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Dem Debate: Clipping Coupons, Stealing Your Money, and Confiscating Guns

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

I didn’t watch last night’s Democrat debate, because I’m sane and would prefer to stay that way. Besides, there was baseball on TV. But I did follow the festivities in real time on social media, and quickly realized I didn’t miss anything that wasn’t entirely predictable.

For example, there was this lovely moment, when the two near-octogenarians in the race, perhaps surprised to see each other still alive and kicking, gave each other a big hug:

Image may contain: 1 person, suit

Awwww, isn’t that cute? It’s like that big family reunion back in 1963 when both of your great-grandpas showed up together for the last time.

Speaking of Quid Pro Joe, he got the very predicable special handling from CNN hack Anderson Cooper, who prefaced a question about his bullying of the Ukraine in order to protect is ne’er-do-well son with “You have been falsely accused by the White House…”, and bumbling ‘Ol Joe was barely able to take it from there. If Cooper could’ve taken him by the hand and walked him through an answer, you can be sure he would have done so.

At other times, though, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator didn’t fare quite so well. Check out this clip, when he’s asked by some chick about the Marxist “wealth tax” scheme being touted by The Commie and Fauxcahontas:

That’s right: He literally said “clipping coupons in the stock market.” He apparently thinks Nabisco often runs “2 for 1 specials” on purchases of its stock, and General Motors offers 5 year, 0 percent financing from time to time.

In case you couldn’t understand the rest of his gibberish answer, here’s everything he said, verbatim:

“No, look, er, ah,um, demonizing wealth people, what I’ve talked about is how you get things done. And the way to get things done is take a look at the tax code right now.  The idea, we have to start rewarding work not just wealth. I would eliminate the capital gains tax [rapid blinking and scrunch face occurs here] that i..I w, I would raise the capital gains tax to the highest l.., rate of 39.5 percent, would double it. Because guess what? Why in God’s name should someone who’s clipping coupons in the stock market make, in fact, pay lower tax rate than someone who in fact is, uh, like I said, is, th, uh,  a school teacher and a fireman.”

Got that? So, all you stock market coupon clippers better put those scissors away and go out and get a job teaching or putting out fires. Because that’s the world Quid Pro Joe lives in these days.

In another highlight, Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, who remains the only actual interesting person on the Democrat stage, ripped into the two main drivers of today’s fake news media, CNN and the New York Times. Hilariously, those two fake news outlets also happened to be the hosts of last night’s debate. Here’s the clip:

For those who still like to read things, here is the key passage:

“Not only that, but, the New York Times and CNN have also smeared veterans like myself for calling for an end to this regime change war. Just two days ago, the New York Times put out an article saying that I’m a Russian asset and an Assad apologist and all these different smears. This morning, a CNN commentator said on national television that I’m an asset of Russia. Completely despicable.”

Boom. Don’t hear language like that about our fake news media coming from any of the other Democrats on that stage, mainly because the New York Times and CNN treat them all with kid gloves.

But maybe the best part came when Irish Bob O’Rourke appeared to question the political courage of Navy veteran Pete Buttigieg, and that did not go well for the Texas dilettante:

Oof.

In an interview released earlier on Tuesday, O’Rourke also signaled that his pending failure to win the Democrat nomination would likely end his amazingly mediocre political career, saying “I cannot fathom a scenario where I would run for public office again if I’m not the nominee.”

All of his former fantasy lovers at various Texas and national fake media outlets would be heartbroken, but those words fall on most Texans like manna from heaven.

Note to Beto: You aren’t winning anything in this race, given that your campaign has been the most laughable, miserable, epic failure this year has seen. So, please, keep your word, for once.

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To sum up the rest: Julian Castro told a bunch of lies about immigration, Fauxcahontas refused again to admit she is going to raise taxes on the middle class, Kamala Harris bumbled and stumbled all over herself, Andrew Yang barely got any airtime, Cory Booker continued sucking up to Creepy Uncle Joe, Tom Steyer was on the stage but nobody knew why, or even who in the hell he was, and everyone went after Fauxcahontas at one time or another because she’s the real frontrunner in the race.

But in the most important news of the evening, the Nationals beat the Cardinals to sweep to their first-ever National League pennant.

That is all.

P.S.: As I was typing this piece up this morning, President Donald Trump summed last night’s festivities up perfectly:

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Bernie is Toast, Biden is Close

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Bernie Sanders’ presidential hopes are over, although he may not realize it yet. – The Commie had to undergo surgery to implant multiple stents into his 78 year-old heart, and has cancelled a bunch of planned campaign events over the next couple of weeks so he can recover. Although this can be a fairly minor procedure for a younger person – I had one placed into my left ventricular artery at age 55 and was back to full speed within a few weeks – it can be far more difficult for a person of Sanders’ advanced age.

But the speed of his recovery doesn’t even matter here: Sanders was already finding it impossible to move his polling numbers much above 15% due in part to the impression among many Democrats that he is just too old for the job he seeks. Suffering a heart attack in the midst of the campaign – and yes, if he was having chest pains, any doctor will tell you that he did indeed suffer a heart attack – will only serve to build that perception among many more voters, who will now begin to cast their eyes in the direction of the other, younger unquestioned Marxist in the race, Fauxcahontas.

The near-certain outcome will be that we will see Sanders’ polling numbers drop into single digits over the next few weeks, and a commensurate rise in support for Little Mouth Always Running.

Speaking of the Fake Indian running, check out the greeting she received from Nevada voters when her plane landed out there on Wednesday:

Not exactly the reception that Princess I’m Gonna Take Your Wampum expected. But that’s the price we can expect more and more Democrats to pay for their support for San Fran Nan’s sham impeachment circus as Trump supporters become increasingly engaged in public activism and protest.

Meanwhile, the campaign of Quid Pro Joe Biden, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, is now hanging by a thread. While Biden’s foundering campaign did not quite meet my prediction that his lead would have disappeared by October 1, he sure came close.

In fact, Lieawatha actually now holds the lead in 4 of the 7 most recent polls taken in the race, according to Real Clear Politics, and she and Biden are in a statistical tie in a fifth poll taken by Emerson. In fact, only one of those polls was even partially conducted in October, and that one – by The Economist/YouGov – shows the Fake Indian holding a 6 point lead. The two clear outlier polls, both showing Biden with 11 point leads, were taken entirely in September.

Given that reality, I think I’ll declare half a victory on this particular prediction, made back in April when Crazy Uncle Joe kicked off his campaign with a near-30 point lead. There is now little doubt that his lead will disappear entirely when the first polls conducted entirely in October are published over the next two weeks.

For the  rest of the field, just a few trends to note:

  • Kamala Harris is on life support. She announced early this week that she is shaking up her staff, but that won’t help. The candidate is the problem with her campaign. She is just a horrible candidate, and shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic won’t change that.
  • Preacher Pete is your basic 6% candidate now, and his trendline has been essentially static since June. His consistent ZERO support from African American voters means he has no real chance in the race for the nomination, and that won’t change. The only reason for him to hang around is in the hopes of becoming arm candy for Fauxcahontas in the general election.
  • Andrew Yang had a $10 million fundraising haul in the third quarter, which places him in the top 4 in this pitiful field. He had one exciting moment when he came in at 8% in the Emerson poll last week, but that’s a clear statistical anomaly given that he is at 2 or 3 in every other poll. Another potential vice presidential nominee, but no chance to win the big prize.
  • Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Irish Bob O’Rourke and Amy Klobuchar are all dead as door nails, but they will linger through the next debate in mid-October in the vain hopes of having some breakthrough moment on that crowded stage.
  • The only other declared candidate worth mentioning is Tulsi Gabbard, who had a chance to be the only actual interesting person on stage when she initially came out in opposition to Pelosi’s Impeachment Circus. But she lost that not even 48 hours later when she reversed her posture. Thus, she’ll be just another hack with no chance of truly distinguishing herself in that next debate.

Then there’s the Pantsuit Princess, the thus-far-undeclared candidate in this race. The Fainting Felon has raised eyebrows by putting herself back in the public spotlight with a series of speaking events this week, raising the spectre that she might decide to become a late entrant into the campaign season as Biden falters.

From a pure self-defense standpoint, that appeared to make some sense late last week, as the corrupt news media assisted Biden by claiming the President’s rhetoric about Biden’s clear pay-for-play selling of his vice presidential office related to Ukraine, China and other countries amounted to a Trump attack on a political rival rather than an effort to identify clear corruption. But that particular line of BS has very quickly lost its utility as this week has progressed and the damning video of Biden bragging about engaging in his clear bullying of the Ukraine government on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son gained traction with the public.

Would the Grasping Grifter attempt a similar tactic, declaring herself to be a candidate to try to give herself political cover against the increasingly aggressive investigation led by Attorney General William Barr? She might, but she would fail even more miserably than Biden is failing with that line of BS.

Only time will tell. I still think her plan is to wait it out and hope to become the party’s savior at a hung convention.

Given all of that, here are my updated odds on who the eventual Democrat nominee will be:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

Someone not currently declared – 3 to 2

Quid Pro Joe – 20 to 1

The Commie – 50 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

Kamala – 100 to 1

Andrew Yang – 100 to 1

The rest of the declared field – DEAD

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Biden Lead is Crashing Like the 1929 Stock Market

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.

As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.

Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?

The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.

That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.

Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:

Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.

Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.

The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.

–  Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they  might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.

Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.

The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.

All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.

This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.

Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:

Fauxcahontas – Even money

Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1

Biden – 5 to 1

The Commie – 20 to 1

Preacher Pete – 50 to 1

Kamala – 50 to 1

The Field – 100  to 1

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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You Are a Child, Robert Francis O’Rourke

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Give him credit, the dude knows how to get attention. – Irish Bob O’Rourke has always been an attention-seeker, and he’s always been good at it.

From his college career as a furry drunk-driving punk rocker and inept burglar, to his do-nothing terms in congress, to his failed challenge of Ted Cruz in 2018 to his rumblin’ stumblin’ bumblin’ three-time-re-booted presidential campaign, Irish Bob has always been able to gain the attention of an eager fake news media, the public and his opponents. The problem for him, his long-suffering parents and now his political party has been that his efforts to grab attention seem to pretty much always end in failure, often in disaster.

The past few days have provided a prime example of O’Rourke getting an unwarranted level of attention that will almost certainly redound disastrously for the Democrat Party. Think about it: Here is a guy who is barely averaging 2% in the national polling who yet again became the major topic of conversation on the Sunday morning talk shows. It all started last Thursday during the latest Democrat debate when O’Rourke uttered the threat, “Hell, yes we are going to take your AR-15, your AK-47.”

Call it the threat heard round the world. In making that threat, that “we” are coming for your guns, and having not one single other person on that stage rebut him, O’Rourke overtly committed not only himself but all the other contenders for the Democrat Party’s presidential nomination to doing what every gun owner in America has always known the leftists ultimately want to do, which is coming to get our guns.

That, after all, is the most important step in the creation of a fascist state, which is something the Democrat Party has been working diligently towards for the last century now. Fascist thuggery requires a docile, disarmed public, and Democrats from Franklin Roosevelt to George McGovern to Dianne Feinstein to Barack Obama to Bernie Sanders have been hinting around about gun confiscation for decades now, while always being careful to couch it in deceptive talking points designed to convince voters that it’s just baby steps, that they’re not coming for ALL of your guns and besides, it’s all for your own good.

But not Irish Bob. Irish Bob needed attention to try to re-re-re-re-boot his flailing campaign one more time, so he just blurted it out, right there on live national television. O’Rourke made a modest effort to sort of walk back his remarks on Sunday, but too late: The jack-booted cat is out of the bag now, and there’s no going back.

Delaware Senator Chris Coons gets it: “I’m a gun owner,” Coons said Friday in an interview on CNN. “My sons and I have gone skeet shooting and hunting and, frankly, I don’t think having our presidential candidates, like Congressman O’Rourke did, say that we’re going to try and take people’s guns against their will is a wise either policy or political move. That that clip will be played for years at Second Amendment rallies with organizations that try to scare people by saying Democrats are coming for your guns.”

Yes, it will. Because that’s what the Democrats ultimately will be doing if they ever regain full power in Washington.

Preacher Pete Buttigieg echoed Coons’s comments on CNN later on Sunday afternoon. You can bet other Democrats confronted with Irish Bob’s attention-seeking comments will be doing the same as their Party desperately attempts to crawfish its way back under cover of its deceptive talking points this week.

Irish Bob’s real problem is that he is still a child emotionally. He was probably largely ignored by his parents as a toddler, and figured out he could get their attention by throwing fits. Even in his mid-40s, he is still that 10 year-old brat at the beach who sits and watches as three other kids spend an hour carefully building a sand castle and then rushes in to kick it down just as they’re about to be finished.

In the wake of the tragic El Paso shootings in August, the shameless opportunist has now tried both approaches to bring attention onto himself. First, he decided the best way to exploit the tragedy was to be the loudest Democrat blaming it all on President Donald Trump. He figured the best way to be the focus of attention would be to drop a lot of F-Bombs while branding the President as a “white supremacist.”

When that third re-booting of his campaign by tossing a toddler fit didn’t work out for him amidst the cacophony of fellow Democrats deploying the same strategy, he realized he had to re-group. That was when he landed on the strategy of kicking down the gun confiscation sand castle his Party has spent a century constructing.

And just like that, with one nationally-televised kick of Irish Bob’s boot, that sand castle of deception has been washed away with the tide.

GOP Congressman Briscoe Cain got it right on Friday when he told O’Rourke, “You are a child, Robert Francis.”

Emotionally, that is absolutely true. But once again, Irish Bob the child got his attention, and that’s all that matters to him.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Democrat Clown Car is on the Fast Track to a Brokered Convention

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Are you ready for a deadlocked Democrat convention next year? – Because that’s where all of this Democrat traveling clown show is headed.

Fauxcahontas is now an even more-clear favorite to get to the convention with the most delegates next July, although her chances of arriving there with a full majority needed to win on the first ballot remain small. Hell, she’s already playing the role of the front-runner in the debates.

Last night in Houston, she stood quietly for the most part while also-ran doofuses like Irish Bob O’Rourke and Julian Castro and Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang shouted and gesticulated and poured out the “I’m gonna grab your guns” and “Trump’s a racist” red meat for the party’s lunatic Twitter-outraged base. During the debate’s first hour, almost 20 minutes went by in between times when Little Mouth Always Running actually opened her mouth on stage, as all the nitwits around her tried to tear each other apart. That could be an all-time record for Princess 1/1024th.

While Yang was promising to have his campaign illegally pay out $1,000 a month for the next 12 months to twelve families in order to buy their votes, Preacher Pete was trying to get everybody to sing his own particular weird version of Kumbaya, Castro was cracking jokes about Biden’s advanced age, The Commie was trying to croak out some Bolshevik nostrums from his 77 year-old sore throat, Kamala was cackling like an evil character from a 1950s Disney movie, O’Rourke was promising to come grab everybody’s guns and trying to figure out exactly when to toss out an f-bomb and Klobuchar was getting ready to start throwing notebooks at the moderators, the fake Indian was doing her best imitation of Sitting Bull, calmly observing the fray and happy to let her enemies destroy one another.

It was a smart strategy. Whatever else one thinks about Sen. Warren, you cannot deny that she’s strategically smart. I mean, hell, she spent a virtual lifetime pretending to be someone she isn’t in order to advance her career before Trump came along and exposed her fraud to the world. That alone tells you she’s a clever schemer.

She’s clever enough to understand that being a life-long fraud is in fact a badge of honor in a Democrat presidential nominating contest, and so there she was last night, standing right in the middle of that stage next to Biden. She probably came into last night planning to take some shots of her own at Biden, but quickly realized that Castro and Harris and other were doing a fine job of exposing the elderly hack for what he is.

That quick thinking also shows she knows her own limitations. She has to understand that her angry school-marm voice and speaking tone quickly begins to grate and irritate, so why overdo that during a 3-hour debate that was viewed by millions?

As for Biden, if it weren’t for the fact that he’s been such a despicable swamp creature hack for so many decades it would be sad watching his visible decline on national television. His cognitive functions are so clearly limited now that it is visible on his face every time he’s asked a question for which he hasn’t been coached, or one that touches on an uncomfortable subject. If you can stand it, go watch a replay of the debate on Youtube. You can see Biden visibly recoil and squeeze his eyes shut whenever he’s asked a question that surprises him, which was typically from another candidate, not the accommodating moderators.

I’ve been telling you since April that Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and he’d be out of the race entirely after next March 4, Super Tuesday. He’s right on schedule to meet that calendar, especially after his performance last night. The more he gets exposed to the public, the worse he looks.

As for the others, Harris is done. She is an awful campaigner and frankly a horrid debater. Everything about her screams insincerity and meanness.

Sanders will also fade after this croaking performance. Democrat voters are all about optics and the feels, and a 78 year-old croaking at them for three hours will make them feel all nervous and stuff.

Irish Bob is a furry circus clown who just announced the fourth re-boot of his campaign in six months. He’s to the point where even shallow Democrat voters think he’s a shallow opportunist.

Julian Castro never has been in any way relevant in this race, and his low attacks on Biden last night won’t change that.

Preacher Pete is cute as a button and might look good as arm-candy for Fauxcahontas in a general election race.

Cory Booker is Cory Booker and always will be, so no one should take him seriously in this race.

Yang is just weird. What was going on with that top button on his shirt last night? Everyone kept waiting for it to pop open and expose some odd tattoo and thus only heard about 1 out of 7 words he had to say. Again, Democrat voters are all about optics and feels, dude. Get a shirt that fits.

Klobuchar is just the angry version of Kirstin Gillibrand. No reason for her to be up there in the first place. She’s just wasting everybody’s time.

I feel like I’m forgetting somebody here, but honestly, I don’t care.

Here are my updated odds for the 2020 Democrat nomination after last night’s atrocity:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

The Commie – 10 to 1

Biden – 50 to 1

Harris – 100 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

The Field – 100 to 1

Someone not yet in the race – Even odds

Brokered convention, here we come.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Why Elizabeth Warren is now the Clear Favorite in the Democrat Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, President Donald Trump has yet another new “challenger.” – Complete with blaring headlines at the increasingly leftwing Drudge Report, South Carolina Congressman and former Governor Mark Sanford has decided to jump into the race. He joins former Massachusetts Governor William Weld and former Congressman Joe Not-the-Eagles-Singer Walsh as a kind of NeverTrump cordon of sacrificial lambs who I guess will try to raise money and run in the various caucuses and primaries.

All three of these guys are your basic circus clowns. Weld is an ultra-liberal Democrat in a Brooks Brothers suit who does stuff like this because he can’t find any legitimate work. Walsh is a talk radio host who no longer has a talk radio program. Sanford is the guy who ran out on his family with his Argentinian girlfriend for two weeks while serving as Governor, and then claimed to have been “hiking the Appalachian Trail” when he re-surfaced.

These are the guys who NeverTrump puppet masters like Bill Kristol and Mitt Romney believe are fit to wrest the GOP 2020 nomination away from a sitting President with an extraordinary record of success. You might do better running Larry, Curly and Moe. At least they’d be entertaining.

Fauxcahontas Rising. – Despite the ongoing best efforts by our fake national news media to cover for his increasingly obvious loss of his faculties, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator continues his slow fade in the polling data.

The latest bit of distressing news for Creepy Uncle Joe comes from the CBS News Battleground poll of early primary/caucus states. This poll attempts to measure voter attitudes in the 17 states that will take us through Super Tuesday next March 3. Those 17 states include Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina early on, and then conclude with both California and Texas in March.

Thus, it isn’t surprising that both Kamala Harris and Irish Bob O’Rourke land among the top 6 Democrats in overall support in these early states, given the massive presence of their respective home states. It is a little surprising how poorly those two fare overall, with Harris coming in at 8% support and O’Rourke barely registering at 4%.

But it’s the top of the rankings that really matters, and coming in at #1 in terms of overall voter support is not Joe Biden, but Fauxcahontas, the biggest fraud in the race. Which should surprise no one, given the historic Democrat voter preference for lifelong frauds like John Kerry, Al Gore, Barack Obama and Bill and Hillary Clinton to be the standard bearer for their party.

Little Mouth Always Running comes in at 26% support among the registered Democrats surveyed in these 17 early states, with Creepy Uncle Joe close behind (as he always seems to be with the nearest woman) at 25%. The Commie registers at 19% and Mayor Pete makes a cute little political sandwich in between Harris and O’Rourke, landing at 6%.

Those percentages are a little misleading, though, because the delegate count is what would really matter. CBS projects those numbers in this table:

delegates-overall.jpg

So, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator retains a slight edge in that measure, though far short of the 748 he would need to constitute a pace to win a first-ballot majority at the DNC Convention. And looky there: Amy Klobuchar jumps into the top 6 to replace Preacher Pete, who is nowhere to be seen.

In keeping with its campaign to prop up the Serial Gaffer, CBS leads its write-up on the poll by saying, “This poll tells a story of Elizabeth Warren rising. But not Joe Biden falling.” Which is, of course, abject nonsense.

Let’s go back to April, when Biden announced his candidacy. Then, he started this race with a huge, 20+ point lead in pretty much every poll, registering at or above the 40% level in all of them. In this new poll, just five months later, he’s down to 25% in the 17 states that will essentially decide the race for all intents and purposes, and now trailing a woman who has spent her entire adult life pretending to be someone she is not for professional and financial gain.

True, he is still doing slightly better in the national polls, where he’s averaging about 29% support in the RealClearPolitics average. And the lead he still owns is due strictly to two factors: Very strong support among African-Americans, who don’t much care for all the radical socialists in the race, and this perception that he’s the most electable candidate in a general election against President Trump.

That’s all well and good for now, but here’s Biden’s real problem: The Democrat voter base has become ultra-radicalized, and is not likely to ultimately settle for an elderly white guy (Biden will be closing in on 78 when the Democrat convention comes around next summer) who barely knows where he is most days. Those voters are also not going to settle for an old white guy who still goes around bragging about his old segregationist pals in the 1970s Senate, and who still tells off-color jokes that demean women, Blacks and gays.

Take a look at that RealClearPolitics average again, and add up the percentage of voters who are supporting the radical candidates like Warren, The Commie, Harris, Buttigieg, Yang and O’Rourke: Their support comes in right at 50% to Biden’s 29%. That’s where the heart of the Democrat Party really lies.

Throughout the 2015/2016 GOP nomination contest, I repeatedly advised readers and clients to add up the percentage of primary voters who weighed in their support on behalf of the party’s non-conventional candidates. I included Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul in that category. It was absolutely stunning how consistently their total support came in right at 63% throughout 2015 and through the early primaries. As Carson, Fiorina and Paul left the race, basically all of their support base migrated right over to Trump or Cruz, and they ended up the two finalists in the race (I don’t count Kasich, who stuck around but had basically no real support).

That was where the heart of the GOP voter base was in 2016, and the radical left is where the heart of the Democrat voter base is for the 2020 race. As O’Rourke, Yang and Buttigieg drop out of the race, and The Commie and Harris fall away later on, their voters are going to coalesce not around Biden, but around Fauxcahontas. This is pretty much baked into the cake at this point. Elizabeth Warren is really the odds-on favorite to go into next year’s convention with the highest number of delegates as of today. The big question is whether or not she will be able to the majority required to win on the first ballot.

If you think I’m crazy and still believe that Biden is the big favorite because that’s what all the “experts” are telling you, take a look at history: Since 1968, the early favorite to win a contested Democrat nominating race has only prevailed one time, in 2000, when Al Gore, a sitting vice president, became the nominee.

All the momentum in this race today is with Warren, and it’s pretty hard to see anything that will stop it. Democrat voters love a good fraud, and there is no more accomplished, blatant fraud in the race than Fauxcahontas.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

And Just Like That, Biden’s Lead Evaporated

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:

Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.

But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:

The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.

Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.

But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.

That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?

Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.

The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.

Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2

The Commie – 5 to 1

Harris – 10 to 1

Biden – 100  to 1

Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1

Someone not in the current field – Even money

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time. 

Open post

Democrat Debates, Round 2 Feature Rigged Match-ups of Front-Runners

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

I demand to be a billionaire! um, will that work too, Rashida? – Michigan Bigot Congresswoman Rashida Tlaib told Fake, er, Jake Tapper yesterday that the economy is not growing because of the policies of President Donald Trump, but because…wait for it…THE PEOPLE DEMANDED IT. I swear I don’t make this stuff up. Here’s a link to the video:

Tlaib Flounders While Trying to Explain Why Michigan Shouldn’t Reelect Trump Given Their Economy Recovery

No, Rashida, that does not make sense. Not at all. Go away.

Hooboy. Here we go again. – The second round of Democrat “debates” take place tonight and tomorrow night in Detroit, to be televised on the Democrat activist channel CNN. So, it’ll be a great night to binge “Fixer Upper” or catch up on all those episodes of “Last Man Standing” you’ve missed or maybe watch a baseball game, which is my plan.

I’m not sure which of CNN’s on-air hacks will serve as “moderators”, but does it really matter? Whichever Democrat activist hacks it turns out to be will assuredly pose only the most painless of softball questions to the various circus clowns on stage, and none of the clowns will make any effort to actually answer the question posed anyway. It would be a far more honest endeavor if CNN just gave each of circus clowns 10 minutes or so to recite their standard talking points, because that’s what they’re all going to do.

The only real question over the next two evenings is whether any of the also-rans can recite their talking points in a manner that might allow them to have a break-out moment, like Kamala Harris had during her first debate at the expense of Creepy Uncle Joe. Harris got a big initial boost from that attack – which turned out to have been mostly false, but hey, she’s a Democrat, so that’s ok – temporarily moving her into second place in a few national polls, as Biden’s own poll ratings cratered.

But in the weeks that have followed that event, Biden has slowly regained his poll standing by largely staying out of the public spotlight (the old Hillary Clinton strategy) while Harris, a terrible campaigner, has utterly failed to capitalize on her opportunity and has fallen back into a weak fourth place.

This is where the Democrat debate process – with just a handful of debates spaced a month apart – plays into Biden’s creepy hands. Biden’s a horrible debater in general, and putting his elderly, highly-plasticized face in the national spotlight is never going to be a good thing for him. So, he is going to need weeks to recover from every one of these debate events, and the DNC process will give that to him. The fact that he’s been able to recover from his first debate fiasco is a firm testament to the laughable weakness of the rest of the Democrat field of clowns.

The field enters this week’s debates in almost the same polling positions they occupied entering the first debates, with two notable exceptions. First, The Commie has cratered over the past two weeks, as his poll numbers have fallen from around 20% to the low teens in the most recent round of polls. Fauxcahontas has now firmly assumed second place, trailing Creepy Uncle Joe by 12-14 points.

Second, Irish Bob O’Rourke, who entered the first debates polling around 4-5%, just behind Mayor Pete, has now cratered so badly that he trails Andrew Yang, one of the three actually interesting candidates in the Democrat field. Irish Bob finds himself on-stage tonight with Fauxcahontas, The Commie, Mayor Pete, the mercurial Marianne Williamson, and an assortment of 0-1%-polling irrelevancies who should have already abandoned their vanity campaigns. Tonight is basically Irish Bob’s last stand – he either finds a way to make himself relevant to the process again, or what little ongoing funding he still has will dry up like a West Texas stock tank in a drought.

As I pointed out last time, the Democrats never leave anything to chance, so both night’s panels have been rigged as battles between front-runners who have been trading polling support with each other in the hopes of improving TV ratings. Tonight’s feature match is between The Commie and Fauxcahontas, and you can bet the CNN “moderators” have been instructed to focus most of their questioning on those two.

Wednesday night’s feature match will be between Creepy Uncle Joe and Harris, obviously. No one else on tomorrow night’s stage is polling more than 3%. Aside from the feature bout, the big question will be whether or not Yang can get more than the 3 minutes of air time he got from the MSNBC goons during his first debate and potentially have a breakout moment.

Readers may remember that I predicted back in March that Yang would eventually become one of the “rising stars” of this field, but backed off of that later after Yang had had several awful TV appearances during which he did nothing but robotically recite talking points. Over the last month, though, Yang has gotten out of that noose provided by his “expert” advisors, and begun speaking more extemporaneously. Not surprisingly, we’ve seen his polling numbers begin to creep up as a result.

If he can get fair treatment from CNN’s fake “moderators” – and that’s a very big “if” since the people at the DNC are scared to death of an outsider like Yang – he could finally have the breakout moment he needs to boost his campaign on Wednesday.

Tulsi Gabbard, the only other actual interesting person in the Democrat field besides Yang and Williamson, is also on the Wednesday stage. She also was given very little opportunity to speak by the MSNBC goons, and we’ll just have to wait and see if she is given any more chance on CNN. Given that the folks at the DNC hate her as much as they hate Yang, it’s highly doubtful.

Otherwise, we just have to hope for as much air time as possible for Williamson, just because she’s so damn entertaining.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Brace Yourselves, Because this Democrat Clown Show has Just Begun

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Creepy Joe crashing, Mayor Pete plummeting, the Incredible Shrinking Beto, and more.:  The fallout in the various polls from last week’s Democrat debates has been fast, fierce and entirely predictable. The winners and losers of those debates were obvious, at least in terms of how the demented Democrat voter base would react. As usual, the fake news media and their “experts” and “analysts” had little clue about any of that.

Take Mayor Pete Buttigieg as a great example. All the “expert” talking heads at CNN and MSNBC and Fox ooohed and ahhhed about his simple admission that “I couldn’t get it done” when asked why he’s been unable to do a single damn thing to ease the seething racial tensions in South Bend during his seven long years as Mayor. All the smart people smiled and declared the fake news media’s latest Democrat date as one of the “clear winners” of the second night’s debate. The same pundits and “experts” all marveled again on Friday as Mayor Pete announced that his campaign raised about $24 million during the second quarter of the year, apparently forgetting that President Donald Trump raised that amount in the first 24 hours of his campaign.

We have now had four new polls come out in the wake of the debates (The Hill/HarrisX, Politico/Morning Consult, CNN and Quinnipiac), and Mayor Pete has lost ground from his prior 7% support level in each and every one of them. He’s at a pitiful 4% in the most current poll, from Quinnipiac, and hilariously receives … wait for it … ZERO percent support from Black voters.

Ouch.

Then there’s the Incredible Shrinking Beto, the fake news media’s former fave Democrat date, Irish Bob O’Rourke. Irish Bob was already sucking wind going into the debates, sitting at an average of about 4% support in the various polls. In the four polls released this week, he comes in at 4, 3, 2, and 1. The man is headed to 0 with a bullet.

The goofy and insufferable ex-Texas congressman compounded his horrific debate performance by going to Juarez, Mexico (hey, if you can’t attract support in America, try another country!) the next day and announcing that all these illegal aliens from central America have no choice but to get paid by Soros operatives to travel to the U.S. because of … wait for it … CLIMATE CHANGE. Because of course that’s what he said. Turns out not even most incredibly gullible Democrat voters who love to be lied to are buying into that particular whopper.

I’ve been telling y’all that the once-impressive polling lead held by America’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator would be gone by October. Well, after his wooden, confused and feeble debate performance, that timetable has sped up considerably. Unless some unforeseen sequence of events intervenes, Creepy Uncle Joe will be lucky to lead in any of these polls, real or fake, come late August. In the two most-current of those four polls, CNN and Quinnipiac, his support level that hovered in the mid-40s just two months ago is now down to 22%.

Indeed, after his terrible exchange with Kamala Harris during the debate, Biden finds himself virtually tied with the opportunistic California Senator in Quinnipiac, leading her by just 22% – 20%.  Yikes.

What about Bernie Sanders, you ask? Well, The Commie appears to be on the same path as Irish Bob, albeit with still-higher numbers. In the four polls in question, his numbers have come in at 19, 15, 14, and 13. The old Bolshevik apparently thought it would be a great idea to not prepare for this first debate, and just parrot the same answers he’d given during his debates with the Fainting Felon four years ago. Amazingly, Democrat voters seem to be growing weary of his tiresome Marxist messaging, something no one could have ever possibly predicted, including yours truly.  Go figure.

I also seem to have missed on my prediction that Fauxcahontas would get a boost from being seated at the kiddie table in the first debate with a bunch of people who all were polling at 4% or less. Her numbers are still hovering around 12%, which is right where her average was before the debate took place. I have long suspected that Lieawatha is going to have the same problem experienced by the Coughing Crook, i.e., that the more public exposure she gets, the less the public is going to like her. That dynamic could be kicking in here.

Looking around, it does not appear that any of the myriad other candidates in the race got any sort of real bounce out of the debates. The fake news media has now figured out that Julian Castro is the only actual, real Hispanic candidate and is now doing its best to give him a boost with gobs of free air time, but that is not resulting thus far in any noticeable movement in his numbers. Conversely, the media is still doing everything it can to ignore the only actual interesting people in the race – Tulsi Gabbard, Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson – no doubt adhering to their marching orders from the DNC, which hates them all and wants them out of the race as soon as possible.

The Democrat Party, the party of “diversity,” cannot tolerate anything resembling real diversity of thought in its presidential race, after all.

At the end of the day, the control being exerted by the DNC, in concert with its toadies in the media, is why we see this race rapidly boiling down to what will become a long, tough slog involving Creepy Uncle Joe, The Commie, Kamala, and Fauxcahontas, with Mayor Pete and Cory Booker continuing to hang around yapping at everyone’s heels so long as their money holds out.

If you think this clown show you’ve witnessed thus far is unimpressive, well, you are not alone. You can bet that the Pantsuit Princess is sitting up in Chappaqua, grinning her evil grin as she sips her third chardonnay of the morning, day-dreaming about how she will waltz into next year’s hung convention and present herself as the Party’s savior yet again.

Stranger things have happened, and stranger things will happen again before this is all over.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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