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The Media and Pollsters Don’t ‘Get’ Trump Voters, and Don’t Care To

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

But Ellison’s a Democrat, so… – A bunch of c-list celebrities produced a video in support of Brett Kavanaugh’s accuser, Christina Ford.  Funny, they did not produce any similar video saying we should all just believe the accuser of DNC Vice Chairman Keith Ellison, Karen Monahan, who actually has 911 calls, photos and other actual evidence to back her story of heinous violence and sexual assault.

Funny how that works.

Ms. Ford deserves a chance to be heard.  She’s been heard all week, in fact, and her chance to be heard under oath is Monday.  She does not deserve to be believed out of hand and neither does anyone else.  These celebrities deserve nothing but our contempt and scorn.

hmmmm…what to do about all this sex abuse by our clergy?  Hey, I have an idea!  Let’s meet with Bono! – So, Pope Francis, under fire for his failure to do much of anything about the latest rise in rampant sexual abuse among the pedophile-ridden clergy of the Catholic Church, met with Bono in a transparent effort to get a famous third party speaking on his behalf.

The reliable leftist rock star came away from the meeting and did his job just right, telling the media that the Pope was just all “aghast” about the apparent news to him that there’s “trouble, big trouble right here in River City!”  No doubt Pope Francis was also “shocked, shocked to discover gambling” going on at Rick’s Cabaret as well.

“You can see the pain in his face,” Bono said, “and I felt he was sincere.”  Naturally, Bono also said, he met with the Pope to discuss  “the wild beast that is capitalism” and sustainable development, two subjects that the Pope obviously considers to be far more critical than stopping his priests from preying on young boys.  No doubt it was a delightful Marxist discussion.

(My apologies to all my Catholic friends, but this story was just too much to take.)

From our “Hey, that’s what the Campaign Update said on Monday” files… – Derek Hunter, writing at Townhall.com, has a really good piece out titled “It’s Time for Republicans to Grow a Pair.”  Why yes, yes it is.

This happened to me in 2017, guys. – The Denver Post tells us this morning that more than half of all the calls we get on our cell phones will be junk marketing calls by some point in 2019.  Way ahead of you here, folks.

Yes.  That’s why he got elected, doofus. – California Governor Jerry Brown complained on Wednesday that President Donald Trump is “sabotaging the world order in many respects.”  “Yes, so what’s the problem?” asks literally everyone who voted for Mr. Trump in 2016.

Brown went on to telegraph his approval of an assassination of the President of the United States, saying “something’s got to happen to this guy, because if we don’t get rid of him, he’s going to undermine America and even the world.”  But this has become just par for the course among Democrat politicians in this age of Maxine Waters being the ugly face of their Party.

But back to the whole “world order” sabotaging thing, because this is important.  In making that statement, Gov. Brown serves as a metaphor for his entire party and for the fake news media.  It clearly demonstrates that he still, almost 2 full years after Election Day 2016, has not the slightest clue who the Trump voters are or why they voted for him in such huge numbers.  He still does not get the fact that Donald Trump became President precisely because he promised to “sabotage the world order.”

It was that “world order” that Trump voters were in fact rebelling against.  The “world order” that had given us a full decade of economic stagnation.  The “world order” that had given us horrible trade deals that shipped our plants and blue collar jobs overseas.  The “world order” that had resulted in the U.S. military intervening in no fewer than 7 different civil wars across the Middle East and Africa.  The “world order” that had given us a gigantic flood of refugees that are in the process of destroying the native cultures of an array of European nations and threaten to do the same to the United States.

This lack of understanding is far from limited to Jerry Brown and his fellow clueless Democrat politicians.  It is also the case throughout our fake news media and their polling organizations.  The stark reality is that none of these people have a clue who the core Trump voters are, and they don’t really care to know.  Far easier to just label them all as hicks, rednecks and racists than to make any effort to understand who they really are.

For the fake news media, the result of this lack of understanding has been an ever-increasing flood of news-faking as their frustration with all of the President’s myriad policy successes causes them to literally lose their minds.  These people cannot deal with reality, don’t care to even know what reality is, so they go about inventing an alternate, fantasy-world reality on a daily basis.

For the polling companies, it means that, with few exceptions, they are going to get yet another election woefully wrong and be embarrassed as an industry on Election Day 2018.  They simply do not understand that “Trump voters” and “self-identified Republicans” are not remotely a unified class, and they make no effort to understand that reality.  Most of them continue to believe that stratifying their samples between Rs and Ds using some turnout model based on the 2012 election is somehow valid, and it isn’t, because “Trump voters” in fact cut across those labels.

Because of this reality, you end up with results like the one we saw in Texas SD 19 on Tuesday, with Republican Pete Flores coming up with a “shocking” win over veteran Democrat pol Pet Gallego in a heavily-Democrat district.  That district has a heavy contingent of self-identifying “Democrats” who also happen to be blue-collar workers and “Trump voters.”  The same is also true of many of the congressional districts that the pollsters are currently calling “tossups” for the November elections.

My bet is that if these pollsters had bothered to really try to understand who “Trump voters” really are and make some real effort to properly factor them into their polling samples, their polls would not be showing many of these “tossup” districts to be tossups at all.  The same is true for senate and governors’ races around the country.

Simply put: If a polling organization doesn’t understand who the voters actually are, how can they possibly produce accurate polls of them?  The answer is, they can’t.

Just another day in the polls are worthless America.

That is all.

[Addendum:  I received this fantastic reply from a reader and wanted to share it here:

This is more of a case where they perceive some imaginary nation existing in some urban sphere, and a lot of these journalists have never met regular working-class Americans.

I am often reminded of the 1960s and 1970s where CBS had Charles Kuralt on the road and talking to regular Americans. You could go and have him discuss the average guy on the street, the average shrimp fisherman, the average barber from Peoria, or the average brick-layer. He could describe them in detail….know their politics, and lead you to the vast landscape. CBS doesn’t have anyone like that today….nor does CNN, or MSNBC. They all huddle in some studio and only talk to like-minded people. Same issue with college professors and most politicians who live permanently in DC.

 

End.]

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever. Whatfinger.com is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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5 thoughts on “The Media and Pollsters Don’t ‘Get’ Trump Voters, and Don’t Care To

  1. Jim McFarland - September 20, 2018

    Heck of an addendum! Very perceptive and worth memorializing.

  2. Paul Rhodes - September 20, 2018

    I believe when the time comes for voting in November, all the Trump supporters are going to come out of the woodwork, so to speak, and it is going to look like the electoral college map on Nov. 8, 2016, few blue areas around the coasts and some major populated areas, but the rest of the country is going to be as red as Killerys face when she gets put into handcuffs. And they are going to have to, who knows how many dead/illegal/underage/double votes that are going to be cast to the left..
    Of course the polls are going to be incorrect, because of biased media, they are only going to show what they want/are told to. True polling is going to happen on voting day. I bet there are going to be a lot of snowflake tears that day, flooding the streets like a broken water main.
    I’m glad we have an adult in the white house taking control of this unruly country. It has been far too long since there has been a true american, not a politician sold to the highest bidder, listening to what We the People have to say. It’s not about what those who have money, and now only want power have to say.

  3. Wesley Chapman - September 20, 2018

    Brilliant article and a great addendum: Charles Kuralt himself is a great example of the deep divide in America. Kuralt had a “big city wife” in the northeast AND a “small town wife” (wasn’t she in Montana?) Fascinating.

  4. DD More - September 20, 2018

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states

    Gallup
    As of October 2017, Gallup polling found that 31% of Americans identified as Democrat, 24% identified as Republican, and 42% as Independent. Additionally, polling showed that 46% are either “Democrats or Democratic leaners” and 39% are either “Republicans or Republican leaners” when Independents are asked “do you lean more to the Democratic Party or the Republican Party?

    But they don’t seem to actually Vote that way.

    President – Republican 306-232
    (2016) U.S. Senate – Republican 52-46-2
    (2016) U.S. House of Representatives – Republican 241-194
    (2016) Governor – Republican 34-15-1
    (2016) Majority in State Senate – Republican 35-12-3
    (2016) Majority in State House – Republican 31-17-1

    Is this Called “Voting Above Your Weight Class”?

    1. David Blackmon - September 20, 2018

      Exactly. My point exactly. Some pollster calling itself “Vox Populi” just issued a poll showing the Texas senate race betwen Cruz and O’Rourke a 50/50 tie. They polled 39% Rs and 36% Ds in a state in which Rs consistently win every statewide election by 20%, and in which R voter turnout for the primaries was 50% above D voter turnout.

      So, do we really believe the race is tied? Hell, no. But this is the kind of crap these pollsters just keep putting out.

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