Today’s Campaign Update
(Because The Campaign Never Ends)
Tired of all this #WINNING yet? – The fake news media pretty much ignored the story, but U.S. weekly unemployment claims fell to their lowest point since the records began being kept half a century ago last week. The Trump economy is so strong that even Sears, which has been shuttering outlets since the Carter Administration, is opening new stores again.
The ADP private sector jobs report showed only 129,000 new jobs being created in March, but that low number is largely due to the fact that there are more than 1,000,000 more job openings today than there are unemployed workers. Given that, we can expect the government’s non-farm payroll report to be issued this morning to also come in with a low number. [Note: The BLS jobs report actually came in at a very strong 196,000, beating expectations once again.]
All of which ties back to the reality that the biggest problem we have in Trump’s economy is finding enough qualified workers to fill all the jobs being created. That’s a good problem to have.
He’s experienced, maybe too much so. – One of the things supporters of Joe Biden point to when making their case for why he’d make the best nominee for the Democrats in 2020 is that he’s experienced, and he certainly is. Biden was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1972 at the age of 29.
During his first term in the Senate, he served with such blasts from the past as J. William Fulbright, Sam Ervin, George McGovern, Frank Church, Russell Long, and 1968 Democrat presidential nominee Hubert Humphrey. Fulbright was first elected to the Senate in 1945, Ervin in 1954.
But, while long years of experience in national government may be a positive for Biden in his run against an assortment of no-accounts in his party’s primaries, is not necessarily an advantage in a general election against Donald Trump, who was elected in 2016 over another “experienced” candidate specifically because he was an outsider.
Indeed, since Biden first came to Washington, the American people have shown a very strong bias against electing “experienced” guys like him to serve in the presidency.
Going back to the 1976 election, here is how many years’ experience in Washington DC our past seven presidents had when they got elected:
Jimmy Carter – 0
Ronald Reagan – 0
George H.W. Bush – roughly 20
Bill Clinton – 0
George W. Bush – 0
Barack Obama – 2
Donald Trump – 0
Combined, those seven presidents had about 22 years’ total experience in the DC Swamp, with Bush 41 having almost all of them. Bush 41, as we all remember, was defeated in 1992 by an outsider, Bill Clinton, who got a big assist from an even more authentic outsider, Ross Perot.
Are you seeing a trend here? I am.
Biden will no doubt be running as the guy who would bring us the third term of America’s Worst Mistake, Barack Hussein Obama, for whom he served as Vice President. Oh, hey, didn’t the Pantsuit Princess, who served as Obama’s Secretary of State, already try that one? How’d that work out for you, Democrats?
But what other reason would the American people have for electing Biden to the presidency? It certainly wouldn’t be based on his senate record, where he was wrong about literally every major issue our country has faced over the last 46 years. It couldn’t be based on all of his achievements as Vice President since, like every Veep, he didn’t accomplish a damn thing while serving in that office.
It definitely wouldn’t be based on his comparative youth and vigor, since Biden will be older on Election Day, 2020 than our oldest previous serving President, Ronald Reagan, was on the day he left office after serving two full terms. When you really get right down to it, the only real reason why Biden appears to want to run is that he regrets not running in 2016, when he reasonably should have, and now thinks it is “his turn” to be the Democrat Party’s nominee.
Nominating anyone because it is their “turn”, lacking any other compelling reason for doing so, almost never works out for either party in modern times. Let’s go back to 1976 again and take a look at those results:
1976 – Gerald Ford (Loss)
1980 – Jimmy Carter (Landslide Loss)
1984 – Walter Mondale (Record Landslide Loss)
1988 – Bush 41 (Won, became a one-term POTUS)
1996 – Bob Dole (Landslide Loss)
2000 – Al Gore (Loss)
2004 – John Kerry (Loss)
2008 – John McCain (Miserable Loss)
2012 – Mitt Romney (Loss)
2016 – Pantsuit Princess (Loss)
Look at those results. In all that time, the only “it’s my turn” candidate who was nominated by either party and actually won the election was George Herbert Walker Bush, and he only won because he was carried into office on the enormous coattails of Ronaldus Magnus. When left to run on his own devices after four years of deviating from the Reagan agenda and raising taxes, he also suffered a miserable defeat.
Joe Biden will most likely not go onto become the Democrat nominee in 2020 – I’m frankly still not convinced he’s even going to make a go of it, with all of these women still coming out of the woodwork to complain about his handsy habits.
But if he does get the nomination, Donald Trump and all of his supporters should celebrate.
That is all.
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