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The State of the Democrat Race: Biden Seals His Fate

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Hey, remember when Joe Biden’s rationale for running was that he would be the moderate who would appeal to independent voters? – Yeah, that’s all gone now.  I’ve told you all along that Joe Biden will not – cannot – be the 2020 nominee for the Democrat Party, and this was the week in which he sealed his own fate.

Honestly, it was inevitable. This man is a dinosaur trying to compete in a modern age with which he is totally unfamiliar. He’s like Phil Hartman’s genius “Un-Frozen Caveman Lawyer” SNL character, an ancient throwback to a time long past who is always confused and frightened by our modern ways and customs. More specifically, Biden is confused and frightened by the ways and customs of his Party’s modern-day voter base, pretty much all of which lies to the left of Fidel Castro and, where abortion is concerned, Margaret Sanger.

Not surprisingly at all, Biden got all caught up in abortion politics this week, and the outcome destroyed the entire rationale for his candidacy to begin with. Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, wanted all abortions to be legal as a means of controlling America’s black population. Today’s Democrat Party voter base fully endorses Sanger’s beliefs – abortions kill a far higher percentage of African American babies than those of any other segment of U.S. society – but takes it a step farther, to allowing babies born alive after attempted abortions to be left on a table to die.

This is what Democrat politicians refer to as a woman’s right to “healthcare.”  You betcha.

Biden, a life-long practicing Catholic, has always supported the Hyde Amendment, a policy which prevents Americans of actual religious faith from having to pay for abortions through their tax dollars. That is, until this week, when the subject was raised. When Biden reasserted his Hyde support, the SJWs in the social media universe went berserk, and almost frightened the eldery man out of what little hair he has remaining.

Less than 24 hours later, Biden gave up, fully endorsing his party’s baby-killing at all costs ways.

Poof! No more reason for Creepy Uncle Joe to be in the race. If Biden’s going to be just another Commie, baby-killing hack, why, the rest of the field is filled to the gills with younger, more attractive, more female and more minority versions of that.

So, again, as I’ve said all along, Biden will not be the nominee. His polling lead will have evaporated by October – really, by September at this rate – and he will leave the race shortly after he fails to win Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina. Which means March. He is this cycle’s Jeb!, but he just hasn’t realized it yet.

Elsewhere in the race, things remained pretty static. Bernie the Commie remains ensconced in second place in every poll, though his numbers keep slowly declining as the numbers for Fauxcahontas keep creeping up. Every Democrat nominating race is always won by the best liar, and little Lieawatha was just born to lie. So she is now firmly in third place with a slow-moving bullet.

Kamala Harris is going nowhere fast, and seems to have no idea of how to change that dynamic. She is just a very poor candidate, which is not surprising given the unseemly manner in which she advanced herself to the Senate in the first place. Mayor Pete has also stagnated after having received tens of millions in free media from our fake news outlets, and may have reached the peak of his popularity already. Irish Bob O’Rourke, fresh off of his utterly-failed effort to reboot his campaign, is simply dead in the water.

In fact, the entire field has stagnated at this point, as the fake news media flails about trying to decide which of them will be promoted next, and I suspect that will remain the state of play until the debates begin in a few weeks.

Here is a prediction I will make when that season comes around: The only actually interesting candidate in the race, Tulsi Gabbard, will really stand out on the debate stage. She will then likely become the media’s next “rising star” obsession.

What do I mean by “interesting candidate”? I mean that Gabbard, like Donald Trump in 2016, will stand out on a debate stage because she will be the only person on the stage saying what she truly believes, rather than just reciting a bunch of talking points scripted for her by other people. That was the real reason why Trump ended up becoming the GOP nominee, because most ordinary Americans are sick to death of watching politicians recite talking points. Like Trump, Gabbard tends to directly answer the questions posed to her, and does it in plain language most people can understand.

So, expect her to really stand out among the clutter of political hackery that will surround her on that debate stage. As a woman and minority, Gabbard also has some of the identity politics attributes valued by shallow Democrat voters. She is not, however, a particularly good liar, so while she will likely get a boost out of the debates, she cannot become the eventual nominee.

I had previously thought that Andrew Yang might do similarly well in the debates, but he has completely succumbed to the bad advice from professional communications “experts.” So he sounds no different than Kirsten Gillibrand or Kamala Harris these days. Not a recipe for winning if you are, like Yang, an insurgent candidate looking to stand out in a crowd.

The only other candidate I’d expect to perhaps get a boost out of the early debates would be Texas’s Julian Castro, the only actual Hispanic candidate in the race. Castro is a very smart guy and a very polished speaker. But again, not an especially convincing liar, which will really harm him with Democrat voters.

So right now we are just kind of stuck in a holding pattern until the debates get started. That’s when things will really start to get interesting.

Here are my initial odds on the race, which I plan to update weekly:

Anyone Else – Even

Hillary Clinton – 5 to 1

Joe Biden – 100 to 1

Bernie the Commie – 20 to 1

Elizabeth Warren – 6 to 1

Kamala Harris – 12 to 1

Mayor Pete – 50 to 1

Irish Bob – 1,000 to 1

Spartacus – 20 to 1

Tulsi Gabbard – 50 to 1

Julian Castro – 50 to 1

Kirsten Gillibrand – 6 million to 1

Amy Klobuchar – 1,000 to 1

Bill DeBlasio – Infinity to 1

The rest of the declared field – 100 to 1

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Open post

The Real “Rising Stars” in the Democrat Nominating Battle

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

By now, we all know that Irish Bob O’Rourke is a fake “rising star” in this year’s Democrat presidential nominating contest. Irish Bob always was little more than a pure media creation, and he is now struggling on the national stage mainly because the same media that created and supported him in his 2018 run against Ted Cruz has now moved on to campaigning for Kamala Harris and The Commie.

But there are two real rising stars in the Democrats’ nominating battle, and their names will probably surprise you: Andrew Yang and Pete Buttigieg.

I talked about Yang and his insane plan to just cut a $1,000 monthly check to all American adults in Tuesday’s Campaign Update, but he’s worthy of further discussion, because he’s exactly the kind of candidate who could suddenly catch fire in this race, especially if he were to perform strongly in the first couple of debates this summer.

His personal story is very compelling, especially to younger Democrat voters: He’s a first-generation American in his family, the son of parents who legally immigrated from Taiwan. He’s young (44), he’s good-looking, he’s intelligent, he’s articulate, he does well on television, and he’s really good at sticking with his talking points and avoiding giving direct answers to questions, a talent Democrat voters really, really love.

The fact that he’s a businessman would enable Democrat voters to insincerely brag about not nominating their usual standard-issue politician, and the fact that he’s not an old white guy would definitely appeal to the Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez followers who believe old white men are responsible for all of their own failings in life. If he were a woman or a trans-gender, the Democrats would simply call off their primaries and nominate him by acclamation; but as it is, he ticks off an awful lot of the boxes one must tick off in order to attract the votes of the demented Democrat base.

Yang is not showing up in the polls yet, but as I noted on Tuesday, he has been attracting high turnouts for his events and he has already collected enough money from a large enough number of contributors to qualify for the first debate in June.

Bottom line: This is a very smart guy who is worth keeping an eye on.

Pete Buttigieg, the 37 year-old, publicly gay Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, is another very smart guy who deserves some attention in this race. Yeah, he’s a white male, but he’s not old, so he gets a pass from the AOC “blame everything on old white guys” crowd, which is a rapidly-growing segment of the Democrat base.

Here is another young, good-looking, intelligent and articulate guy who does extremely well on television. How well does he do on television? He spent 12 minutes this past Sunday morning being peppered with pretty tough questions by Fox News Sunday host Chris Wallace, and never missed a beat. Never once strayed from his preferred talking points, never hesitated to give an evasive non-answer to Wallace’s direct questions. The man has a very high degree of equanimity, which is going to come across your TV screens during the upcoming debates.

On top of all of his other attributes, Buttigieg is also a Rhodes Scholar, a Harvard graduate, and a commissioned Naval Intelligence Officer who spent seven months in 2014 serving his country in Afghanistan. I personally have no use for Harvard graduates, but Democrat voters think it’s all gnarly and stuff. From that perspective, it’s quite a resume’.

Buttigieg has also reportedly raised enough money from enough individual contributors to qualify for the early debates, and has also begun showing up in the polls, turning up with 3% support in this week’s Emerson poll. If he can perform as strongly in those early debates as he did on Sunday with Chris Wallace, this is a guy whose campaign could really catch fire.

To be clear, I don’t agree with either Yang or Buttigieg on anything from a political standpoint. Their policy proposals – packing the supreme court is Buttigieg’s favorite issue right now – are your standard-issue Democrat/socialist lunacy.

But just looking at their respective backgrounds and personal attributes, and doing so from the perspective of the demented Democrat voter base, these two guys seem the most likely to rise in the race as no-chance candidates like Gillibrand, Klobuchar, Booker and Warren inevitably drop out. One or both could really catch a wave and jump into the top tier by the time Iowa and New Hampshire come around next January.

It’s going to be a fun – and frightening – process to watch.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

The Democrat Party is Waging a Generational War

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

Turns out, one outright commie in the race is enough, even for Democrats. – New York City Mayor Bill “Meatless Mondays” DeBlasio thinks he is cut out to be our president, oh, he really does. So, he ventured up to New Hampshire to test the waters there yesterday, and boy was that a bad idea.

DeBlasio was the lead “attraction” for an event billed as a panel discussion about healthcare.  But it appears that no one in the Granite State much cares about healthcare, or getting up close and personal with Bill DeBlasio.

In total, just 20 people turned out for the event, which is really bad, but that becomes purely awful when you realize that 14 of the 20 people were sitting on the panel, with just six hearty souls serving as the “audience” for the event. Upon learning of the sad turnout, White House Counselor Kellyanne Conway hilariously tweeted that “There are more people than this in my house every night for dinner.”  Oof.

These Democrat debates are going to be a hoot. – Don’t look now, but some guy you probably never heard of named Andrew Yang is the new Big Thing among the Millennial social media crowd that is always looking for a handout. Yang is…well, he’s uh…ummm…he’s a “tech entrepreneur,” which generally means he became fabulously wealthy creating some business that appeals to Millennials. Now, he’s basing a presidential campaign on the same concept, which in Democrat politics means that he’s proposing to give away a lot of money to Millennials.

So, a standard issue Democrat.

Yang has differentiated himself from the “forgive student loans,” “green new deal,” and “medicare for all” crowd by proposing something even more craven, what he calls a “Freedom Dividend” that simply gives $1,000 per month to … wait for it…EVERYBODY. Yes, that’s right: He’s just going to have the federal government write a check for a grand to 335 million Americans each month. For those interested in arithmetic, that comes to $335 billion each month, right at $4 TRILLION every year for a government that’s already running a trillion dollar budget deficit.

I swear I don’t make this stuff up.  Who could?

When asked how he would pay for this latest Democrat money grab, Yang offers only a false analogy with Alaska: “What they are doing with oil money in Alaska, we can do for all of us around the country with advancing technology.”

Well, here’s what they do in Alaska: The Alaska government decades ago dedicated part of the money it collects from taxes and royalties from the state’s massive oil production (second in the U.S. only to Texas) and distributes an annual dividend to the state’s small number of citizens from the balance. But this is not a budget-busting handout – Alaska is able to do this only because it runs a significant budget SURPLUS almost every year thanks to its oil and gas industry. Indeed, the state’s constitution requires the budget to be balanced each year, unlike the federal government.

The amount of this annual payment varies with the health of the oil industry, which determines how much the state is able to collect in taxes and royalties. During the depths of the oil price bust a few years ago, the state had to suspend the dividend for one year because paying it out would have thrown its budget into a deficit situation.

Being a standard-issue Democrat, Yang’s proposal makes no such consideration. Other than his vague reference to somehow funding it with “advancing technology” – an idiotic message intended purely to deceive idiots – Yang never even mentions funding it within some budgetary constraint.

Like the dimwit Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez with her “Green New Deal” and Bernie Sanders with his “Medicare for All”, Yang’s plan is to simply have the Federal Reserve print the money every month and hand it out to everyone. The inevitable result of such a program would be a rapid devaluation of the currency and massive inflation, meaning that all you Baby Boomers who spent the last several decades carefully saving money and planning a modest retirement based on the expectations of semi-responsible government and fairly stable economy can all go back to work, presumably as greeters at all the rapidly-disappearing Wal-Mart stores.

A word of warning: Amazon does not need nor hire greeters.

Make no mistake about this: What the Democrat Party is engaged in right now, today, is an organized, conscious, generational war that pits Millennials vs. the Baby Boom generation. That Party has in recent years made the conscious decision to toss organized labor overboard in favor of illegal aliens, and tossed Jews overboard in favor of Islamists, based on the calculation of which group might bring them more future votes. The Democrats right now are in the process of tossing Baby Boomers and even Gen-Xers over the side in favor a larger and younger future voting bloc.

This is just the latest example of the reality that the Democrat Party’s overriding motivation is not to do what is best for all Americans, but the acquisition and maintenance of political power.

Andrew Yang is just the latest manifestation of this intentional political strategy by the Democrats, and it’s working for him. His event in San Francisco last Friday drew a crowd of 3,000, which is 2,994 more than Bill DeBlasio could come up with in New Hampshire, and 1,000 more than Irish Bob O’Rourke could attract to his competing border rally with President Trump in El Paso last month. In the past month alone, the San Francisco Chronicle reports that Yang raised $350,000 from 66,000 donors, which is enough to qualify him to participate in the Democrats’ upcoming first debate in June.

That debate is going to be little more than a competition to see which candidate can promise to print and throw away the most money America does not have on issues that Millennials care about. Because the Democrat Party is waging a generational war here, and everyone over the age of 40 is the enemy.

Wake up, people – this is deadly serious stuff.

That is all.

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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