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America’s History Teacher Provides A 12-Minute Master’s Course on Impeachment

Today’s Campaign Update – Guest Piece by Larry Schweikart
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

[Note: I have followed Larry Schweikart, American historian and retired professor of history at the University of Dayton, on social media for several years. After reading several threads he posted on his Twitter account (@LarrySchweikart) regarding the history of impeachment in the U.S. and as it related to our current situation, I reached out to him. He agreed to contribute this piece to help inform the loyal readers of Today’s Campaign Update. Larry is the co-author andauthor of several great books, including A Patriot’s History of the United States and his latest, REAGAN: The American President.

Trust me, after you read this, you will know more about impeachment than 99% of the U.S. population.]

 

The Essentials of Impeachment. (It’s more than you think!)

There is a lot of talk about “impeachment” out there, most of it uninformed. Impeachment can (and in most cases historically, did) involve judges as well as a president. Indeed, since 1803, there have been 63 impeachment proceedings, and only two involved presidents—Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton.

The Constitution provides for the removal of judges (who generally have lifetime appointments) and U.S. presidents for “high crimes and misdemeanors.” What are those? Well, realistically, it is whatever the House of Representatives says it is. The House alone is charged by the Constitution with defining behavior that rises to the level of “high crimes and misdemeanors.” And it can be anything. Literally, anything that a majority of the House votes for can be a “high crime or misdemeanor.” Spitting on the sidewalk. Using “he” when talking to a “she” transgenderist. You get the picture. The Constitution did not define the terms. In the case of the 61 judges impeached, all had actually committed real crimes ranging form bribery to jury tampering to conflict of interest violations.

Under the Constitution, the House must pass articles of impeachment, which are the charges against said judges or presidents. Once articles of impeachment pass the House, they are sent to the U.S. Senate for a trial. A notice must be sent to the person charged, and there are a few other formal steps that must be taken, but shortly the Senate receives the articles of impeachment. Following a trial—more on that later—the Senate acquits or convicts but conviction must be by a 2/3rds vote (in today’s case, 67 votes to convict, or a very high bar). The past two impeachments have lasted three and four months respectively from passage of the articles to acquittals.

Let’s first look at some judicial impeachments. The following judges were impeached:

*John Pickering (1803)

**West Humphreys (1862)

*Robert Archbald (1912)

*Halsted Ritter (1933)

*Harry Claiborne (1983)

*Alcee Hastings (1989)

*Walter Nixon (1989) Nixon was removed, and he appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court, which rejected his appeal as a non-justicable political question.

*Thomas Porteous, Jr. (2010)

In addition to those convicted by the senate and removed, 16 judges who were being investigated resigned, and 2 died in the process of the proceedings. One (Agilar) had his conviction overturned.

Moving to the impeachments of U.S. presidents, the first, in March 1868, was by a Republican House (dominated by the so-called “Radicals”) contended with Lincoln’s vice president, Andrew Johnson . . . who was a Democrat. Lincoln thought he would not win reelection, and brought in Johnson to draw Democrat votes. After Lincoln’s assassination, the hated Johnson became president. He completely opposed the Radicals’ Reconstruction plans, and used his legal, Constitutional authority to obstruct them. The Republican Congress overrode two Johnson vetoes on the Reconstruction Acts.

Rather than trying to accommodate the Republican Congress, the belligerent Johnson fought it. He was looking for a confrontation, and got it. The issue involved the Reconstruction Acts, which placed Union generals in charge of five Southern districts. Johnson sought to replace Radical generals governing the South with more pliable or friendly men. Congress countermoved by passing the Tenure of Office Act requiring the president to get the approval of the Senate before removing a general. Johnson flagrantly fired Edwin Stanton, a Radical favorite, to bring about a constitutional test. (In fact, he should have filed a court challenge and let the Supreme Court decide it).

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[Note: Email Larry Schweikart at larry@wildworldofhistory.com and he will provide you with a free Reagan webinar and an Excellence in Business webinar.]

The House filed 11 articles of impeachment. The only serious article of the 11 (which included several “conspiracy” claims) was the final article, 11, which literally accused Johnson of “bringing disgrace and ridicule to the presidency.” (One could suggest at least one recent president had done that, repeatedly!). Keep in mind it is the House’s duty—and only the House’s duty—to define the “high crimes and misdemeanors.” The Senate is charged by the Constitution only in determining guilt or innocence, not again weighing in on whether the actions rise to the level of “impeachability.” Still, as we will see, in both U.S. presidential impeachments, the Senate ran well outside its Constitutional authority.

In the Johnson trial, the Senate failed to convict by a single vote of reaching the necessary 2/3rds (35-19) with one of the key senators later being praised in John F. Kennedy’s book, Profiles in Courage. That would be the junior senator from KS, Edmund Ross. Ross and others determined that the charges did not rise to the level of impeachment. Well, in this case they did—Johnson had clearly violated the law—but the Senators did not think it was good for the Republic to convict Johnson. Thus the Senate defied the Constitution, but probably did the “right” thing.

When Richard Nixon was under investigation in 1974, he almost certainly was facing impeachment (for the right reasons) but he resigned before an impeachment vote was held.

In the 1990s, Bill Clinton was accused by a special counsel of committing perjury, coaching a witness, submitting a false statement, and obstruction of justice. Eventually, the House passed two articles of impeachment (perjury, 228-2016) and obstruction (221-212). The Senate then took up the trial. Two weeks into the Senate trial, Senator Robert Byrd of West Virginia introduced a motion to dismiss. This motion only failed by seven votes—despite overwhelming evidence of Clinton’s guilt. Once again, the Senate did not do its Constitutional duty, again wading into issues of questioning whether the charges rose to the level of impeachability. Clinton was acquitted. As one Democratic staffer told the Republican “prosecutors” from the House, “there wouldn’t be 67 votes to convict if they had found a dead body in the Oval Office.”

So where does this put us today? First, there is a question of whether or not Speaker Nancy Pelosi has the votes. I submit she doesn’t or she would file for an impeachment vote right away, not an “investigation.” That makes news, but it is not an impeachment vote.

But say she does find the votes and the House impeaches President Donald Trump. Next up is a Senate trial. As in 1999, the Senate “could” entertain a motion to dismiss without a trial. I do not think this is out of the realm of possibility. Such a motion needs only 50 votes, and Mike Pence can break a tie.

My current math—based on no inside info whatsoever—suggests Trump has 34 hard acquittal votes already (meaning he is already out of the woods), with another 10 “squishy” Republicans who will see which way the wind blows before voting. That brings us to 44, or just six short of dismissal. Out of the remaining GOP senators, while I could see some balking at an outright dismissal, I only see perhaps two defecting to convict—Mitt Romney and maybe Mike Lee. Many of the Senators are in tight races in 2020, and they simply cannot risk having the whole GOP base stay home, which is exactly what would happen if they voted to convict.

Now, don’t get me wrong: I think stories that “30 GOP Senators would convict Trump” are true if you take the voters out of it. Of course these toads want to get Trump out. He has overturned the entire apple cart. But in a public vote? No. Trump will come close to 50 acquittals and needs only 37. If the charges, though, are extremely frivolous, the Senate may indeed dismiss outright.

Finally, there is a wild card: Ruth Bader Ginsberg. The Democrats want to argue that if RBG dies during impeachment proceedings, that “no president under impeachment should be allowed to appoint a Supreme Court justice.”

This is a massive problem in timing for the Democrats. After all, Ginsburg isn’t cooperating by giving them a date for her demise! If they rush ahead with impeachment and it’s over in four months ending in an acquittal—and Ginsburg is still alive!—then they have lost their “can’t replace” card. But if they wait until Ginsburg cooperates, which might not be in 2020 at all, they stand a chance of losing their impeachment card. Decisions, decisions!

You can find this and lots of other ongoing political and historical analysis, as well as just fun historical columns on music, culture and other topics, at the Wild World of History.com. Some is free, but my new “1620 Default” series—arguing that American Exceptionalism dates from 1620 and the arrival of the Pilgrims, not from the Virginia colony in 1607. Look for the “VIP section.”

Larry Schweikart, Ph.D.

Author, Reagan: The American President and co-author, A Patriot’s History of the United States with Michael Allen.

That is all.

 

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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America’s Second Civil War is Three Years Old

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The whole strategy revolves around wearing you down. – Americans who inhabit what the coastal elites condescendingly refer to “flyover country,” that vast center of the nation that turned into a sea of red on Election Day 2016 to elect Donald Trump to the presidency, are being forced to make a choice when it comes to their President. The relentless, neverending coup efforts being led by the Obama-loyal Deep State are designed to force you ultimately get to the point where you will throw up your hands and say ‘go ahead, get rid of Trump, just give me some peace.’

Image result for county by county election map 2016

Our nation today is in a different kind of Civil War, one that began in July, 2016 when James Comey’s FBI coordinated with John Brennan’s CIA to mount a spying and entrapment effort against the Trump Campaign. It is a war of attrition, a war built on the relentless pushing of Big Lie after Big Lie after Big Lie.

It is a war being mounted by squeamish, disloyal Republicans, the entirety of the Democrat Party, vast pockets of treasonous corruption within the Justice Department, the FBI and the Intelligence Community, 95% of the nation’s news media and about the same percentage of the entertainment industry. The war is supported by most of our institutions of higher “learning” and even filters down into our public schools.

It is a war on our senses, a war on our stamina, a war on our minds and a war on our children and grandchildren. It is a war in which we now cannot watch an episode of a sitcom or a crime drama without being assaulted with anti-Trump messages that insult us and our intelligence. It is a war in which we cannot wear a red cap or put a bumper sticker on our car expressing the desire to keep our country great without fear of being assaulted on the street or in a restaurant.

It is a war in which the simple fact of being white and male, or African American and conservative makes you a potential target of publicly-condoned derision and personal peril. It is a war in which you can lose your business or job if you don’t refer to a man wearing gaudy make-up and a dress as “ma’am.” It is a war in which giant social media monopolies are allowed to discriminate against you if their 100%-leftist staff do not approve of your thoughts and words.

It is a war in which associates of President Trump have their homes broken into in the middle of the night, are perp-walked before CNN’s cameras and held in solitary confinement while awaiting trial on charges that the DOJ investigated and refused to prosecute years before. It is a war in which enemies of President Trump can have multiple criminal referrals levied against them by the Inspector General and walk away scot free to lucrative book deals and six-figure “contributor” contracts with leftist fake news cable channels.

It is a war in which elected members of congress willingly do everything they can to prevent a duly-elected President and his administration from being able to conduct the nation’s foreign policy. It is a war in which the nation was held captive for three years by a “Russia Collusion” narrative tirelessly pushed by the fake news media and investigated by multiple congressional committees and a “special counsel” who conducted himself like the head of the American Gestapo. It is a war in which the special counsel’s report fully exonerates the President of any wrongdoing, only to have the Democrats and the fake news media double down on the Big Lie and pretend that it convicted him.

It is a war in which the Intelligence Community is now coordinating with the Democrats, the media and the entertainment industry in the next Big Lie, this one having to do with a phone call between the President and his peer in Ukraine. Even though it is now transparently obvious that this is just another Big Lie, we can count on the Democrat/media complex of propaganda to double down on their latest false narrative.

We can expect them to do that because the strategy here is not to have you actually believe any of the nonsense they’re pushing. The strategy is simply to wear you down, to ultimately make you bend the knee and give up on this silly quest to keep America a great and independent nation.

When this latest coup/impeachment effort crashes and burns in spectacular fashion, we can expect the forces aligned against Trump and his supporters to simply make up another false narrative and keep the coup going.

The same thing is happening right now in Britain, where Boris Johnson, the Prime Minister elected to complete the Brexit effort the voters approved three long years ago, is under a similar relentless assault by that country’s deep state, disloyal lawmakers and fake news media. As I wrote in one of the earliest Campaign Updates way back in 2016, Brexit and Trump are essentially the same political movement, a movement that pits those who love their country and want it to remain a strong, independent nation against the forces of globalism and one-world-government.

The Brits who support Brexit have held firm through all that time and grown stronger. Trump’s base of support has also held firm and grown larger. That base has remained unshakable not because they necessarily approve of every aspect of Trump’s personal behavior, but because they understand what is at stake here, and whose side Trump is on.

Because at the end of the day in this tiresome Civil War, Trump is on the side of Americans and America. I don’t know about the rest of you, but they won’t ever wear me down.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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We Appear to be in the Midst of a Second IC-led Coup Attempt

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

It now appears certain that the Intelligence Community is attempting to take down a duly elected POTUS for a second time in three years. – Sean Davis at The Federalist reported late Friday afternoon that, at some undetermined point in August, the Office of National Intelligence secretly implemented a change to its “whistleblower” policy that eliminates the requirement that a person must possess first-hand information of wrongdoing in order to have a whistleblower complaint expedited through the process:

The brand new version of the whistleblower complaint form, which was not made public until after the transcript of Trump’s July 25 phone call with the Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky and the complaint addressed to Congress were made public, eliminates the first-hand knowledge requirement and allows employees to file whistleblower complaints even if they have zero direct knowledge of underlying evidence and only “heard about [wrongdoing] from others.”

The internal properties of the newly revised “Disclosure of Urgent Concern” form, which the intelligence community inspector general (ICIG) requires to be submitted under the Intelligence Community Whistleblower Protection Act (ICWPA), show that the document was uploaded on September 24, 2019, at 4:25 p.m., just days before the anti-Trump complaint was declassified and released to the public. The markings on the document state that it was revised in August 2019, but no specific date of revision is disclosed.

The timing of this, given the second-hand hearsay nature of the fake “whistleblower” complaint that led directly to the Democrats’ impeachment effort this week, is too convenient to be mere coincidence. It is key to remember that former DNI Dan Coats and his Deputy, Sue Gordon, both left their jobs involuntarily on August 15, three days after the fake whistleblower complaint was formally filed.

We do not yet know whether this secret change in requirements was made before, on or after that date, but the answer to that question will be extremely revealing. Many have been wondering why it is that this complaint has been even allowed to move forward, given that the fake “whistleblower” admits he has no real first-hand information about any alleged wrongdoing by President Trump or anyone else.

Now we know.

The possession of first-hand knowledge has always been a crucial part of all federal whistleblower statutes, in part as a means of preventing this exact sort of hearsay-based complaint becoming the norm, and being used as a way to settle political grudges.

So, just a few months after the Intelligence Community’s first coup attempt against President Trump failed with the crashing and burning of the Mueller Report, it now seems certain that the IC is coordinating fully with Nancy Pelosi and House Democrats in mounting a second effort, using essentially the same playbook. Level a false charge, invent a legend around that charge, coordinate talking points with the fake news media, double-down every time the facts fail to support the legend.

Meanwhile, as treasonous snakes mount this second coup attempt on his own watch, Attorney General William Barr is probably keeping himself locked in a safe room at his home, practicing his bagpipes. People should be getting rounded up and flown down to Gitmo, but all we get from our Department of [No] Justice is crickets.

God Bless President Trump for having the courage to continue fighting while everyone else around him scurries for cover.

That is all.

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Congress is a Plague of Liars, Skunks and Eunuchs

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

One problem with the testimony of Acting DNI Joseph Maguire. – Joseph Maguire generally did quite well in refuting the Democrats’ phony scandal-mongering, and made it very clear that he followed the letter of the law throughout the process of reviewing the fake whistleblower complaint he with which was confronted.

Just one problem, though: At several points in response to questions from both Republicans and Democrats, Maguire claimed he was “certain” that the leaks to the press related to the whistleblower situation did not come from “anyone in the IC (Intel Community).” Sorry, but that simply cannot be a true statement. There is no way on earth he or anyone else can be certain that no one in the IC leaked this information or caused it to be leaked, especially now that we know that the fake whistleblower is in fact a CIA agent, which means that some if not all of the people feeding him the largely-false information contained in his complaint were also employees of CIA or other IC agencies.

Granted, we also now know that Bug-Eyed Adam Schiff has had this complaint in his grubby paws since August, so it there can be no doubt that he and his staff have done at least some of the leaking. That’s what those despicable cretins do, after all. But there is simply no way Maguire can possibly be certain that zero leaks of this highly-classified information came from anyone in the IC. He should be forced by the Committee and frankly by the President to revise those remarks for the record.

Yesterday’s revelation about the fake whistleblower’s identity proves conclusively that President Trump has been right yet again with his ongoing complaints that he and his staff continue to be spied upon by the CIA and other IC agencies. At the very least, he should eliminate the ability of anyone from the IC to listen in on his calls with other world leaders. His ability – and the ability of all future presidents – to hold such calls in the future has already been irreparably harmed by the Democrats’ disgraceful behavior over this phony complaint. Getting the spooks off the calls might help to repair at least some of the damage done.

Trump also needs to find a replacement for CIA Director Gina Haspel. Obviously, she’s a worthless hack who, like FBI Director Christopher Wray, has done nothing to clean up her agency and its illegal spying activities. In a perfect world, both agencies would be broken into a million pieces and scattered to the winds, as John F. Kennedy famously threatened to do to the CIA after the Bay of Pigs fiasco 58 years ago. Of course, JFK was conveniently assassinated just two years later, and the CIA’s problem was solved.

The truth about those two agencies is that both have been utterly corrupt institutions since the day of their founding, and that corruption was taken to new heights during the Obama years, culminating in a coordinated effort to spy on an American presidential campaign and then to mount a coup d’etat when their preferred candidate failed to win.

This fake whistleblower complaint by a reported Obama loyalist exists due to the failure to mount any real effort to clean the evil minions out of the CIA. That, of course, is due to the fact that anyone President Trump can get confirmed by the Senate must first be approved by the Senate Intelligence Committee led by deep state skunk Republican Richard Burr of North Carolina. Haspel, a loyal lieutenant to John Brennan during the Obama years, is in that job now because she could be confirmed. Coincidentally, Mr. Maguire is in his job rather than Texas Rep. John Ratcliffe – Trump’s first choice – because Burr gave his nod of approval to Maguire after promising to block Ratcliffe.

Wray is in his job for the same reason.  Are you seeing a pattern here?

The reality here is that the IC remains a collection of corrupt institutions who spy on their own citizens and even their own President not because of Democrats, but because of compromised/corrupt Republican senators like Burr who remain loyal to the deep state instead of the American people.

Damn them all to hell.

About that Adam Schiff soliloquy to start the hearing… – Many Republicans are whining and moaning this morning about Schiff and his statement to begin the hearing in which he completely fabricated what was said on the call between President Trump and Ukraine President Zelensky. Yes, it was despicable, yes it was just another in a long line of treasonous acts by a treasonous Democrat, but why would we expect anything else?

And while we’re all whining and moaning about the fact that the Democrat-toady TV channels are all simply playing Schiff’s latest fabrications without critical comment, why aren’t we demanding to know why not one of the Republicans in that room spoke up and objected while he was doing it?

Devin Nunes, normally a stellar guy, was sitting 6 inches from Schiff throughout that false statement. At least 7 other Republican members of the committee were sitting there as well. Why didn’t any one of them have the presence of mind to raise an objection with the Chair, calling him out for literally making sh*t up? Indeed, Nunes didn’t even say a word about it when he, as the Ranking Member, was the first Republican to question the witness. We were half an hour into the damn hearing before one Republican, Mike Turner of Ohio, finally had the presence of mind to berate Schiff for his act of outright mendacity.

Thus, the reason why your fake news media has that squeaky-clean, uninterrupted video of Schiff making his false statement to brainwash the masses with this morning is that the GOP members of that committee were all sitting there like a bunch of damn eunuchs while he was doing it.

Good lord.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Mitt Romney’s Plan for Becoming the 2020 GOP Nominee is on Schedule

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The short attention span in today’s U.S. society never ceases to amaze. – No one should be surprised – although many seem to be – about RINO skunk Mitt Romney’s support of the Democrats’ impeachment effort against President Donald Trump. This opportunity is, after all, the very reason why Romney decided to run for that Utah senate seat at the urging of Bill Kristol and the NeverTrump Nitwit Army, which currently consists of about 15 people and Kristol’s pet cat, Mr. Bigglesworth. Perhaps we should call it the NeverTrump Nitwit Squad instead.

But I digress. It is important for everyone to remember how and why Romney was recruited to run for this seat in the first place, and the motives behind it. He joined the race at a point in time when things looked bleak – at least on the surface, which is the only place these shallow people are capable of observing – for President Trump. Remember that early in 2018 the conventional “wisdom” inside the Beltway was that Special Counsel Robert Mueller had Trump dead to rights, and his ultimate report would provide a devastating “roadmap to impeachment” for the Democrats, who were on their way to winning a majority in the House of Representatives.

Romney was recruited during that time by the NeverTrump Nitwit Squad to win a spot in the GOP-dominated U.S. Senate. From that position, Romney could then work behind the scenes to recruit other RINOs in the caucus to ultimately support removing the President from office when the House sends over its Articles of Impeachment. Once Trump had been successfully removed, Romney would then be in a prime position as a sitting senator and former GOP reliable loser presidential nominee, to become the white knight to take up the GOP’s presidential nomination and reliably lose a second time.

Make no mistake about this: The NeverTrumpers do not want a Republican president in office, and if they must be saddled with a Republican POTUS, they simply must have a reliable DC establishment hack like Romney sitting behind the Resolute Desk. These people have always been a bunch of squeamish, haughty losers who prefer to be in the minority.

From that position, they can sit back and cling to their ideological purity, and never have to worry about actually doing what it takes to win on issues. These people are pantywaists at heart and have no stomach for fighting a real political fight on behalf of any segment of the American people.

All of which explains the real reason why they so detest Trump: Because he fights. He fights with every means he has at his disposal on behalf of the American people. Even worse in the eyes of the Kristols of the world, in the process of fighting, Trump exposes the DC political hacks and nest featherers. That strikes far too close to home for the NeverTrump Nitwit Squad and makes Mr. Bigglesworth nervous.

They are right now absolutely enraged at Trump for exposing Joe Biden and his ne’er-do-well son Hunter’s efforts to feather their own nests while Biden served as VEEP. Why? Because these NeverTrumpers all aspire to become parties to such schemes, not to expose them. That’s the DC Insider way of life, after all.

So, what we are seeing play out  right now before our very eyes is in fact the NeverTrump plan, the very reason why Mitt Romney was recruited to run for the Senate in the first place. This plan has been blatantly transparent since the day of its conception.

Anyone who is surprised in any way by Romney’s mendacity just hasn’t been paying attention.

That is all.

[Clarification: Because so many have asked, I thought it important that I clarify that I do not believe the NeverTrump/Romney plan will be successful. Much to the contrary: I believe it will fail and fail spectacularly as Donald Trump becomes the nominee and wins a resounding re-election victory, most likely over Fauxcahontas, as I wrote this morning. I am just laying out the NeverTrump/Romney plan in this piece, and the fact that Romney is simply in the process of playing it out.

Also, I do not expect Romney to enter the primary race for the presidency. My bet is that he and the NeverTrumpers are coordinating with Pelosi/Schiff/Nadler to draw the impeachment process in the House out until late in the primary season – think next April – before sending it over to the Senate. The Senate process would then take until at least June or even July. Their hope is that Trump is removed by the Senate just weeks before the GOP National Convention, where Romney would become the “savior” of the Party.

Again, not saying it will succeed, just laying out the plan.]

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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The Biden Lead is Crashing Like the 1929 Stock Market

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.

As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.

Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?

The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.

That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.

Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:

Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.

Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.

The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.

–  Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they  might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.

Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.

The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.

All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.

This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.

Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:

Fauxcahontas – Even money

Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1

Biden – 5 to 1

The Commie – 20 to 1

Preacher Pete – 50 to 1

Kamala – 50 to 1

The Field – 100  to 1

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Boom: The Crowdstrike Ruse Comes Back to Haunt the Democrats

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

The transcript of the call between President Trump and Ukrainian President Volodomyr Zelensky is out, and now we know why the Democrats are really in such a panic here. – You can read the transcript for yourself at this link.

First, the key takeaway here is that there is clearly, unarguably ZERO quid pro quo in anything President Trump says on this call. NONE. ZERO. ZIP. NADA. And no amount of deception on the part of our fake news media can change that immutable fact.  Here is exactly what the President said as it relates to Biden and his ne’er-do-well son, Hunter:

“I heard you had a prosecutor who very good and he was shut down and that’s really unfair. A lot of people are talking about that, the way they shut your very good prosecutor down and there were some very bad people involved. Mr Giuliani is a highly respected man. He was the Mayor of New York City, a great Mayor, and I would like him to call you. I will ask him to call you along with the Attorney General. If you could speak to him that would be great. The former ambassador from the United States, the woman, was bad news and the people she was dealing with in the Ukraine were bad news so I just wanted to let you know that.  The other thing, there’s a lot of talk about Biden’s son, that Biden stopped the prosecution, and a lot of people want to find out about that so whatever you can do with the Attorney General would be great. Biden went around bragging that he stopped the prosecution so if you can look into it…it sounds horrible to me.”

That’s it. That is the only mention of anyone named “Biden.” There is no “there” there. Period

Here is the passage that really has the Democrats in their current panicked frenzy:

“I would like for you to do us a favor though because our country has been through a lot and Ukraine knows a lot about it. I would like you to find out what happened with this whole situation with Ukraine, they say “Crowdstrike”...I guess you have one of your wealthy people…the server, they say Ukraine has it. There are a lot of things that went on, the whole situation. I think you are surrounding yourself with some of the same people. I would like to have the Attorney General call you or your people and I would like you to get to the bottom of it. As you saw yesterday, that whole thing ended with a very bad performance by a man named Robert Mueller, an incompetent performance. But they say a lot of it started with Ukraine.”

Boom. Holy cow, this is dynamite. This is the trap into which the Democrats, in their mass insane hatred of President Trump, have fallen into.

Crowdstrike, of course, is the cyber security firm that supposedly did a forensic examination in the summer of 2016 of the DNC’s email server and certified to the FBI that it had been hacked. If you remember, the FBI under bad cop James Comey allowed the DNC to get away with that ruse, and never examined or came into possession of that server directly. Crowdstrike was in fact never required by the FBI to even produce an un-redacted copy of the server, nor was it ever required to produce an actual forensic report of its examination.

The reference to the “server” and the contention that Ukraine is in possession of a copy of its contents is what has the Democrats scrambling around to deflect attention today. This is the trap into which they have fallen – thanks to  their demands that President Trump produce this transcript, we now have millions of Americans reading this, wondering what in the hell is this “Crowdsrike”, and about to find out.

Even more panicking to the Democrats is the revelation that Zelensky agreed to discuss this matter not just with Rudy Giuliani, but also with Attorney General William Barr, who we know is conducting his own investigation into all the Obama-era wrongdoing at the FBI and within the Department of Justice.

Before today, the Democrats had believed they had gotten clean way with that Crowdstrike ruse, thanks to Comey’s happy cooperation.

Today, they are panicked like they have never been before.

Couldn’t happen to a nicer bunch of people.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Pelosi’s “Official” Fake Impeachment Inquiry Threatens The Country’s Survival

Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“It’s really a sad day for our country. I feel very sad right now.” – Nancy Pelosi

Oh, yeah, it really is a sad day for our country, San Fran Nan. – The saddest part of all of it is that many of us have known all along that the deranged, despicable, depraved Democrats would take the country down this road sooner or later since the day after Donald J. Trump was elected to the presidency. Every step the Democrat Party has taken, from the creation and funding of Antifa, to the efforts to entrap and frame a sitting President of the United States, to the Mueller Witch Hunt, to the Congressional Clown Circus led by Jabaa the Nadler and Bug Eyes Schiff, has obviously and overtly been designed to lead to yesterday’s crowning moment of shame.

We all knew the depraved Democrat Party would take the nation to this sorry point sooner or later, even though it has still never been able to find any actual legal basis for doing so. We knew this would happen because the Democrat Party no longer has any interest in governing under our constitutional republican system of government, and only cares about the acquisition and maintenance of political power.

This reality has been the case since at least 1992, but has never been rendered more nakedly obvious than it has since the Democrats and San Fran Nan assumed power in the House of Representatives on January 1 of this year. The Judiciary and Intelligence committees chaired by Nadler and Schiff, along with the Oversight committee chaired by the equally depraved Elijah Cummings, have yet to spend a moment of time on any real work for the public interest during the first 9 months of this year, instead maintaining a myopic focus on dummying up some pretense – any old pretense would do – to move towards impeachment of the President.

But here’s the funniest part of yesterday’s antics by Pelosi: Despite all the weasel words she spoke in her statement late in the afternoon, nothing real changed. Pelosi said this:

Image

The only problem here is that an “official impeachment inquiry” has no meaning under the constitution and the law. Pelosi knows that, which is why she used those specific words, and made no reference to mounting a formal impeachment inquiry via a vote of the full House, which would have some meaning under the law.

See, the speaker of the house has no power whatsoever to unilaterally declare a formal impeachment inquiry. None. Doing that requires a majority vote of the entire body of the House. That would mean San Fran Nan would have to somehow cobble together 217 actual, recorded “yes” votes on the floor of the House.

Given that the Democrats currently control 235 seats to 198 (2 seats are vacant) for the Republicans, one might think getting to a simple majority would be an easy task for the doddering, stammering Speaker. But one would be surprised for holding that thought.

Pelosi’s big problem in all of this is that she has 35 or so members who managed to steal districts in the 2018 elections normally held by Republicans. Few if any of those folks, who would like to get re-elected in those same districts next year and been working hard to fool their constituents into believing they are “moderates,” are willing to go on the record as formally supporting a formal impeachment inquiry targeting a Republican president when there are no real grounds for going down that radical road.

So, just as with everything else she and her fellow Democrats do, yesterday’s theatrics by Pelosi were just that: Theater. Dishonest theater. Nothing real will change – those committees will just keep doing what they’ve been doing all year.

The only thing that will change will be the talking points parroted by the Democrat toady media, which will henceforth parrot the words “official impeachment inquiry,” peppering them into every report they make. This is how the mass public brainwashing process works – repetition of key messages is crucial. Goebbels and his fellow Nazis called it the “big lie.”

If you don’t believe that’s what the Democrats are doing here, read this morning’s piece in Politico titled “Vulnerable Democrats fear impeachment messaging stumbles” and count the number of times Democrat members quoted in the piece focus on “messages.” In that 600 or so word piece, I count 15 references to “messages,” “messaging,” “talking points,” or some other iteration of those words. It’s pretty much all they talk about.

The Democrats are very desperate here, because their mass brainwashing efforts keep failing. As of yesterday, President Trump’s public approval rating in the Rasmussen survey stood at 53%, a two-year high and fully 6 points higher than the rating received by Barack Hussein Obama at the same point in his presidency 8 years ago. Trump’s standing in the RealClearPolitics average, which includes all the fake polls created by media outlets purely to drive fake news stories, stands at 45.1%, also a two-year high.

The truth is that Donald Trump is a very popular president when compared to his immediate predecessors in office, Obama and George W. Bush, and his base of support, which represents over 40% of the nation, is steadfastly loyal. Making matters even more desperate for the Democrat “leadership,” such as it exists, is the fact that all the Marxist/fascist promises made by the radicals running for their presidential nomination are backfiring, especially in those swing congressional districts.

The President is going to release the transcript of his call with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky today, along with the complaint by the Democrats’ fake “whistleblower,” an Obama loyalist who has no first-hand knowledge of that conversation. That fake whistleblower will also testify before Bug Eyes and his committee in the coming days.

The transcript will no doubt prove the President said nothing wrong, but the fake media and their Democrat masters will do everything they can to spin it otherwise, or even better, to claim the transcript has been somehow “doctored.” Despicable media hacks at MSNBC and CNN were laying the groundwork for those tactics yesterday.

Make no mistake about this: Regardless of the ongoing brainwashing efforts by the Democrat/Media propaganda complex, if the Democrats move down this road and end up holding a successful impeachment vote in the House, Democrats in those swing districts will pretty much all lose their re-election bids. Any Republican who joins an effort to remove the President via a 2/3rds vote in the Senate will be writing the end to his or her political career, and possibly to the GOP itself. There will be no forgiveness for such a despicable act of sedition, nor should there be.

Finally, should the Senate end up removing the President from office absent any real grounds for doing so, then the social contract between the public and the entire ruling class, already hanging on by a mere thread, will have been completely severed. If that sad day should come to pass, all bets for our nation’s survival in its current form will be off.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

Open post

Why the Deranged Democrats Are Moving on Impeachment Now

Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

So, why are the lunatic Democrats doing all of this fake impeachment stuff now? – Think about these consequences of the media’s being able to focus on nothing but all-impeachment all the time in the coming months:

Jeffrey Epstein very suspicious death: Completely out of the news cycle.

Major Democrat donor Ed Buck’s running a drug and sex ring from his home: Completely out of the news cycle.

Insane proposals from all the Marxists running for the Democrat presidential nomination: Completely out of the news cycle.

Pending indictments of Andrew McCabe: Completely out of the news cycle.

Pending FISA report from IG Michael Horowitz: Completely out of the news cycle.

Booming Trump economy: Completely out of the news cycle.

Those are just the near-term outcomes. Here are some longer-term considerations:

Ruth Bader Ginsburg has to leave the Supreme Court for health reasons: Media/Democrats will scream that no president under impeachment investigation should be allowed to nominate anyone to the Supreme Court.

Hamper other Trump court nominations: Media/Democrats will attempt to tie up Senate Judiciary Committee time with fake impeachment business.

Hamper Trump trade deals: Pelosi will use impeachment as an excuse to refuse to consider voting to approve the U.S. Mexico Canada Trade Deal. She and Schumer will also attempt to overwhelm the White House with impeachment-related demands, thus hampering Trump’s ongoing efforts to secure major additional trade deals with China, Great Britain and India.

What we are witnessing this week is nothing short of a Democrat Party/Media-led Civil War on the executive branch and middle America. It’s not a shooting war, yet, but you should not think for a minute that these deranged, power-mad people would stop short of taking us into one if they believe it will help them obtain and maintain political power.

That’s all they care about, at long last.

That is all.

 

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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