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Reports Of OPEC’s Demise Have Been Greatly Exaggerated

And just like that, everybody stopped talking about the possibility of $30 oil.

Remember those gaudy days, all of two weeks ago, when the price for WTI had dropped to $42 per barrel and fears were rising that the OPEC+ countries had somehow lost all control over the market and prices would continue to fall? Yeah, those were some good times, huh?

Today, January 15, the WTI price has recovered to over $51/bbl, a rise of 25% in two weeks. That did not happen because of suddenly higher global demand, because no such thing has taken place; nor did it happen due to a dramatically lower U.S. rig count, since the DrillingInfo domestic rig counthas dropped by just 15 rigs since January 1; and it didn’t happen due to the much-publicized recent curtailments in Canadian crude production, which have thus far taken about 140,000 barrels of oil per day off of the market.

So, why did the price go right back up the last two weeks after tanking so dramatically towards the end of December? The answer has largely to do with recent actions taken by OPEC+ nations.

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1 thought on “Reports Of OPEC’s Demise Have Been Greatly Exaggerated

  1. Jimmy MacAfee - January 16, 2019

    OPEC tried lowering prices at one point in order to stuff frackers into a barrel. What happened was unexpected – (for OPEC, anyway:) frackers somehow managed to become much more efficient, and could survive low oil prices after all. Low oil prices hurt Venezuela, Iran and others more than it did American frackers.

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