, is steadfastly loyal. Making matters even more desperate for the Democrat “leadership,” such as it exists, is the fact that all the Marxist/fascist promises made by the radicals running for their presidential nomination are backfiring, especially in those swing congressional districts.

The President is going to release the transcript of his call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky today, along with the complaint by the Democrats’ fake “whistleblower,” an Obama loyalist who has no first-hand knowledge of that conversation. That fake whistleblower will also testify before Bug Eyes and his committee in the coming days.

The transcript will no doubt prove the President said nothing wrong, but the fake media and their Democrat masters will do everything they can to spin it otherwise, or even better, to claim the transcript has been somehow “doctored.” Despicable media hacks at MSNBC and CNN were laying the groundwork for those tactics yesterday.

Make no mistake about this: Regardless of the ongoing brainwashing efforts by the Democrat/Media propaganda complex, if the Democrats move down this road and end up holding a successful impeachment vote in the House, Democrats in those swing districts will pretty much all lose their re-election bids. Any Republican who joins an effort to remove the President via a 2/3rds vote in the Senate will be writing the end to his or her political career, and possibly to the GOP itself. There will be no forgiveness for such a despicable act of sedition, nor should there be.

Finally, should the Senate end up removing the President from office absent any real grounds for doing so, then the social contract between the public and the entire ruling class, already hanging on by a mere thread, will have been completely severed. If that sad day should come to pass, all bets for our nation’s survival in its current form will be off.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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And Just Like That, Biden’s Lead Evaporated

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:

Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.

But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:

The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.

Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.

But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.

That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?

Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.

The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.

Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2

The Commie – 5 to 1

Harris – 10 to 1

Biden – 100  to 1

Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1

Someone not in the current field – Even money

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time. 

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About That Biden “Surge” in the Polls…It Isn’t Happening

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

When a “surge” is actually a durge. – As is always the case with the DC punditry these days, they’re wrong.

Over the past week, poll-watching pundits like Karl Rove and pretty much all the others have been marveling about Joe Biden’s “pop” or “surge” or whatever word you want to put to it – in the polls. Talking about him in a way that is clearly designed to make you think he is a virtual shoe-in to be the Democrat nominee in 2020, and a real, strong challenger to the re-election of President Donald Trump. The only problem with all of this is that it just isn’t happening. Take a look at this:

 

See that green line? That’s Joe Biden. It’s his average in the RealClearPolitics average of polls. See which way it has been heading over the past 10 days? Clue: it isn’t up. It isn’t a “pop.” It’s not a “surge.”

What that line actually represents is the inevitable: Biden’s precipitous plunge back earthwards as all the people in the Democrat voter base get a good gander at him and listen to the idiocy that pops out of his mouth and remember exactly who Joe Biden really is.

Who Joe Biden is, is a clown. A human gaffe machine. A guy who has no respect for the personal space of women and children. A guy who can’t keep his creepy hands to himself at public events. A guy who has been mucking around in the DC Swamp for 46 years; a guy who has a record as long as your arm and none of it is good.

That’s who Joe Biden is.

And so, the numbers plunge, and they will keep plunging until that gap between his green line and one of the other candidates’ line is gone. I figure that will happen along about October 1 or so, maybe sooner depending on how Biden performs in the early debates.

How fast is Biden falling? Good question. See that poll by The Hill, where Biden’s sitting at 33? Two weeks ago, right after his formal campaign kickoff, he was sitting at 46. That’s the most severe drop in any of them thus far, mainly because that 46 number is the highest Biden has achieved in any of the myriad polls.

In any event, you are best advised not to believe the media buzz that Biden’s the most likely Democrat nominee, for a variety of reasons.

His inherent goofiness as a human being is just one of them. His advanced age, which shows more and more every day, is another. But the main reason is the fact that the Democrats are awarding delegates in their primaries on a modified-proportional basis in all states this time, rather than a winner-take-all basis.

Any candidate winning at least 15% of the vote in a state primary will receive a share of the delegates. If only one candidate reaches that level, then it becomes winner-take-all. If no candidates receive 15% – which is entirely possible in some states with such a large field – then “the minimum to receive delegates will be 50% of the vote received by the front-runner.  For example, if candidate A wins with 10% of the vote, delegates will be allocated proportionately to anyone that receives 5% or more.”

With 25 candidates in the race and counting, this system is setting up a free-for-all in which it is very likely that the Democrats will show up to their national convention next summer without a clear nominee, and maybe without any candidate even coming close to that threshold.

What does that mean? A brokered convention, at which you could even end up with a nominee who did not run in the primaries.

Hey, which prominent, extremely ambitious Democrats are not announced candidates, but are rumored to be working towards that exact possibility as we speak?

What do you think Hillary Clinton is doing with her spare time?

I’m just sayin’.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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God Save us From Reliance on “Experts”

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

God save us from reliance on “experts”. – David Epstein has a fantastic piece in the June issue of the Atlantic, one which illustrates why we “normals” out here in Flyover Country should avoid listening to predictions made by “experts”.

Regular readers will know that I make fun of “experts” and their persistent wrongness all the time, especially those in the fields of politics, “climate change” and economics. Epstein’s piece doesn’t directly address those specific fields in any detail, but he does illustrate major reasons why media-recognized “experts” are so consistently-wrong about pretty much everything.

How many consecutive months do we have to read headlines like “Trump economy adds 263,000 jobs in April, far surpassing expert projections” before we stop listening to “experts” on the economy? How many times must we see headlines like “Australia’s conservative party shocks pollsters and pundits with easy victory” before we accept the reality that almost all pollsters and pundits suffer from a chronic anti-conservative bias? How many times must we reflect on predictions by climate “experts” that the polar ice caps would be gone by 2015, that snow would end by 2020, that New York City would be under water by 2025 before we realize that these people are just a bunch of politically-motivated scam artists?

Epstein’s piece is long but well worth reading in full, so I highly recommend you all do so. But here are some key snippets that tell us all we really need to know about “experts” in any field:

The integrators [those who had expertise in multiple fields] outperformed their colleagues in pretty much every way, but especially trounced them on long-term predictions. Eventually, Tetlock bestowed nicknames (borrowed from the philosopher Isaiah Berlin) on the experts he’d observed: The highly specialized hedgehogs knew “one big thing,” while the integrator foxes knew “many little things.”

Hedgehogs are deeply and tightly focused. Some have spent their career studying one problem. Like Ehrlich and Simon, they fashion tidy theories of how the world works based on observations through the single lens of their specialty. Foxes, meanwhile, “draw from an eclectic array of traditions, and accept ambiguity and contradiction,” Tetlock wrote. Where hedgehogs represent narrowness, foxes embody breadth.

Incredibly, the hedgehogs performed especially poorly on long-term predictions within their specialty. They got worse as they accumulated experience and credentials in their field. The more information they had to work with, the more easily they could fit any story into their worldview.

One study compiled a decade of annual dollar-to-euro exchange-rate predictions made by 22 international banks: Barclays, Citigroup, JPMorgan Chase, and others. Each year, every bank predicted the end-of-year exchange rate. The banks missed every single change of direction in the exchange rate. In six of the 10 years, the true exchange rate fell outside the entire range of all 22 bank forecasts.

Tetlock, along with his wife and collaborator, the psychologist Barbara Mellers, ran a team named the Good Judgment Project. Rather than recruit decorated experts, they issued an open call for volunteers. After a simple screening, they invited 3,200 people to start forecasting. Among those, they identified a small group of the foxiest forecasters—bright people with extremely wide-ranging interests and unusually expansive reading habits, but no particular relevant background—and weighted team forecasts toward their predictions. They destroyed the competition.

And here is the real killshot:

Tetlock and Mellers found that not only were the best forecasters foxy as individuals, but they tended to have qualities that made them particularly effective collaborators. They were “curious about, well, really everything,” as one of the top forecasters told me.

“Curious about…everything.” Think about that for a moment: My most persistent criticism of both pollsters and pundits is that they are singularly lacking in curiosity. They are stuck in their little New York City or Inside-the-Beltway echo chambers and never make any effort to venture out of them. They are comfortable; they are content; they love existing in a tiny, insulated world in which they are recognized as somehow being someone special. To venture out of that comfort zone is to risk that feeling of special-ness.

The average margin of error among pollsters in Wisconsin in 2016 was 6 percentage points. Yet, the conceit of every one of those “expert” pollsters is their methods produce results with only a 2-3 point “margin of error.” If you point that out to them, you invariably get some flippant insult or sarcastic retort, but never any sort of thoughtful, introspective admission that their methods are frankly crap.

The same is true of pundits and journalists.  Charles Krauthamer, who I admired throughout his career and life, was wrong about literally every aspect of the GOP’s 2015-16 nominating contest in general, and Donald Trump specifically. In that studious and stubborn wrongness, he had plenty of company. Pretty much every other recognized Inside-the-Beltway pundit was similarly wrong.

These folks were 180 degrees wrong because they never ventured outside of the Beltway to actually talk to some Trump supporters and try to figure out who they really were and what they were really thinking. That same refusal to learn was also shared by all pollsters except for Scott Rasmussen and pretty much every working reporter and editor in every national media outlet. They all hated being constantly proved wrong, hated the people who were responsible for their wrongness, and thus refused to make any effort to learn about them and understand how they think. They clung to their biases and preconceived misconceptions because are the very things that drive their own personal self-esteem.

To this day, in fact, two-and-a-half years after the 2016 election, almost none of these “experts” have ever made that effort. They remain ignorant, hived up in their echo chambers, and thus remain constantly wrong about pretty much everything.

So, why do the media-recognized “experts” seem to be consistently wrong about pretty much everything?

Because they are. It isn’t your imagination.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Biden’s Fading, Beto’s Flailing, and DeBlasio’s Just Wasting Everyone’s Time

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

I know it’s a repugnant subject, but let’s talk Democrat politics this morning. – First, we’ve had Irish Bob O’Rourke re-boot his failed campaign this week, and boy what a massive fail that has been. As part of his “reintroduction to America”, he live-streamed himself having a haircut and massage! I swear I do not make this stuff up.:

Oh, he also appeared with the four nagging, substance-devoid shrews on The View, which I suppose meant that Tuesday’s episode of The View actually featured five nagging, substance-devoid shrews. There, he apologized for his being white, male and privileged, and the very next day he’s got a video up of him having a hair cut and massage.  Why do I get the feeling that, before the week is over, Irish Bob is going to announce that next week he will re-re-boot his failed campaign?

Here’s the amazing thing about that video: Some supposedly “professional” campaign advisors told Irish Bob that that was just a fab-o idea. Well, they probably didn’t use the term “fab-o” since they’re probably all under the age of 80 or so, but still.

Seriously, who in their right mind would think that this is a good look for their candidate? No wonder Donald Trump decided not to listen to such “professional” advisors during his 2015-16 campaign.

Speaking of truly awful political ideas… – Bill DeBlasio is now a candidate for president! Aren’t y’all thrilled out there in Flyover Country? Yeah, neither are the people whose lives he has helped to make miserable – the citizens of New York City – 76% of whom told a pollster this week that their communist Mayor really should not go down this road.

The James-Comey-tall Mayor first announced his candidacy at a Monday event Trump Tower, which some idiot told him was a very clever idea. That is, until he was mocked by protesters riding down the escalator behind him carrying pro-Trump signs. How is it that none of these campaign “professionals” thought that it might be a lousy idea to place their candidate in front of a public escalator?

The Marxist Mayor then traveled to Iowa for a kickoff rally. There, the people who printed the signage for the event misspelled his name as “DiBlasio”. Since only a few dozen showed for the event – and who knows how many of them could even read – it didn’t really much matter.

In any event, DeBlasio joins New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand as Empire State presidential candidates who have literally no rationale at all for entering this race. They will both leave the race without having won a single delegate to next year’s national convention.

Hey, there’s nobody in the field named George yet – maybe he should run, too! – Over in London, dimwitted actor George Clooney told the assembled press that “we are facing a pretty absurd time in our lives.” No word if he was referring to the 2020 Democrat presidential field, but he should have been.

The Biden Juggernaut is already fading. – When Joe Biden kicked off his campaign at the first of May, I told you that he would experience the best polling numbers of the entire campaign season in the first 2-3 weeks following his announcement. Sure enough, he did put up some phenomenal numbers in the first few polls issued early this month, rising to as high as 46% support in a poll put out by The Hill and 44% in the Harvard/Harris poll. Very impressive given the number of candidates in the field.

But very predictably, the bloom is already coming off the Biden rose, as the excitement among the deluded Democrat voter base fades and the reality of the energy-devoid, elderly candidate-who-has-been-wrong-about-everything-for-half-a-century sets in.

We’ve seen two new polls this week, and Biden is sub-40% in both, sitting at 39% in Morning Consult and 33% in the Emerson poll. The Emerson poll is the most current, having been conducted from May 10 through May 14.

Karl Rove, whose political analyses stopped being in any way relevant along about April of 2015, was on Fox News on Wednesday marveling at Biden’s 23-point lead over The Commie in the also no-longer-relevant RealClearPolitics average of polls, but that lead will be down to less than 10 in a month, and will be completely gone by October.

Joe Biden is this cycle’s Jeb! Bush, the guy with all the establishment support, a ton of money, zero energy and, at the end of the day, zero appeal to the people who actually vote in these nominating primaries. I still think his campaign ought to just start calling him Joe! and get it all over with.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Dying CNN Fakes up a Poll for Foundering Beto

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Another day, another fake poll. – The Democrats and their media enablers have apparently decided it’s time to try to revive the moribund campaign of their former “next Kennedy”, Irish Bob O’Rourke. With the fake Hispanic’s support among Democrats mired in the mid-single digits for the last six weeks, party leaders and fake media mavens hoping their party’s primary season will produce an interesting race that doesn’t quickly boil down to a depressing slog between two near-octogenarians know that means they need their precious “Beto” up on stage waving his arms around and promising to use his office to ban everything from reliable electricity to guns to Tylenol.

So, what’s the easiest way to rev up Democrat base-voter interest in a candidate? Why, get the news-fakers over at CNN to dummy up a fake poll showing that Irish Bob is the one guy among the 20 or so circus clowns lined up to seek the nomination who can not just defeat, but wallop President Donald Trump in the 2020 general election. You betcha.

Presto! CNN has a new poll of “registered voters” this morning pretending to show that Precious Beto would beat the President in a head-to-head race by a 52-42 margin! It’s like magic, I tell ya!

Here are the fake poll’s full top-line results:

In a new poll Beto O'Rourke emerged as the most likely to take out President Donald Trump if he were to run against him in the general elections. Of six top Democratic candidates, those polled favored five of them over Trump

In addition to its obvious, blatant effort to pump up support for the Party’s fake Hispanic – hey, why do the party and its captive media continue to ignore the real Texas Hispanic in the race, Julian Castro? –  this poll is designed to serve a couple of other purposes:

  • Put a leash on the Democrats’ fake Indian, Elizabeth Warren, who amazingly has begun to show a little momentum among Democrat voters who, after all, love to be lied to; and
  • Reassure the restless among the Democrat base that the Party’s strategy of desperately trying to keep its whole “Russia Collusion” fantasy alive right through Election Day, 2020 is working.

So, just like the New York Times has done the past couple of days with their carefully-planted fake stories designed to support the Deep State narrative, when the Democrat Party poobahs need a favor, no fake news outlet is more willing to whip it out than America’s least-favorite news-flasher, despicable old CNN.

The irony here is that the Democrat Party’s “Russia Collusion” strategy obviously is failing, and the best way to tell that is by looking at CNN’s own ratings, which have crashed through the floor since the release of the Mueller Report and its revelation that there never was any “collusion” to begin with. At least, not by anyone involved in the Trump Campaign.

The fake news network’s ratings declined by an amazing 26% in April compared to March, as the fantasy it had used to attract viewers for two solid years came up a crapper. That’s an even more amazing 41% below the network’s average rating from April, 2018. If our nation’s airports stopped their mysterious practice of giving CNN a monopoly on their captive travelers, the cable network would have almost no viewers at all.

The big problem here for the Democrats is that they really don’t have anything else other than hate and division and lies to offer the American people. Those three things form the entire basis of their Party’s reason for existing today. There is no more there there. So they have no choice but to keep doubling and tripling and quadrupling down on the only things they know to do anymore.

That means that CNN, the New York Times and all the other fake media outlets in our national fake media universe are left with no choice but to double and triple and quadruple down right along with their masters.

What a sad and destructive existence these people lead.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Biden, Bernie, Buttigieg and Beto: The Democrat Killer Bs Lineup is Complete

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, Biden’s announcing today – we need some fake polls! – And just like clockwork, Morning Consult produces one! It’s almost like it was pre-planned, designed by fake-polling Democrat activists to coincide with Creepy Uncle Joe’s announcement, right? But that couldn’t be the case, could it?

Well, sure it could. And it was. This stuff happens every day in Democrat/media/pollster world. Here’s the graphic that accompanies Morning Consult’s “online poll” – the word “online” means “utterly without any validity whatsoever” – released overnight:

Now, if you believe any of that, I want some of what you’re drinking, ‘cuz it must be real gooood.

Start with the Trump overall support number of 34% among “registered voters.” First, it’s an online poll – how in the world would Morning Consult know if respondents are even real people and not fake accounts created by those nefarious Russians, much less whether anyone who responds happens to be properly registered to vote?

But back to the 34%: President Donald Trump has a 49% public approval rating in the latest Rasmussen survey, which has been the most accurate polling operation in the country over the last two election cycles. He’s at 45% in the HarrisX survey, and even in the useless RealClearPolitics average of polls – which mysteriously still insists on including polls from news outlets and the hysterically fake Reuters – has him at 43.4%.

Does anyone really believe that, if all these “likely voters” surveyed by Rasmussen (one of a handful that bothers to structure its sample on those most likely to actually vote) go to the polls, almost 1/3rd of them would abandon the sitting President who has delivered the strongest economy in modern times to vote for Joe Freakin’ Biden? Please.

But enough about fake polls.

Biden’s long-anticipated and long-delayed entrance into the race today (which he announced by posting a carefully-constructed video on Twitter so he couldn’t screw anything up) completes the Democrat field for all intents and purposes. Other no-accounts like New York City Governor Bill DeBlasio might still jump in, but hey, the field is already chock full of communists, so he’d be wasting his time. The reality is that Biden is the last candidate who matters, which is part of the reason why he’s waited so long to formally announce.

Biden now joins the party’s other three B-listers (there apparently are no A-listers available), the pasty-faced lineup of white guys who are giving the Party’s social justice warrior-filled voter base heartburn: Bernie, Buttigieg and Beto, i.e., The Commie, Mayor Pete and Irish Bob O’Rourke.

Yes, the Killer Bs have come back to life in this race, and, according Morning Consult, they are taking almost all of the SJW air out of the identity politics room, combining for 69% support. That total goes as low as 59% if you want to believe Monmouth’s poll, or as high as 70% if you choose to look at Emerson. Regardless, the Killer Bs aren’t leaving a lot of room for the women, fake Indians and minority candidates to break through the white guy wall.

But don’t worry, all you SJWs, this will not last for long. Joe Biden might as well brand his campaign “Joe!” because he’s just “Jeb!” all over again, a completely out-of-place, unexciting dinosaur who will spend a ton of money and be out of the race shortly after the New Hampshire primary, if not before.

The most fascinating part of Biden’s campaign will be watching to see how he deals with all the attacks that are coming his way from the SJW crowd – like his 40 year-old statement that gay people in key federal employee roles are a security risk because they’re susceptible to blackmail – and the looming scandal over the billion-dollar sweetheart deal with the Ukraine that he set up for his son’s firm to profit from. Combine those things with his half-century history of inappropriate touching of women and children, and he presents an awful lot of problems for the fake news media to cover up.

The reality for Biden is that today is most likely the best polling day he will have in this race, and it’s all downhill from here.

Irish Bob O’Rourke is probably on a similar trajectory at this point. His polling numbers spiked up above 10% for a few weeks after he finally announced, but are now mired in the mid-single digits and not showing any positive signs. He has not only lost his “rising star” media-fed mojo to Mayor Pete, but he’s also running a completely meaningless, substance-devoid campaign.

Irish Bob’s campaign is like an episode of Seinfeld: A show about nothing starring a cynical clown who makes a living telling fake stories to small audiences. His entire basis for running was the foundation of support he’d receive from a fawning media. But he waited too long to announce, and the fickle media turned its eye to Mayor Pete. It’s hard to see how Irish Bob stages a breakthrough at this point in such a crowded field.

Mayor Pete and The Commie are the Killer Bs with a real future in this race: The Commie because he’s a true, committed commie and Mayor Pete because he’s the media’s current prom date and can easily run just slightly to the right of The Commie and pretend to be a mere socialist. Mayor Pete’s other advantage is that, being gay, he ticks off one of the major SJW boxes that sort of dims his otherwise-glaring white-maleness.

I still think that Andrew Yang will make some noise in this race, but not until the televised debates begin this summer. He’s a very non-conventional thinker in a Marxist lunatic sort of way, and he will really stand out in that format. And we should also expect Spartacus Booker to have a little boomlet at some point, because he is also really adept at attracting media attention. Julian Castro might also jump up the polling ladder at some point, because sooner or later the creeps in the fake news media are going to feel very guilty about ignoring the only real Hispanic candidate in the race.

But the field is set and the Democrats’ Star Wars bar scene cast is now complete. It’s off to the races, and oh, what a frightening display it’s all going to be.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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