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Harris Drops Out, Leaving a Snowy-White Democrat Field Behind

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[Note: Today’s Campaign Update will be on a delayed morning schedule from November 30 through  December 4.]

What are the Democrats going to do about all these racist…ummm…Democrats???? – Kamala Harris became the latest of the 6,000 or so Democrat presidential candidates to drop out of the race on Tuesday, and naturally the Democrat/Media propaganda complex ran with the “America is a racist nation” narrative in response.

Let’s examine that notion for a moment and take it to its logical conclusion.

Kamala Harris ended her campaign for one reason and one reason only, and that is because registered Democrat voters told liberal pollsters that they don’t plan to vote for the California Democrat Senator in the Democrat Party’s upcoming Democrat primaries and Democrat caucuses. The reality is that, if she wasn’t polling down in the low single digits among these Democrat voters, this Democrat Senator would still be a candidate for the Democrat nomination.

There are no Republicans, or conservatives, or independents involved in this equation. The simple fact of the matter is that Kamala Harris is ending her campaign because she has been utterly and completely rejected by a bunch of racist, sexist….Democrats. That’s according to the Democrat/media’s own narrative.

Faced with this despicably false narrative, it is even more instructive to observe exactly which candidates have managed to gain so much support from Democrat voters that they have forced Harris from the race. According to the RealClearPolitics average of the most current polls, Harris trails five other candidates, all of whom have one thing in common: They are all as white as white can be.

Not a minority among them. No Hispanics, even though the Democrat voters could have shown support for Texan Julian Castro. No Asians, even though Andrew Yang is in the candidate field. No African Americans, even though both Harris and Cory Booker happen to be in the field.

Just a bunch of white folks, and boy, what a collection of white folks they are:

In first place is the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, Quid Pro Joe Biden, a pasty white guy from either Delaware or Pennsylvania depending which side the bed he happens to wake up from each day, a 77 year-old fossil from another time who brags about working with fellow pasty white segregationists during the Nixon Administration and thinks “malarky” makes for a catchy 23-skidoo campaign slogan that will attract Millenial voters.

Next up is The Commie, Bernie Sanders, a 78 year-old pasty white guy from Vermont, a life-long Bolshevik who has never worked a day in the private sector or accomplished anything real in his entire life.

Currently in third place is Little Princess Gonna Take All Your Wampum, Elizabeth Warren. Warren is as white as the driven snow, but managed to advance herself into lucrative positions in life by lying about actually being a Native American. Now, that’s the kind of “diversity” racist Democrat voters really admire.

In fourth place is Preacher Pete, the very white, 37 year-old Mayor of a college town in Indiana who regularly polls at 0% among those racist African American Democrat voters.

Next up is the newly-insurgent Michael Bloomberg, the billionaire ex=Mayor of New York City who is even whiter and older than Creepy Uncle Joe.

Taken together, those five pasty-white, mostly-elderly, not-minority-in-any-way candidates currently receive 74% of the total polling support from Democrat voters. Not Republicans, not Independents, not any broad cross-section of “Americans” and not among a bunch of rednecks out here in Flyover Country: DEMOCRATS.

The true fact of the matter is that Kamala Harris failed to inspire passion among the Democrat base because she is a horrible candidate who ran a horrible campaign. Given that she is also reportedly a horrible excuse for a human being who slept her way into political power and is accused of abusing her staff, this is really  not at all surprising. She was supposed to be the female version of Barack Hussein Obama, but instead turned out to be just a cross between Sheila Jackson Lee and Amy Klobuchar.

If “racism” or “sexism” has anything to do with Harris’s rejection, then Democrats have only to look into the mirror to see who those sexist racists are.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Another Focus Group Produces Another Democrat Impeachment Talking Point

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

When you write 1500 words and completely miss the point. – The hacks over at Politico published a long piece about the implosion of the Kamala Harris campaign over the weekend. Harris, of course, was once the star of the Democrat field, the candidate many felt was the natural heir to the Party’s identity politics foundation.

The piece goes after Harris’s campaign manager, some guy named Juan Rodriguez, and her sister, Maya Harris, as the culprits in this disintegrating fairy tale, blaming their internal squabbling and inability to make decisions as the reason why Harris is currently polling around 3-4% in the national polls. But nowhere in all these words and sentences to the writers of the piece get to the real issue, which is that Kamala Harris is a horrible candidate.

She has no discipline, she has no core set of beliefs, she has no ability to communicate in a coherent manner outside of her scripted talking points and she has utterly failed to give voters any sort of compelling reason why they should vote for her over one of the other circus clowns in the field. She’s a terrible candidate, something no campaign manager or group of hangers-on can change.

At the end of the day, the California senator who was rumored to be Barack Obama’s chosen one for this race is no different than Kirsten Gillibrand, a vain politician running for the presidency because she thought she was somehow entitled to the office, and for no other real reason. The Politico piece should have been about 250 words long, which is about what I’ve just written.

Another set of focus groups, another new talking point. This is how the Democrats do “impeachment.” – Last Thursday, as chronicled here at the Campaign Update, San Fran Nan and Bug-eyes Schiff rolled out their “bribery” talking point after testing the word with polls and focus groups. It turned out that “quid pro quo” hit too close to “Quid Pro Joe,” and people just fall asleep whenever Pelosi or Schiff utter the whole “obstruction of congress” nonsense,” so the Democrats needed a new word to describe the fantasy they were trying to construct.

“Blackmail” being an actual English word that most Americans – even Democrats – actually understand the meaning of helped, plus it had all those negative connotations that the man on the street can relate back to episodes of Chicago Law and Law and Order, so it’s just awesome for this purpose.

But another problem came up after the first two days of mindless testimony from three gossips in the diplomatic corps: Everything they said was hearsay. None of the three witnesses actually witnessed anything remotely related to any supposed wrongdoing by the President. Faced with a group of GOP congress members who are actually organized around a set of core messages for once, the Democrats had no effective response to the GOP contention that this is all just gossip and hearsay, mainly because it is just all gossip and hearsay, with much more gossip and hearsay to come.

So, apparently San Fran Nan and Bug-eyes got a focus group or twelve together on Saturday and rolled out this question to them: “Hey, how would you respond if we taunted President Trump to come testify himself?” That apparently produced nodding heads around the rooms, and thus we had the spectacle of San Fran Nan and Chuck Schumer saying this on Sunday:

Pelosi: “If he has information that is exculpatory, that means ex, taking away, culpable, blame, then we look forward to seeing it,” she said in an interview that aired Sunday on CBS’s “Face the Nation.” Trump “could come right before the committee and talk, speak all the truth that he wants if he wants.”

Schumer: “If Donald Trump doesn’t agree with what he’s hearing, doesn’t like what he’s hearing, he shouldn’t tweet. He should come to the committee and testify under oath. And he should allow all those around him to come to the committee and testify under oath,” Schumer told reporters. He said the White House’s insistence on blocking witnesses from cooperating begs the question: “What is he hiding?”

In other words, in the grand tradition of Democrat politicians trying to corrupt the American system of justice, they now want President Trump to come prove his innocence before their impeachment circus.

Sorry, but that’s not how this works, Nan and Chuck. That’s now any of this works.

But it obviously does well with focus groups, and that’s all any Democrat really cares about. All of which clearly demonstrates one more time how un-serious these people are, and how low their regard is for the health and survival of this country.

It’s despicable. It’s demented. It’s disgraceful and disgusting. But hey, it’s Democrats – you expected something else?

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Bernie is Toast, Biden is Close

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Bernie Sanders’ presidential hopes are over, although he may not realize it yet. – The Commie had to undergo surgery to implant multiple stents into his 78 year-old heart, and has cancelled a bunch of planned campaign events over the next couple of weeks so he can recover. Although this can be a fairly minor procedure for a younger person – I had one placed into my left ventricular artery at age 55 and was back to full speed within a few weeks – it can be far more difficult for a person of Sanders’ advanced age.

But the speed of his recovery doesn’t even matter here: Sanders was already finding it impossible to move his polling numbers much above 15% due in part to the impression among many Democrats that he is just too old for the job he seeks. Suffering a heart attack in the midst of the campaign – and yes, if he was having chest pains, any doctor will tell you that he did indeed suffer a heart attack – will only serve to build that perception among many more voters, who will now begin to cast their eyes in the direction of the other, younger unquestioned Marxist in the race, Fauxcahontas.

The near-certain outcome will be that we will see Sanders’ polling numbers drop into single digits over the next few weeks, and a commensurate rise in support for Little Mouth Always Running.

Speaking of the Fake Indian running, check out the greeting she received from Nevada voters when her plane landed out there on Wednesday:

Not exactly the reception that Princess I’m Gonna Take Your Wampum expected. But that’s the price we can expect more and more Democrats to pay for their support for San Fran Nan’s sham impeachment circus as Trump supporters become increasingly engaged in public activism and protest.

Meanwhile, the campaign of Quid Pro Joe Biden, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, is now hanging by a thread. While Biden’s foundering campaign did not quite meet my prediction that his lead would have disappeared by October 1, he sure came close.

In fact, Lieawatha actually now holds the lead in 4 of the 7 most recent polls taken in the race, according to Real Clear Politics, and she and Biden are in a statistical tie in a fifth poll taken by Emerson. In fact, only one of those polls was even partially conducted in October, and that one – by The Economist/YouGov – shows the Fake Indian holding a 6 point lead. The two clear outlier polls, both showing Biden with 11 point leads, were taken entirely in September.

Given that reality, I think I’ll declare half a victory on this particular prediction, made back in April when Crazy Uncle Joe kicked off his campaign with a near-30 point lead. There is now little doubt that his lead will disappear entirely when the first polls conducted entirely in October are published over the next two weeks.

For the  rest of the field, just a few trends to note:

  • Kamala Harris is on life support. She announced early this week that she is shaking up her staff, but that won’t help. The candidate is the problem with her campaign. She is just a horrible candidate, and shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic won’t change that.
  • Preacher Pete is your basic 6% candidate now, and his trendline has been essentially static since June. His consistent ZERO support from African American voters means he has no real chance in the race for the nomination, and that won’t change. The only reason for him to hang around is in the hopes of becoming arm candy for Fauxcahontas in the general election.
  • Andrew Yang had a $10 million fundraising haul in the third quarter, which places him in the top 4 in this pitiful field. He had one exciting moment when he came in at 8% in the Emerson poll last week, but that’s a clear statistical anomaly given that he is at 2 or 3 in every other poll. Another potential vice presidential nominee, but no chance to win the big prize.
  • Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Irish Bob O’Rourke and Amy Klobuchar are all dead as door nails, but they will linger through the next debate in mid-October in the vain hopes of having some breakthrough moment on that crowded stage.
  • The only other declared candidate worth mentioning is Tulsi Gabbard, who had a chance to be the only actual interesting person on stage when she initially came out in opposition to Pelosi’s Impeachment Circus. But she lost that not even 48 hours later when she reversed her posture. Thus, she’ll be just another hack with no chance of truly distinguishing herself in that next debate.

Then there’s the Pantsuit Princess, the thus-far-undeclared candidate in this race. The Fainting Felon has raised eyebrows by putting herself back in the public spotlight with a series of speaking events this week, raising the spectre that she might decide to become a late entrant into the campaign season as Biden falters.

From a pure self-defense standpoint, that appeared to make some sense late last week, as the corrupt news media assisted Biden by claiming the President’s rhetoric about Biden’s clear pay-for-play selling of his vice presidential office related to Ukraine, China and other countries amounted to a Trump attack on a political rival rather than an effort to identify clear corruption. But that particular line of BS has very quickly lost its utility as this week has progressed and the damning video of Biden bragging about engaging in his clear bullying of the Ukraine government on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son gained traction with the public.

Would the Grasping Grifter attempt a similar tactic, declaring herself to be a candidate to try to give herself political cover against the increasingly aggressive investigation led by Attorney General William Barr? She might, but she would fail even more miserably than Biden is failing with that line of BS.

Only time will tell. I still think her plan is to wait it out and hope to become the party’s savior at a hung convention.

Given all of that, here are my updated odds on who the eventual Democrat nominee will be:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

Someone not currently declared – 3 to 2

Quid Pro Joe – 20 to 1

The Commie – 50 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

Kamala – 100 to 1

Andrew Yang – 100 to 1

The rest of the declared field – DEAD

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

The Biden Lead is Crashing Like the 1929 Stock Market

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.

As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.

Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?

The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.

That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.

Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:

Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.

Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.

The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.

–  Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they  might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.

Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.

The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.

All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.

This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.

Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:

Fauxcahontas – Even money

Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1

Biden – 5 to 1

The Commie – 20 to 1

Preacher Pete – 50 to 1

Kamala – 50 to 1

The Field – 100  to 1

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

The Democrat Clown Car is on the Fast Track to a Brokered Convention

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Are you ready for a deadlocked Democrat convention next year? – Because that’s where all of this Democrat traveling clown show is headed.

Fauxcahontas is now an even more-clear favorite to get to the convention with the most delegates next July, although her chances of arriving there with a full majority needed to win on the first ballot remain small. Hell, she’s already playing the role of the front-runner in the debates.

Last night in Houston, she stood quietly for the most part while also-ran doofuses like Irish Bob O’Rourke and Julian Castro and Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang shouted and gesticulated and poured out the “I’m gonna grab your guns” and “Trump’s a racist” red meat for the party’s lunatic Twitter-outraged base. During the debate’s first hour, almost 20 minutes went by in between times when Little Mouth Always Running actually opened her mouth on stage, as all the nitwits around her tried to tear each other apart. That could be an all-time record for Princess 1/1024th.

While Yang was promising to have his campaign illegally pay out $1,000 a month for the next 12 months to twelve families in order to buy their votes, Preacher Pete was trying to get everybody to sing his own particular weird version of Kumbaya, Castro was cracking jokes about Biden’s advanced age, The Commie was trying to croak out some Bolshevik nostrums from his 77 year-old sore throat, Kamala was cackling like an evil character from a 1950s Disney movie, O’Rourke was promising to come grab everybody’s guns and trying to figure out exactly when to toss out an f-bomb and Klobuchar was getting ready to start throwing notebooks at the moderators, the fake Indian was doing her best imitation of Sitting Bull, calmly observing the fray and happy to let her enemies destroy one another.

It was a smart strategy. Whatever else one thinks about Sen. Warren, you cannot deny that she’s strategically smart. I mean, hell, she spent a virtual lifetime pretending to be someone she isn’t in order to advance her career before Trump came along and exposed her fraud to the world. That alone tells you she’s a clever schemer.

She’s clever enough to understand that being a life-long fraud is in fact a badge of honor in a Democrat presidential nominating contest, and so there she was last night, standing right in the middle of that stage next to Biden. She probably came into last night planning to take some shots of her own at Biden, but quickly realized that Castro and Harris and other were doing a fine job of exposing the elderly hack for what he is.

That quick thinking also shows she knows her own limitations. She has to understand that her angry school-marm voice and speaking tone quickly begins to grate and irritate, so why overdo that during a 3-hour debate that was viewed by millions?

As for Biden, if it weren’t for the fact that he’s been such a despicable swamp creature hack for so many decades it would be sad watching his visible decline on national television. His cognitive functions are so clearly limited now that it is visible on his face every time he’s asked a question for which he hasn’t been coached, or one that touches on an uncomfortable subject. If you can stand it, go watch a replay of the debate on Youtube. You can see Biden visibly recoil and squeeze his eyes shut whenever he’s asked a question that surprises him, which was typically from another candidate, not the accommodating moderators.

I’ve been telling you since April that Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and he’d be out of the race entirely after next March 4, Super Tuesday. He’s right on schedule to meet that calendar, especially after his performance last night. The more he gets exposed to the public, the worse he looks.

As for the others, Harris is done. She is an awful campaigner and frankly a horrid debater. Everything about her screams insincerity and meanness.

Sanders will also fade after this croaking performance. Democrat voters are all about optics and the feels, and a 78 year-old croaking at them for three hours will make them feel all nervous and stuff.

Irish Bob is a furry circus clown who just announced the fourth re-boot of his campaign in six months. He’s to the point where even shallow Democrat voters think he’s a shallow opportunist.

Julian Castro never has been in any way relevant in this race, and his low attacks on Biden last night won’t change that.

Preacher Pete is cute as a button and might look good as arm-candy for Fauxcahontas in a general election race.

Cory Booker is Cory Booker and always will be, so no one should take him seriously in this race.

Yang is just weird. What was going on with that top button on his shirt last night? Everyone kept waiting for it to pop open and expose some odd tattoo and thus only heard about 1 out of 7 words he had to say. Again, Democrat voters are all about optics and feels, dude. Get a shirt that fits.

Klobuchar is just the angry version of Kirstin Gillibrand. No reason for her to be up there in the first place. She’s just wasting everybody’s time.

I feel like I’m forgetting somebody here, but honestly, I don’t care.

Here are my updated odds for the 2020 Democrat nomination after last night’s atrocity:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

The Commie – 10 to 1

Biden – 50 to 1

Harris – 100 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

The Field – 100 to 1

Someone not yet in the race – Even odds

Brokered convention, here we come.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why Elizabeth Warren is now the Clear Favorite in the Democrat Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, President Donald Trump has yet another new “challenger.” – Complete with blaring headlines at the increasingly leftwing Drudge Report, South Carolina Congressman and former Governor Mark Sanford has decided to jump into the race. He joins former Massachusetts Governor William Weld and former Congressman Joe Not-the-Eagles-Singer Walsh as a kind of NeverTrump cordon of sacrificial lambs who I guess will try to raise money and run in the various caucuses and primaries.

All three of these guys are your basic circus clowns. Weld is an ultra-liberal Democrat in a Brooks Brothers suit who does stuff like this because he can’t find any legitimate work. Walsh is a talk radio host who no longer has a talk radio program. Sanford is the guy who ran out on his family with his Argentinian girlfriend for two weeks while serving as Governor, and then claimed to have been “hiking the Appalachian Trail” when he re-surfaced.

These are the guys who NeverTrump puppet masters like Bill Kristol and Mitt Romney believe are fit to wrest the GOP 2020 nomination away from a sitting President with an extraordinary record of success. You might do better running Larry, Curly and Moe. At least they’d be entertaining.

Fauxcahontas Rising. – Despite the ongoing best efforts by our fake national news media to cover for his increasingly obvious loss of his faculties, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator continues his slow fade in the polling data.

The latest bit of distressing news for Creepy Uncle Joe comes from the CBS News Battleground poll of early primary/caucus states. This poll attempts to measure voter attitudes in the 17 states that will take us through Super Tuesday next March 3. Those 17 states include Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina early on, and then conclude with both California and Texas in March.

Thus, it isn’t surprising that both Kamala Harris and Irish Bob O’Rourke land among the top 6 Democrats in overall support in these early states, given the massive presence of their respective home states. It is a little surprising how poorly those two fare overall, with Harris coming in at 8% support and O’Rourke barely registering at 4%.

But it’s the top of the rankings that really matters, and coming in at #1 in terms of overall voter support is not Joe Biden, but Fauxcahontas, the biggest fraud in the race. Which should surprise no one, given the historic Democrat voter preference for lifelong frauds like John Kerry, Al Gore, Barack Obama and Bill and Hillary Clinton to be the standard bearer for their party.

Little Mouth Always Running comes in at 26% support among the registered Democrats surveyed in these 17 early states, with Creepy Uncle Joe close behind (as he always seems to be with the nearest woman) at 25%. The Commie registers at 19% and Mayor Pete makes a cute little political sandwich in between Harris and O’Rourke, landing at 6%.

Those percentages are a little misleading, though, because the delegate count is what would really matter. CBS projects those numbers in this table:

delegates-overall.jpg

So, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator retains a slight edge in that measure, though far short of the 748 he would need to constitute a pace to win a first-ballot majority at the DNC Convention. And looky there: Amy Klobuchar jumps into the top 6 to replace Preacher Pete, who is nowhere to be seen.

In keeping with its campaign to prop up the Serial Gaffer, CBS leads its write-up on the poll by saying, “This poll tells a story of Elizabeth Warren rising. But not Joe Biden falling.” Which is, of course, abject nonsense.

Let’s go back to April, when Biden announced his candidacy. Then, he started this race with a huge, 20+ point lead in pretty much every poll, registering at or above the 40% level in all of them. In this new poll, just five months later, he’s down to 25% in the 17 states that will essentially decide the race for all intents and purposes, and now trailing a woman who has spent her entire adult life pretending to be someone she is not for professional and financial gain.

True, he is still doing slightly better in the national polls, where he’s averaging about 29% support in the RealClearPolitics average. And the lead he still owns is due strictly to two factors: Very strong support among African-Americans, who don’t much care for all the radical socialists in the race, and this perception that he’s the most electable candidate in a general election against President Trump.

That’s all well and good for now, but here’s Biden’s real problem: The Democrat voter base has become ultra-radicalized, and is not likely to ultimately settle for an elderly white guy (Biden will be closing in on 78 when the Democrat convention comes around next summer) who barely knows where he is most days. Those voters are also not going to settle for an old white guy who still goes around bragging about his old segregationist pals in the 1970s Senate, and who still tells off-color jokes that demean women, Blacks and gays.

Take a look at that RealClearPolitics average again, and add up the percentage of voters who are supporting the radical candidates like Warren, The Commie, Harris, Buttigieg, Yang and O’Rourke: Their support comes in right at 50% to Biden’s 29%. That’s where the heart of the Democrat Party really lies.

Throughout the 2015/2016 GOP nomination contest, I repeatedly advised readers and clients to add up the percentage of primary voters who weighed in their support on behalf of the party’s non-conventional candidates. I included Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul in that category. It was absolutely stunning how consistently their total support came in right at 63% throughout 2015 and through the early primaries. As Carson, Fiorina and Paul left the race, basically all of their support base migrated right over to Trump or Cruz, and they ended up the two finalists in the race (I don’t count Kasich, who stuck around but had basically no real support).

That was where the heart of the GOP voter base was in 2016, and the radical left is where the heart of the Democrat voter base is for the 2020 race. As O’Rourke, Yang and Buttigieg drop out of the race, and The Commie and Harris fall away later on, their voters are going to coalesce not around Biden, but around Fauxcahontas. This is pretty much baked into the cake at this point. Elizabeth Warren is really the odds-on favorite to go into next year’s convention with the highest number of delegates as of today. The big question is whether or not she will be able to the majority required to win on the first ballot.

If you think I’m crazy and still believe that Biden is the big favorite because that’s what all the “experts” are telling you, take a look at history: Since 1968, the early favorite to win a contested Democrat nominating race has only prevailed one time, in 2000, when Al Gore, a sitting vice president, became the nominee.

All the momentum in this race today is with Warren, and it’s pretty hard to see anything that will stop it. Democrat voters love a good fraud, and there is no more accomplished, blatant fraud in the race than Fauxcahontas.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Now We Know Why The DNC Did Not Want That Climate Change Debate

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

There’s a reason why the Democrat National Committee desperately avoided demands from fringe candidates like Washington State Gov. Jay Inslee to schedule a debate focused solely on “climate change,” and you saw that reason on CNN last night. – The simple fact of the matter is that, whether the problem is real or not, it inevitably highlights just what a bunch of nutjobs the Party is offering to the voters in this cycle.

Andrew Yang wants the government to force you to buy electric vehicles, even though the EV industry has no capability whatsoever of meeting such a demand, and forcing such a change would do nothing to address the alleged problem in any event.

Elizabeth Warren wants to ban the building of new buildings starting in 2028. No really, she does.

The Commie wants to throw everyone in the oil, gas, and coal industries in prison. Because science.

Irish Bob O’Rourke wants to wave his arms around crazily and propose to spend $5 trillion on a bunch of stuff that will do nothing to address the alleged issue, and he wants to cuss about it.

Kamala Harris wants to do this, but not this, and that, but not that, borrow this idea from Warren and that idea from Mayor Pete and another idea from AOC, and then take the other sides of those issues all at the same time. And then she wants to get into a fight with the Commie about all of it. Which is why she has fallen into Irish Bob O’Rourke territory in the latest round of polls.

Joe Biden has no clue what he wants to do other than to spend a bunch of money on stuff that doesn’t matter. So, standard operating procedure for the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, who is exactly who Irish Bob is going to become 35 years from now.

All of them claim hurricanes have become more frequent – they haven’t. All of them claim hurricanes have become stronger – they haven’t. All of them want you to believe Dorian is the most powerful storm of all-time – it isn’t.

All of them want to blot the American landscape with millions of 500-ft. windmills that require 8 acres of land apiece and gigantic solar farms and decimate our bird populations in order to provide very high-priced energy to about 2 percent of us so that they can claim to be “doing something” about a problem none of them has any real knowledge of.

The fact of the matter is that “climate change” is a global socialist political religion. Every proposal to address “climate change” inevitably becomes a top-down, command-and-control socialist-model “solution” that would do nothing to make the climate better but do everything to command and control the lives of everyday people. Every proposal would be incredibly destructive to the national and global economy. Every proposal would effectively work to keep the 2 billion or so human beings living in squalor in 3rd world countries today living in squalor in 3rd world countries forever.

This is the dogma, the commandments of this global religion. See, the nasty secret of this religion is that its followers believe economic growth is actually evil and must be stopped. People living in squalor produce less carbon emissions than people who have decent standards of living, after all. That at least is an actual fact.

Thus, the religion’s dogma demands that any and all “solutions” have the impact of destroying economic growth and human prosperity. This is real, folks. This is what Bill McKibben, Al Gore and other Cardinals in this global church write in their books and say in their speeches. You don’t have to make this stuff up. Who could?

Such a debate could only take place on CNN, as it did last night, or some other Democrat propaganda fake news outlet to ensure that no difficult questions would ever possibly be asked. Because these politicians have no good answers to any difficult questions, such as, if “global warming” is such an emergency, why is it that NOAA can find no warming in the continental U.S. over the last 14 years?

Or how about, if the U.S. is the root of the global problem – it isn’t – explain how it is that the U.S. by far leads the world in reducing its carbon emissions, which have now fallen to levels not seen since 1985? And if oil and natural gas are such a problem, how is it that that fall in U.S. carbon emissions is mainly attributable to the increased use of natural gas in our power generation sector and in reductions in gas-powered car emissions?

And if getting back into the Paris Accords is the answer, why is it that those accords do nothing to force the real causes of rising carbon emissions – Europe, China and India – to affect reductions similar to those the U.S. has achieved?

And if command-and-control regulatory actions and confiscations are the answer, how is it that the U.S. has achieved these dramatic carbon reductions and also produced the cleanest water and air in any developed nation without resorting to such measures?

Last night’s climate change dog and pony show on CNN was global socialist nutjobbery and nitwittery at its finest. And the hilarious thing about it is that the far-left anti-development activists and lunatic politicians like AOC will all be out on their Twitter feeds this morning bashing the candidates for only resorting to half-measures and not going far enough.

All of this hooplah is taking place around an issue that always ranks at or near the very bottom when pollsters ask Americans about the issues they are really concerned about.

That, friends, is why the DNC did not want to travel down this road to begin with. Who can blame them?

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

And Just Like That, Biden’s Lead Evaporated

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:

Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.

But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:

The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.

Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.

But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.

That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?

Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.

The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.

Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2

The Commie – 5 to 1

Harris – 10 to 1

Biden – 100  to 1

Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1

Someone not in the current field – Even money

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time. 

Open post

Dem Debate, Night 2: A Status Quo-Preserving Farce

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

My goodness, feel free to shoot me if I ever do that again. – I’m afraid I made the horrific decision to actually watch the Wednesday night Democrat debate live, and I hardly got a minute of sleep as a result. What a horror show that party is.

You put any one of these circus clowns in the White House and this country as we have known it is over. Over and done. Overall, this has to be the dumbest bunch ever to take a debate stage together.

I never thought I’d witness anyone more useless than New York City Mayor Bill DeBlasio, but Washington Governor Jay Inslee gave him a run last night, and Colorado Senator Michael Bennet wasn’t far behind. Every time Inslee started talking about how wonderful he has been on “climate change,” I wanted to find a razor, fill the bathtub and slit my wrists.  Bennet, meanwhile, honestly sounded like he’d had one too many toddies before going on stage – I’ve never seen him speak in such a mush-mouthed way.

DeBlasio?  Why is he there again? This is a guy who is forcing his police officers to grin and bear it as they are assaulted by gangs of thugs, and he wants us to make him Commander-in-Chief? Go away, Tall Stupid Man.

As was the case on Tuesday night, the worst people in the room were the Democrat activists pretending to be moderators provided by CNN. Here is how these tools of the DNC allocated speaking time last night:

Biden: 21:01

Harris: 17:43

Booker: 12:59

Gillibrand: 11:18

Inslee: 10:46

Gabbard: 10:32

Bennet: 10:26

Castro: 10:25

DeBlasio: 9:41

Yang: 8:38

So, other than Harris and Booker, clear favorites of the DNC/Media complex, no one in the rest of the field got more than half the speaking time that Biden received. Yang – who the DNC hates with a passion and wants out of the race – got 40% of Biden’s time, which is three MORE minutes than he was allocated in the June debate.

That’s mostly the fault of the moderators, who didn’t pose a question to anyone other than Biden or Harris until the “debate” was half an hour old, but it was also due to a clever tactic employed by Harris. You can say what you want about Harris – and there are so, so many things to be said about her – but she is clever.

She obviously watched the first night and figured out how the moderators were doing things.  Anytime one candidate made a derogatory remark about or challenged another candidate, they then gave 30 seconds to the other candidate to respond.

Now, Creepy Uncle Joe is about 3 more facial surgeries away from becoming an actual Roman bust and extremely prone to gaffes, and Harris knows that camera and speaking time is his kryptonite. So, she spent most of her own time targeting Biden, which generally resulted in Biden stuttering and stammering in half-sentences and often in half-words and finally targeting her back, resulting in even more speaking time of her own.

She wasted most of that time, appearing nervous and offering nonsensical and evasive answers about her own record, but the tactic of exposing Creepy Uncle Joe was very smart and effective.

As a result, Biden ends up being one of the clear losers in this debate. His poll numbers will tank down into the low 20s in the next round polls to be released over the next 10 days or so. But he will go into hiding and those numbers will again recover back up maybe into the 30s as deranged Democrat voters forget who he really is and what he really looks and sounds like these days. Then the next debate will come around, and we’ll repeat the whole process again.

Despite all her air time, Harris is a clear loser because she will just tread water after this debate. She utterly wasted her breakthrough moment on busing with Biden from the first debate, and she can’t afford to just tread water anymore. Loser, loser, looooser.

Other clear losers include DeBlasio, Kirsten Gillibrand, Inslee and Bennet, all of whom should end their 0%-polling campaigns today. Andrew Yang was also a loser after wasting his air time by reciting scripted answers that often made no sense. He had the potential of being a real factor in this race, and has completely thrown it away by taking his “expert” advisors’ advice and becoming just another nervous talking points parrot. Too bad, so sad.

I’ve seen a couple of talking heads last night and this morning list Cory Spartacus Booker as a winner, but I don’t see it. Yes, he scored some debating points on Biden that will impress some Democrat voters, but optically he is a disaster. He apparently can’t help it, but Booker always appears to be right on the verge of going into some Manson-style Helter Skelter rage whenever he speaks. Plus, he’s gotten into the habit of waving his arms around crazily, as if he’s imitating Irish Bob O’Rourke. Debating points are nice, but optics are what really matter in these televised debates, and Booker’s optics are not good.

There were a couple of candidates who did themselves some good last night, and thus can be classified as winners. They are former San Antonio Mayor/Obama HUD Secretary Julian Castro and Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard.

Castro wins on demeanor – he was the calmest and most articulate person on the stage all night long. His ideas on immigration and other topics are mostly crazy, but he offers them with a quiet dignity that really allows him to stand out among his goofy, arm-waving, shouting and whining peers. Good optics there.

Gabbard also was a winner on the optics front – which, admit it, is pretty easy for her to do – but she was also able to score some direct hits on both Harris and Biden as the debate wore on. She was also the most-searched candidate on Google in all 50 states during the debate, repeating her performance in that category from the debates held in late June.

None of that is likely to do her much good, though, as the DNC and its media toadies hate her and will almost certainly find a way to exclude her from future debates, just as they are doing with Yang. Democrat voters seem to be interested in Gabbard and want to know who she is, but when they find out that she actually makes good sense on some issues, they run away in fear of coming in touch with reality. So she might as well just give it up at this point.

Taken together, this week’s two nights of debates will end up preserving the status quo, and enable Biden to remain in the lead for another month. In the meantime, the Commie and Fauxcahontas will keep jockeying for 2nd place position, Harris will continue to flounder, Mayor Pete will continue his slow fade into 0%-Black-Support oblivion, and Booker will keep on clinging to false hopes of catching lightning-in-a-bottle.

Everyone else might as well drop out now, but you can be sure most of them won’t do that. Those vanity campaigns are hard to give up.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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