Today’s Campaign Update, Part II
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)
Hey, remember way back in April, when I told you Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October 1? – Well, that deadline came early, at least in the Monmouth poll, which was updated today:
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) August 26, 2019
Ok, so, it’s just one poll, right? Right.
But wait, there was also this Emerson poll that came out on Friday:
#NEW National Democratic Primary:
Biden 22% (+1 Since Last Week)
Sanders 19% (+3)
Warren 17% (-3)
Harris 8% (-)
Buttigieg 7% +2)
O'Rourke 3% (-2)
Gabbard 2% (-)
The Economist/YouGov Weekly Tracking Poll
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) August 21, 2019
The Biden lead there is within the poll’s margin of error.
Thus, the two most-current polls in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls show the Biden lead, which on May 9 sat at 27 points over Sanders, is now basically gone. We’ll have to wait to see if that trend continues as the other polling groups release their updated findings over the next 10 days or so.
But what is obviously happening is what I told you all would happen back in April: The more Biden becomes exposed to the public, the more voters look around for some viable alternative. More and more, those voters are settling on Elizabeth Warren as that alternative, both to Biden and to Sanders.
That just proves another point I made to you way back in April: Democrat voters just love a great liar, as we have witnessed in every nominating process since 1992. What better liar is there in the current field of mediocrities than the lifelong reprehensible fraud nicknamed Fauxcahontas?
Two more things to note in recent Democrat polling trends: Kamala Harris continues to be a horrifically awful candidate who is about as appealing as a bottle of insect repellant, and Pete Buttigieg is basically a non-factor who can’t get out of the 4-7% range.
The reality is that this is currently a 3-person race, and one of those persons, Biden, is just going see his numbers keep falling until he finally gains a grasp on reality and gives up the ghost.
Here are my odds for who will be the ultimate winner of the 2020 Democrat nomination:
Fauxcahontas – 3 to 2
The Commie – 5 to 1
Harris – 10 to 1
Biden – 100 to 1
Someone else in the current field – 25 to 1
Someone not in the current field – Even money
That is all.
Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.