The Trump 2020 landslide is starting to build. – Although most of the conventional polls still show Hidin’ Joe Biden with a lead, there is no question that we have seen a noticeable movement in the polling over the past two weeks in President Trump’s favor. The absurd Biden leads of 12 – 15 points being trumpeted in the corrupt news media a month ago have now given way to single digit margins ranging from 4 – 9 points as pollsters try to make their output somewhat more believable to a knowing public.
I’m not a person who obsesses over polls, mainly because the vast majority of polls are now as corrupt as the news media, and designed to create news stories rather than genuinely attempt to reflect public opinion. But one poll released Sunday morning does deserve mentioning, not because it shows President Trump now holding a narrow margin in the national popular vote and a larger edge in several battleground states, but because of its findings on a series of other questions that really do give us an idea of how voter opinions are trending.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that state’s electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.
But let’s be honest: This is just another poll, and while it does look at likely voters to give it more validity, it is still more than 90 days before the election. So these numbers, while encouraging, are still just a guess.
The more interesting aspects of this particular poll come in the other questions that are designed to measure the trends in voter attitudes, i.e., that factors that will help determine the way they end up voting in November. Several of them are extremely troubling for the Biden camp, and indicate he will find it almost impossible to actually prevail when voting time comes.
Here are some of those:
– The measure of “shy” voters who are reluctant to be honest with pollsters about how they plan to vote. An astounding 71% of Trump voters said they are actually “shy” voters. This is a clear indication that many Trump voters actually lie to pollsters when asked who they plan to vote for, which is certainly understandable given the corrupt media’s campaign to shame all Trump voters as racists or even worse.
– The growing Enthusiasm Gap. 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. This is by far the largest such gap I have ever seen between two presidential candidates, and I have been following this stuff religiously since 1980. This will presage an enormous turnout advantage for Trump if it holds up.
– That Enthusiasm Gap gets even worse for Biden in this followup question:
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
- Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16%
- Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68%
– The growing recognition by voters that Biden is suffering from advancing dementia. I’ve been writing about this reality since before Biden even announced his candidacy last April, and a growing number of likely voters are becoming aware of it. According to this poll, a phenomenal 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. Even worse for Biden, 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.
– The Expectations Game. Fully 62% of voters expect that Trump will win the first debate against Biden. That expectation, combined with Biden’s increasingly obvious mental decline, is why you will never see a debate between these two men this Fall.
Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.
There is much, much more in this poll, and pretty much all of it is discouraging for Biden.
That’s good news for America.
That is all.
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