Today’s Campaign Update, Part II (Because the Campaign Never Ends)
Tuesday evening’s Coronavirus Task Force update was especially compelling in many ways. It was a very somber event, during which President Donald Trump, Vice President and Task Force leader Mike Pence and doctors Deborah Birx and Anthony Fauci informed the nation about the reasons behind their current messaging that America should expect somewhere between 100,000 and 200,000 people to die from the Wuhan Virus, COVID-19.
It went on for more than 2 hours, as the single most accessible President in modern U.S. history and the Task Force members addressed every question the corrupt press corps wanted to ask. At the end, the President told the reporters that “it was an honor to be here with you today” and it seemed as if he actually meant it.
We watched every moment of it in our home, and felt like it had been an honor to do so. Here is a list of some of the more interesting aspects of the event:
– The press corps was actually fairly well-behaved. – Someone had obviously dressed down both Jim Acosta and Yamichi Alcindor, the two most idiotic and preening members of the White House press corps. Both were chastened and both asked questions that were actually somewhat on-point for the first time in memory.
– President Trump called on Acosta five separate times. – He did that despite the fact that the scumbags who run CNN chose to not air the President’s opening remarks, which contained the most important information for the public to understand. Why Trump continues to recognize anyone from what is nothing more than a rank propaganda outlet defies all understanding or logic. Enough.
– The President ignored Alcindor until the final 10 minutes. – When he called on her, she posed her questions politely and without her normal rancor and accusatory tone. She had obviously been warned, either by he White House staff, or by her bosses at PBS.
– The press can’t understand the model. – The most amusing part of the event was watching as the dimwitted members of the press asked question after question of Birx and Fauci in a vain effort to actually grasp what they were being told. They never really did figure it out.
– Birx and Fauci were presenting a worst-case scenario. – Birx especially kept subtly pointing this out. During at least three different answers to dumb questions, she basically stated that the model they are using takes what is currently happening in New York and New Jersey and assumes through extrapolation that every other state in the nation will experience the same progression curve with this virus. By doing that, this model – which just 2 weeks ago projected 1 million to 2.2 million U.S. deaths from the Wuhan Virus – is able to get to its current projection of 100,000 to 200,000 deaths. As both Birx and Fauci pointed out, statistical models are only as good as their data and assumptions, and this one is based on very bad assumptions.
– This method is absurdly overstating the most likely outcome. – Both New York and New Jersey are densely-populated coastal states whose major airports received huge portions of the 10,000 China natives who flew into this country during November through January every damn day while the ChiCom government was lying about the extent of the outbreak in Wuhan Province, and how contagious the virus truly is. In addition, New York City was especially slow in responding to the outbreak, with Marxist Mayor Bill de Blasio still advising his citizens to go about their normal lives as late as March 10. The reality of our country is that virtually no other state is going to have anything remotely close to the experience in New York and New Jersey.
– Washington and California are more relevant. – Both of these coastal states were also receiving thousands of travelers from China every day throughout that early period. Both were also early centers for the outbreak. Yet, because both states are much less densely populated than New York and New Jersey, and because their state and big-city leaders responded much more quickly and forcefully than de Blasio and Andrew Cuomo, their curves are vastly lower than their East Coast counterparts. Washington’s curve already even appears to have peaked. Geographically and demographically, these two states look far more like the rest of the country than New York and New Jersey.
– Birx and Fauci are going to have some real explaining to do in the future. – When we get to the end of April and the numbers of actual U.S. deaths and infections turn to have been a small fraction of what these two alarmist doctors laid out for the nation on Tuesday, millions of Americans, while relieved at the lower numbers, are going to demand a real explanation. Sadly, just as they were yesterday, the White House press corps members will still be too confused and dim to even ask the right questions on behalf of the country.
– The mitigation strategy is still valid and should be heeded. – All the alarmist overstatement aside, this is still a very deadly virus and the strategy of taking social actions to contain it is valid. Don’t kid yourselves otherwise, especially if you fall into the most vulnerable categories. Stay at home, wash your hands and stay 6 feet away from literally everybody when you have to go out for groceries.
– Mike Pence is coming into his own. – I’ve never been all that impressed with Vice President Mike Pence. I find him to be wooden, boring and his speaking style to be artificial, stilted and largely insincere. But we all need to recognize the tremendous public service this man has done in leading this Task Force. By every account, he has worked tirelessly to ensure the best outcome possible for our country, and he has become a more imposing and impressive presence at these daily briefings with each passing day. Before yesterday’s briefing, during which he twice took charge of the process, I have never seen him as a potential future president. Now, I do.
Good for him, and good for the country.
That is all.
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