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Michael Bloomberg Formally Launches His Phony Candidacy

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

This is the Democrats’ great new hope? Trump’s a shoe-in. – In the grand tradition of awful presidential campaign announcement videos – like the one of Fauxcahontas pretending to cook up some American Indian food in her kitchen while slugging down a beer – former Democrat Mayor Michael Bloomberg formally announced his entry into the race over the weekend with this wretched posting on Instagram:

Yeah, that’s really gonna shake up the race, huh? Bloomberg has all the energy of a hibernating bear and the charm of the average New York City street vendor. Check out that posture – what message is this 77 year-old man attempting to communicate to his audience by perching himself pelvis-forward in that tiny chair?

And you have to love the little message box that is superimposed atop his crotch, saying “Send me your questions for #AskMike.” The first question, obviously placed there by an order-obeying staffer, is “What’s your favorite pizza?” Yes, surely, that pressing question is no doubt on the collective hive mind of every potential Democrat voter who has surveyed the existing field of candidates and come away wondering “can these idiots really deliver the grade of pepperoni I truly want? And what about the anchovies and extra cheese?”

Think about that for a second: Remember that these Democrats never do or say anything in public that hasn’t been polled or focus group tested. You’re telling me that Bloomberg paid someone good money to come up with this?

Of course, here’s the dirty little secret in all of this: Bloomberg isn’t in this race to win the Democrat presidential nomination. He’s in this race so he can receive the cheaper political candidates’ rates as he invests a few hundred million dollars in TV and social media ads. Those ads won’t target Quid Pro Joe, Fauxcahontas, The Commie or Preacher Pete, like any serious candidate for the nomination would do. They will target President Donald Trump.

Bloomy isn’t really a candidate for the presidency, he’s part of the resistance. He knows he can’t win this nomination after watching fellow idiot billionaire Tom Steyer drop a hundred mil or so of his own money to finally get to the point where he is polling 1% in the national polls.

But he also knows the Democrat Party is broke, with the GOP out-raising it by a factor of almost 10 to 1. The party’s base is fractured, and its gigantic field of candidates ensures that the money invested by all the pro-Democrat super PACs will remain fractured as well for quite some time to come.

So, Mayor Big Gulp could pour his money into one or more of those Super PACs or into some dark money “issues advocacy” groups, and is very likely already doing that. He could also donate gobs of money to the Democrat National Committee, but that would be controlled by doofuses like DNC Chairman Tom Perez. By pretending to be a candidate himself, Bloomberg gets a lot more bang for the buck. More importantly, he is able to fully control the message.

But if his first video offering is any indication of his messaging prowess, he is, like Steyer, most likely going to be wasting his money.

Somewhere, President Trump is laughing. It’s hard to blame him.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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How Pete Buttigieg is Triangulating His Way to the Top of the Democrat Heap

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Has Pete Buttigieg found the fairway for getting to the Democrat 2020 nomination? – It’s beginning to look as if he might just have stumbled into it. Or a better way to say might be that he has, to borrow a Clintonian term, ‘triangulated’ his way into it.

With new polls showing Preacher Pete, the middling mayor of a mid-size, racially-torn city in the mid-size mid-western state of Indiana, suddenly jumping out to strong leads in polls in both Iowa and New Hampshire, it has become time to take the 37 year-old seriously. Readers will remember that, way back in March I predicted that Buttigieg would become one of two media-created “rising stars” in the Democrat field, with the other being Andrew Yang. Ok, so far I’m just one for two, but there’s still time for Yang and his blatant $1,000 per month effort to outright buy votes to catch fire at some point.

The interesting thing about Preacher Pete is that he has wiggled his way up to the top of the field in the first two caucus/primary states by channeling Bill Clinton and his 1992 campaign strategy of being all things to all people. While Elizabeth Warren has been out there going as far to the left as Fidel Castro in order to steal the Party’s very sizable communist vote away The Commie, and Joe Biden has been focusing on securing the African American vote by telling South Carolinians that Republicans really just want to go back to Jim Crow laws that Democrats in fact created and getting the senior citizen vote with the 1968 tactic of claiming marijuana is a “gateway drug,” Buttigieg has managed to thread his way right in between them to capture the Party’s “middle.”

Just as Bill Clinton understood 27 years ago, Preacher Pete understands that, in the Democrat voter base, a “moderate” is someone who really favors all of the radical leftist nostrums that have utterly failed an murdered hundreds of millions of human beings over the last century, but wants to be able to pretend to their non-crazy friends that they’re really just “open-minded.” These people want a candidate who is radical but doesn’t look or sound radical.

That’s what Bill Clinton delivered to them in 1992 and what Barack Obama gave them in 2008: a radical leftist who’s going to nationalize healthcare and destroy the economy with a raft of Soviet-style command-and-control regulations over the “environment” and pretty much every other facet of our lives, but who looks and sounds like just a guy who you’d like to have a drink with at the local bar or, as in Preacher Pete’s case, the harmless Jehovah’s Witness who knocks on your door and wants to talk to you about his vision of what God actually is.

Preacher Pete is delivering all of that, right down to the starched white shirt and black pants uniform and scripture-quoting (and often mis-quoting) of your local missionary. When radical leftism is packaged like this, you hardly notice how radical it all really is until it’s too late and the harmless missionary is implementing a $2500 penalty on you for not signing up with the medical non-coverage mandated by the bill he just signed into law.

This Clintonian triangulation approach of adopting pretty much all of his opponents’ most radical ideas, but doing so with the demeanor and talking points of moderation has suddenly landed Preacher Pete with a 9-point lead in the new Des Moines Register poll in Iowa, and a whopping 10 point lead in a new St. Anselm poll in New Hampshire. Yes, these are just single polls in each state, but every other poll taken recently in these two crucial kickoff contests have shown Buttigieg’s fortunes rapidly rising.

Supporters of Quid Pro Joe point to their guy’s leads in South Carolina and Nevada, the next two states that will be contested before Super Tuesday rolls around, but history is filled with the rotting carcasses of presidential candidates who thought they could lose Iowa and New Hampshire and then build firewalls around later states and still be the nominee. Reality dictates that if any candidate can win both Iowa and New Hampshire, they will immediately become the odds-on favorite to be the nominee as the momentum from those victories carries over into other states.

Just as in the game of football, momentum is a very real factor in presidential politics. Right now, Preacher Pete, through his strategy of channeling the 1992 version of Bill Clinton, definitely has it. Whether or not it can last is anyone’s guess, but he is proving to be a very formidable presence in this race.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Dem Debate: Clipping Coupons, Stealing Your Money, and Confiscating Guns

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

I didn’t watch last night’s Democrat debate, because I’m sane and would prefer to stay that way. Besides, there was baseball on TV. But I did follow the festivities in real time on social media, and quickly realized I didn’t miss anything that wasn’t entirely predictable.

For example, there was this lovely moment, when the two near-octogenarians in the race, perhaps surprised to see each other still alive and kicking, gave each other a big hug:

Image may contain: 1 person, suit

Awwww, isn’t that cute? It’s like that big family reunion back in 1963 when both of your great-grandpas showed up together for the last time.

Speaking of Quid Pro Joe, he got the very predicable special handling from CNN hack Anderson Cooper, who prefaced a question about his bullying of the Ukraine in order to protect is ne’er-do-well son with “You have been falsely accused by the White House…”, and bumbling ‘Ol Joe was barely able to take it from there. If Cooper could’ve taken him by the hand and walked him through an answer, you can be sure he would have done so.

At other times, though, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator didn’t fare quite so well. Check out this clip, when he’s asked by some chick about the Marxist “wealth tax” scheme being touted by The Commie and Fauxcahontas:

That’s right: He literally said “clipping coupons in the stock market.” He apparently thinks Nabisco often runs “2 for 1 specials” on purchases of its stock, and General Motors offers 5 year, 0 percent financing from time to time.

In case you couldn’t understand the rest of his gibberish answer, here’s everything he said, verbatim:

“No, look, er, ah,um, demonizing wealth people, what I’ve talked about is how you get things done. And the way to get things done is take a look at the tax code right now.  The idea, we have to start rewarding work not just wealth. I would eliminate the capital gains tax [rapid blinking and scrunch face occurs here] that i..I w, I would raise the capital gains tax to the highest l.., rate of 39.5 percent, would double it. Because guess what? Why in God’s name should someone who’s clipping coupons in the stock market make, in fact, pay lower tax rate than someone who in fact is, uh, like I said, is, th, uh,  a school teacher and a fireman.”

Got that? So, all you stock market coupon clippers better put those scissors away and go out and get a job teaching or putting out fires. Because that’s the world Quid Pro Joe lives in these days.

In another highlight, Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard, who remains the only actual interesting person on the Democrat stage, ripped into the two main drivers of today’s fake news media, CNN and the New York Times. Hilariously, those two fake news outlets also happened to be the hosts of last night’s debate. Here’s the clip:

For those who still like to read things, here is the key passage:

“Not only that, but, the New York Times and CNN have also smeared veterans like myself for calling for an end to this regime change war. Just two days ago, the New York Times put out an article saying that I’m a Russian asset and an Assad apologist and all these different smears. This morning, a CNN commentator said on national television that I’m an asset of Russia. Completely despicable.”

Boom. Don’t hear language like that about our fake news media coming from any of the other Democrats on that stage, mainly because the New York Times and CNN treat them all with kid gloves.

But maybe the best part came when Irish Bob O’Rourke appeared to question the political courage of Navy veteran Pete Buttigieg, and that did not go well for the Texas dilettante:

Oof.

In an interview released earlier on Tuesday, O’Rourke also signaled that his pending failure to win the Democrat nomination would likely end his amazingly mediocre political career, saying “I cannot fathom a scenario where I would run for public office again if I’m not the nominee.”

All of his former fantasy lovers at various Texas and national fake media outlets would be heartbroken, but those words fall on most Texans like manna from heaven.

Note to Beto: You aren’t winning anything in this race, given that your campaign has been the most laughable, miserable, epic failure this year has seen. So, please, keep your word, for once.

Image result for i don't believe you gif

To sum up the rest: Julian Castro told a bunch of lies about immigration, Fauxcahontas refused again to admit she is going to raise taxes on the middle class, Kamala Harris bumbled and stumbled all over herself, Andrew Yang barely got any airtime, Cory Booker continued sucking up to Creepy Uncle Joe, Tom Steyer was on the stage but nobody knew why, or even who in the hell he was, and everyone went after Fauxcahontas at one time or another because she’s the real frontrunner in the race.

But in the most important news of the evening, the Nationals beat the Cardinals to sweep to their first-ever National League pennant.

That is all.

P.S.: As I was typing this piece up this morning, President Donald Trump summed last night’s festivities up perfectly:

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Bernie is Toast, Biden is Close

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Bernie Sanders’ presidential hopes are over, although he may not realize it yet. – The Commie had to undergo surgery to implant multiple stents into his 78 year-old heart, and has cancelled a bunch of planned campaign events over the next couple of weeks so he can recover. Although this can be a fairly minor procedure for a younger person – I had one placed into my left ventricular artery at age 55 and was back to full speed within a few weeks – it can be far more difficult for a person of Sanders’ advanced age.

But the speed of his recovery doesn’t even matter here: Sanders was already finding it impossible to move his polling numbers much above 15% due in part to the impression among many Democrats that he is just too old for the job he seeks. Suffering a heart attack in the midst of the campaign – and yes, if he was having chest pains, any doctor will tell you that he did indeed suffer a heart attack – will only serve to build that perception among many more voters, who will now begin to cast their eyes in the direction of the other, younger unquestioned Marxist in the race, Fauxcahontas.

The near-certain outcome will be that we will see Sanders’ polling numbers drop into single digits over the next few weeks, and a commensurate rise in support for Little Mouth Always Running.

Speaking of the Fake Indian running, check out the greeting she received from Nevada voters when her plane landed out there on Wednesday:

Not exactly the reception that Princess I’m Gonna Take Your Wampum expected. But that’s the price we can expect more and more Democrats to pay for their support for San Fran Nan’s sham impeachment circus as Trump supporters become increasingly engaged in public activism and protest.

Meanwhile, the campaign of Quid Pro Joe Biden, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator, is now hanging by a thread. While Biden’s foundering campaign did not quite meet my prediction that his lead would have disappeared by October 1, he sure came close.

In fact, Lieawatha actually now holds the lead in 4 of the 7 most recent polls taken in the race, according to Real Clear Politics, and she and Biden are in a statistical tie in a fifth poll taken by Emerson. In fact, only one of those polls was even partially conducted in October, and that one – by The Economist/YouGov – shows the Fake Indian holding a 6 point lead. The two clear outlier polls, both showing Biden with 11 point leads, were taken entirely in September.

Given that reality, I think I’ll declare half a victory on this particular prediction, made back in April when Crazy Uncle Joe kicked off his campaign with a near-30 point lead. There is now little doubt that his lead will disappear entirely when the first polls conducted entirely in October are published over the next two weeks.

For the  rest of the field, just a few trends to note:

  • Kamala Harris is on life support. She announced early this week that she is shaking up her staff, but that won’t help. The candidate is the problem with her campaign. She is just a horrible candidate, and shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic won’t change that.
  • Preacher Pete is your basic 6% candidate now, and his trendline has been essentially static since June. His consistent ZERO support from African American voters means he has no real chance in the race for the nomination, and that won’t change. The only reason for him to hang around is in the hopes of becoming arm candy for Fauxcahontas in the general election.
  • Andrew Yang had a $10 million fundraising haul in the third quarter, which places him in the top 4 in this pitiful field. He had one exciting moment when he came in at 8% in the Emerson poll last week, but that’s a clear statistical anomaly given that he is at 2 or 3 in every other poll. Another potential vice presidential nominee, but no chance to win the big prize.
  • Cory Booker, Julian Castro, Irish Bob O’Rourke and Amy Klobuchar are all dead as door nails, but they will linger through the next debate in mid-October in the vain hopes of having some breakthrough moment on that crowded stage.
  • The only other declared candidate worth mentioning is Tulsi Gabbard, who had a chance to be the only actual interesting person on stage when she initially came out in opposition to Pelosi’s Impeachment Circus. But she lost that not even 48 hours later when she reversed her posture. Thus, she’ll be just another hack with no chance of truly distinguishing herself in that next debate.

Then there’s the Pantsuit Princess, the thus-far-undeclared candidate in this race. The Fainting Felon has raised eyebrows by putting herself back in the public spotlight with a series of speaking events this week, raising the spectre that she might decide to become a late entrant into the campaign season as Biden falters.

From a pure self-defense standpoint, that appeared to make some sense late last week, as the corrupt news media assisted Biden by claiming the President’s rhetoric about Biden’s clear pay-for-play selling of his vice presidential office related to Ukraine, China and other countries amounted to a Trump attack on a political rival rather than an effort to identify clear corruption. But that particular line of BS has very quickly lost its utility as this week has progressed and the damning video of Biden bragging about engaging in his clear bullying of the Ukraine government on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son gained traction with the public.

Would the Grasping Grifter attempt a similar tactic, declaring herself to be a candidate to try to give herself political cover against the increasingly aggressive investigation led by Attorney General William Barr? She might, but she would fail even more miserably than Biden is failing with that line of BS.

Only time will tell. I still think her plan is to wait it out and hope to become the party’s savior at a hung convention.

Given all of that, here are my updated odds on who the eventual Democrat nominee will be:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

Someone not currently declared – 3 to 2

Quid Pro Joe – 20 to 1

The Commie – 50 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

Kamala – 100 to 1

Andrew Yang – 100 to 1

The rest of the declared field – DEAD

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Biden Lead is Crashing Like the 1929 Stock Market

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.

As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.

Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?

The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.

That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.

Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:

Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.

Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.

The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.

–  Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they  might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.

Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.

The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.

All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.

This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.

Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:

Fauxcahontas – Even money

Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1

Biden – 5 to 1

The Commie – 20 to 1

Preacher Pete – 50 to 1

Kamala – 50 to 1

The Field – 100  to 1

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Democrat Clown Car is on the Fast Track to a Brokered Convention

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Are you ready for a deadlocked Democrat convention next year? – Because that’s where all of this Democrat traveling clown show is headed.

Fauxcahontas is now an even more-clear favorite to get to the convention with the most delegates next July, although her chances of arriving there with a full majority needed to win on the first ballot remain small. Hell, she’s already playing the role of the front-runner in the debates.

Last night in Houston, she stood quietly for the most part while also-ran doofuses like Irish Bob O’Rourke and Julian Castro and Amy Klobuchar and Andrew Yang shouted and gesticulated and poured out the “I’m gonna grab your guns” and “Trump’s a racist” red meat for the party’s lunatic Twitter-outraged base. During the debate’s first hour, almost 20 minutes went by in between times when Little Mouth Always Running actually opened her mouth on stage, as all the nitwits around her tried to tear each other apart. That could be an all-time record for Princess 1/1024th.

While Yang was promising to have his campaign illegally pay out $1,000 a month for the next 12 months to twelve families in order to buy their votes, Preacher Pete was trying to get everybody to sing his own particular weird version of Kumbaya, Castro was cracking jokes about Biden’s advanced age, The Commie was trying to croak out some Bolshevik nostrums from his 77 year-old sore throat, Kamala was cackling like an evil character from a 1950s Disney movie, O’Rourke was promising to come grab everybody’s guns and trying to figure out exactly when to toss out an f-bomb and Klobuchar was getting ready to start throwing notebooks at the moderators, the fake Indian was doing her best imitation of Sitting Bull, calmly observing the fray and happy to let her enemies destroy one another.

It was a smart strategy. Whatever else one thinks about Sen. Warren, you cannot deny that she’s strategically smart. I mean, hell, she spent a virtual lifetime pretending to be someone she isn’t in order to advance her career before Trump came along and exposed her fraud to the world. That alone tells you she’s a clever schemer.

She’s clever enough to understand that being a life-long fraud is in fact a badge of honor in a Democrat presidential nominating contest, and so there she was last night, standing right in the middle of that stage next to Biden. She probably came into last night planning to take some shots of her own at Biden, but quickly realized that Castro and Harris and other were doing a fine job of exposing the elderly hack for what he is.

That quick thinking also shows she knows her own limitations. She has to understand that her angry school-marm voice and speaking tone quickly begins to grate and irritate, so why overdo that during a 3-hour debate that was viewed by millions?

As for Biden, if it weren’t for the fact that he’s been such a despicable swamp creature hack for so many decades it would be sad watching his visible decline on national television. His cognitive functions are so clearly limited now that it is visible on his face every time he’s asked a question for which he hasn’t been coached, or one that touches on an uncomfortable subject. If you can stand it, go watch a replay of the debate on Youtube. You can see Biden visibly recoil and squeeze his eyes shut whenever he’s asked a question that surprises him, which was typically from another candidate, not the accommodating moderators.

I’ve been telling you since April that Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and he’d be out of the race entirely after next March 4, Super Tuesday. He’s right on schedule to meet that calendar, especially after his performance last night. The more he gets exposed to the public, the worse he looks.

As for the others, Harris is done. She is an awful campaigner and frankly a horrid debater. Everything about her screams insincerity and meanness.

Sanders will also fade after this croaking performance. Democrat voters are all about optics and the feels, and a 78 year-old croaking at them for three hours will make them feel all nervous and stuff.

Irish Bob is a furry circus clown who just announced the fourth re-boot of his campaign in six months. He’s to the point where even shallow Democrat voters think he’s a shallow opportunist.

Julian Castro never has been in any way relevant in this race, and his low attacks on Biden last night won’t change that.

Preacher Pete is cute as a button and might look good as arm-candy for Fauxcahontas in a general election race.

Cory Booker is Cory Booker and always will be, so no one should take him seriously in this race.

Yang is just weird. What was going on with that top button on his shirt last night? Everyone kept waiting for it to pop open and expose some odd tattoo and thus only heard about 1 out of 7 words he had to say. Again, Democrat voters are all about optics and feels, dude. Get a shirt that fits.

Klobuchar is just the angry version of Kirstin Gillibrand. No reason for her to be up there in the first place. She’s just wasting everybody’s time.

I feel like I’m forgetting somebody here, but honestly, I don’t care.

Here are my updated odds for the 2020 Democrat nomination after last night’s atrocity:

Fauxcahontas – 3 to 1

The Commie – 10 to 1

Biden – 50 to 1

Harris – 100 to 1

Preacher Pete – 100 to 1

The Field – 100 to 1

Someone not yet in the race – Even odds

Brokered convention, here we come.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Why Elizabeth Warren is now the Clear Favorite in the Democrat Race

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Well, President Donald Trump has yet another new “challenger.” – Complete with blaring headlines at the increasingly leftwing Drudge Report, South Carolina Congressman and former Governor Mark Sanford has decided to jump into the race. He joins former Massachusetts Governor William Weld and former Congressman Joe Not-the-Eagles-Singer Walsh as a kind of NeverTrump cordon of sacrificial lambs who I guess will try to raise money and run in the various caucuses and primaries.

All three of these guys are your basic circus clowns. Weld is an ultra-liberal Democrat in a Brooks Brothers suit who does stuff like this because he can’t find any legitimate work. Walsh is a talk radio host who no longer has a talk radio program. Sanford is the guy who ran out on his family with his Argentinian girlfriend for two weeks while serving as Governor, and then claimed to have been “hiking the Appalachian Trail” when he re-surfaced.

These are the guys who NeverTrump puppet masters like Bill Kristol and Mitt Romney believe are fit to wrest the GOP 2020 nomination away from a sitting President with an extraordinary record of success. You might do better running Larry, Curly and Moe. At least they’d be entertaining.

Fauxcahontas Rising. – Despite the ongoing best efforts by our fake national news media to cover for his increasingly obvious loss of his faculties, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator continues his slow fade in the polling data.

The latest bit of distressing news for Creepy Uncle Joe comes from the CBS News Battleground poll of early primary/caucus states. This poll attempts to measure voter attitudes in the 17 states that will take us through Super Tuesday next March 3. Those 17 states include Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina early on, and then conclude with both California and Texas in March.

Thus, it isn’t surprising that both Kamala Harris and Irish Bob O’Rourke land among the top 6 Democrats in overall support in these early states, given the massive presence of their respective home states. It is a little surprising how poorly those two fare overall, with Harris coming in at 8% support and O’Rourke barely registering at 4%.

But it’s the top of the rankings that really matters, and coming in at #1 in terms of overall voter support is not Joe Biden, but Fauxcahontas, the biggest fraud in the race. Which should surprise no one, given the historic Democrat voter preference for lifelong frauds like John Kerry, Al Gore, Barack Obama and Bill and Hillary Clinton to be the standard bearer for their party.

Little Mouth Always Running comes in at 26% support among the registered Democrats surveyed in these 17 early states, with Creepy Uncle Joe close behind (as he always seems to be with the nearest woman) at 25%. The Commie registers at 19% and Mayor Pete makes a cute little political sandwich in between Harris and O’Rourke, landing at 6%.

Those percentages are a little misleading, though, because the delegate count is what would really matter. CBS projects those numbers in this table:

delegates-overall.jpg

So, the Unfrozen Caveman Senator retains a slight edge in that measure, though far short of the 748 he would need to constitute a pace to win a first-ballot majority at the DNC Convention. And looky there: Amy Klobuchar jumps into the top 6 to replace Preacher Pete, who is nowhere to be seen.

In keeping with its campaign to prop up the Serial Gaffer, CBS leads its write-up on the poll by saying, “This poll tells a story of Elizabeth Warren rising. But not Joe Biden falling.” Which is, of course, abject nonsense.

Let’s go back to April, when Biden announced his candidacy. Then, he started this race with a huge, 20+ point lead in pretty much every poll, registering at or above the 40% level in all of them. In this new poll, just five months later, he’s down to 25% in the 17 states that will essentially decide the race for all intents and purposes, and now trailing a woman who has spent her entire adult life pretending to be someone she is not for professional and financial gain.

True, he is still doing slightly better in the national polls, where he’s averaging about 29% support in the RealClearPolitics average. And the lead he still owns is due strictly to two factors: Very strong support among African-Americans, who don’t much care for all the radical socialists in the race, and this perception that he’s the most electable candidate in a general election against President Trump.

That’s all well and good for now, but here’s Biden’s real problem: The Democrat voter base has become ultra-radicalized, and is not likely to ultimately settle for an elderly white guy (Biden will be closing in on 78 when the Democrat convention comes around next summer) who barely knows where he is most days. Those voters are also not going to settle for an old white guy who still goes around bragging about his old segregationist pals in the 1970s Senate, and who still tells off-color jokes that demean women, Blacks and gays.

Take a look at that RealClearPolitics average again, and add up the percentage of voters who are supporting the radical candidates like Warren, The Commie, Harris, Buttigieg, Yang and O’Rourke: Their support comes in right at 50% to Biden’s 29%. That’s where the heart of the Democrat Party really lies.

Throughout the 2015/2016 GOP nomination contest, I repeatedly advised readers and clients to add up the percentage of primary voters who weighed in their support on behalf of the party’s non-conventional candidates. I included Trump, Ted Cruz, Ben Carson, Carly Fiorina and Rand Paul in that category. It was absolutely stunning how consistently their total support came in right at 63% throughout 2015 and through the early primaries. As Carson, Fiorina and Paul left the race, basically all of their support base migrated right over to Trump or Cruz, and they ended up the two finalists in the race (I don’t count Kasich, who stuck around but had basically no real support).

That was where the heart of the GOP voter base was in 2016, and the radical left is where the heart of the Democrat voter base is for the 2020 race. As O’Rourke, Yang and Buttigieg drop out of the race, and The Commie and Harris fall away later on, their voters are going to coalesce not around Biden, but around Fauxcahontas. This is pretty much baked into the cake at this point. Elizabeth Warren is really the odds-on favorite to go into next year’s convention with the highest number of delegates as of today. The big question is whether or not she will be able to the majority required to win on the first ballot.

If you think I’m crazy and still believe that Biden is the big favorite because that’s what all the “experts” are telling you, take a look at history: Since 1968, the early favorite to win a contested Democrat nominating race has only prevailed one time, in 2000, when Al Gore, a sitting vice president, became the nominee.

All the momentum in this race today is with Warren, and it’s pretty hard to see anything that will stop it. Democrat voters love a good fraud, and there is no more accomplished, blatant fraud in the race than Fauxcahontas.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Democrats’ Climate Town Halls: A Direct Assault on Texas

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“On my first day as president, I will sign an executive order that puts a total moratorium on all new fossil fuel leases for drilling offshore and on public lands. And I will ban fracking—everywhere.” – Elizabeth Warren

I was asked by a radio host this week for my initial takeaway from CNN’s 7-hour marathon of Democratic Climate Change talking points that aired on September 4. My response was the only thing that came into my head: God help us if any of these people wins the election.

By “us” I mean the oil and gas industry, in which I spent a 38-year career, and everyone in Texas, where I’ve lived my entire life. Because the reality of that 7 hours of talking points by 10 leading contenders for the Democratic Party’s 2020 presidential nomination is that pretty much every idea advanced by the candidates was a direct assault on the industry’s continuing license to operate in the United States, and thus on the Texas economy.

The Texas economy has diversified significantly since the bad old days of the 1980s, when the oil bust collapsed the state’s savings and loan and banking industries and more Texans were out of work than anytime other than during the Great Depression. But despite that diversification, oil and gas still drives more economic growth here than any other business sector.

So, when you see every candidate on that stage – including Texans Julian Castro and Beto O’Rourke – call for the banning of “fracking,” you see a proposal that would throw the Texas economy immediately into a recession and toss tens of thousands of Texans out of work. When you see Kamala Harris and several others demonize the plastics industry, you see a direct attack on Texas, whose chemicals and plastics industry has boomed in the past decade, with hundreds of billions in new capital investments, thanks to cheap natural gas prices.

When you see Andrew Wang and others talk about banning internal combustion engines and forcing everyone to drive an electric vehicle, you see a direct attack on Texas, home to the nation’s largest refining industry. When you see Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden talk about the need to end the use of all fossil fuels in power generation, you see a direct attack on Texas, where natural gas powers more homes and businesses than all other fuel sources. Those attacks on natural gas are also attacks on the environment, given that U.S. carbon emissions have dropped to 1980s-levels in recent years thanks mainly to natural gas displacing coal in power generation.

The attacks on Texas and its economy were not limited to energy alone: Agriculture is the state’s second-most prevalent business. When you see Pete Buttigieg telling Americans that if they eat a hamburger, they’re part of the problem, you’re seeing a direct attack on Texas and its ranching industry.

When you see O’Rourke and others talk about the need to end “corporate farming,” you’re seeing a direct assault on Texas and its farmers, given that, when you look into the details of their various plans, you see that they all call for ending the use of diesel-fueled farm equipment like tractors and combines, not to mention all those Ford F-150s. That’s not just for “corporate” farmers, but for all farmers.

This stark reality, of course, is one of the main reasons why the Democratic National Committee denied requests from Washington Gov. Jay Inslee and a few other candidates to hold a formal debate focused solely on Climate Change. The party’s leaders actually entertain the notion that Texas’s shifting demographics might give their presidential candidate a shot to win the state’s electoral votes in 2020. But they also know that, if Texans become educated on the realities of how the candidates’ various “solutions” would impact their daily lives, those chances will fade accordingly.

Those DNC concerns were well-founded, and CNN did the party no favors by airing those proposals in such great detail. In presidential politics, some promises are better left unmade.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Bernie Sanders’ Dorian Tweet Proves he is an Ignorant, Shameless Hack

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Grand Bahama this morning looks a lot like Galveston did on September 9, 1900. – On September 8 of that year, the deadliest hurricane in American history slammed into Galveston Island with winds in excess of 140 mph – which would make it a Category 4 hurricane – and a storm surge that inundated the entire island.

Captains and sailors from ships coming into port had been warning islanders for days in advance of a large storm lurking in the Gulf, and a prominent local weather man, Isaac Cline, also tried to warn locals that a big storm was coming. But government officials assured residents that a major hit on the island was virtually impossible due to the shallow waters of the Gulf of Mexico and other factors, and predicted that any storm in the Gulf of Mexico would be most likely to make landfall in Florida. Thus, few people evacuated Galveston in advance of the storm, and, without air travel or gasoline powered automobiles, evacuation for most residents would have been difficult if not impossible in any event.

Thus it was that more than 8,000 Galvestonians died in the resultant inundation. Cline himself lived in a two-story home near the downtown area, and was only able to survive the rising flood waters by climbing onto the roof of his house along with his family. The destruction of all but the sturdiest of buildings on the island, like the famous Moody Mansion and many of the downtown business establishments, was utter and complete.

For many months afterwards, the refuse and debris from those buildings that had been carried out to sea was washed back up onto the island’s shores, along with the rotting carcasses of human beings, farm animals and pets who had perished in the storm. The cleanup operations were grim and seemingly unending; the stench was horrible and reportedly lingered for years afterwards.

The story we see coming out of Grand Bahama this morning is similar and tragic. The island was largely inundated by the storm surge, and thousands of houses and non-sturdy buildings have been destroyed. The refuse and debris from those buildings that was carried out to sea will wash back up onto shore in the months to come.

But that debris and refuse will not be accompanied by the rotting bodies of thousands of dead human beings. Many of the island’s pets and other animals were also taken to safety and even evacuated off the island, thanks to volunteer animal rescue operations. That happy result is largely due to modern means of predicting the path these storms will take days in advance. But it is also due to the existence of modern means of travel that allowed so many of the residents there to evacuate the island.

Virtually all of those means of travel, whether by boat, by plane or by automobile in the case of mainland U.S. residents in several states who are evacuating their own homes in advance of the storm’s path, are powered by gasoline or diesel fuel. Almost 100% of them. Even the growing number of electric vehicles on the roads now obtain their charge from power stations whose electricity is generated by a U.S. energy grid that is more than 80% powered by fossil fuels, including coal.

These modern, fossil-fueled means of transportation are why, when the ultimate death toll from this very strong hurricane is totaled up, the number most likely will consist of two digits instead of four or five.

So, when you see craven Democrat/Socialist presidential candidate Bernie Sanders issue a tweet like this:

…remember that the deadliest hurricane in American history occurred in 1900, when Americans were traveling using horses and buggies, almost a full century before the climate change scam was invented by the global socialist political movement.

Next time you run into someone who works in America’s oil and gas industry, thank them for producing the fuels that help save so many human lives in advance of these terrible storms. I guarantee you they will appreciate the gesture.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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