Open post

How China Virus is Creating Political Flips and Flops

Guest Piece from America’s History Teacher, Larry Schweikart

As the fallout from the China Virus continues to spread—though the China Virus itself is largely contained now—the political ramifications are not raining down equally on all. As of this morning, Gallup has President Trump at over 49%—his highest ever in that poll—and Scott Rasmussen’s partnership poll also has him over 49%. IDB/TIPP has Trump now tied with the demented Joe Biden for the first time, with Biden slipping several points from just a month ago.

This is more than just Biden’s “woman trouble.” It represents a growing understanding by the American people that not just anyone can do the job of president, and that Biden is mentally incapacitated. While I don’t do polls, I’m guessing that Trump already has sailed past the lowest point he will see in 2020.

And I think the Democrats know it.

This has powerful implications for the state elections though. Those governors who have not locked down their states, particularly Kristi Noem of South Dakota, are being feted. The people of South Dakota actually threw a parade in their governor’s honor! Don’t expect that to occur in other red states, where some tyrannical or duped governors remain hostage to their doctors’ flawed charts and models. In Ohio, Mike DeWine—never a strong politician—has ceded almost all authority in his state to Amy Acton, the Department of Health Director.

Arizona’s Doug Ducey, coming off a 14-point win in 2018 (against an admittedly lame opponent) similarly is a prisoner of charts and graphs. Ducey’s actions—so far more than those of DeWine—seems to be sparking protests in the traditionally independent Arizona electorate. Protests are picking up steam, and Ducey was forced to threaten fines and jail time for any business that opened early. Ducey was a rising star who expected to move on to bigger things.

Not. Any. More.

On the other hand, some stars continue to shine. Besides Noem, Georgia’s Brian Kemp has likely cemented his position with Georgia re-opening; Ron DeSantis in Florida likewise is looking wise and fearless; and of course Greg Abbott in Texas, while not opening gyms or hair salons, nevertheless is moving in the right direction and refusing to use state coercive power to make people wear masks.

The flop governors will likely create a chasm in their states between themselves and those who support reopening, including President Trump. In Arizona, Martha McSally’s fate likely will rest on whether she forcefully comes out for reopening or (again) tries to play it safe and hide. Her comments on the Chicoms’ role in this have been encouraging so far.

Meanwhile, Democrat governors like “Comfortable” Ralph Northam may well have flipped Virginia in the 2020 election. Certainly much of the perpetually-paid beltway NOVA area will not mind a paid holiday, but the rest of the state may grow restless enough to vote for Trump in the fall. Prior to the China Virus, I thought such a flip was impossible.

If the Democrat governors maintain the lockdowns long enough, and if they become painful enough, it very well may move still other states to Trump in the fall. For every flop, there might be a flip.

Larry Schweikart is co-author with Michael Allen of A Patriot’s History of the United States, is author of Reagan: The American President, and has just unveiled his new US History teaching curriculum for grades 8-12 at www.wildworldofhistory.com.

 

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Warning: Wednesday Saw a Major Shift in Shut-Down Messaging

Today’s Campaign Update (Because the Campaign Never Ends)

Fair warning: There will be no v-shaped recovery for the U.S. economy. That is the only conclusion that can be drawn from the narrative that was rolled out at Wednesday evening’s press conference at the White House.

If we are lucky, there will be a u-shaped recovery, but the horizontal part of that u just keeps getting longer if President Trump and the nation’s governors continue to allow the government to be run based on NIH and CDC opinions and statistical models that have proven to be disastrously wrong every step of the way. Last night at the White House, it was obvious that these medical professionals and their models continue to hold absolute sway over the President’s policy agenda.

This is a President who barely a week ago was raring to get this economy back up and running, promising that it would be quick and that economic growth would return in no time. In press conferences throughout the first two weeks of this month, he appeared to be signaling to governors – especially Republicans – that the time had come for them to proceed as quickly as they deemed to be safe to get businesses in their states open again.

Last night, President Trump took great pains to call out Georgia Governor Brian Kemp, a Republican, for moving too fast. He literally threw the guy under the bus of the federal government, and that’s a very large and powerful bus.

Careful observers who have taken the time necessary to gain an understanding of how he communicates – which would, of course, exclude each and every corrupt member of the White House press corps – know that he very rarely says anything without an intended purpose behind it. The obvious purpose behind his going out of his way to slam Governor Kemp last night was to send a signal to other governors to slow down. And you can be sure that timid governors like Greg Abbott in Texas, who set up a “strike force” consisting of no fewer than 13 committees and subcommittees in order to cover his butt politically, will only be too happy to oblige.

The other sudden shift in messaging that took place last night was the dominant message about the absolute certainty of another outbreak of this gift from the communist Chinese government coming this fall. That came not just from Drs. Fauci and Birx, but also from CDC Director Robert Redfield. This topic in fact dominated the first half hour of the briefing. That was not an accident.

The implications of this are ominous, to say the least, since this new narrative now provides power-grabbing governors like Gretchen Whitmer (MI), Phil Murphy (NJ), Ralph KKK Northam (VA) and others with more justification to crack down on their respective populations even further, and to keep their edicts in place at least through the end of 2020. You should expect them and other governors now move to crack down on demonstrators who continue to exercise their constitutional rights of peaceful assembly and free speech.

All of this over a virus whose mortality rate may be lower than the common, seasonal flu according to the most current data.

Amazing.

It’s amazing how easily and timidly we have allowed our freedoms to slip away. Churches and synagogues remain closed all across the country. How many of them will be able to survive, given that they all are in fact business operations that have bills to pay.

Schools remain closed at least until September and maybe longer than that, even though we know that this bug poses a real risk to almost no one under the age of 30 or so. Even if we allow them to reopen in June, half of this country’s restaurants are going to disappear, along with their thousands of jobs. The list of the economic carnage deriving from this doctor-led government decision making goes on and on and on.

Now, take a look at this:

Regardless of how many “stimulus” bills congress passes, they cannot prevent the absolute carnage that is inevitable in our economy unless we move quickly to restart it. And the truth that no one in government is telling you right now is that they can only continue to try to mask the economic carnage with these debt-funded bills for maybe another month or two. After that, you and your cities and states are going to be on your own. Food lines like this are going to be coming to your city soon, if they haven’t already appeared.

Check this out:

And this:

These are just samples of the tools various levels of government know they will have to begin using in earnest to control your behavior once the economic devastation can no longer be masked. If that doesn’t scare the hell out of you, what will? What’s it gonna take?

By the way, I wear a mask every time I go anywhere, which these days is pretty much limited to the grocery store. I recommend everyone else do the same. I do that because it seems to make good common sense, and I will again remind you all that barely 2 weeks ago, the Democrats and corrupt media toadies were screaming that the very same masks that they are mandating today were not effective in preventing the spread of this Wuhan Virus.

We lose ~40,000 Americans every year to car accidents, and it would be a great idea if everyone wore helmets and kevlar vests every time we get into a car. But I don’t see the government mandating anyone do that because the economic costs would be too high. So all those lives continue to be lost each year and nobody blinks.

Or hey, it would be much safer and “save lives” if everyone just quit driving. But the government doesn’t mandate that because of the economic carnage that would cause.

Oh. But what about that “it’s worth it if it saves just one life” talking point we keep hearing? Why doesn’t that apply here? Think about it.

We lose ~40-60,000 people a year to the seasonal flu, mainly because those nifty vaccines Fauci and Bill Gates keep touting don’t work. But nobody at the NIH or the CDC says we should mandate wearing masks to prevent those deaths from happening. So all those lives continue to be lost each year and nobody blinks.

Again, isn’t it worth it if it saves just one life? Guess not.

How many kids die or are severely injured on trampolines each year? But they keep dying and nobody blinks. This could go on and on.

We have a choice in our society: We can either learn to live with this virus and focus on treating the ill, as we have learned to live with and treat the seasonal flu, or we can see our economy and thus our society collapse. That is our choice as a people, and at the moment it appears that those in favor of bringing about societal collapse are carrying the day, all the way up to the White House.

Amazing.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why Doug Collins for Permanent DNI is a Genius Move – Ooops, Nevermind

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II (Because the Campaign Never Ends)

Thursday evening, President Trump issued the following tweet:

Earlier in the day, both the White House and Ambassador Grenell said that he would retain his key Ambassador’s post while he serves as Acting DNI. This naturally created speculation about how one man could do both jobs, a question that the President’s tweet clears up: Grenell will not be his nominee to take the DNI job permanently.
[EDIT: Wooops, and just like that, Doug Collins says he has no interest in the job. So, in my best Emily Latella voice, “Nevermind.”]

Speculation Friday morning centers around the President’s intention to nominate outgoing Georgia Congressman Doug Collins to the post. If true, this could be a stroke of Trumpian genius. Here’s why:

  • Collins recently announced he would leave his House seat in order to challenge incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler for her job;
  • Loeffler was appointed to that seat last year by Georgia Governor Brian Kemp when Johnny Isakson had to retire due to health reasons, even though President Trump had urged him to appoint Collins;
  • Mitch McConnell favored Loeffler for that seat, since she is more of an “establishment” Republican than Collins is;
  • McConnell was reportedly quite upset when Collins announced he would challenge Loeffler for the GOP nomination;
  • Trump has found it difficult – indeed, impossible – to obtain Senate approval for the appointment of someone truly loyal to him to the DNI position;
  • The Deep State skunks who infest the Senate Committee on Intelligence (SCI) want to see that post remain in the hands of Deep State flunkies like outgoing Acting DNI Joseph Maguire;
  • The only way around the SCI roadblock on this position is Cocaine Mitch, who has the personal power to manipulate his GOP majorities on the SCI and in the full Senate to approve any Trump nominee;
  • McConnell had no compelling interest in deploying his personal political capital to back Texas Congressman John Ratcliffe when the President nominated him for this key post last summer; thus, Ratcliffe could not obtain support from the SCI skunks;
  • On the other hand, McConnell DOES have a compelling interest to use that political capital to help Collins be confirmed, since he vastly prefers to deal with establishment, Chamber of Commerce-type Republicans like Loeffler than true conservatives like Collins;
  • Even better, the GOP skunks on the SCI also prefer dealing with a Kelly Loeffler over dealing with a Doug Collins.

Politics is a very interesting and complex game – the give and take of it, the never-ending machinations and skullduggery, the constant search for leveraging one player’s interests here in order to obtain their support over there, is infinitely fascinating.

It seems very likely to me that this is the President’s gambit in floating Collins’ name for this position. If so, it’s a brilliant one because it meets the wishes and needs of so many of the key players whose support will be necessary to see the nomination through to confirmation.

And if Collins is rejected by the SCI members due to his support of Trump, then the President would be well-justified to just keep rotating a procession of Acting DNIs into the post every 6 months for the duration of his presidency. There is no reason why any president should be forced to keep putting people he knows to be disloyal snakes into such a crucial job.

As the President loves to say, let’s see what happens.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why Stacey Abrams and Beto O’Rourke Won’t Go Home and Run for the Senate

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

So, why aren’t the Democrat Party’s favorite “rising star” loooooosers running for the senate in 2020?– That is a question that is on a lot of people’s minds today, especially in Georgia and Texas.

In case you missed it yesterday, Georgia Republican Senator Johnny Isakson announced he would resign his seat at the end of this year, meaning that Governor Brian Kemp will be able to appoint his successor. However, although Isakson would not have been up for re-election until 2022, Georgia law requires the holding of a special election in November, 2020 to determine who will get to serve the final two years of his term. That means that both Georgia senate seats will be on the ballot in 2020, as Republican incumbent David Perdue is also up for re-election.

All of which makes many Georgia Democrats long for the second coming of their beloved loooooooser, Stacey Abrams. Abrams, if you’ll remember, lost her run for governor to Kemp last November by 56,000 votes, but has been running around the country ever since then claiming to be the rightful governor of Georgia. That utterly false claim has been echoed by pretty much every prominent Democrat in the country, everyone of whom fully knows they’re lying.

But hey, they’re Democrats. That’s what they do.

Abrams has been roundly characterized by our fake news media as one of the Democrats’ most promising “rising stars.” She was given the role of responding to President Trump’s State of the Union Address, a role in which she proved to be a rank mediocrity. She has been rumored to be a shoe-in to be Joe Biden’s running mate in 2020, assuming the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator still knows who he is a year from now.

So, you’ll have to excuse Georgia Democrats today if they’re all sitting around wondering, “Where’s our Stacey?” They’ve got not one, but two open senate seats now, and Stacey’s nowhere to be found. Indeed, within moments of Isakson’s announcement on Wednesday, an Abrams spokesperson made it very clear that “Leader Abrams” would not be running for his seat, just as she will not be running for Perdue’s seat.

The spokesperson gave us no idea as to what Abrams is actually the “Leader” of, other than her nascent effort to create even more vote fraud opportunities for Democrats in Georgia and all over the country. The spokesperson also did not elaborate on the reasons why Abrams refuses to run.

But the answer is clear: Abrams and her fellow Democrats cleared out every cemetery and drove every illegal alien in Georgia to the polls in 2018, and she still got clobbered by Kemp. If she thought she could win one of these senate seats, she would run. But she has no confidence that she could win either seat, or indeed any statewide election in Georgia.

Abrams also knows one of the most rigid laws of politics: a person can lose one statewide election in any given state and live to fight another day; indeed, you can even be your party’s fantasy hero. But lose two statewide elections in a span of two years, and your career as a viable political figure is well and truly done.

She’s a Democrat, so she’d much rather be the “Leader” of the next iteration of the famous voter-fraud factory ACORN for the next few years and see how things shape up in 2024, 2026 and beyond. It’s the only smart play she has.

We see the exact same dynamic at work with Irish Bob O’Rourke in Texas. O’Rourke’s pathetic presidential campaign has been dead in the water for four solid months now despite his continuing very strong fundraising efforts, yet he still plugs along, embarrassing himself on the national stage 3 or 4 times each week.

Meanwhile, incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn is up for re-election in 2020, and he has yet to draw anything resembling a credible opponent from the Texas Democrat Party. Of course, that’s mainly because Irish Bob is the only thing resembling a credible opponent the Texas Democrat Party actually has on its roster.

But how credible would he be this time around? It’s obviously a question the clownish ex-congressman runs around in his own mind these days. We have to remember that, while he managed to come within 3% of beating Ted Cruz in 2018, Sen. Cruz is far less popular and far more controversial in Texas than Cornyn is. Running against Cornyn would be much more like challenging Gov. Greg Abbott, who easily won his own re-election campaign in 2018 by a comfortable 12 points.

And what about money? Would Irish Bob be able to raise another $80 million from all of his California supporters for a run against Cornyn? You can bet Cornyn won’t get caught flat-footed on that money situation like Cruz did last year, when O’Rourke was able to out-spend him by a 3 to 1 margin.

So again, Irish Bob was able to remain viable after losing one statewide election, so viable that, as late as January, it was reasonable to consider him among the favorites to win the Democrat nomination. But go back and lose a second statewide election, and Irish Bob would have a very hard time even going back to El Paso and trying to win back his old congressional seat.

So that’s why you folks in Georgia and Texas won’t be seeing the Democrat Party’s favorite looooooooooooser “rising stars” on the 2020 ballot. Far better to to be a fantasy “star” and live to fight another day than to be a two-time statewide loooooooooser with nowhere to go but down.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Watch Loser Stacey Abrams Self-Identify as a Viable Presidential Candidate

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Democrat Stacey Abrams, who still self-identifies herself as Georgia’s governor despite her 55,000-vote loss last November to Republican Brian Kemp, now self-identifies as a viable presidential candidate, despite not even being in the race.

Watch this clip of her interview on MSNBC from earlier today:

As a service to those of you who still like to read stuff, I spent 20 minutes of my own life compiling a verbatim transcript of this 52-second clip. I’ve also included another minute or so of dialogue from a longer version of the interview with MSNBC host Hallie Jackson, in order to give you a more, ummm, fullsome flavor of the self-absorbed also-ran’s thinking.

You gluttons for punishment can review the longer clip here. Warning: Most of the interview is all kinds of nonsense about Abrams’ current project to ensure that non-citizens of our nation are counted in next year’s census. If you’re interested in that, fine. If you aren’t, fast-forward to the 4:50 mark to focus on Ms. Abrams’ fantasy-based presidential aspirations.

Here’s the transcript:

=======================================

Hallie Jackson here. I want to ask you about another big issue. Are you prepared to shut the door on a presidential run right now?

Abrams: No, I’m not. Again, as I’ve said before, I’m watching to see what happens, I think we’ve got a robust crop of candidates and I think they’re having important conversations, but my mission is to make certain that we are keeping that attention focused all the way through the campaign. And so I’m gonna keep watching and decide if I need to jump in.

Jackson: You’ve said before that you’ll be willing to wait until September. Is that still the operative time line in your view? That’s late – you’ll miss out on talking to some people, some debates…

Abrams: Well I think the debates are an important part of the process, but the debates are new [huh?]. And while I think it’s a critical piece that can happen, I think that the, I can enter the conversation as late as the Fall and still have a real chance to…win.

Jackson: So this talk that continues – and I know you’ve spoken about it before – about being a potential vice presidential candidate, Beto O’Rourke for example is the most recent one who has floated your name, has anyone reached out to you about that?

Abrams: No one has reached out to me. And as I have said before, right now we should be focused on the presidential nominees and if I should decide to join the fray, then I look forward to being a robust competitor. After the determination has been made about who the Democratic nominee is, if I’m not that person for one reason or the other, I’m open to the conversation, but I think we need to have our conversations in sequential order, not at the same time.

=======================================

Ok, to sum up:

  • Abrams is not a candidate and is not planning to become one before at least September, by which time several debates will have already been held;
  • But she’s keeping an eye on those nasty real, actual candidates to make sure they are focused on her own priorities, which she doesn’t really identify here, but which most likely have to do with the “voter suppression” fantasy that she uses as her excuse for last year’s loss;
  • Despite the well-known fact that Joe Biden already tried to make a deal with her to be his running mate several weeks back, she is claiming that “no one has reached out to me” about that possibility yet;
  • But she’ll be interested in having that conversation once the Democrat nominee has been determined, assuming it isn’t her, and she’s not a candidate, at least not yet and maybe never but who knows? Or something.

Honestly, is there a more self-absorbed and self-deluded self-identifying leftist in the entire country?  My goodness.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Vote Republican. It’s Your Civic Duty.

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey!  There’s an election tomorrow!  I will be live-blogging it here starting at 6:00 p.m. Central Time.  Please join me in the comments section for tons of fun as the results either make me look like the smartest guy on the planet or a damn fool.  Could go either way.

Get out and vote for Republicans. – If you haven’t already done so, get your sorry butt out to the polls tomorrow and vote Republican.  Period.  There is nothing to think about here.  Just find that “Straight Republican” button and hit it. Oh, and then wait and watch to make sure that your voting machine then populates the votes properly, because we have had reports of things not working properly (imagine that).

And yes, vote the straight Republican ticket, regardless of where you live.  I’m in Texas, as most of you know by now, and this is the easiest decision we’ve ever had.  I’m a ticket-splitter from way back, but way back was when there were still decent people running for office as Democrats.  No more.

Anyone who buys into today’s Democrat agenda, which includes stuff like Antifa, assaulting Trump supporters in public places, rampant voter fraud, single-payer healthcare, raising your taxes and open borders, is not a decent person.  Sorry, they just aren’t.  They might be good fathers, loving mothers and otherwise good citizens, but if they support the Democrat agenda, they can no longer be described as decent human beings. That’s what 25 years of running the party on the principles of Saul Alinsky has done for them.

If you have a problem with any Republican candidate, just remember that his or her opponent is a Democrat, and your problem becomes no problem at all. Democrats are not allowed anymore to be independent operators. A guy like Irish Bob O’Rourke is promising to go to Washington and buck the system, becoming an “independent voice” for Texans.

The truth is that Irish Bob would become the de facto third senator from New York as Chuck Schumer leads him around by the nose, telling him not only how to vote on every issue, but also which approved talking points to recite during his appearances on CNN and MSNBC. Hell, if you’re Joe Manchin, Schumer even dictates which lines at the State of the Union speech you can stand and applaud.  Manchin’s a three-term incumbent – you think a rookie from Texas is going to be treated any better?

The same goes for Colin Allred, the guy running against GOP incumbent congressman Pete Sessions.  Allred is a very good-looking and articulate guy, promising to go to Washington and challenge San Fran Nan at every turn on behalf of Texans. The truth is that San Fran Nan would have him wrapped around her crooked little finger about 5 minutes after he lands at Reagan National Airport.  Because Democrats march in lockstep on every issue. Period.

So, if you’re thinking about voting for O’Rourke or Allred, think again.  They’re Democrats.  If you’re thinking of voting for the Democrat (whomever it is) running against George P. Bush for Texas Land Commissioner because you don’t like Bush’s plan to turn the Alamo and surrounding grounds into a glorified amusement park, well, join the crowd.  But do you think the Democrat has a better idea?  Seriously?  What would that be – to turn it over to the federal Department of the Interior for safe keeping?

C’mon, man.  Be serious.

In the past two years, America has embarked on an almost unprecedented period of relative peace in the world and economic growth. The Trump Administration has reasserted American authority at the United Nations, NATO and all the various G-7, G-20 and whatever other G-something or other summits there are these days. The horrendous turmoil in the Middle East that resulted from the Obama-sanctioned “Arab Spring” has been greatly calmed and ISIS has been largely destroyed.

The Crazy Little Fat Guy over in North Korea hasn’t fired a missile in hostility in many months, and his main interactions with the U.S. these days involve requesting more meetings with the Secretary of State and other U.S. representatives to get approval for his next step toward decommissioning his country’s nuclear capabilities.

Russia, which invaded Crimea, Syria and the Ukraine during the Obama years, hasn’t invaded anyone since January 20, 2017.  This is not a coincidence.  China has been helpful with the Trump approach to North Korea, and now appears ready to make a real trade deal after five months of escalating “trade war” with the United States has begun to damage its economy.

So, after you’ve had a couple of cups of coffee and showered tomorrow morning (yes, please shower for everyone’s sake), go vote.  For Republicans.  Straight ticket.  It’s not just the right idea, it’s your duty if you love this country.  It’s the easiest decision you’ve ever had.

And now, for some final predictions:

The Republicans will gain a net 4 senate seats, defeating McCaskill in Missouri, Heitcamp in North Dakota, and some combination of Tester in Montana, Manchin in West Virginia, Nelson in Florida and Donnelly in Indiana.  They will lose some combination of Heller in Nevada or McSally in Arizona.  The net of all of that will be a 4-seat gain and an overall 55-seat majority for the next two years.

In the House, the Republicans hold onto their advantage, losing a net 15 seats.

That’s where I’ve been since January, and I see no reason to change now.

In some specific high-profile races:

Irish Bob “Beto” O’Rourke’s $80 million campaign will buy him 45% of the vote in his race against Ted Cruz.  Four years ago, $30 million got Wendy Davis 39% of the vote.  So, if the Democrats can throw about $125 million behind some chosen golden child in 2022, they might actually win a race in Texas.

But this year, Republicans will win every statewide election in Texas, as they have done in every statewide election cycle since 1994.

Republican Brian Kemp will win 52% of the vote in the Georgia governor’s race, just enough to avoid a runoff there.

In Florida, the early voting is tilting very nicely for the Republicans, who always have a significant voting edge on Election Day.  Based on that, I think Ron DeSantis will eke out a very narrow win in the governor’s race over Democrat/socialist Andrew Gillum there.

Again, I’m either going to look like a genius or a damn fool come Wednesday morning, but we’ll have fun tomorrow night regardless.
That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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