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Tonight is Fauxcahontas Fest for the Democrats

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Last week, we talked about the fact that the Democrat Party leaders don’t do anything by chanceThe contention by the DNC that the lineup for the two debate panels tonight and tomorrow night were determined by drawing names out of a hat at random is transparently absurd. The thought that this party, which does everything it does and says everything its people say based on polling and focus groups would leave such a crucial part of its campaign to oust Donald Trump to chance is laughable.

As we pointed out in that June 15 piece, the two panels have been clearly constructed to give the advantage to Elizabeth Warren (tonight) and Pete Buttigieg (tomorrow), who together had become the party’s dream ticket before Buttigieg’s horrible two days back in South Bend over the weekend. The party leaders are probably regretting going out on that particular limb for Mayor Pete now that his intractable problems with black voters have become a national story.

But boy, are they going all-in for Fauxcahontas. Today, we learned that Little Big Moneywaster will not just be the only leading candidate on tonight’s stage, but she will actually be positioned in the dead center of the field. This time, though, party spokespeople don’t expect you to believe that is all purely by chance. Here is how that all works, as explained by the news-fakers at NBC:

NBC on Tuesday announced the candidate positions on the stage for the two-night event on June 26 and 27, and it will feature the contenders who’ve been leading in the polls in the middle of the stage at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts.

That means on Night One, Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and former Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas will be in the middle, while Night Two will feature former Vice President Biden and Sanders, the Vermont senator, standing side-by-side at center stage.

Thus, Little Big Mouth Always Running gets to dominate the stage next to Irish Bob O’Rourke, whose own campaign has imploded to the point that he polled just 1% in the most recent Emerson poll, and a slightly better 3% in the new YouGov poll out this morning.

The staging could not be more advantageous for Lieawatha: Standing next to the awkward, arm-waving goofball from El Paso, she is going to look positively dignified by comparison.

After Warren gets to stand out on a kiddie stage with no one polling at better than 3%, Joe Biden and The Commie have to face off while standing right next to one another. This picture of two old, gray-haired, pastly-white Swamp rats with a combined age of 153 (that is not a typo) in the center of the stage is not going to be a good look at all for them, or for a Party that likes to think of itself as the champion of minorities and younger generations.

The idea there was initially to give Mayor Pete, age 37, a chance to look like a shining light of youth  by comparison and to also present himself as the reasonable adult in the room as the nation’s leading Commie and Unfrozen Caveman Senator went after each other. But that all went to hell when Buttigieg’s attempt to go back home and actually try to do his day job crashed up on the shoals of a group of Black Lives Matter protesters.

Now, that second debate night is looking more like a golden opportunity for Kamala Harris to catch lightning in a bottle, if she’s capable. We’ll see.

But tonight, it’s all about the party and the media’s effort to promote Fauxcahontas, the party’s most transparent fraud and pathological liar, as their new favored candidate. Given the sorry nature of the competition, and the way Democrat voters love to be lied to, it’s almost certain to work.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Democrat Depravity is a True Mental Illness

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The depravity of the Democrats has now reached serious mental illness levels. – It is no longer enough for Democrat politicians to express their disdain for American values, no longer enough for them to propose programs or make outrageous accusations designed specifically to divide and Balkanize our nation along racial, sexual, religious and gender lines. The competition for that space has become so feverish that they now feel compelled to ramp things up to another level in order to attract attention onto themselves from an equally-despicable media establishment.

Thus, we see things like yesterday’s desperate effort by Irish Bob O’Rourke to reinvigorate his failed presidential campaign by proposing a “war tax” that would literally pit family against family in our tax system. And we see Lieawatha out on the hustings doing her best Oprah imitation, screaming “you get reparations! And you get reparations! And you get reparations!” to the point where you can no longer even add up the trillions of dollars we do not have that she is proposing to give away.

Image result for o'rourke war tax

For The Commie, it’s not enough to just hold a presser at which he proposes to destroy the U.S. banking system by “forgiving” trillions in outstanding student loans, he must do so while standing next to The Enemy Within, Ilhan Omar, the Poster Child for Antisemitism in America who stands newly accused by the Minneapolis Star Tribune of having married her brother in order to defraud the U.S. immigration system. The Star Tribune is the same newspaper that refused to report on that matter until she had been safely elected to congress, of course.

Image result for bernie sanders with ilhan omar

If you’re Alexandria Ocasio Cortez, criticizing the current administration’s detention centers along the southern border is not enough – you must seek media attention by comparing them to the Nazi “concentration camps” in which 6 millions Jews were murdered prior to and during World War II. And when you comments are called out by various Jewish organizations, including the American Holocaust Museum, you can’t simply apologize for having resorted to outrageous hyperbole; instead, you say you weren’t talking about Nazi concentration camps, you were talking about those other concentration camps run by …um, well…er, you know, like, those other countries or something. Like, you know?

If you’re Nervous Nancy Pelosi, simply objecting to President Trump’s plan to ramp up deportations of those who have broken U.S. immigration laws isn’t enough. No, no, you must allege that, by proposing to increase deportation efforts to, oh, say, Obama-era levels, the Evil Orange Man is scaring children. And not just children of immigrants, oh, no, because limiting it to them is probably accurate and thus not outrageous enough to attract air time from Chris Cuomo. No, the Evil Orange Man is scaring ALL children everywhere, because that’s just how powerful he has become.

Image result for nancy pelosi trump is scaring children

Then there’s Mad Maxine Waters, the worst person in America, having recently seized that crown back from Adam Pencil Neck Schiff. For the despicable dimwit from California, it isn’t enough to question the effectiveness of the Evil Orange Man’s response to Iran’s downing of an unmanned drone that was flying in international air space, oh, no. If you’re Mad Maxine looking to get your heinously ugly mug on television for a few seconds, you just grab the latest talking points of the Iranian Mullahs and parrot them for the cameras. That’ll damn sure get you on the CBS Evening News and probably on Rachel Maddow, too.

Image result for maxine waters iran drone

This is the ugly face of the Democrat Party today. It is demented, it is depraved and it is utterly despicable. These are sick, sick people who are destroying our society, bit by bit. They must be stopped.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Democrat Debates Will be a Money-Taking-and-Spending Orgy

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Boy, this is going to be one expensive pair of debates. – Last week, I rolled out a proposed drinking game to play during this week’s pair of Democrat debates: Take a shot of tequila every time one of the candidates makes a proposal that would cost more than $1 trillion. You’ll be dead within an hour.

At the rate this motley collection of miscreants, sloths, Commies and grifters is going, I’m going to have to revise that death estimate down to about 20 minutes.

Here are some examples of the trillions the various candidates have been proposing to spend just over the past 48 hours:

Bernie Sanders – The Commie proposes to just make all outstanding student loans vanish into thin air, and says he’ll pay for it with an unspecific “tax on Wall Street.”

Hey, guess who invests in the undefined boogeyman that Democrats refer to as “Wall Street”? Hundreds of millions of ordinary, every day Americans, including anyone who owns an IRA, a 401(k) or any other form of investment account. That’s who would really pay that “tax on Wall Street.”

Fauxcahontas – Princess Little Big Moneyspender, meanwhile, most recently proposed to pay “marriage reparations” to gay couples who had to file as “single” during the years before the law was changed.

Hey, do you think any enterprising Democrat candidate will think to propose to pay “student loan reparations” to us Baby Boomers who paid off not only our own student loans but also those of our children? Because I’ll be signing up for that one.

Irish Bob O’Rourke – Not to be outdone, Irish Bob introduced a new proposal over the weekend that would “help” veterans and their families by levying a special tax on families that do not include veterans or current military members. Thus, the former “rising star” of the Democrat Party finds a new way to not only violate all sorts of constitutional principles of taxation, but also to divide Americans even more than they already are by pitting family against family.  Disgraceful.

Kamala Harris – One reason why Harris has faded in the race is that she’s just been running around basically saying “me too!” to the spending ideas of others. She’s for crashing the banking system by “forgiving” trillions in student loans; for any identity-based spending idea that comes along, like Warren’s “marriage reparations”; for paying reparations to millions of slave descendants; for pretty much anything that might get her a mention on the NBC Nightly News, basically.

So, anytime a question is asked of Harris, just go ahead and take a shot before she even answers, because you know whatever she says is coming right out of your pocket.

Cory Booker – I think I’ve just figured out why Cory Booker is performing so poorly in this race: He’s making a proposal that does NOT involve stealing money from one class of people to give to another or to divide the nation. His new deal involves setting up what he would call a “clemency panel” that would review the cases of 17,000 to 20,000 non-violent drug offenders currently serving time in our nation’s prison system. Given the absurd cost of housing such prisoners in the system, Booker’s program is something that would actually … wait for it… SAVE MONEY! No wonder this guy’s polling at just 2% among the Democrat Party’s demented voter base. He hasn’t a prayer.

Amy Klobuchar – The most abusive candidate in the race rolled out a list of dozens of actions she would take during her first 100 days in office, many of which would cost our nation hundreds of billions of dollars. Each. Among the most costly is the very first one on the list, which is to get our country back into the fraudulent Paris Climate Accords, which is nothing but a scheme to redistribute American wealth to all other countries on the face of the earth. That one alone will be worth 3 shots of tequila when she brags about it during the debate.

Kirsten Gillibrand – It appears the most inexplicable candidate nominally in the race for some reason has completely given up, since the only new proposal I could find her talking about over the last few days came when she told the New York Times that her favorite comfort food is…whiskey.

Now, that’s a campaign I could get behind!

Stock up on the Patron and Jose Cuervo, folks, it’s gonna be a long and expensive couple of nights.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Why Joe Biden Won’t be the Nominee

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

People keep telling me that I’m really going out on a limb with my all-but-guarantee that Joe Biden will not be the Democrat nominee in 2020. The truth is that that is the safest prediction I’ve made about this race.

The history of presidential politics is littered with the rotting carcasses of early favorites in contested presidential nominating battles who ended up being left behind when the actual convention rolled around.

Remember 1972 Democrat nominee Edmund Muskie? Yeah, neither do I. Well, I sort of remember Edmund Muskie, who was the party establishment’s favorite as the campaign season began, but Democrat voter base, radicalized by the hippie movement moving into adulthood and the early reports of the Watergate scandal, were looking for a much more radical alternative that year. Ultimately, the party presented closet Marxist George McGovern to the country, and an electoral slaughter of epic proportions ensued, despite the media’s best efforts to destroy Richard Nixon.

Sound familiar?

What about 1976 Democrat nominee Morris Udall, the early polling leader and establishment favorite? Or nominee Birch Bayh, who won the Iowa Caucuses? Remember them? No? Well, it turned out that Democrat voters that year weren’t in the mood to nominate some old DC swamp creature, which you are going to soon discover is a very common theme in this essay. Instead, they wanted a fresh face, and ended up saddling the country with Jimmy Carter, who at the time was the freshest face we’d ever seen.

Yeah, that didn’t work out well, did it?

Remember when early polls told us that Ted Kennedy was going to beat Carter for the nomination in 1980 after Carter’s disastrous term in office? Remember when that didn’t happen, either?

Guess who the early polling leader for the nomination in the 1984 race was? Remember how Gary Hart won that year’s nomination? No? Neither does anyone else. That year, the now-ageing hippies passed the party’s baton to old swamp  creature Walter Mondale, and the result was the largest electoral landslide loss in American history.

Ok, what about 1988 Democrat nominee Mario Cuomo? Remember him? After a raft of polls in mid-1987 showed Cuomo would be a big leader in the nominating battle, party leaders tried to recruit him to get into the race. But Cuomo, knowing the scrutiny that would bring into his shady background, refused to take up the baton.

Well, what about 1988 nominee Gary Hart, who again led all the polls once Cuomo refused to run? No? Hart might actually have prevailed in the race that year had he not dared the media to “follow me around” after allegations arose that he was having an affair. For once, the media actually did its job where a Democrat was concerned, and photos of Hart cavorting on a boat with Donna Rice were soon made public. So, we ended up with Michael Dukakis and another electoral landslide instead.

Then there’s 1992 Democrat nominee Paul Tsongas, or 1992 Democrat nominee Jerry Brown, or 1992 Democrat nominee Bob Kerrey, all of whom were leaders in early polling in the race. But then this guy Bill Clinton played the saxophone on the Johnny Carson Show, and shallow Democrat voters had their man!

In 2000, it was Al Gore all the way as the Democrat voter longed to give the country a third Clinton term. That didn’t happen, either.

Then there’s 2004 Democrat nominee John Edwards. Yet another early polling leader flame-out due to Gary Hart-like circumstances. He was succeeded by 2004 Democrat nominee Howard Dean, who surged into a polling lead late in 2003. But he came up a crapper with a third-place finish in Iowa, and the nomination ended up going to the disastrous John Kerry.

Finally, I give you 2008 Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton, the overwhelming leader in every early poll in the race, and the woman who eventually…flamed completely out after Barack Hussein Obama his own self caught fire.

Democrat voters are fickle, folks. In every cycle, the party’s leaders always try to push a favorite candidate, and that favored candidate is usually rejected. The lone exceptions to this dynamic in modern times have been Walter Mondale, Al Gore and Hillary Clinton, all loooooooooosers. In 2016, the party’s leaders went so far as to actually rig the primaries in Clinton’s favor, and Obama and his evil minions did everything they could to rig the general election in her favor, and she still lost.

The Fainting Felon’s attempt to saddle the nation with a third Obama term was a miserable failure, and now here is Joe Biden, trying to execute the exact same failed strategy four years later. But Biden’s trying to do it before a party voter base that has been radicalized to the point of insanity, and the primary voting is going to be dominated by the most radicalized among them.

Every nominating battle has its own unique set of dynamics, of course, and the party bosses have set the process up this time to encourage a hung convention at which they will ultimately get to choose the nominee. Maybe that will work out for them, but if it does, history tells us that they will choose a loser.

But back to the point about Joe Biden: History also tells us that the early leader in the polls almost never ends up winning the nomination. I’m not out on a limb at all on that one, and I think I’ll stick to it.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Dems/NBC Structure Debate Lineups to Promote the Party’s New Dream Ticket

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, the Democrat debate lineups are set for next week, and aren’t we all thrilled? Ok, no. But I’ll tell you who is thrilled to death, and that is Fauxcahontas, the fake Indian senator from Massachusetts who got her a seat at the kiddie table. This is how we know that she has now replaced Kamala Harris as the favored child of the Obama minions who are running the DNC into bankruptcy. We’ll explain, but first, take a look at how the “random drawing” for next week’s two debate nights turned out:

Image result for Democratic debate lineups

Image result for Democratic debate lineups

Anything look a little odd to you there? Well, it will if you understand how the Democrats and the fake news media – in this case, NBC and its affiliate channels – work together to structure their narratives and influence how this campaign is going to go.

The first thing to understand here is that the Democrat Party does nothing at random. Nothing is left to chance – everything is scripted, every word they utter, every public action they take is based on supporting the narrative, which in turn is based on polling and focus groups. So, ignore the myth that these lineups were determined by drawing names out of a hat. That’s utter nonsense.

Now that you understand that, take another look at the lineups and notice the most striking aspect of them: There is Princess Little Big Giveaway all by herself at the end of that first line, preceded by an amazing array of lightweights in the race. None of those other nine candidates is polling more than 2-3% support currently, and most of them come in at a flat zero in all but a handful of national polls. Who do you think that’s intended to benefit?

It’s been hilarious reading some of the “news” reports since the lineups were released, most of them claiming that Lieawatha somehow came out on the short end of the stick, based on the bad reasoning that golly, nobody will be watching that first debate because Biden and the Commie aren’t in it. This betrays a complete lack of understanding about what actually matters here, which is not how many people tune into the debate, but what the media narrative of it will be the next day.

The narrative for Night 1 is set up to be “Man, did Elizabeth Warren dominate that debate stage, or what?” It’s as predictable as Joe Biden groping a child at a public event. You know who really got screwed by that draw? Tulsi Gabbard, who needs people to be watching in order to notice that she’s the only person on that stage who will be saying what she actually thinks, rather than reciting talking points written for her by other people, as all the others will be doing. Trust me, that’s not an accident, either, given that the Obama people who run the DNC detest Rep. Gabbard.

Thus, Night 2 will be crammed with the rest of the “heavyweights” in the race, if you can call them that. Sleepy Creepy Joe, the Commie, Kamala Harris and Mayor Pete will all be forced to compete with each other for opportunities to stand out, along with six rank also-rans like Kirsten Gillibrand and Marianne Williamson. The almost inevitable result of this lineup will be the formation of a circular firing squad with the guns trained mainly at Uncle Joe.

Guess who is most likely to come out of that mess looking best? If you said Mayor Pete, you’d be right. Because Buttigieg has already proven he’s much smarter than the rest of these hacks, and is the most likely one to be sure to stay completely out of the slugfest.

So, the lineup coming out of Night 2 sets up a narrative that will be something like “Buttigieg remains above the fray as a brawl breaks out on the debate stage.” Just millions more dollars worth of free media for the party’s “rising star.” No mystery here.

The people who run the DNC understand that Biden’s a dinosaur who is completely out of touch with the party’s radicalized voter base, and that the Commie is, well, a Commie who would lead the party to unrecoverable electoral disaster. So these lineups have obviously been structured to promote what is quickly emerging as the party’s “dream ticket” – a marriage between a fake Indian and an Obama disciple who has never before run for any office above mayor of a mid-size town in Indiana.

As much as they try to hide what they’re doing, the Democrats are really extremely transparent when you understand how they coordinate their efforts with our fake news media.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Fauxcahontas Makes Heap Big Surge in Presidential Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

We here at the Campaign Update have consistently noted that Democrat voters love being lied to, and they appear determined to prove us right. If you hadn’t already picked up on it, the biggest surge in the Democrat nominating race over the past couple of months has not come from Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who has settled into polling consistently in the 7-8% support range. While that’s fairly respectable, we might have expected a little better performance from a guy who has received tens of millions of dollars in free, fawning air time from our fake news media since March.

No, the biggest surge has come from exactly the source we should have all anticipated, the life-long human fraud who has gotten everything she has achieved in life by lying. This is a woman who doesn’t just lie about economics, not just about the law, not just about public policy; oh, no, that’s not nearly enough. Elizabeth Warren is a woman who has spent her entire adult life disgracefully lying about who she even is as a person, pretending to be of American Indian descent in order to move ahead in line for plum jobs, to obtain licenses to practice law, and even to get elected to the United States Senate.

Making things even more hilarious – and thus making her even more appealing to liar-obsessed Democrat voters – Warren had become so bought into her own line of BS that she even resorted to taking a DNA test to prove her life of lies last year. When the test came back with the finding that she might – maybe – have 1/1024th native American blood in her stream, she immediately paraded around on a public “victory” tour. Only the loud objections from several Indian Tribes put a stop to that nonsense.

But why would it surprise us that her initial reaction to having been publicly proven to be a heinous, life-long fraud would be to stage a celebration? After all, this is a woman who wants to be the Democrat presidential nominee, and while she’s a horribly dishonest individual, she isn’t stupid. She knows what appeals most to her party’s demented voter base, and that DNA test was proof she had the main qualification to win their support.

You have to think like these Democrats think, folks. I know it’s hard, but once you do, everything they do makes perfect sense.

Anyway, getting to the point here, we’ve had a spate of new polls of the Democrat race released in the past few days, and they show a clear Lieawatha surge, one that well outpaces the little boomlet Mayor Pete’s enjoyed. Quinnipiac, which showed Warren getting just 4% support in March, now has her at a very strong 15%, just 4 points behind the Commie. Economist/YouGov, meanwhile, has her at 16%, 4 points ahead of the old Bolshevik, and just 11 points behind Creepy Uncle Joe.

At the state level, a new Des Moines Register poll has her surging to 15% support in that state, in a virtual tie with the Commie and 9 points behind Biden. In Nevada, another key early caucus state, a new poll by Monmouth shows her firmly in second place at 19% support.

And a note about Warren consistently now getting at or above that 15% support level: That’s the level of votes a candidate must attain to win delegates in the party’s new proportional system for 2020. Thus, Lieawatha now joins Biden and the Commie as the only candidates consistently breaching that key threshold.

Little Mouth Always Running’s recent surge, along with her solid fundraising efforts, have now clearly established her as the strongest woman in the race. Kamala Harris, who all the “experts” believed was the odds-on favorite to be the main challenger to Biden back in January, continues to struggle and her polling numbers have settled into an essential tie with Mayor Pete. Although she on the surface seems like a female carbon political copy of Barack Hussein Obama his own self, she so far simply lacks Obama’s ability to connect with voters.

In other words, Kamala is just a lousy candidate. Who knows – maybe if she made up a back story about how her great grandmother always told her she was a space alien, that might be an obvious-enough lie to steal voters away from Fauxcahontas. Do lies about Aliens trump lies about Indians in demented Democrat thought? Hard to know until it’s been tried, Kamala.

In any event, the math on this race is becoming increasingly clear as the contestants lurch towards their first debates later this month. We have a top tier of contenders that consists of the Creepy Uncle every family wants to hide in the basement, a Commie trying to pretend he’s merely a socialist, a fake Indian, a modestly unsuccessful mayor of a mid-size city most Americans have never heard of, and a Senator who advanced her career by having a years-long affair with a power broker twice her age. The other 20 or so candidates need to devise better sets of lies if they want to move up the pecking order.

Way to go, Democrats!

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The State of the Democrat Race: Biden Seals His Fate

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember when Joe Biden’s rationale for running was that he would be the moderate who would appeal to independent voters? – Yeah, that’s all gone now.  I’ve told you all along that Joe Biden will not – cannot – be the 2020 nominee for the Democrat Party, and this was the week in which he sealed his own fate.

Honestly, it was inevitable. This man is a dinosaur trying to compete in a modern age with which he is totally unfamiliar. He’s like Phil Hartman’s genius “Un-Frozen Caveman Lawyer” SNL character, an ancient throwback to a time long past who is always confused and frightened by our modern ways and customs. More specifically, Biden is confused and frightened by the ways and customs of his Party’s modern-day voter base, pretty much all of which lies to the left of Fidel Castro and, where abortion is concerned, Margaret Sanger.

Not surprisingly at all, Biden got all caught up in abortion politics this week, and the outcome destroyed the entire rationale for his candidacy to begin with. Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, wanted all abortions to be legal as a means of controlling America’s black population. Today’s Democrat Party voter base fully endorses Sanger’s beliefs – abortions kill a far higher percentage of African American babies than those of any other segment of U.S. society – but takes it a step farther, to allowing babies born alive after attempted abortions to be left on a table to die.

This is what Democrat politicians refer to as a woman’s right to “healthcare.”  You betcha.

Biden, a life-long practicing Catholic, has always supported the Hyde Amendment, a policy which prevents Americans of actual religious faith from having to pay for abortions through their tax dollars. That is, until this week, when the subject was raised. When Biden reasserted his Hyde support, the SJWs in the social media universe went berserk, and almost frightened the eldery man out of what little hair he has remaining.

Less than 24 hours later, Biden gave up, fully endorsing his party’s baby-killing at all costs ways.

Poof! No more reason for Creepy Uncle Joe to be in the race. If Biden’s going to be just another Commie, baby-killing hack, why, the rest of the field is filled to the gills with younger, more attractive, more female and more minority versions of that.

So, again, as I’ve said all along, Biden will not be the nominee. His polling lead will have evaporated by October – really, by September at this rate – and he will leave the race shortly after he fails to win Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina. Which means March. He is this cycle’s Jeb!, but he just hasn’t realized it yet.

Elsewhere in the race, things remained pretty static. Bernie the Commie remains ensconced in second place in every poll, though his numbers keep slowly declining as the numbers for Fauxcahontas keep creeping up. Every Democrat nominating race is always won by the best liar, and little Lieawatha was just born to lie. So she is now firmly in third place with a slow-moving bullet.

Kamala Harris is going nowhere fast, and seems to have no idea of how to change that dynamic. She is just a very poor candidate, which is not surprising given the unseemly manner in which she advanced herself to the Senate in the first place. Mayor Pete has also stagnated after having received tens of millions in free media from our fake news outlets, and may have reached the peak of his popularity already. Irish Bob O’Rourke, fresh off of his utterly-failed effort to reboot his campaign, is simply dead in the water.

In fact, the entire field has stagnated at this point, as the fake news media flails about trying to decide which of them will be promoted next, and I suspect that will remain the state of play until the debates begin in a few weeks.

Here is a prediction I will make when that season comes around: The only actually interesting candidate in the race, Tulsi Gabbard, will really stand out on the debate stage. She will then likely become the media’s next “rising star” obsession.

What do I mean by “interesting candidate”? I mean that Gabbard, like Donald Trump in 2016, will stand out on a debate stage because she will be the only person on the stage saying what she truly believes, rather than just reciting a bunch of talking points scripted for her by other people. That was the real reason why Trump ended up becoming the GOP nominee, because most ordinary Americans are sick to death of watching politicians recite talking points. Like Trump, Gabbard tends to directly answer the questions posed to her, and does it in plain language most people can understand.

So, expect her to really stand out among the clutter of political hackery that will surround her on that debate stage. As a woman and minority, Gabbard also has some of the identity politics attributes valued by shallow Democrat voters. She is not, however, a particularly good liar, so while she will likely get a boost out of the debates, she cannot become the eventual nominee.

I had previously thought that Andrew Yang might do similarly well in the debates, but he has completely succumbed to the bad advice from professional communications “experts.” So he sounds no different than Kirsten Gillibrand or Kamala Harris these days. Not a recipe for winning if you are, like Yang, an insurgent candidate looking to stand out in a crowd.

The only other candidate I’d expect to perhaps get a boost out of the early debates would be Texas’s Julian Castro, the only actual Hispanic candidate in the race. Castro is a very smart guy and a very polished speaker. But again, not an especially convincing liar, which will really harm him with Democrat voters.

So right now we are just kind of stuck in a holding pattern until the debates get started. That’s when things will really start to get interesting.

Here are my initial odds on the race, which I plan to update weekly:

Anyone Else – Even

Hillary Clinton – 5 to 1

Joe Biden – 100 to 1

Bernie the Commie – 20 to 1

Elizabeth Warren – 6 to 1

Kamala Harris – 12 to 1

Mayor Pete – 50 to 1

Irish Bob – 1,000 to 1

Spartacus – 20 to 1

Tulsi Gabbard – 50 to 1

Julian Castro – 50 to 1

Kirsten Gillibrand – 6 million to 1

Amy Klobuchar – 1,000 to 1

Bill DeBlasio – Infinity to 1

The rest of the declared field – 100 to 1

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Beto O’Rourke Issues the Most Authentic Democrat Apology Ever

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Apology accepted, you giant a**hole! – Desperate times call for desperate measures, as they say, and no Democrat candidates are more desperate these days than Eric “Otter” Swalwell and Irish Bob “Beto” O’Rourke. This week, both campaigns decided it would be best for their failing candidates to apologize for being exactly who they are.

So, Swalwell went out on Monday and, in on of the most stilted, palpably insincere moments of 2019, made a video in which he apologized to a woman for being a white man, saying “I may be another white guy, but I know there are gaps in my knowledge or in my experience and I know when to pass the mic.”

Ummmm, no, dude, the very existence of this video clearly demonstrates you haven’t the slightest clue about when to do that.

When questioned by Fox News’s Martha MaCallum about Swalwell’s gesture, Trey Gowdy nailed it, saying “Well, Eric’s clearly riding a wave. I think he’s all the way up to zero in the polling.”  Ooof.

Not to be outdone by one of the shrinking handful of contenders he still leads in the polling, Irish Bob O’Rourke issued a video of his own on Tuesday. In this one, he apologizes to his 2018 senate campaign staff for being “a giant asshole.” Which, of course, is what everyone was thinking about him but afraid to say in polite company. But we aren’t in polite company here at Today’s Campaign Update, so we just plow right ahead and say it.

Hey, this is a really promising trend we have going on here for the Democrats. Maybe the rest of the field will take this opportunity issue some heartfelt apologies of their own for their past misdeeds that we are all totally aware of.  Wouldn’t that be fun?

Here are some examples of the apology opportunities that lie out there in Democrat land:

  • Joe Biden could apologize for being a serial woman-and-child groper;
  • Kamala Harris could apologize for being a floozy who slept her way to the Senate;
  • Fauxcahontas could apologize for being, well, Fauxcahontas;
  • The Commie could apologize for being an America-hating Marxist;
  • Pete Buttigieg could apologize for being just so darn cute;
  • Amy Klobuchar could apologize for being a heinously-abusive boss;
  • Cory Booker could apologize to Spartacus;
  • Kirstin Gillibrand could apologize for ever announcing her candidacy in the first place;
  • John Hickenlooper could apologize for having been a pretty good governor, thus ending any hope that he might actually succeed in Democrat presidential politics;
  • Jay Inslee, a horrible governor, could apologize in advance to all those future dead Washingtonians whose bodies will be mixed with leaves and manure to become compost;
  • Bill DeBlasio could apologize for being the worst mayor in a city whose history is filled with an endless series of awful mayors, interrupted only by 8 years of Rudy Giuliani;
  • Tulsi Gabbard could apologize to the other contenders for being the only actually interesting candidate in the entire field;
  • Marianne Williamson could apologize for being someone… I don’t even know who she is;
  • Seth Moulton could apologize to Fox News viewers for denying their ability to cringe and laugh out loud at every opinion uttered on-air by Marie Harf;
  • Julian Castro could apologize for being too authentically Hispanic to ever hope to attract the votes of Democrat voters who just love to be deceived.

This could go on almost endlessly, given the collection of miscreants, hacks and life-long frauds that are leading the race right now.

But of course, it won’t. Being a leftist asshole means never really having say you’re sorry, unless you think there’s some political advantage to doing it. Pretty sure that was in a movie once.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why Mayor Pete is More Likely to Become President Than Joe Biden

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Please note that headline says “Become President,” not “Become the Democrat Nominee in 2020.” – That’s a key distinction here, because Biden still does have a slightly better chance of being the party’s nominee, although even that edge is steadily declining and will continue to do so over the summer.

And this shouldn’t be just a comparison between Buttigieg and Biden. I would submit that Kamala Harris has a better shot at becoming president than Elizabeth Warren, and that even Irish Bob O’Rourke has a better shot at doing so than Cory Booker and everybody has a better chance than The Commie does.

Why? The first reason is simple. Because, as I wrote back on April 5, American voters don’t like electing Washington, DC long-timers to be their president.

Here’s what I wrote in that piece:

… since Biden first came to Washington, the American people have shown a very strong bias against electing “experienced” guys like him to serve in the presidency. Going back to the 1976 election, here is how many years’ experience in Washington DC our past seven presidents had when they got elected:

Jimmy Carter – 0

Ronald Reagan – 0

George H.W. Bush – roughly 20

Bill Clinton – 0

George W. Bush – 0

Barack Obama – 2

Donald Trump – 0

Combined, those seven presidents had about 22 years’ total experience in the DC Swamp, with Bush 41 having almost all of them. Bush 41, as we all remember, was defeated in 1992 by an outsider, Bill Clinton, who got a big assist from an even more authentic outsider, Ross Perot.

Are you seeing a trend here? I am.

Who are the “establishment” candidates in this race? Biden, The Commie, Fauxcahontas, Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Tim Ryan. While Biden, the Commie and Fauxcahontas are currently leading the polls for the nomination, the odds are heavily-stacked against any of these people being our president-elect come November 4, 2020.

Americans don’t want some crotchety old geezer who’s been ensconced in the DC swamp for 30+ years – or even 10 years – to be their national leader. If they did, Robert Dole and Walter Mondale and John Kerry and Al Gore and John McCain would have all served in the nation’s highest office over the past 30 years.

Yes, Harris is a senator, but she’s only been in that office a little over two years, same as Obama circa 2008. Yes, Irish Bob O’Rourke was in congress for 8 years, but he never did anything notable while there so nobody is really aware of his time in DC. Thus, both are viewed by the media and public through that same Obama “outsider” prism.

But back to the Biden/Buttigieg thing: The simple fact of the matter is that Buttigieg is a better, more effective candidate than Biden, and Biden knows it. Biden right now is riding the same wave of party establishment support that Jeb! was riding at this point in 2015. Well all know how that turned out.

Mayor Pete was all over the news yesterday because of the townhall he did on Fox News Sunday night, which was hosted by Chris Wallace. Conservatives complained all day Monday about Wallace’s softball conduct of the interview and the fact that Fox News chose to fill the venue with a pack of Buttigieg supporters, but so what?

The fact is that Buttigieg proved once again that he is an extremely composed and impressive public speaker, far moreso at age 37 than Creepy Sleepy Joe is at age 76. He is also very adept at fielding tough questions, as he proved back in March when Wallace peppered him with much tougher questions on Fox News Sunday. I was so impressed with Mayor Pete’s performance at that time that I tagged him as one of the real “Rising Stars” of this primary season.

Yes, most of what he says and thinks is batsh*t crazy. Yes, most of what he says is outright lies. But Buttigieg is, as one Democrat congressman said of Bill Clinton back in 1993, “an unusually good liar.” He says the crazy stuff he says with the conviction born of a true sociopath, which puts him in company with the last two Democrat presidents.

Contrast that with the likes of Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker, both of whom are also inveterate liars but who are both unusually bad at it. Come to think of it, Gore and Kerry were also unusually poor liars, as were Dole, Poppy Bush and McCain – it must have something to do with spending too much time in the nation’s capital.

And then there’s Biden, who has been lying about so many things for so long that they just pop right out of his mouth, but only in short, semi-literate bursts in which no sentence is ever completed. Biden’s like a guy with a case of political Tourette’s syndrome. Biden is fond of saying “I’m the guy that passed that [fill-in-the-blank] bill!” only the bills he talks about either don’t exist or were written by someone else. On Sunday, he went even further, claiming he was the guy who started the whole “Climate Change” thing back in 1987. Somewhere, Al Gore – who also didn’t invent this whole “Climate Change” thing but likes to claim he did – is saying “whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat?”

But I digress. All the Democrat candidates lie about pretty much everything because they’re all leftwing hacks and that’s the only way leftists can win elections. It’s just a given. Democrat voters love to be lied to, and will generally end up nominating whichever candidate is the most effective liar of the bunch.

The key for Democrat voters in this cycle will be to nominate the best liar who is not a fossilized DC insider if they want to have any real shot at defeating President Trump. Because Americans innately understand that the DC establishment, regardless of party affiliation, is their true mortal enemy.

Many Americans have tired of all the uproar and chaos that they have seen since the election of Donald Trump, and would love for things to calm down after 2020. But are they likely to choose to replace a political outsider like Trump with a long-time establishment insider who will just return things to the status quo they rejected in 2016?

Nope.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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