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Why Joe Biden Won’t be the Nominee

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

People keep telling me that I’m really going out on a limb with my all-but-guarantee that Joe Biden will not be the Democrat nominee in 2020. The truth is that that is the safest prediction I’ve made about this race.

The history of presidential politics is littered with the rotting carcasses of early favorites in contested presidential nominating battles who ended up being left behind when the actual convention rolled around.

Remember 1972 Democrat nominee Edmund Muskie? Yeah, neither do I. Well, I sort of remember Edmund Muskie, who was the party establishment’s favorite as the campaign season began, but Democrat voter base, radicalized by the hippie movement moving into adulthood and the early reports of the Watergate scandal, were looking for a much more radical alternative that year. Ultimately, the party presented closet Marxist George McGovern to the country, and an electoral slaughter of epic proportions ensued, despite the media’s best efforts to destroy Richard Nixon.

Sound familiar?

What about 1976 Democrat nominee Morris Udall, the early polling leader and establishment favorite? Or nominee Birch Bayh, who won the Iowa Caucuses? Remember them? No? Well, it turned out that Democrat voters that year weren’t in the mood to nominate some old DC swamp creature, which you are going to soon discover is a very common theme in this essay. Instead, they wanted a fresh face, and ended up saddling the country with Jimmy Carter, who at the time was the freshest face we’d ever seen.

Yeah, that didn’t work out well, did it?

Remember when early polls told us that Ted Kennedy was going to beat Carter for the nomination in 1980 after Carter’s disastrous term in office? Remember when that didn’t happen, either?

Guess who the early polling leader for the nomination in the 1984 race was? Remember how Gary Hart won that year’s nomination? No? Neither does anyone else. That year, the now-ageing hippies passed the party’s baton to old swamp  creature Walter Mondale, and the result was the largest electoral landslide loss in American history.

Ok, what about 1988 Democrat nominee Mario Cuomo? Remember him? After a raft of polls in mid-1987 showed Cuomo would be a big leader in the nominating battle, party leaders tried to recruit him to get into the race. But Cuomo, knowing the scrutiny that would bring into his shady background, refused to take up the baton.

Well, what about 1988 nominee Gary Hart, who again led all the polls once Cuomo refused to run? No? Hart might actually have prevailed in the race that year had he not dared the media to “follow me around” after allegations arose that he was having an affair. For once, the media actually did its job where a Democrat was concerned, and photos of Hart cavorting on a boat with Donna Rice were soon made public. So, we ended up with Michael Dukakis and another electoral landslide instead.

Then there’s 1992 Democrat nominee Paul Tsongas, or 1992 Democrat nominee Jerry Brown, or 1992 Democrat nominee Bob Kerrey, all of whom were leaders in early polling in the race. But then this guy Bill Clinton played the saxophone on the Johnny Carson Show, and shallow Democrat voters had their man!

In 2000, it was Al Gore all the way as the Democrat voter longed to give the country a third Clinton term. That didn’t happen, either.

Then there’s 2004 Democrat nominee John Edwards. Yet another early polling leader flame-out due to Gary Hart-like circumstances. He was succeeded by 2004 Democrat nominee Howard Dean, who surged into a polling lead late in 2003. But he came up a crapper with a third-place finish in Iowa, and the nomination ended up going to the disastrous John Kerry.

Finally, I give you 2008 Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton, the overwhelming leader in every early poll in the race, and the woman who eventually…flamed completely out after Barack Hussein Obama his own self caught fire.

Democrat voters are fickle, folks. In every cycle, the party’s leaders always try to push a favorite candidate, and that favored candidate is usually rejected. The lone exceptions to this dynamic in modern times have been Walter Mondale, Al Gore and Hillary Clinton, all loooooooooosers. In 2016, the party’s leaders went so far as to actually rig the primaries in Clinton’s favor, and Obama and his evil minions did everything they could to rig the general election in her favor, and she still lost.

The Fainting Felon’s attempt to saddle the nation with a third Obama term was a miserable failure, and now here is Joe Biden, trying to execute the exact same failed strategy four years later. But Biden’s trying to do it before a party voter base that has been radicalized to the point of insanity, and the primary voting is going to be dominated by the most radicalized among them.

Every nominating battle has its own unique set of dynamics, of course, and the party bosses have set the process up this time to encourage a hung convention at which they will ultimately get to choose the nominee. Maybe that will work out for them, but if it does, history tells us that they will choose a loser.

But back to the point about Joe Biden: History also tells us that the early leader in the polls almost never ends up winning the nomination. I’m not out on a limb at all on that one, and I think I’ll stick to it.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Dems/NBC Structure Debate Lineups to Promote the Party’s New Dream Ticket

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, the Democrat debate lineups are set for next week, and aren’t we all thrilled? Ok, no. But I’ll tell you who is thrilled to death, and that is Fauxcahontas, the fake Indian senator from Massachusetts who got her a seat at the kiddie table. This is how we know that she has now replaced Kamala Harris as the favored child of the Obama minions who are running the DNC into bankruptcy. We’ll explain, but first, take a look at how the “random drawing” for next week’s two debate nights turned out:

Image result for Democratic debate lineups

Image result for Democratic debate lineups

Anything look a little odd to you there? Well, it will if you understand how the Democrats and the fake news media – in this case, NBC and its affiliate channels – work together to structure their narratives and influence how this campaign is going to go.

The first thing to understand here is that the Democrat Party does nothing at random. Nothing is left to chance – everything is scripted, every word they utter, every public action they take is based on supporting the narrative, which in turn is based on polling and focus groups. So, ignore the myth that these lineups were determined by drawing names out of a hat. That’s utter nonsense.

Now that you understand that, take another look at the lineups and notice the most striking aspect of them: There is Princess Little Big Giveaway all by herself at the end of that first line, preceded by an amazing array of lightweights in the race. None of those other nine candidates is polling more than 2-3% support currently, and most of them come in at a flat zero in all but a handful of national polls. Who do you think that’s intended to benefit?

It’s been hilarious reading some of the “news” reports since the lineups were released, most of them claiming that Lieawatha somehow came out on the short end of the stick, based on the bad reasoning that golly, nobody will be watching that first debate because Biden and the Commie aren’t in it. This betrays a complete lack of understanding about what actually matters here, which is not how many people tune into the debate, but what the media narrative of it will be the next day.

The narrative for Night 1 is set up to be “Man, did Elizabeth Warren dominate that debate stage, or what?” It’s as predictable as Joe Biden groping a child at a public event. You know who really got screwed by that draw? Tulsi Gabbard, who needs people to be watching in order to notice that she’s the only person on that stage who will be saying what she actually thinks, rather than reciting talking points written for her by other people, as all the others will be doing. Trust me, that’s not an accident, either, given that the Obama people who run the DNC detest Rep. Gabbard.

Thus, Night 2 will be crammed with the rest of the “heavyweights” in the race, if you can call them that. Sleepy Creepy Joe, the Commie, Kamala Harris and Mayor Pete will all be forced to compete with each other for opportunities to stand out, along with six rank also-rans like Kirsten Gillibrand and Marianne Williamson. The almost inevitable result of this lineup will be the formation of a circular firing squad with the guns trained mainly at Uncle Joe.

Guess who is most likely to come out of that mess looking best? If you said Mayor Pete, you’d be right. Because Buttigieg has already proven he’s much smarter than the rest of these hacks, and is the most likely one to be sure to stay completely out of the slugfest.

So, the lineup coming out of Night 2 sets up a narrative that will be something like “Buttigieg remains above the fray as a brawl breaks out on the debate stage.” Just millions more dollars worth of free media for the party’s “rising star.” No mystery here.

The people who run the DNC understand that Biden’s a dinosaur who is completely out of touch with the party’s radicalized voter base, and that the Commie is, well, a Commie who would lead the party to unrecoverable electoral disaster. So these lineups have obviously been structured to promote what is quickly emerging as the party’s “dream ticket” – a marriage between a fake Indian and an Obama disciple who has never before run for any office above mayor of a mid-size town in Indiana.

As much as they try to hide what they’re doing, the Democrats are really extremely transparent when you understand how they coordinate their efforts with our fake news media.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Fauxcahontas Makes Heap Big Surge in Presidential Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

We here at the Campaign Update have consistently noted that Democrat voters love being lied to, and they appear determined to prove us right. If you hadn’t already picked up on it, the biggest surge in the Democrat nominating race over the past couple of months has not come from Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who has settled into polling consistently in the 7-8% support range. While that’s fairly respectable, we might have expected a little better performance from a guy who has received tens of millions of dollars in free, fawning air time from our fake news media since March.

No, the biggest surge has come from exactly the source we should have all anticipated, the life-long human fraud who has gotten everything she has achieved in life by lying. This is a woman who doesn’t just lie about economics, not just about the law, not just about public policy; oh, no, that’s not nearly enough. Elizabeth Warren is a woman who has spent her entire adult life disgracefully lying about who she even is as a person, pretending to be of American Indian descent in order to move ahead in line for plum jobs, to obtain licenses to practice law, and even to get elected to the United States Senate.

Making things even more hilarious – and thus making her even more appealing to liar-obsessed Democrat voters – Warren had become so bought into her own line of BS that she even resorted to taking a DNA test to prove her life of lies last year. When the test came back with the finding that she might – maybe – have 1/1024th native American blood in her stream, she immediately paraded around on a public “victory” tour. Only the loud objections from several Indian Tribes put a stop to that nonsense.

But why would it surprise us that her initial reaction to having been publicly proven to be a heinous, life-long fraud would be to stage a celebration? After all, this is a woman who wants to be the Democrat presidential nominee, and while she’s a horribly dishonest individual, she isn’t stupid. She knows what appeals most to her party’s demented voter base, and that DNA test was proof she had the main qualification to win their support.

You have to think like these Democrats think, folks. I know it’s hard, but once you do, everything they do makes perfect sense.

Anyway, getting to the point here, we’ve had a spate of new polls of the Democrat race released in the past few days, and they show a clear Lieawatha surge, one that well outpaces the little boomlet Mayor Pete’s enjoyed. Quinnipiac, which showed Warren getting just 4% support in March, now has her at a very strong 15%, just 4 points behind the Commie. Economist/YouGov, meanwhile, has her at 16%, 4 points ahead of the old Bolshevik, and just 11 points behind Creepy Uncle Joe.

At the state level, a new Des Moines Register poll has her surging to 15% support in that state, in a virtual tie with the Commie and 9 points behind Biden. In Nevada, another key early caucus state, a new poll by Monmouth shows her firmly in second place at 19% support.

And a note about Warren consistently now getting at or above that 15% support level: That’s the level of votes a candidate must attain to win delegates in the party’s new proportional system for 2020. Thus, Lieawatha now joins Biden and the Commie as the only candidates consistently breaching that key threshold.

Little Mouth Always Running’s recent surge, along with her solid fundraising efforts, have now clearly established her as the strongest woman in the race. Kamala Harris, who all the “experts” believed was the odds-on favorite to be the main challenger to Biden back in January, continues to struggle and her polling numbers have settled into an essential tie with Mayor Pete. Although she on the surface seems like a female carbon political copy of Barack Hussein Obama his own self, she so far simply lacks Obama’s ability to connect with voters.

In other words, Kamala is just a lousy candidate. Who knows – maybe if she made up a back story about how her great grandmother always told her she was a space alien, that might be an obvious-enough lie to steal voters away from Fauxcahontas. Do lies about Aliens trump lies about Indians in demented Democrat thought? Hard to know until it’s been tried, Kamala.

In any event, the math on this race is becoming increasingly clear as the contestants lurch towards their first debates later this month. We have a top tier of contenders that consists of the Creepy Uncle every family wants to hide in the basement, a Commie trying to pretend he’s merely a socialist, a fake Indian, a modestly unsuccessful mayor of a mid-size city most Americans have never heard of, and a Senator who advanced her career by having a years-long affair with a power broker twice her age. The other 20 or so candidates need to devise better sets of lies if they want to move up the pecking order.

Way to go, Democrats!

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The State of the Democrat Race: Biden Seals His Fate

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember when Joe Biden’s rationale for running was that he would be the moderate who would appeal to independent voters? – Yeah, that’s all gone now.  I’ve told you all along that Joe Biden will not – cannot – be the 2020 nominee for the Democrat Party, and this was the week in which he sealed his own fate.

Honestly, it was inevitable. This man is a dinosaur trying to compete in a modern age with which he is totally unfamiliar. He’s like Phil Hartman’s genius “Un-Frozen Caveman Lawyer” SNL character, an ancient throwback to a time long past who is always confused and frightened by our modern ways and customs. More specifically, Biden is confused and frightened by the ways and customs of his Party’s modern-day voter base, pretty much all of which lies to the left of Fidel Castro and, where abortion is concerned, Margaret Sanger.

Not surprisingly at all, Biden got all caught up in abortion politics this week, and the outcome destroyed the entire rationale for his candidacy to begin with. Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, wanted all abortions to be legal as a means of controlling America’s black population. Today’s Democrat Party voter base fully endorses Sanger’s beliefs – abortions kill a far higher percentage of African American babies than those of any other segment of U.S. society – but takes it a step farther, to allowing babies born alive after attempted abortions to be left on a table to die.

This is what Democrat politicians refer to as a woman’s right to “healthcare.”  You betcha.

Biden, a life-long practicing Catholic, has always supported the Hyde Amendment, a policy which prevents Americans of actual religious faith from having to pay for abortions through their tax dollars. That is, until this week, when the subject was raised. When Biden reasserted his Hyde support, the SJWs in the social media universe went berserk, and almost frightened the eldery man out of what little hair he has remaining.

Less than 24 hours later, Biden gave up, fully endorsing his party’s baby-killing at all costs ways.

Poof! No more reason for Creepy Uncle Joe to be in the race. If Biden’s going to be just another Commie, baby-killing hack, why, the rest of the field is filled to the gills with younger, more attractive, more female and more minority versions of that.

So, again, as I’ve said all along, Biden will not be the nominee. His polling lead will have evaporated by October – really, by September at this rate – and he will leave the race shortly after he fails to win Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina. Which means March. He is this cycle’s Jeb!, but he just hasn’t realized it yet.

Elsewhere in the race, things remained pretty static. Bernie the Commie remains ensconced in second place in every poll, though his numbers keep slowly declining as the numbers for Fauxcahontas keep creeping up. Every Democrat nominating race is always won by the best liar, and little Lieawatha was just born to lie. So she is now firmly in third place with a slow-moving bullet.

Kamala Harris is going nowhere fast, and seems to have no idea of how to change that dynamic. She is just a very poor candidate, which is not surprising given the unseemly manner in which she advanced herself to the Senate in the first place. Mayor Pete has also stagnated after having received tens of millions in free media from our fake news outlets, and may have reached the peak of his popularity already. Irish Bob O’Rourke, fresh off of his utterly-failed effort to reboot his campaign, is simply dead in the water.

In fact, the entire field has stagnated at this point, as the fake news media flails about trying to decide which of them will be promoted next, and I suspect that will remain the state of play until the debates begin in a few weeks.

Here is a prediction I will make when that season comes around: The only actually interesting candidate in the race, Tulsi Gabbard, will really stand out on the debate stage. She will then likely become the media’s next “rising star” obsession.

What do I mean by “interesting candidate”? I mean that Gabbard, like Donald Trump in 2016, will stand out on a debate stage because she will be the only person on the stage saying what she truly believes, rather than just reciting a bunch of talking points scripted for her by other people. That was the real reason why Trump ended up becoming the GOP nominee, because most ordinary Americans are sick to death of watching politicians recite talking points. Like Trump, Gabbard tends to directly answer the questions posed to her, and does it in plain language most people can understand.

So, expect her to really stand out among the clutter of political hackery that will surround her on that debate stage. As a woman and minority, Gabbard also has some of the identity politics attributes valued by shallow Democrat voters. She is not, however, a particularly good liar, so while she will likely get a boost out of the debates, she cannot become the eventual nominee.

I had previously thought that Andrew Yang might do similarly well in the debates, but he has completely succumbed to the bad advice from professional communications “experts.” So he sounds no different than Kirsten Gillibrand or Kamala Harris these days. Not a recipe for winning if you are, like Yang, an insurgent candidate looking to stand out in a crowd.

The only other candidate I’d expect to perhaps get a boost out of the early debates would be Texas’s Julian Castro, the only actual Hispanic candidate in the race. Castro is a very smart guy and a very polished speaker. But again, not an especially convincing liar, which will really harm him with Democrat voters.

So right now we are just kind of stuck in a holding pattern until the debates get started. That’s when things will really start to get interesting.

Here are my initial odds on the race, which I plan to update weekly:

Anyone Else – Even

Hillary Clinton – 5 to 1

Joe Biden – 100 to 1

Bernie the Commie – 20 to 1

Elizabeth Warren – 6 to 1

Kamala Harris – 12 to 1

Mayor Pete – 50 to 1

Irish Bob – 1,000 to 1

Spartacus – 20 to 1

Tulsi Gabbard – 50 to 1

Julian Castro – 50 to 1

Kirsten Gillibrand – 6 million to 1

Amy Klobuchar – 1,000 to 1

Bill DeBlasio – Infinity to 1

The rest of the declared field – 100 to 1

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Beto O’Rourke Issues the Most Authentic Democrat Apology Ever

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Apology accepted, you giant a**hole! – Desperate times call for desperate measures, as they say, and no Democrat candidates are more desperate these days than Eric “Otter” Swalwell and Irish Bob “Beto” O’Rourke. This week, both campaigns decided it would be best for their failing candidates to apologize for being exactly who they are.

So, Swalwell went out on Monday and, in on of the most stilted, palpably insincere moments of 2019, made a video in which he apologized to a woman for being a white man, saying “I may be another white guy, but I know there are gaps in my knowledge or in my experience and I know when to pass the mic.”

Ummmm, no, dude, the very existence of this video clearly demonstrates you haven’t the slightest clue about when to do that.

When questioned by Fox News’s Martha MaCallum about Swalwell’s gesture, Trey Gowdy nailed it, saying “Well, Eric’s clearly riding a wave. I think he’s all the way up to zero in the polling.”  Ooof.

Not to be outdone by one of the shrinking handful of contenders he still leads in the polling, Irish Bob O’Rourke issued a video of his own on Tuesday. In this one, he apologizes to his 2018 senate campaign staff for being “a giant asshole.” Which, of course, is what everyone was thinking about him but afraid to say in polite company. But we aren’t in polite company here at Today’s Campaign Update, so we just plow right ahead and say it.

Hey, this is a really promising trend we have going on here for the Democrats. Maybe the rest of the field will take this opportunity issue some heartfelt apologies of their own for their past misdeeds that we are all totally aware of.  Wouldn’t that be fun?

Here are some examples of the apology opportunities that lie out there in Democrat land:

  • Joe Biden could apologize for being a serial woman-and-child groper;
  • Kamala Harris could apologize for being a floozy who slept her way to the Senate;
  • Fauxcahontas could apologize for being, well, Fauxcahontas;
  • The Commie could apologize for being an America-hating Marxist;
  • Pete Buttigieg could apologize for being just so darn cute;
  • Amy Klobuchar could apologize for being a heinously-abusive boss;
  • Cory Booker could apologize to Spartacus;
  • Kirstin Gillibrand could apologize for ever announcing her candidacy in the first place;
  • John Hickenlooper could apologize for having been a pretty good governor, thus ending any hope that he might actually succeed in Democrat presidential politics;
  • Jay Inslee, a horrible governor, could apologize in advance to all those future dead Washingtonians whose bodies will be mixed with leaves and manure to become compost;
  • Bill DeBlasio could apologize for being the worst mayor in a city whose history is filled with an endless series of awful mayors, interrupted only by 8 years of Rudy Giuliani;
  • Tulsi Gabbard could apologize to the other contenders for being the only actually interesting candidate in the entire field;
  • Marianne Williamson could apologize for being someone… I don’t even know who she is;
  • Seth Moulton could apologize to Fox News viewers for denying their ability to cringe and laugh out loud at every opinion uttered on-air by Marie Harf;
  • Julian Castro could apologize for being too authentically Hispanic to ever hope to attract the votes of Democrat voters who just love to be deceived.

This could go on almost endlessly, given the collection of miscreants, hacks and life-long frauds that are leading the race right now.

But of course, it won’t. Being a leftist asshole means never really having say you’re sorry, unless you think there’s some political advantage to doing it. Pretty sure that was in a movie once.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Why Mayor Pete is More Likely to Become President Than Joe Biden

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Please note that headline says “Become President,” not “Become the Democrat Nominee in 2020.” – That’s a key distinction here, because Biden still does have a slightly better chance of being the party’s nominee, although even that edge is steadily declining and will continue to do so over the summer.

And this shouldn’t be just a comparison between Buttigieg and Biden. I would submit that Kamala Harris has a better shot at becoming president than Elizabeth Warren, and that even Irish Bob O’Rourke has a better shot at doing so than Cory Booker and everybody has a better chance than The Commie does.

Why? The first reason is simple. Because, as I wrote back on April 5, American voters don’t like electing Washington, DC long-timers to be their president.

Here’s what I wrote in that piece:

… since Biden first came to Washington, the American people have shown a very strong bias against electing “experienced” guys like him to serve in the presidency. Going back to the 1976 election, here is how many years’ experience in Washington DC our past seven presidents had when they got elected:

Jimmy Carter – 0

Ronald Reagan – 0

George H.W. Bush – roughly 20

Bill Clinton – 0

George W. Bush – 0

Barack Obama – 2

Donald Trump – 0

Combined, those seven presidents had about 22 years’ total experience in the DC Swamp, with Bush 41 having almost all of them. Bush 41, as we all remember, was defeated in 1992 by an outsider, Bill Clinton, who got a big assist from an even more authentic outsider, Ross Perot.

Are you seeing a trend here? I am.

Who are the “establishment” candidates in this race? Biden, The Commie, Fauxcahontas, Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Tim Ryan. While Biden, the Commie and Fauxcahontas are currently leading the polls for the nomination, the odds are heavily-stacked against any of these people being our president-elect come November 4, 2020.

Americans don’t want some crotchety old geezer who’s been ensconced in the DC swamp for 30+ years – or even 10 years – to be their national leader. If they did, Robert Dole and Walter Mondale and John Kerry and Al Gore and John McCain would have all served in the nation’s highest office over the past 30 years.

Yes, Harris is a senator, but she’s only been in that office a little over two years, same as Obama circa 2008. Yes, Irish Bob O’Rourke was in congress for 8 years, but he never did anything notable while there so nobody is really aware of his time in DC. Thus, both are viewed by the media and public through that same Obama “outsider” prism.

But back to the Biden/Buttigieg thing: The simple fact of the matter is that Buttigieg is a better, more effective candidate than Biden, and Biden knows it. Biden right now is riding the same wave of party establishment support that Jeb! was riding at this point in 2015. Well all know how that turned out.

Mayor Pete was all over the news yesterday because of the townhall he did on Fox News Sunday night, which was hosted by Chris Wallace. Conservatives complained all day Monday about Wallace’s softball conduct of the interview and the fact that Fox News chose to fill the venue with a pack of Buttigieg supporters, but so what?

The fact is that Buttigieg proved once again that he is an extremely composed and impressive public speaker, far moreso at age 37 than Creepy Sleepy Joe is at age 76. He is also very adept at fielding tough questions, as he proved back in March when Wallace peppered him with much tougher questions on Fox News Sunday. I was so impressed with Mayor Pete’s performance at that time that I tagged him as one of the real “Rising Stars” of this primary season.

Yes, most of what he says and thinks is batsh*t crazy. Yes, most of what he says is outright lies. But Buttigieg is, as one Democrat congressman said of Bill Clinton back in 1993, “an unusually good liar.” He says the crazy stuff he says with the conviction born of a true sociopath, which puts him in company with the last two Democrat presidents.

Contrast that with the likes of Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker, both of whom are also inveterate liars but who are both unusually bad at it. Come to think of it, Gore and Kerry were also unusually poor liars, as were Dole, Poppy Bush and McCain – it must have something to do with spending too much time in the nation’s capital.

And then there’s Biden, who has been lying about so many things for so long that they just pop right out of his mouth, but only in short, semi-literate bursts in which no sentence is ever completed. Biden’s like a guy with a case of political Tourette’s syndrome. Biden is fond of saying “I’m the guy that passed that [fill-in-the-blank] bill!” only the bills he talks about either don’t exist or were written by someone else. On Sunday, he went even further, claiming he was the guy who started the whole “Climate Change” thing back in 1987. Somewhere, Al Gore – who also didn’t invent this whole “Climate Change” thing but likes to claim he did – is saying “whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat?”

But I digress. All the Democrat candidates lie about pretty much everything because they’re all leftwing hacks and that’s the only way leftists can win elections. It’s just a given. Democrat voters love to be lied to, and will generally end up nominating whichever candidate is the most effective liar of the bunch.

The key for Democrat voters in this cycle will be to nominate the best liar who is not a fossilized DC insider if they want to have any real shot at defeating President Trump. Because Americans innately understand that the DC establishment, regardless of party affiliation, is their true mortal enemy.

Many Americans have tired of all the uproar and chaos that they have seen since the election of Donald Trump, and would love for things to calm down after 2020. But are they likely to choose to replace a political outsider like Trump with a long-time establishment insider who will just return things to the status quo they rejected in 2016?

Nope.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Beto O’Rourke Must Turn on the Media that Invented Him

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Some free advice for Beto O’Rourke. – I suppose that I should preface this long piece by reminding readers that I have no love for Irish Bob O’Rourke. In fact, what I really hold for him more than anything else is contempt. The substance-devoid empty suit from El Paso finds himself today in a predicament of his own making, a situation in which his once-promising presidential campaign is mired in weak also-ran status in a crowded field that is occupied by more capable and more-clever candidates.

Irish Bob’s situation is compounded by the reality that the elite, northeastern fake news media establishment that literally put the presidential bug in his ear by fawning all over him for the last six months of 2018 has now turned on him because he waited too long to bend the knee and consummate its courtship of him. Since he finally announced his candidacy in March – the fickle nature of the fake media demanded he do so in December, January at the outside – he has been treated as a stepchild, hit by a series of negative stories and given the back of the hand by elitist media outlets angry that he hasn’t shown up on their doorsteps with a bouquet of roses in-hand and tickets to that night’s Knicks game for them.

A friend pointed me to a really good May 15 piece posted by Vanity Fair titled “How the Media Fell Out of Love with Beto O’Rourke,” which interestingly sounds like a title we would use here at the Campaign Update. We’ve certainly come close to it in the past, and written on the same basic theme, albeit in a more sarcastic way.

The Vanity Fair piece is written from an obviously more friendly perspective towards O’Rourke, but chronicles the same basic story we’ve chronicled here. It is very long, but a really good read and I encourage everyone to read it in full.

Here are some outtakes I want to emphasize this morning:

Since announcing his campaign for president in mid-March, just two months ago, O’Rourke has gone from the media darling who almost beat Ted Cruz in Texas to the designated punching bag of the pundit class. Harry Siegel of the Daily Beast called Beto a “manchild” on Twitter, while sharing a lacerating piece from the columnist Margaret Carlson, who wrote about “her unscientific poll asking every woman I see” and the conclusion that O’Rourke, the married father of three who enjoys making Sunday morning pancakes for his family, reminds them of “the worst boyfriend they ever had.”

Oof.

The press commentary swirling around O’Rourke has been like this for months—mockery first, re-tweets second, sober analysis third.

“A presidential campaign is several universes away from a statewide campaign,” said Republican strategist Kevin Madden, a former adviser on both of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaigns. “It’s 10 times harder. The scrutiny is just so much greater. Your worst day on Capitol Hill or in the statehouse or on a Senate campaign is three times worse every day on a presidential campaign…You can’t escape the media. You have to have a plan to deal with them.”

O’Rourke is trying to repair the damage this week, stopping by New York greenrooms that’s he’s so far been shunning, making appearances on The Rachel Maddow Show and The View. And as he did during his Senate run, he’s also booked an appearance at a CNN town hall, a format that’s proven to be a ratings and fund-raising bonanza for candidates like Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg.

So, those capture the basic theme, which is: 1) The media fell in love with “Beto” last year and made him as a senatorial candidate; 2) Beto tried to mostly ignore them early in his presidential campaign, taking it right to the grassroots instead; 3) The fickle media elitists turned on him in a typically vicious manner; and 4) Beto is now dutifully making the rounds on bended knee.

But it’s probably all too late, if the goal is to have the media elitists go back to loving their former flame. The damage has been done, and it’s hard to rekindle the kind of media love Irish Bob received in 2018. Besides, in 2018 he was running against one of the most media-hated Republican in the nation; now, he’s running against a pack of beloved fellow Democrats. Making the rounds and passing out Knicks tickets probably isn’t gonna undo this damage.

To me, the key for a possible O’Rourke comeback lies in one passage a little over halfway through the piece:

“I guess I still haven’t heard the Ted Kennedy answer from him,” said former South Carolina legislator Boyd Brown, an early O’Rourke supporter in the primary state. Brown was invoking Kennedy’s devastating failure to answer CBS anchor Roger Mudd’s question “Why do you want to be president?” days before his 1980 campaign launch. Still, Brown, who is 32, told me that O’Rourke “personifies” and “embodies” the “views of my generation,” pointing to his climate-change plan as the most ambitious of any Democrat running. But he also bristled at the national press for harping on O’Rourke’s personality and missteps. “Who the hell wants to go on TV and get talked over and lectured by a bunch of D.C. and New York types? I’m old enough to remember when friends of mine in the journalism profession would go out of their way not to show bias. Now it feels like they have cheapened the overall profession because they want a lot of likes and re-tweets on Twitter. Reporters want to be woke on Twitter and get their 15 minutes of fame. It’s devalued journalism.”

You hear that, Irish Bob? Your natural base voters don’t really have any more use for the Margaret Carlsons of the world than I do. They have different reasons for that dislike, but it is there and it is simmering just below the surface, waiting for you or some other candidate in the race to tap into it.

Here’s the thing: O’Rourke is sitting there at 3-5% in the polls, mired in the middle of a field crowded with politicians who are just as craven and ambitious as he is. It is in that millieu that he must find a way to differentiate himself, to stand out in that crowd.

Is he going to get that done by dutifully doing the same lame appearances on all the daytime and late night talk shows and CNN townhalls that everyone else is doing? Is he going to do that by announcing a “Climate Change” plan that wastes one or two trillion dollars more than these 7 rivals, but one or two trillion less than those other 10 to 12 rivals?

The answer is obvious. That’s just spinning your skateboard wheels, waving your arms and failing.

But ask yourself this: Which Democrat candidate right now is loudly criticizing any media outlet other than the standard Democrat bogeyman, Fox News?

There’s your opportunity to stand out. Get out there and talk about how you’re a Texan from Flyover Country, from the heart of our nation, fighting against the elite northeastern media. Talk about how these snarky fake journalists are devaluing their profession in their never-ending grasp for more re-tweets and followers. Talk about how you are suddenly the outsider in this race, fighting for the interests of the little guy against the elite media and your party’s establishment, which want to tilt the playing field in favor of Party regulars like Joe Biden and Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren, elitists favoring fellow elitists.

In other words, Irish Bob, if you really want to stand out among this crowd of pandering, groveling, hack politicians, you need to start sounding a lot like…wait for it…Donald J. Trump, circa 2015.

Mr. Brown has given you some really sound advice in that Vanity Fair piece, and Mr. Trump has already shown you the way. It may or may not work, but it’s really the only chance you have remaining at this point.

Are you smart enough to take that chance?

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Crazy Uncle Joe Sucks the Air Out of the Democrat Room in 3 New Polls

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

How weak is the 20-person Democrat field? – It’s so weak that a 76 year-old, miserable two-time loser in presidential politics who has been wrong about literally every major issue facing this nation over the last half-century is sucking all the air out of the room. That’s weak.

Three new polls released yesterday show Biden blowing away the rest of the Democrat field and getting close to eating up half the support among the Party’s mind-numbed voter base: He comes in at 44% support in the Harvard-Harris poll , 46% in the Hill-HarrisX online poll and 40% in the new poll from Morning Consult. The Commie lags far behind in 2nd place with just 14% support in both of the first two polls, and a little stronger 19% in Morning Consult. None of the 18 other candidates registers even in double digits in any of the polls.

That’s how weak the 20-person Democrat field is.  Yikes.

Now, these are just three polls and as I pointed out in yesterday’s Campaign Update, Biden was always destined to have some really good polling numbers coming out of the gate in his carefully-scripted campaign launch. He is a two-term vice president, a guy who spent more than 30 years in the U.S. Senate, and the most known quantity out of all of the candidates in the field. He had lead the polls consistently before he even declared his candidacy, and that lead was inevitably going to grow once he finally jumped in. So that was all a given.

But, as unreliable as we all know that political polls are these days, there is no denying that a) three polls with fairly consistent results represents something of a trend, and b) some of the numbers posted by the other, supposedly “major” candidates in this race are stunningly weak.

The best example is the numbers put up by former darling of the fake news media, Irish Bob O’Rourke, who registers at 3, 3, and 5 in these polls, respectively, despite his very strong, if fading, fundraising numbers. It turns out that even mindless Democrat base voters want something more from a candidate – even one who just 3 months ago was touted by our fake news media as the “next Kennedy” – than jumping up on tables, waving arms and spouting meaningless platitudes.  Go figure.

But what about the wymyn-folks? Well, the Party’s two most prominent wymyn, Faucahontas and Willie Brown’s Paramour, are doing better than Irish Bob, but that’s not saying much given that you can triple his numbers and still be mired in single-digits. The Fake Indian is averaging just 6.7% in these three polls, while Kamala Harris, who many “experts” were touting as the most likely Party nominee as recently as March, is doing a little better with an average of 7.3%.

But hey, at least they’re both out-pacing Irish Bob, and looky here – they’re both doing better than the fake news media’s latest Prom Date, Mayor Pete! Pete Buttigieg registers at 2, 8, and 6 in these three polls, for a not-very-impressive average of just 5.3%, despite having received hundreds of millions of dollars worth of fawning, free media coverage over the past two months.

Who else is even worth mentioning here? Well, there’s the “other” African American candidate, Cory Booker, who all the smart people in D.C. and the fake media were telling us last year might become the “next Barack Obama”, God help us. But that was all before his “I am Spartacus” moment in the Kavanaugh hearings last October. In these three polls, Sen. Spartacus comes in at 3, 3, and 3. Hey, at least he’s consistent.

Amy Klobuchar, who registers at 2, 0, and 2 is the only other candidate who even manages to come in at above 1% support in any of these polls. Kirsten Gillibrand’s candidacy is such a joke that the folks at RealClearPolitics have stopped even listing her in their average of polls table.  My goodness.

Now, some observations:

  • First, the field is very crowded right now and that means that support is scattered among the competing candidates. As the field narrows, voters will consolidate their support among those who remain in the race.
  • There is no doubt, for example, that the other Commies in the race, like Fauxcahontas and Mayor Pete, are sucking support away from the real Commie, Bernie Sanders. The problem the Commie is going to have is that Mayor Pete, as the only openly gay candidate in the race, is likely to have some real staying power in the race, since the media will be afraid to report anything negative about him.
  • Fauxcahontas is also likely to have some staying power, since she is the most shameless liar in this liar-filled field. We all know how mindless Democrat base voters love to be lied to. So the Commie is in real trouble here.
  • Kamala Harris needs to do something, anything to set herself apart from the crowd, but her main problem is that she is a terrible campaigner and a singularly dislikeable individual. As a person who literally got ahead by sleeping with a powerful benefactor, her backstory is very unappealing, and her off-putting personality doesn’t help anything.
  • I still think Andrew Yang will have his moment in the sun in this race. Once the debates begin – and he’s already raised enough money to be on the stage – he will stand out from the rest of this moribund, unappealing field because he is so much more intelligent than any of his opponents.
  • Everybody else who is currently in this race is wasting their time and money, even those who, like Irish Bob, believe they might make an appealing running mate for either of the two near-octogenarians at the top of the polls. Biden’s already focused on Georgia gubernatorial loser Stacey Abrams – who apparently feels she’s entitled  to the slot – and any other potential nominee is more likely to look outside of a bunch of just-defeated candidates for their running mate.

Again, I continue to believe that this week is the best polling week Biden will have in this race and that someone else will ultimately be the Democrat nominee. But at this point, given the amazing weakness of the rest of the field, I wouldn’t hazard a guess who that eventual nominee might be.

Honestly, I don’t really care. President Donald Trump will wipe the floor with any of these weak sisters, brothers and who-knows-what.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Dying CNN Fakes up a Poll for Foundering Beto

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Another day, another fake poll. – The Democrats and their media enablers have apparently decided it’s time to try to revive the moribund campaign of their former “next Kennedy”, Irish Bob O’Rourke. With the fake Hispanic’s support among Democrats mired in the mid-single digits for the last six weeks, party leaders and fake media mavens hoping their party’s primary season will produce an interesting race that doesn’t quickly boil down to a depressing slog between two near-octogenarians know that means they need their precious “Beto” up on stage waving his arms around and promising to use his office to ban everything from reliable electricity to guns to Tylenol.

So, what’s the easiest way to rev up Democrat base-voter interest in a candidate? Why, get the news-fakers over at CNN to dummy up a fake poll showing that Irish Bob is the one guy among the 20 or so circus clowns lined up to seek the nomination who can not just defeat, but wallop President Donald Trump in the 2020 general election. You betcha.

Presto! CNN has a new poll of “registered voters” this morning pretending to show that Precious Beto would beat the President in a head-to-head race by a 52-42 margin! It’s like magic, I tell ya!

Here are the fake poll’s full top-line results:

In a new poll Beto O'Rourke emerged as the most likely to take out President Donald Trump if he were to run against him in the general elections. Of six top Democratic candidates, those polled favored five of them over Trump

In addition to its obvious, blatant effort to pump up support for the Party’s fake Hispanic – hey, why do the party and its captive media continue to ignore the real Texas Hispanic in the race, Julian Castro? –  this poll is designed to serve a couple of other purposes:

  • Put a leash on the Democrats’ fake Indian, Elizabeth Warren, who amazingly has begun to show a little momentum among Democrat voters who, after all, love to be lied to; and
  • Reassure the restless among the Democrat base that the Party’s strategy of desperately trying to keep its whole “Russia Collusion” fantasy alive right through Election Day, 2020 is working.

So, just like the New York Times has done the past couple of days with their carefully-planted fake stories designed to support the Deep State narrative, when the Democrat Party poobahs need a favor, no fake news outlet is more willing to whip it out than America’s least-favorite news-flasher, despicable old CNN.

The irony here is that the Democrat Party’s “Russia Collusion” strategy obviously is failing, and the best way to tell that is by looking at CNN’s own ratings, which have crashed through the floor since the release of the Mueller Report and its revelation that there never was any “collusion” to begin with. At least, not by anyone involved in the Trump Campaign.

The fake news network’s ratings declined by an amazing 26% in April compared to March, as the fantasy it had used to attract viewers for two solid years came up a crapper. That’s an even more amazing 41% below the network’s average rating from April, 2018. If our nation’s airports stopped their mysterious practice of giving CNN a monopoly on their captive travelers, the cable network would have almost no viewers at all.

The big problem here for the Democrats is that they really don’t have anything else other than hate and division and lies to offer the American people. Those three things form the entire basis of their Party’s reason for existing today. There is no more there there. So they have no choice but to keep doubling and tripling and quadrupling down on the only things they know to do anymore.

That means that CNN, the New York Times and all the other fake media outlets in our national fake media universe are left with no choice but to double and triple and quadruple down right along with their masters.

What a sad and destructive existence these people lead.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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