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Bernie is Toast, Biden is Close

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Bernie Sanders’ presidential hopes are over, although he may not realize it yet. – The Commie had to undergo surgery to implant multiple stents into his 78 year-old heart, and has cancelled a bunch of planned campaign events over the next couple of weeks so he can recover. Although this can be a fairly minor procedure for a younger person – I had one placed into my left ventricular artery at age 55 and was back to full speed within a few weeks – it can be far more difficult for a person of Sanders’ advanced age.

But the speed of his recovery doesn’t even matter here: Sanders was already finding it impossible to move his polling numbers much above 15% due in part to the impression among many Democrats that he is just too old for the job he seeks. Suffering a heart attack in the midst of the campaign – and yes, if he was having chest pains, any doctor will tell you that he did indeed suffer a heart attack – will only serve to build that perception among many more voters, who will now begin to cast their eyes in the direction of the other, younger unquestioned Marxist in the race, Fauxcahontas.

The near-certain outcome will be that we will see Sanders’ polling numbers drop into single digits over the next few weeks, and a commensurate rise in support for Little Mouth Always Running.

Speaking of the Fake Indian running, check out the greeting she received from Nevada voters when her plane landed out there on Wednesday:

Not exactly the reception that Princess I’m Gonna Take Your Wampum expected. But that’s the price we can expect more and more Democrats to pay for their support for San Fran Nan’s sham impeachment circus as Trump supporters become increasingly engaged in public activism and protest.

Meanwhile, the campaign of Quid Pro Joe Biden, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, is now hanging by a thread. While Biden’s foundering campaign did not quite meet my prediction that his lead would have disappeared by October 1, he sure came close.

In fact, Lieawatha actually now holds the lead in 4 of the 7 most recent polls taken in the race, according to Real Clear Politics, and she and Biden are in a statistical tie in a fifth poll taken by Emerson. In fact, only one of those polls was even partially conducted in October, and that one – by The Economist/YouGov – shows the Fake Indian holding a 6 point lead. The two clear outlier polls, both showing Biden with 11 point leads, were taken entirely in September.

Given that reality, I think I’ll declare half a victory on this particular prediction, made back in April when Crazy Uncle Joe kicked off his campaign with a near-30 point lead. There is now little doubt that his lead will disappear entirely when the first polls conducted entirely in October are published over the next two weeks.

For the  rest of the field, just a few trends to note:

  • Kamala Harris is on life support. She announced early this week that she is shaking up her staff, but that won’t help. The candidate is the problem with her campaign. She is just a horrible candidate, and shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic won’t change that.
  • Preacher Pete is your basic 6% candidate now, and his trendline has been essentially static since June. His consistent ZERO support from African American voters means he has no real chance in the race for the nomination, and that won’t change. The only reason for him to hang around is in the hopes of becoming arm candy for Fauxcahontas in the general election.
  • Andrew Yang had a $10 million fundraising haul in the third quarter, which places him in the top 4 in this pitiful field. He had one exciting moment when he came in at 8% in the Emerson poll last week, but that’s a clear statistical anomaly given that he is at 2 or 3 in every other poll. Another potential vice presidential nominee, but no chance to win the big prize.
  • Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Irish Bob O’Rourke and Amy Klobuchar are all dead as door nails, but they will linger through the next debate in mid-October in the vain hopes of having some breakthrough moment on that crowded stage.
  • The only other declared candidate worth mentioning is Tulsi Gabbard, who had a chance to be the only actual interesting person on stage when she initially came out in opposition to Pelosi’s Impeachment Circus. But she lost that not even 48 hours later when she reversed her posture. Thus, she’ll be just another hack with no chance of truly distinguishing herself in that next debate.

Then there’s the Pantsuit Princess, the thus-far-undeclared candidate in this race. The Fainting Felon has raised eyebrows by putting herself back in the public spotlight with a series of speaking events this week, raising the spectre that she might decide to become a late entrant into the campaign season as Biden falters.

From a pure self-defense standpoint, that appeared to make some sense late last week, as the corrupt news media assisted Biden by claiming the President’s rhetoric about Biden’s clear pay-for-play selling of his vice presidential office related to Ukraine, China and other countries amounted to a Trump attack on a political rival rather than an effort to identify clear corruption. But that particular line of BS has very quickly lost its utility as this week has progressed and the damning video of Biden bragging about engaging in his clear bullying of the Ukraine government on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son gained traction with the public.

Would the Grasping Grifter attempt a similar tactic, declaring herself to be a candidate to try to give herself political cover against the increasingly aggressive investigation led by Attorney General William Barr? She might, but she would fail even more miserably than Biden is failing with that line of BS.

Only time will tell. I still think her plan is to wait it out and hope to become the party’s savior at a hung convention.

Given all of that, here are my updated odds on who the eventual Democrat nominee will be:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

Someone not currently declared – 3 to 2

Quid Pro Joe – 20 to 1

The Commie – 50 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

Kamala – 100 to 1

Andrew Yang – 100 to 1

The rest of the declared field – DEAD

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Biden Lead is Crashing Like the 1929 Stock Market

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.

As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.

Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?

The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.

That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.

Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:

Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.

Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.

The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.

–  Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they  might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.

Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.

The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.

All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.

This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.

Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:

Fauxcahontas – Even money

Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1

Biden – 5 to 1

The Commie – 20 to 1

Preacher Pete – 50 to 1

Kamala – 50 to 1

The Field – 100  to 1

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

The “Whistleblower” Scandal is Just Another Fantasy Play

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Cow farts? What cow farts? – At the annual Steak Fry in Polk County, Iowa, Democrat presidential contenders helped cook up roughly 10,500 steaks and other cuts of beef for the attendees over the weekend. This conspicuous consumption of the by-products of cattle comes after those selfsame Democrats had spent six full months lecturing us all that we need to quit eating beef because the cow farts are destroying our environment.

Image result for polk county steak fry elizabeth warren

Image result for polk county steak fry elizabeth warren

You seriously could never in a million years make these people up, folks.

The motives behind the “whistleblower” fake scandal are now becoming clear. – Some are speculating that this is a Democrat/media effort to protect Joe Biden from persistent allegations of wrongdoing in his dealings with Ukraine while serving as Vice President. Others are speculating that it’s an effort by the Democrat/media complex to recover from the utter failure of their fake “Russia Collusion” narrative.

It is becoming increasingly clear that it is in fact both, and even more. It’s also an effort by the Democrat/media complex to protect Hillary Clinton and her corrupt use of Ukraine spying efforts against the Trump Campaign in 2016.

Where Biden and Hillary are concerned, Rudy Giuliani laid it all out very clearly to a very uncomfortable John Roberts of Fox News on Sunday morning. Roberts did his best to obfuscate and shift focus on BidenClinton’s  behalf, but Rudy got the message out in a very specific and brutal way regardless. Here’s the clip – watch it at this link.

So, here are the bullet points on Rudy’s comments:

– Ukrainian officials worked on Hillary Clinton’s behalf to interfere in the 2016 U.S. elections and were in fact paid to do so;

– When the newly-elected Ukrainian president came into office, his administration began trying to get proof of his predecessor’s interference efforts to the U.S. State Department and Justice Department, but those efforts were rebuffed for months by Obama holdovers;

– They finally decided to contact Giuliani last fall, and Rudy decided to take up the cause in large part because it would provide exculpatory evidence against the efforts by Special Counsel Robert Mueller and the Democrat/media complex to frame President Trump;

– Giuliani has been trying to get someone, anyone in the mainstream news media to report on the matter, but has met a stonewall of media corruption, including at Fox News;

– Meanwhile, Biden’s corrupt acts vis a vis Ukraine are a matter of public record, and video even exists of Biden bragging about strong-arming the 2016 Ukraine government to fire the prosecutor who was investigating his son’s firm for corruption. He was proud of it.

Now, while all that’s going on, percolating just below the surface waiting to bubble up in the midst of the Democrats’ presidential nominating race, the Mueller Report comes out and is a complete dud. This leaves San Fran Nan, Jabba The Nadler and Bug Eyes Schiff in the lurch, pulling the rug out from under their grand plans to impeach the President on obstruction of justice grounds.

What to do, what to do?

What is now becoming obvious is that Schiff or someone close to him in the Lawfare community came up with the idea of dummying up a new pretense for “obstruction.” How do they do that? Well, the intelligence bureaucracy is still teeming with Obama holdovers eager to do the work of the Deep State. Just get one of them to file a complaint against President Trump under the intelligence community’s whistleblower statute.

While all this scheming is going on, lo and behold, President Trump holds a call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in which the corrupt actions of Vice President Joe Biden becomes one of the topics that arise during a discussion about all the rampant corruption that took place under Zelensky’s predecessor. Now, all you have to do is find someone in the intel community – preferably one of the array of senior folks who listened in on the call first-hand – to file a complaint. When none of those people heard anything to complain about, no problem – you just find some second-tier Obamaphile who heard some stuff about the call second-hand, and presto!, you have your “whistleblower.”

Next, have Schiff, in his role as Chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, start filing subpoenas for documents, recordings and testimony that he knows he will never receive. He knows this because a) the intelligence community’s whistleblower statute does not apply to the president of the United States, and b) such requests present all manner of separation of powers issues under the Constitution, as I explained in yesterday’s Campaign Update. Thus, with the White House refusing for very valid reasons to cooperate, you send Bug Eyes and his deputies out to be interviewed every hour on the hour on CNN and MSNBC and Shep Smith at Fox, wailing about the President’s “obstruction of congress.”

Now, it’s time to bring the thousands of Democrat media toadies into the game, complete with a set of talking points they all loyally parrot on TV, radio and in their print publications. Those talking points maintain that Biden did nothing wrong, that Hillary was never involved with the Ukraine, and the only person who ever did anything bad related to Ukraine since The Ukraine was invented is the Bad Orange Man in the White House.

So now we have a layer of media protection atop both Hillary and Crazy Uncle Joe, and Schiff running all over the place claiming a new “obstruction” scandal that supposedly gives the House grounds to impeach the President. All that over a phone call that was clearly a perfectly fine instance of the POTUS conducting U.S. foreign policy as envisioned in the Constitution. It’s as brilliant as it is evil.

Now, there’s nothing real to worry about here, given that the entire case against the President is made up out of whole cloth, exactly as the entire “Russia Collusion” fantasy was. The Democrats aren’t doing any of this out of any real thought they might actually be able to impeach Donald Trump. They’re simply using it as a distraction to protect two of their Party’s most corrupt icons, and in hopes of damaging Trump’s chances at re-election.

It is no accident that all of this arises just as the President’s public approval ratings have again risen above those enjoyed by Barack Hussein Obama His Own Self at the same point during his first term in office. It is also no accident that it all comes up as the Trump economy refuses to cooperate with the Democrat/media’s six-week-long effort to talk us into a recession. I mean, when you have Bloomberg publishing a piece titled, “Hold that Recession: U.S. Indicators are Trouncing Forecasts,” you know that particular ship has run aground.

This latest elaborate bit of Democrat/media theater will likely have a similar lifespan before it has entirely imploded and run its course. It will fail just as all the prior fantasy plays against Trump have failed, because Trump did nothing wrong.

It’s tiresome, but this is all these corrupt, morally-and-intellectually-bankrupt Democrats have. You would think they’d get tired of all the scheming and play-acting at some point, but no, it’s only going to get worse as Election Day 2020 approaches.

This will never end until we stop electing Democrats. It really is that simple.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

The Democrat Clown Car is on the Fast Track to a Brokered Convention

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Are you ready for a deadlocked Democrat convention next year? – Because that’s where all of this Democrat traveling clown show is headed.

Fauxcahontas is now an even more-clear favorite to get to the convention with the most delegates next July, although her chances of arriving there with a full majority needed to win on the first ballot remain small. Hell, she’s already playing the role of the front-runner in the debates.

Last night in Houston, she stood quietly for the most part while also-ran doofuses like Irish Bob O’Rourke and Julian Castro and Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang shouted and gesticulated and poured out the “I’m gonna grab your guns” and “Trump’s a racist” red meat for the party’s lunatic Twitter-outraged base. During the debate’s first hour, almost 20 minutes went by in between times when Little Mouth Always Running actually opened her mouth on stage, as all the nitwits around her tried to tear each other apart. That could be an all-time record for Princess 1/1024th.

While Yang was promising to have his campaign illegally pay out $1,000 a month for the next 12 months to twelve families in order to buy their votes, Preacher Pete was trying to get everybody to sing his own particular weird version of Kumbaya, Castro was cracking jokes about Biden’s advanced age, The Commie was trying to croak out some Bolshevik nostrums from his 77 year-old sore throat, Kamala was cackling like an evil character from a 1950s Disney movie, O’Rourke was promising to come grab everybody’s guns and trying to figure out exactly when to toss out an f-bomb and Klobuchar was getting ready to start throwing notebooks at the moderators, the fake Indian was doing her best imitation of Sitting Bull, calmly observing the fray and happy to let her enemies destroy one another.

It was a smart strategy. Whatever else one thinks about Sen. Warren, you cannot deny that she’s strategically smart. I mean, hell, she spent a virtual lifetime pretending to be someone she isn’t in order to advance her career before Trump came along and exposed her fraud to the world. That alone tells you she’s a clever schemer.

She’s clever enough to understand that being a life-long fraud is in fact a badge of honor in a Democrat presidential nominating contest, and so there she was last night, standing right in the middle of that stage next to Biden. She probably came into last night planning to take some shots of her own at Biden, but quickly realized that Castro and Harris and other were doing a fine job of exposing the elderly hack for what he is.

That quick thinking also shows she knows her own limitations. She has to understand that her angry school-marm voice and speaking tone quickly begins to grate and irritate, so why overdo that during a 3-hour debate that was viewed by millions?

As for Biden, if it weren’t for the fact that he’s been such a despicable swamp creature hack for so many decades it would be sad watching his visible decline on national television. His cognitive functions are so clearly limited now that it is visible on his face every time he’s asked a question for which he hasn’t been coached, or one that touches on an uncomfortable subject. If you can stand it, go watch a replay of the debate on Youtube. You can see Biden visibly recoil and squeeze his eyes shut whenever he’s asked a question that surprises him, which was typically from another candidate, not the accommodating moderators.

I’ve been telling you since April that Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and he’d be out of the race entirely after next March 4, Super Tuesday. He’s right on schedule to meet that calendar, especially after his performance last night. The more he gets exposed to the public, the worse he looks.

As for the others, Harris is done. She is an awful campaigner and frankly a horrid debater. Everything about her screams insincerity and meanness.

Sanders will also fade after this croaking performance. Democrat voters are all about optics and the feels, and a 78 year-old croaking at them for three hours will make them feel all nervous and stuff.

Irish Bob is a furry circus clown who just announced the fourth re-boot of his campaign in six months. He’s to the point where even shallow Democrat voters think he’s a shallow opportunist.

Julian Castro never has been in any way relevant in this race, and his low attacks on Biden last night won’t change that.

Preacher Pete is cute as a button and might look good as arm-candy for Fauxcahontas in a general election race.

Cory Booker is Cory Booker and always will be, so no one should take him seriously in this race.

Yang is just weird. What was going on with that top button on his shirt last night? Everyone kept waiting for it to pop open and expose some odd tattoo and thus only heard about 1 out of 7 words he had to say. Again, Democrat voters are all about optics and feels, dude. Get a shirt that fits.

Klobuchar is just the angry version of Kirstin Gillibrand. No reason for her to be up there in the first place. She’s just wasting everybody’s time.

I feel like I’m forgetting somebody here, but honestly, I don’t care.

Here are my updated odds for the 2020 Democrat nomination after last night’s atrocity:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

The Commie – 10 to 1

Biden – 50 to 1

Harris – 100 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

The Field – 100 to 1

Someone not yet in the race – Even odds

Brokered convention, here we come.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why Elizabeth Warren is now the Clear Favorite in the Democrat Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, President Donald Trump has yet another new “challenger.” – Complete with blaring headlines at the increasingly leftwing Drudge Report, South Carolina Congressman and former Governor Mark Sanford has decided to jump into the race. He joins former Massachusetts Governor William Weld and former Congressman Joe Not-the-Eagles-Singer Walsh as a kind of NeverTrump cordon of sacrificial lambs who I guess will try to raise money and run in the various caucuses and primaries.

All three of these guys are your basic circus clowns. Weld is an ultra-liberal Democrat in a Brooks Brothers suit who does stuff like this because he can’t find any legitimate work. Walsh is a talk radio host who no longer has a talk radio program. Sanford is the guy who ran out on his family with his Argentinian girlfriend for two weeks while serving as Governor, and then claimed to have been “hiking the Appalachian Trail” when he re-surfaced.

These are the guys who NeverTrump puppet masters like Bill Kristol and Mitt Romney believe are fit to wrest the GOP 2020 nomination away from a sitting President with an extraordinary record of success. You might do better running Larry, Curly and Moe. At least they’d be entertaining.

Fauxcahontas Rising. – Despite the ongoing best efforts by our fake national news media to cover for his increasingly obvious loss of his faculties, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator continues his slow fade in the polling data.

The latest bit of distressing news for Creepy Uncle Joe comes from the CBS News Battleground poll of early primary/caucus states. This poll attempts to measure voter attitudes in the 17 states that will take us through Super Tuesday next March 3. Those 17 states include Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina early on, and then conclude with both California and Texas in March.

Thus, it isn’t surprising that both Kamala Harris and Irish Bob O’Rourke land among the top 6 Democrats in overall support in these early states, given the massive presence of their respective home states. It is a little surprising how poorly those two fare overall, with Harris coming in at 8% support and O’Rourke barely registering at 4%.

But it’s the top of the rankings that really matters, and coming in at #1 in terms of overall voter support is not Joe Biden, but Fauxcahontas, the biggest fraud in the race. Which should surprise no one, given the historic Democrat voter preference for lifelong frauds like John Kerry, Al Gore, Barack Obama and Bill and Hillary Clinton to be the standard bearer for their party.

Little Mouth Always Running comes in at 26% support among the registered Democrats surveyed in these 17 early states, with Creepy Uncle Joe close behind (as he always seems to be with the nearest woman) at 25%. The Commie registers at 19% and Mayor Pete makes a cute little political sandwich in between Harris and O’Rourke, landing at 6%.

Those percentages are a little misleading, though, because the delegate count is what would really matter. CBS projects those numbers in this table:

delegates-overall.jpg

So, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator retains a slight edge in that measure, though far short of the 748 he would need to constitute a pace to win a first-ballot majority at the DNC Convention. And looky there: Amy Klobuchar jumps into the top 6 to replace Preacher Pete, who is nowhere to be seen.

In keeping with its campaign to prop up the Serial Gaffer, CBS leads its write-up on the poll by saying, “This poll tells a story of Elizabeth Warren rising. But not Joe Biden falling.” Which is, of course, abject nonsense.

Let’s go back to April, when Biden announced his candidacy. Then, he started this race with a huge, 20+ point lead in pretty much every poll, registering at or above the 40% level in all of them. In this new poll, just five months later, he’s down to 25% in the 17 states that will essentially decide the race for all intents and purposes, and now trailing a woman who has spent her entire adult life pretending to be someone she is not for professional and financial gain.

True, he is still doing slightly better in the national polls, where he’s averaging about 29% support in the RealClearPolitics average. And the lead he still owns is due strictly to two factors: Very strong support among African-Americans, who don’t much care for all the radical socialists in the race, and this perception that he’s the most electable candidate in a general election against President Trump.

That’s all well and good for now, but here’s Biden’s real problem: The Democrat voter base has become ultra-radicalized, and is not likely to ultimately settle for an elderly white guy (Biden will be closing in on 78 when the Democrat convention comes around next summer) who barely knows where he is most days. Those voters are also not going to settle for an old white guy who still goes around bragging about his old segregationist pals in the 1970s Senate, and who still tells off-color jokes that demean women, Blacks and gays.

Take a look at that RealClearPolitics average again, and add up the percentage of voters who are supporting the radical candidates like Warren, The Commie, Harris, Buttigieg, Yang and O’Rourke: Their support comes in right at 50% to Biden’s 29%. That’s where the heart of the Democrat Party really lies.

Throughout the 2015/2016 GOP nomination contest, I repeatedly advised readers and clients to add up the percentage of primary voters who weighed in their support on behalf of the party’s non-conventional candidates. I included Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul in that category. It was absolutely stunning how consistently their total support came in right at 63% throughout 2015 and through the early primaries. As Carson, Fiorina and Paul left the race, basically all of their support base migrated right over to Trump or Cruz, and they ended up the two finalists in the race (I don’t count Kasich, who stuck around but had basically no real support).

That was where the heart of the GOP voter base was in 2016, and the radical left is where the heart of the Democrat voter base is for the 2020 race. As O’Rourke, Yang and Buttigieg drop out of the race, and The Commie and Harris fall away later on, their voters are going to coalesce not around Biden, but around Fauxcahontas. This is pretty much baked into the cake at this point. Elizabeth Warren is really the odds-on favorite to go into next year’s convention with the highest number of delegates as of today. The big question is whether or not she will be able to the majority required to win on the first ballot.

If you think I’m crazy and still believe that Biden is the big favorite because that’s what all the “experts” are telling you, take a look at history: Since 1968, the early favorite to win a contested Democrat nominating race has only prevailed one time, in 2000, when Al Gore, a sitting vice president, became the nominee.

All the momentum in this race today is with Warren, and it’s pretty hard to see anything that will stop it. Democrat voters love a good fraud, and there is no more accomplished, blatant fraud in the race than Fauxcahontas.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Democrats’ Climate Town Halls: A Direct Assault on Texas

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“On my first day as president, I will sign an executive order that puts a total moratorium on all new fossil fuel leases for drilling offshore and on public lands. And I will ban fracking—everywhere.” – Elizabeth Warren

I was asked by a radio host this week for my initial takeaway from CNN’s 7-hour marathon of Democratic Climate Change talking points that aired on September 4. My response was the only thing that came into my head: God help us if any of these people wins the election.

By “us” I mean the oil and gas industry, in which I spent a 38-year career, and everyone in Texas, where I’ve lived my entire life. Because the reality of that 7 hours of talking points by 10 leading contenders for the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential nomination is that pretty much every idea advanced by the candidates was a direct assault on the industry’s continuing license to operate in the United States, and thus on the Texas economy.

The Texas economy has diversified significantly since the bad old days of the 1980s, when the oil bust collapsed the state’s savings and loan and banking industries and more Texans were out of work than anytime other than during the Great Depression. But despite that diversification, oil and gas still drives more economic growth here than any other business sector.

So, when you see every candidate on that stage – including Texans Julian Castro and Beto O’Rourke – call for the banning of “fracking,” you see a proposal that would throw the Texas economy immediately into a recession and toss tens of thousands of Texans out of work. When you see Kamala Harris and several others demonize the plastics industry, you see a direct attack on Texas, whose chemicals and plastics industry has boomed in the past decade, with hundreds of billions in new capital investments, thanks to cheap natural gas prices.

When you see Andrew Wang and others talk about banning internal combustion engines and forcing everyone to drive an electric vehicle, you see a direct attack on Texas, home to the nation’s largest refining industry. When you see Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden talk about the need to end the use of all fossil fuels in power generation, you see a direct attack on Texas, where natural gas powers more homes and businesses than all other fuel sources. Those attacks on natural gas are also attacks on the environment, given that U.S. carbon emissions have dropped to 1980s-levels in recent years thanks mainly to natural gas displacing coal in power generation.

The attacks on Texas and its economy were not limited to energy alone: Agriculture is the state’s second-most prevalent business. When you see Pete Buttigieg telling Americans that if they eat a hamburger, they’re part of the problem, you’re seeing a direct attack on Texas and its ranching industry.

When you see O’Rourke and others talk about the need to end “corporate farming,” you’re seeing a direct assault on Texas and its farmers, given that, when you look into the details of their various plans, you see that they all call for ending the use of diesel-fueled farm equipment like tractors and combines, not to mention all those Ford F-150s. That’s not just for “corporate” farmers, but for all farmers.

This stark reality, of course, is one of the main reasons why the Democratic National Committee denied requests from Washington Gov. Jay Inslee and a few other candidates to hold a formal debate focused solely on Climate Change. The party’s leaders actually entertain the notion that Texas’s shifting demographics might give their presidential candidate a shot to win the state’s electoral votes in 2020. But they also know that, if Texans become educated on the realities of how the candidates’ various “solutions” would impact their daily lives, those chances will fade accordingly.

Those DNC concerns were well-founded, and CNN did the party no favors by airing those proposals in such great detail. In presidential politics, some promises are better left unmade.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Now We Know Why The DNC Did Not Want That Climate Change Debate

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

There’s a reason why the Democrat National Committee desperately avoided demands from fringe candidates like Washington State Gov. Jay Inslee to schedule a debate focused solely on “climate change,” and you saw that reason on CNN last night. – The simple fact of the matter is that, whether the problem is real or not, it inevitably highlights just what a bunch of nutjobs the Party is offering to the voters in this cycle.

Andrew Yang wants the government to force you to buy electric vehicles, even though the EV industry has no capability whatsoever of meeting such a demand, and forcing such a change would do nothing to address the alleged problem in any event.

Elizabeth Warren wants to ban the building of new buildings starting in 2028. No really, she does.

The Commie wants to throw everyone in the oil, gas, and coal industries in prison. Because science.

Irish Bob O’Rourke wants to wave his arms around crazily and propose to spend $5 trillion on a bunch of stuff that will do nothing to address the alleged issue, and he wants to cuss about it.

Kamala Harris wants to do this, but not this, and that, but not that, borrow this idea from Warren and that idea from Mayor Pete and another idea from AOC, and then take the other sides of those issues all at the same time. And then she wants to get into a fight with the Commie about all of it. Which is why she has fallen into Irish Bob O’Rourke territory in the latest round of polls.

Joe Biden has no clue what he wants to do other than to spend a bunch of money on stuff that doesn’t matter. So, standard operating procedure for the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, who is exactly who Irish Bob is going to become 35 years from now.

All of them claim hurricanes have become more frequent – they haven’t. All of them claim hurricanes have become stronger – they haven’t. All of them want you to believe Dorian is the most powerful storm of all-time – it isn’t.

All of them want to blot the American landscape with millions of 500-ft. windmills that require 8 acres of land apiece and gigantic solar farms and decimate our bird populations in order to provide very high-priced energy to about 2 percent of us so that they can claim to be “doing something” about a problem none of them has any real knowledge of.

The fact of the matter is that “climate change” is a global socialist political religion. Every proposal to address “climate change” inevitably becomes a top-down, command-and-control socialist-model “solution” that would do nothing to make the climate better but do everything to command and control the lives of everyday people. Every proposal would be incredibly destructive to the national and global economy. Every proposal would effectively work to keep the 2 billion or so human beings living in squalor in 3rd world countries today living in squalor in 3rd world countries forever.

This is the dogma, the commandments of this global religion. See, the nasty secret of this religion is that its followers believe economic growth is actually evil and must be stopped. People living in squalor produce less carbon emissions than people who have decent standards of living, after all. That at least is an actual fact.

Thus, the religion’s dogma demands that any and all “solutions” have the impact of destroying economic growth and human prosperity. This is real, folks. This is what Bill McKibben, Al Gore and other Cardinals in this global church write in their books and say in their speeches. You don’t have to make this stuff up. Who could?

Such a debate could only take place on CNN, as it did last night, or some other Democrat propaganda fake news outlet to ensure that no difficult questions would ever possibly be asked. Because these politicians have no good answers to any difficult questions, such as, if “global warming” is such an emergency, why is it that NOAA can find no warming in the continental U.S. over the last 14 years?

Or how about, if the U.S. is the root of the global problem – it isn’t – explain how it is that the U.S. by far leads the world in reducing its carbon emissions, which have now fallen to levels not seen since 1985? And if oil and natural gas are such a problem, how is it that that fall in U.S. carbon emissions is mainly attributable to the increased use of natural gas in our power generation sector and in reductions in gas-powered car emissions?

And if getting back into the Paris Accords is the answer, why is it that those accords do nothing to force the real causes of rising carbon emissions – Europe, China and India – to affect reductions similar to those the U.S. has achieved?

And if command-and-control regulatory actions and confiscations are the answer, how is it that the U.S. has achieved these dramatic carbon reductions and also produced the cleanest water and air in any developed nation without resorting to such measures?

Last night’s climate change dog and pony show on CNN was global socialist nutjobbery and nitwittery at its finest. And the hilarious thing about it is that the far-left anti-development activists and lunatic politicians like AOC will all be out on their Twitter feeds this morning bashing the candidates for only resorting to half-measures and not going far enough.

All of this hooplah is taking place around an issue that always ranks at or near the very bottom when pollsters ask Americans about the issues they are really concerned about.

That, friends, is why the DNC did not want to travel down this road to begin with. Who can blame them?

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

And Just Like That, Biden’s Lead Evaporated

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:

Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.

But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:

The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.

Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.

But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.

That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?

Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.

The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.

Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2

The Commie – 5 to 1

Harris – 10 to 1

Biden – 100  to 1

Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1

Someone not in the current field – Even money

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time. 

Open post

Beto O’Rourke Tries Cussing His Way to the Presidency

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

It didn’t work for Kirsten Gillibrand, Irish Bob, and it won’t work for you. – El Paso native Robert Francis O’Rourke has over the last two days put on the most craven, disgusting display of raw political grasping I think I’ve ever seen.

Democrats always politicize tragedy – that’s just become a sad given in today’s American society. This has just been a fact of our lives since the Clinton Administration, and it’s what Rahm Emanuel was talking about when he famously declared that Democrats should “never let a good crisis go to waste.”

Irish Bob, who has been floundering around for months in a failed presidential campaign that can’t get above the 3% polling level, obviously decided within a few hours of Saturday’s atrocity in his home city that this was his chance to get himself back in the spotlight, perhaps his last chance. But, knowing that every one of his 6,000 or so rivals for the nomination would also be working their butts off to use the shootings to grab attention for themselves, Irish Bob obviously made the conscious decision to be as outrageous as humanly possible in order to stand out from the craven crowd.

How best to do that? Fall back on the two things in his entire life that he is apparently really good at: Cussing and outrageous lying. The lying, of course, is just standard issue part of any Democrat campaign, but the cussing he’s been doing – holy cow. And not just a few cusswords here and there, but loading up almost every statement with bunches of cusswords that my dear Mom used to wash my mouth out with soap for saying. Here are just a couple of quotes from the goofy opportunist over the last couple of days. First, the cussing.:

Image

And here’s the bald-faced lying:

“He is saying that some people are inherently defective or dangerous – reminiscent of something you might hear in the Third Reich, not something that you expect in the United States of America – based on their religion, based on their sexual orientation, based on their immigration status, based on the countries that they come from. Calling those in Africa shithole nations and saying that he’d like to have more immigration from Nordic countries, the whitest place on planet Earth today. Again, let’s be very clear about what is causing this and who the president is.”

You may remember that, when she first began thinking about running for the presidency back in late 2017, Kirsten Gillibrand went on a cussing rampage because her advisors told her it would get her gobs of press attention. And it did get her attention. What it didn’t do was gain her any favor at all with voters, and there she sits all these months later, still mired at 0% in pretty much every poll.

It won’t work for Irish Bob, either, because everyone already knows what a craven doofus he is and it will be universally be seen as the sad political tactic from a failing candidate that it is.

The same goes for the lying. The only people who are going to believe all that stuff are Democrats who already believe all that stuff, despite the public record to the contrary.

The only people Donald Trump has called “defective or dangerous” are members of drug gangs like MS-13 and domestic terrorist groups like Antifa. The claim that the President has referred to all immigrants or all Hispanics or African Americans in negative terms is a bald-faced lie invented by Democrats like O’Rourke and their toadies in the fake news media. He has borne this out not just in words but in actions as well, as his administration has worked to significantly increase legal immigration while at the same time attempting to stop illegal immigrants from flooding the southern border.

Then there’s the outrageous lie that he has ever supported or praised real “white nationalists,” all of whom in this country would fit into a phone booth if phone booths still existed. He has in fact, on dozens of very public occasions, slammed and disavowed them, as he did yet again in yesterday’s speech.

Donald Trump is an equal-opportunity slammer who counter-punches against those who attack him first. He has spent immensely more time going after white people like Cryin’ Chuckie Schumer and Fauxcahontas and Jabba The Nadler and Pencil Neck Schiff than he has people of color.

Democrat liars and their media toadies want to classify his attacks on despicable hacks like Elijah Cummings – who has become fabulously wealthy while serving in congress on a maximum salary of $174,000 a year while the people in his district continue to suffer in the most squalid conditions in America – and loud-mouthed radicals like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and the rest of her anti-Semitic crew as “racism” because they know they must somehow distract the public away from learning the truth about those folks. Because the truth about them is so ugly that it would turn voters away from their Party, especially if the public should ever learn that they are now the rule among Democrats, not the exception.

Finally, President Trump has never “incited violence…in this country” as Irish Bob claims in that first quote. That is explicitly true about the two mass shootings over the weekend. As we have discovered over the last two days, the Dayton shooter was a registered Democrat who was a big fan of Elizabeth Warren. The El Paso shooter is also a self-professed Democrat whose “manifesto” lays out his support for all manner of radical leftwing causes, and explicitly states he is NOT a Trump fan.

But, never wanting to let a good crisis go to waste, every Democrat and hack fake reporter in the nation has jumped on the narrative that it’s all Trump’s fault. The only aspect of any of this that is – in Irish Bob’s words – reminiscent of something “you might hear in the Third Reich” is the Democrat/media effort to push the Big Lie.

No one has been more craven and opportunistic about doing that than El Paso’s own Irish Bob O’Rourke.

Disgusting.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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