Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)
Please note that headline says “Become President,” not “Become the Democrat Nominee in 2020.” – That’s a key distinction here, because Biden still does have a slightly better chance of being the party’s nominee, although even that edge is steadily declining and will continue to do so over the summer.
And this shouldn’t be just a comparison between Buttigieg and Biden. I would submit that Kamala Harris has a better shot at becoming president than Elizabeth Warren, and that even Irish Bob O’Rourke has a better shot at doing so than Cory Booker and everybody has a better chance than The Commie does.
Why? The first reason is simple. Because, as I wrote back on April 5, American voters don’t like electing Washington, DC long-timers to be their president.
Here’s what I wrote in that piece:
… since Biden first came to Washington, the American people have shown a very strong bias against electing “experienced” guys like him to serve in the presidency. Going back to the 1976 election, here is how many years’ experience in Washington DC our past seven presidents had when they got elected:
Jimmy Carter – 0
Ronald Reagan – 0
George H.W. Bush – roughly 20
Bill Clinton – 0
George W. Bush – 0
Barack Obama – 2
Donald Trump – 0
Combined, those seven presidents had about 22 years’ total experience in the DC Swamp, with Bush 41 having almost all of them. Bush 41, as we all remember, was defeated in 1992 by an outsider, Bill Clinton, who got a big assist from an even more authentic outsider, Ross Perot.
Are you seeing a trend here? I am.
Who are the “establishment” candidates in this race? Biden, The Commie, Fauxcahontas, Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Tim Ryan. While Biden, the Commie and Fauxcahontas are currently leading the polls for the nomination, the odds are heavily-stacked against any of these people being our president-elect come November 4, 2020.
Americans don’t want some crotchety old geezer who’s been ensconced in the DC swamp for 30+ years – or even 10 years – to be their national leader. If they did, Robert Dole and Walter Mondale and John Kerry and Al Gore and John McCain would have all served in the nation’s highest office over the past 30 years.
Yes, Harris is a senator, but she’s only been in that office a little over two years, same as Obama circa 2008. Yes, Irish Bob O’Rourke was in congress for 8 years, but he never did anything notable while there so nobody is really aware of his time in DC. Thus, both are viewed by the media and public through that same Obama “outsider” prism.
But back to the Biden/Buttigieg thing: The simple fact of the matter is that Buttigieg is a better, more effective candidate than Biden, and Biden knows it. Biden right now is riding the same wave of party establishment support that Jeb! was riding at this point in 2015. Well all know how that turned out.
Mayor Pete was all over the news yesterday because of the townhall he did on Fox News Sunday night, which was hosted by Chris Wallace. Conservatives complained all day Monday about Wallace’s softball conduct of the interview and the fact that Fox News chose to fill the venue with a pack of Buttigieg supporters, but so what?
The fact is that Buttigieg proved once again that he is an extremely composed and impressive public speaker, far moreso at age 37 than Creepy Sleepy Joe is at age 76. He is also very adept at fielding tough questions, as he proved back in March when Wallace peppered him with much tougher questions on Fox News Sunday. I was so impressed with Mayor Pete’s performance at that time that I tagged him as one of the real “Rising Stars” of this primary season.
Yes, most of what he says and thinks is batsh*t crazy. Yes, most of what he says is outright lies. But Buttigieg is, as one Democrat congressman said of Bill Clinton back in 1993, “an unusually good liar.” He says the crazy stuff he says with the conviction born of a true sociopath, which puts him in company with the last two Democrat presidents.
Contrast that with the likes of Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker, both of whom are also inveterate liars but who are both unusually bad at it. Come to think of it, Gore and Kerry were also unusually poor liars, as were Dole, Poppy Bush and McCain – it must have something to do with spending too much time in the nation’s capital.
And then there’s Biden, who has been lying about so many things for so long that they just pop right out of his mouth, but only in short, semi-literate bursts in which no sentence is ever completed. Biden’s like a guy with a case of political Tourette’s syndrome. Biden is fond of saying “I’m the guy that passed that [fill-in-the-blank] bill!” only the bills he talks about either don’t exist or were written by someone else. On Sunday, he went even further, claiming he was the guy who started the whole “Climate Change” thing back in 1987. Somewhere, Al Gore – who also didn’t invent this whole “Climate Change” thing but likes to claim he did – is saying “whaaaaaaaaaaaaaaat?”
But I digress. All the Democrat candidates lie about pretty much everything because they’re all leftwing hacks and that’s the only way leftists can win elections. It’s just a given. Democrat voters love to be lied to, and will generally end up nominating whichever candidate is the most effective liar of the bunch.
The key for Democrat voters in this cycle will be to nominate the best liar who is not a fossilized DC insider if they want to have any real shot at defeating President Trump. Because Americans innately understand that the DC establishment, regardless of party affiliation, is their true mortal enemy.
Many Americans have tired of all the uproar and chaos that they have seen since the election of Donald Trump, and would love for things to calm down after 2020. But are they likely to choose to replace a political outsider like Trump with a long-time establishment insider who will just return things to the status quo they rejected in 2016?
That is all.
Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon
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