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The Campaign Update Week In Review: Winning. Sooooo Much Winning.

So, let’s review the week we have just experienced, because it will be remembered as the week the tide truly turned:

  • Humiliation for pretty much every major fake media outlet:  CNN, Reuters, Bloomberg, ABC, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, WaPo and NPR.  Somehow, the NYTimes escaped major embarrassment, unless I missed something.  Sheer luck, no doubt.
  • The Mueller coup d’etat effort began to come unraveled, as detailed in Friday morning’s Campaign Update.
  • Supreme court upholds Trump travel ban on a 7-2 decision.
  • The Trump economy is booming, and our pathetic ex-President is wandering around the country desperately trying to take credit for it.
  • ISIS is in utter and complete shambles, a story the fake news media is desperately ignoring.
  • Roy Moore is headed for a landslide win in next Tuesday’s special election, as pretty much all of his accusers have been shown to be liars.
  • Trump announces U.S. will finally move its embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.  Democrats and media go insane with rage.
  • Al Franken and John Conyers have been run out of congress by their Democrat colleagues, who are desperately searching for a new angle of attack against President Trump, now that their whole “Russia Collusion” fantasy has collapsed.
  • Justice Department initiates investigation into Planned Parenthood’s trafficking in baby body parts.
  • Bad actors in the FBI and Justice Department are being systematically marginalized.
  • The biggest tax cut in American history being negotiated in conference committee.
  • And did I mention that the Trump economy is booming?  I did? That’s ok, it can’t be pointed out often enough.

Just another week in I cannot get enough of this #WINNING  America.

That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever.  is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Trump Enrages The Atlantic Simply By Eating. Now, That is Winning!

  • Why are fake news media outlets such cesspits of abuse and bigotry?  Part 3,152 – Eternally belligerent MSNBC fake news host Joy Reid issued an apology yesterday for the revelation of a heinously bigoted, homophobia-filled blog she maintained about a decade ago, but not, of course, before she had attempted to delete the blog entirely.   “At no time have I intentionally sought to demean or harm the LGBT community, which includes people whom I deeply love,” Reid said, though, in her blog, she obviously did do that on many, many occasions.  Guess the devil made her do it.
  • Hey, c’mon, it was an innocent 3-year long mistake.  Could’ve happened to anybody. – MSNBC, which, as a part of NBC, has been embroiled in dealing with the recent sex abuse scandals swirling around its own Mark Halperin and NBC’s Matt Lauer, was mute on the Reid controversy.  But after all, MSNBC is the network that kept the likes of Keith Olbermann and Al Sharpton employed for years, so expecting this particular fake news outlet to punish Joy Reid in any meaningful way is like expecting ABC to do so with, say, Brian Ross.
  • Hey, when something’s inevitable, you might as well enjoy it. – Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, who was among the first political figure to jump out and try to force Judge Roy Moore out of the Alabama Senate race when he became accused of weird sexual behavior back in the early ’80s, has had a sudden change of heart.  On Sunday, McConnell told a fake interviewer on ABC’s This Week that “I’m going to let the people of Alabama make the call.”  Well, that’s mighty big of you, Mitch, given that you have absolutely no say in the matter at all.
  • Someone really should remind the WaPo about the definition of insanity. – The Majority Leader was most likely just responding to a raft of new polls that almost uniformly show Judge Moore with a fairly strong lead of 6-8 points among likely voters in the race.  I say “almost” because the reliable hacks at the Washington Post poll made a last-ditch effort to influence the race, tossing in a faked-up poll pretending to show Democrat Doug Jones with a 3 point lead.  Everyone should remember that it was the Washington Post/ABC poll that showed Hillary Clinton with a 13-point lead less than two weeks before Election Day 2016.  We saw how that worked out for them.
  • Having apparently exhausted all other avenues of irrationally slamming President Donald Trump (I never tire of typing those three words), the fake journalists who infest The Atlantic have now decided to go after him for his…wait for it…EATING HABITS!  I kid you not, some guy named James Hamblin issued a piece on Saturday that condemns Trump for liking – gasp! – McDonald’s and – horrors! – Oreos, for regularly consuming more that elite society deems appropriate in one sitting, and for snarfing down his food too quickly.  Why, the nerve!
  • Here’s a typical paragraph:  “There is no question that this diet is dangerous and is very likely to shorten a person’s life. His dietary pattern adds to the picture of a 70-year-old man who has long been living against all health advice—who does not exercise, who barely sleeps, who has tumultuous relationships, who is frequently enraged.” The author even goes on to claim that the President’s eating habits might well get us all killed, speculating that “Decisions to live this way would seem to offer insight into Trump’s ability to assess risk. In light of a nuclear standoff with North Korea, rapidly warming oceans, and a looming tax bill that would leave millions more Americans without health insurance, his approach to self-maintenance is not reassuring.”
  • It takes a special kind man to be able to enrage leftist Manhattan elitists by the simple act of consuming food, and it is oddly reassuring to so many millions of us out here in flyover country that our current POTUS is exactly that kind of man.  Now I think I’ll run out to McDonald’s and get three bacon, eggs and cheese biscuits and a large Diet Coke for breakfast.

Just another day in Donald Trump is Winning Through Eating America.

That is all.

 

Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon

Today’s news moves at a faster pace than ever.  is my go-to source for keeping up with all the latest events in real time.

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Fisking The Fake News Media – Opportunities Abound

Today’s Campaign Update 

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • Well, we now know what occupies this clown’s mind. – After the magnificent NRA spokesman Dana Loesch said the organization plans to “fisk” the NYTimes, fake Times reporter Adam Goldman got on Twitter in a panic and wailed that the NRA wanted to sexually assault his newspaper.  Mr. Goldman admitted he thought Ms. Loesch had said “fist”.  The word “fisk” is a new media term for going through the fake media reports line by line and refuting them.  Odd that the Millenial Mr. Goldman is unfamiliar with that word.  But then, he obviously has other things on his mind.
  • Oh, you’re so sweet… Maxine Waters told the harpies on The View that, “when we finish with (impeach) Trump, we have to go and get Putin. He’s next.”  When faced with blank stares from the harpies, she then fumbled around and came up with the name of “Pence” to identify her next target.  This is who the Democrats call a “leader”.  Maybe Dana Loesch should target Maxine and The View with her fisking next.  Hilarity would definitely ensue.
  • Their Ad should read “Jim Acosta Diaper Hamper For Sale”… – Deadline Hollywood reports that AT&T is contemplating selling off CNN once its acquisition of CNN parent company Time Warner is consummated.  Really?  What self-respecting company is going to want to purchase a fake news channel that can’t beat re-runs of “Bewitched” in the ratings?  Of course, Jeff Bezos and Amazon could always buy CNN, since they’re buying everything else.  A CNN/Washington Post merger would be the fake news equivalent of the merger of Exxon and Mobil Oil.
  • Tired of Winning Yet?, Part I – The Trump economy created 209,000 jobs in July, beating estimates for the 6th straight month, and running the total jobs created since Donald Trump took office to more than 1 million.  The fake news media largely ignored the story, with Twitter going so far as to shadow ban positive tweets about the report.  No surprise here – the Democrats and fake news media know that they must keep the public focused on fake scandals in order to kill this presidency.  Reporting positive economic news is just not part of the narrative.
  • Tired of Winning Yet?, Part II – The Dow gained more than 70 points on Friday, marking the 8th straight day it has closed at a record high.  Given that the Dow has traditionally been a leading indicator of future economic growth, the Democrats and their fake journalist propaganda agents are going to have a great big pile of good economic news to try to ignore in the coming months.
  • Speaking of the Fake News Media, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced on Friday that he is finally getting serious about identifying and prosecuting intelligence agency and White House employees responsible for the incessant leaking to major fake media outlets.  As part of that campaign to get serious, Mr. Sessions said he is considering issuing subpoenas to offending fake journalists and fake media outlets who rush to print or air classified information. “We respect the role that the press plays and will give them respect, but it is not unlimited. They cannot place lives at risk with impunity.”  Sure is nice to think that someone is finally going to attempt to enforce some accountability on fake journalists who abuse their privileges, but only time will tell if Mr. Sessions is truly serious here.  Hey, maybe Dana Loesch can help – she’s already got the NYTimes trembling at the knees.
  • This really isn’t rocket scienceThe UK Daily Mail reports that investigators are considering the use of lie detector tests as a tool to ID the leakers.  Here’s a suggestion:  apply the first two lie detectors to Susan Rice’s bestest buddy H.R. McMaster and Obama loyalist Hope Hicks, who somehow remains employed in the White House communications department, and see if the leaks from the West Wing don’t dry up completely over night.  I’ll even give you odds.

Just another day in all fake news, all the time America.

That is all.

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Fake News, Real News, And Winning

Today’s Campaign Update 

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • Tired of winning yet? – the Dow closed at yet another all-time record high on Tuesday, now approaching the 22,000 level.  It has now risen almost 20% since Election Day.  Second quarter GDP growth – the first full quarter of the Trump presidency – was pegged at 2.6%, equaling the highest growth rate the economy ever saw during Barack Obama’s 8-year regulatory free-for-all.  We should expect to see even higher growth rates as the current administration continues to remove the regulatory shackles from the nation’s industries.
  • Couldn’t happen to a nicer guy. –  Sara Carter at Circa News, one of the handful of real working journalists still active in the nation’s capital, reports that former Obama National Security Advisor Ben Rhodes has been added to the House Intelligence Committee’s growing list of suspects in the illegal unmasking investigation.  Rhodes joins the mugshot lineup that already includes Obama-era luminaries like Samantha Power, John Brennan and Susan Rice.  You may remember Rhodes, who is most famous for openly admitting to an interviewer that the Obama Administration and fake news media regularly coordinated narratives and messages.
  • My God, dude, have you no life at all? – After President Trump used the term “Paddy Wagon” in a speech to law enforcement officials last week, the fake editors at the Washington Post thought it would be a great idea to run a 700 word dissertation by some guy named James Mulvaney about why this “slur” is “insulting…to Irish Americans”.  Mr. Mulvaney, like almost every leftist in the United States, has no sense of humor.  Fair warning to parents of college-age children with law-degree aspirations:  Mulvaney is adjunct professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, at least if the WaPo can be believed on that point, which as we have found, is an unsafe assumption at best.  The lesson here is, don’t let your kids attend John Jay College.
  •  Wait, wasn’t Bain Capital the Devil to you guys just 5 years ago? – Don’t look now, but Politico reports that Barack Obama has decided that the Democrats’ best hope to run against Donald Trump in 2020 is…wait for it…wait for it…DEVAL PATRICK!  What’s that?  The name sounds sort familiar but you really have no idea who that is?  Yeah, that’s the point.  For those who, like me, had a hard time recalling exactly who this clown is while reading that story, Mr. Patrick is an ex-Governor of Massachusetts, something that, in addition to being an executive at Bain Capital, he has in common with Mitt Romney.  You remember Bain Capital, right?  That’s the firm that, in 2012, was portrayed by the Obama campaign and the fake news media as representing everything that is wrong with America.  Five years later, it’s no big deal.  But whatever, trust me on this:  If the 2020 Democrat field is made up of 80 year-old communist Bernie Sanders, 74 year-old lifetime criminal Hillary Clinton, 70 year-old fake Indian Elizabeth Warren and an obscure ex-Governor of Massachusetts, the Party might as well not even bother.
  • How did this get into the NYTimes? – Don’t look now, but a member of the editorial staff at the NYTimes somehow slipped an op-ed piece past his colleagues titled “When Progressives Embrace Hate”.  Nevermind, of course, that American progressives have embraced hate since the day American progressives became a thing, this is the NYTimes we’re talking about here.  This is actual (pardon the pun) progress!  The editor, Bari Weiss, writes about 800 words about how awful it is that the organizers of the Women’s March last January included the hate-mongering Islamist Linda Sarsour, and how repugnant it is that this hateful woman continues to be embraced by American progressives.  That’s all true, and it is indeed nice of at least one person on the NYTimes editorial board to finally notice Ms. Sarsour’s true nature, but it’s hilarious that Ms. Weiss thinks this is all somehow a surprise.  Had she been paying any attention at all, she would know that the entire progressive philosophy is based on hate.  But, to quote the great John McClain, “Welcome to the party, pal.”

Just another day in fake news media America.

That is all.

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Better Jobs, Better Wa…Wait, What Did Trump Just Tweet?

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • On Monday, the Democrats rolled out their new Papa Johns-plagiarized slogan:   “A Better Deal: Better Jobs, Better Wages, Better Future.”  The slogan was so silly, so hokey, so obviously not having to do with anything today’s Democrat Party is all about that even the Democrat operatives at MSNBC mocked it mercilessly (though CNN dutifully played along).  The Party’s strategy, of course, was to yet again attempt to fool the American people that it had a focus on jobs and helping the average American have a better life.  The truth, of course, is that the Party and its agenda were long ago co-opted by Social Justice Warriors and Enviro-Nazis, which is the fundamental reason why the Republican Party holds every lever of power in the nation’s capital today.
  • But Chuck Schumer, Nancy Pelosi and the lunatics who are in charge of the DNC know they can’t actually change their focus to things that actually make a difference in Americans’ daily lives, so instead they paid some consultant millions of dollars to paraphrase a slogan off a Papa John’s pizza box.  Now, they thought, we can focus on our nifty new slogan, and pretend we care about the middle class!  It’ll be awesome!  High fives were flying at DNC Headquarters.  But then, on Wednesday, the President started tweeting….
  • …and part of his daily tweet storm that day was a two-tweet announcement that the U.S. military would no longer accept trans-gender applicants and force the U.S. middle class taxpayers to foot the bill for their trans-gender surgeries while they served.  In response, the Democrats and their agents who make up 98% of the nation’s news media went stark raving mad.  The Party’s focus was right back in the hands of the SJWs, the efforts to change the subject instantly forgotten.
  • Slogan?  What slogan?
  • Tired of winning yet? – The Taiwanese company FoxConn announced it is investing more than $10 billion in a new manufacturing plant in Wisconsin, a move that will create 13,000 American jobs.  President Trump wisely held a joint announcement in the White House with the company’s CEO.  Immediately after, heads could be heard exploding all over CNN headquarters in Atlanta.
  • Tired of winning yet, Part II? – On Wednesday, the Dow, the NASDAQ and the S&P 500 indices all reached all-time highs.  The fake news media – except for Fox News – were all too busy screaming about presidential tweets to notice.
  • The NYPost reports that Dancing With The Stars is currently in negotiations with…wait for it….wait for it…SEAN SPICER!  That.  Is.  Awesome.  Go for it, big guy.
  • Kid Rock, who is running for the U.S. Senate in Michigan against the execrable Debbie Stabenow, announced on his website that he will be registering people to vote…at his performances!  Those loud noises you heard yesterday were heads exploding at DNC Headquarters.  Yeah, they were exploding over the President’s tweets, but they would have exploded over this, too, had they had the chance.
  • After 9 Republican senators voted against the initial Obamacare repeal and replace bill on Tuesday evening, 7 GOP senators compounded the Party’s mendacity by joining all Democrats in voting down a repeal-only bill on Wednesday.  Five of those seven had voted for the exact same bill in the past when they knew Barack Obama would veto it:  Lisa Murkowski, John McCain, Rob Portman, Shelly Capito, and Lamar Alexander.  Dean Heller of Nevada wasn’t around in the Obama years, so he gets a pass on the hypocrisy, and, as I mentioned yesterday, Susan Collins has never in the past voted in favor of Obamacare repeal, consistently siding with her soulmates in the Democrat Party.  Hopefully, all seven will receive strong primary challengers.  They deserve them.

Just another day in Democrat heads exploding and fake Republican mendacity America.

That is all.

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A Border Miracle Based Strictly on Psychology

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • Tired of winning yet?  National Border Patrol Council President Brandon Judd told C-SPAN Monday that the rapid downturn in illegal border crossings is “nothing short of miraculous.”   He elaborated that total recorded border crossings in 2017 are just 53% of what they were in 2016, and that percentage continues to drop each week.  As we have noted before, this has been achieved without building single foot of wall, without changes to existing statutes, without any new huge budget allocations to the Border Patrol, without the introduction of any new technology.  The one and only reason for this fall is the simple fact that we have a President of the United States who is focused on enforcing the laws already on the books.  Isn’t it amazing how simple psychology changes human behavior.
  • Meanwhile, in the aspiring third world country of California, 8 Senate Republicans broke with party leadership and voted in favor of extending that state’s job-and-business-destroying “Cap and Trade” program through the year 2030.  After the vote was taken, Assembly Republican leader Chad Mayes (R-Yucca Valley) told reporters that “California Republicans are different than national Republicans.”  Yes, they appear to be Democrats.
  • Fresh off of causing progressives’ heads to explode with its fantastic “clenched fist of truth” ad starring Dana Loesch, the National Rifle Association embarked on another snowflake-triggering exercise, this time targeting the fake journalists at the Washington Post.  In the ad, a while male (trigger) spokesman looks directly into the camera (micro-aggression) and tells the WaPo (unfair targeting) that ““Your paper’s new slogan may read Democracy Dies (trigger) in Darkness (micro-aggression). It should say Journalism Dies at the Washington Post.”  The University of Missouri is gonna need more safe spaces.
  • Speaking of entitled snowflakes, the bicycle riders of Portland, Oregon are up in arms after the leftist Democrat-dominated legislature passed a budget package that includes a $15 excise tax on the purchase of high-dollar bikes.  This move comes a year after the legislature raised the state’s gasoline tax by 10 cents/gallon, a move that prompted complaints from car owners tired of having to dodge bike-riding scofflaws in their daily commutes that bicycle-riders weren’t paying their fair share for road maintenance.  Of course, snowflakes protested the move.  BikePortland publisher Jonathan Maus called it “an unprecedented step in the wrong direction.  We are taxing the healthiest, most inexpensive, most environmentally friendly, most efficient and most economically sustainable form of transportation ever devised by the human species.”  Yes, and you are also not exempt from paying taxes.  If you can afford a $2,000 bicycle, you can also afford a $15 tax, especially given that Oregon has no sales tax.  Toughen up.
  • In other news, Senate Republicans appear to be intent upon committing political hari-kari, as the defection of two staunch conservatives, Mike Lee and Jerry Moran, ensured the death of the current legislative vehicle for reforming Obamacare in the Senate.  Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced that his strategy will now shift to a straight repeal of Obamacare, with an ensuing effort to pass a bi-partisan reform bill.  Given that almost every Senate Republican already voted in favor of a straight repeal multiple times while Obama was in office, one might think they would easily do so again.  But one would be wrong in thinking that.  There is no more dangerous and faulty assumption to make than assuming intellectual consistency from DC establishment Republicans.  It’s going to be a long, hot summer.

Just another day in milquetoast Republicans America.

That is all.

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Is The U.S. Close To Achieving ‘Energy Dominance’?

 

If you hadn’t heard, the Trump Administration has declared this week to be “Energy Week”, a week during which the President and his senior officials are focusing on the theme of “U.S. Energy Dominance.” Not “energy independence” or “energy security”, both themes past presidential administrations have focused upon – “energy dominance.”

So, what does it all mean, and can the United States actually achieve it? Good questions. Here are some answers.

First, when President Trump talks about his goal of Energy Dominance, he’s referring to a plan that envisions implementing policies that encourage four major elements:

 • Taking full advantage of America’s amazing abundance of oil, natural gas and coal;

• Increasing exports of all three of those fossil fuels and their related products;

• Relying more on imports of oil from Canada, Mexico and other Western Hemisphere nations, and less on imports from the Middle East and North Africa; and

• Leveraging all of those three elements to enhance U.S. bargaining positions in its foreign policy initiatives.

Right on cue, we saw the President engage in a bit of energy-leveraging during his discussions this week with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, folding India’s growing reliance on U.S. LNG imports into his request for a lessening of the rapidly growing nation’s import tariffs on U.S. goods. We should expect to see the President rely more and more on this sort of leverage as U.S. exports of oil, LNG and coal continue to rapidly grow in coming years. This, more than anything else, is what the President means when he talks about Energy Dominance.

Critics point to the reality that the U.S. currently imports about half of its daily crude oil needs, but they miss the point. This is not a discussion about energy “independence” – the President clearly understands that the U.S. will always be a net importer of crude oil.

Read The Rest Here

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Why No Real Person Sympathizes With Mika

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

  • The fake news media spent all day Thursday and Friday portraying Morning Joe co-host Mika Brrzzzzeennsski (I have no idea how to spell that name and no desire to Google it) as a modern day combination of Joan of Arc and the Virgin Mary, a poor, hapless, helpless persecuted and defenseless woman who was being “bullied” by mean ol’ President Trump.  While this full court press for sympathy no doubt works with Mika’s fellow fake journalists and the upper class of New York City’s Upper East Side, it won’t work with any normal person who becomes acquainted with Mika’s background and personal behavior.
  • Why?  Well, think about it: Before she turned up as the co-host of Morning Joe, had you ever even heard of Mika Brrrzzzzzennsski?  No, of course not. She’s like the Chelsea Clinton of the fake news media, parlaying no talent, little brains and a famous last name into national visibility.  This is not an intrepid journalist who clawed her way to national visibility through hard work and diligence – that would be Sharyl Attkisson – Mika is a person born into great privilege, the daughter of Jimmy Carter’s National Security Adviser and pedigreed creature of the ruling class.
  • And Mika is not some poor, shrinking violet who never did anything to deserve a little presidential tweet storm:  She’s been the co-host of a national-TV talk show who has for the last six months spent three hours every morning slandering the President, his wife, his 11 year-old son, his other children and their wives at every possible opportunity.  Fox News put together a little 15 second clip of a few of her more recent insults, but the truth is that you could put together a feature-length film and still not cover all the nastiness Poor Miss Mika has tossed at the President and the First Family since he turned her and Joe away at Mar-a-Lago over New Year’s.  This presidential rejection obviously caused a bitterness that neither Mika nor her not-so-secret anymore boyfriend have ever gotten over.
  • So, while her fellow fake journalists and the subscriber base for the NYTimes will no doubt feel terrible for poor, poor Mika, no normal person who learns the truth of her background and behavior will waste a second of concern on her, nor should they.
  • Meanwhile, over at CNN, the ratings continue to tank.  Despite the failing network’s claim to have had its “highest-rated 2nd quarter ever” – an outright lie – it is running a poor third to Fox and MSNBC in both the total ratings and the vaunted 25-54 advertising demographic.  But surely a few more lectures from Brian Stelter and whining from Jim Acosta will turn it all around.
  • From our “Don’t Make Promises You Won’t Keep” file:  Houston congresswoman Sheila Jackson Lee took to the floor of the House in outrage after the President’s tweet storm on Thursday, demanding that Mr. Trump resign immediately, and promising to “not vote for a single thing” until he does!  Ms. Jackson Lee continues to be the most unintentionally hilarious member of the House of Representatives.
  • Ms. Jackson Lee also made news by joining 23 other House Democrat lunatics in signing onto a bill that would propose to remove President Trump from office due to mental incapacity.  She even told an interviewer that congress has the power to do this under the 25th amendment.  Of course, congress has no such authority under the 25th amendment – only the Cabinet does – and of course this bill is just another example of how extreme leftist nitwits have come to dominate the Democrat Party.
  • Oh yeah, and finally, both the NYTimes and the Associated Press were forced to walk back multiple reports they issued over the last few months claiming that “17 intelligence agencies” had jointly agreed there was evidence of Russian interference in the 2016 elections.  Turns out that only 4 of the 17 U.S. intelligence agencies agreed with that assessment, and the truth most likely is that it was really just one low-level clerk sitting in a broom-closet office who made that “finding.”

Just another day in fake news media America.

That is all.

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Predicting Trump’s Success Is Really Not Rocket Science

Today’s Campaign Update

(Because The Campaign Never Ends)

“How come you’re always right about Trump?” a friend asked me after he’d seen today’s news that the President had pulled the U.S. out of the Paris Climate Accord wealth redistribution scheme.  He was referring to my recent Forbes.com piece titled “For President Trump, Pulling Out Of Paris Is The Only Logical Move.”, which I wrote a week ago.

Well, first of all, I’m not always “right about Trump”. I’ve been wrong about plenty of Trump-related things since he announced his candidacy two years ago, and will continue being wrong about some things in the future.

Conceding that, I have had a pretty strong track record of being right about Trump-related predictions, certainly far better than the record possessed by those inside-the-Beltway “experts” who form what is held to be the “conventional wisdom” in the nation’s capital.  I told readers as early as October of 2015 that Trump was at that point pretty much a shoe-in to become the GOP nominee, due to historic trends in the GOP nominating process.  That was at a time when the George Wills, David Axelrods and every other DC pundit was writing him off because Ben Carson had assumed a temporary polling lead in the race.  I went into great detail as early as March 2016 about why Trump would beat Hillary Clinton in the general election, and held firm on that prediction through election day.

Since the election, I’ve also had a strong and very public record of predicting the things Mr. Trump would do and why he would succeed in doing them.  I still unashamedly predict he will serve a full first term and probably be elected to serve a full second term despite all the media-generated fake news hysteria surrounding his presidency thus far.  In fact, later in this piece, I’m going to tell you why that hysteria is most likely going to actually help him accomplish his major legislative policy goals.

But first:  why have I been mostly right about Mr. Trump where other, famous pundits have been almost unerringly wrong?  I’m afraid there’s no magic to it, no great genius on my part that accounts for it, and that the answer is really pretty simple:  I evaluate President Trump from the standpoint that he is an actual, fairly normal person, and I am old enough to be able to view first his candidacy and now his presidency through a lens of historical context.

In other words, it’s not exactly rocket science.  In fact, it’s very simple.

Dehumanizing a Person Clouds Judgment

Think about it:  the establishment, inside-the-beltway political class punditry have alternatively viewed Mr. Trump as either a) a clown (George Will, Charles Krauthammer, all the useful idiots in the NeverTrump crowd) or b) a monster (any liberal/progressive pundit/anchor/fake journalist you care to name).  To a person, regardless of their ideology, they view the current President as a freak, a complete outlier in the American political system, an illegitimate holder of the office whose every move is either stupid or outright evil.

They all immediately dehumanized Trump on the day he announced his candidacy, and by doing that, even the oldsters among them, like Will and Krauthammer, lost all ability to analyze his actions through the historical lens that they ordinarily bring to their public pronouncements.  Put simply, it is impossible to correctly predict the actions and potential of a man if you start by rejecting his humanity at the outset.

Now, the President does have a very mercurial personality, which makes it pretty much impossible to predict, for example, what he might decide to say on Twitter at 3:00 on any given morning, as with the whole “covfefe” thing.  On the other hand, when it comes to public policy, it’s actually very easy:  If Mr. Trump has made it a point to say he is going to do something, then he is almost certainly going to make a strong effort to get it done.  And if he makes a strong effort, his history shows he is very likely to win.  If one has the ability to analyze the political situation through an historical context, and has an understanding of how the political process works in Washington, it becomes fairly easy to predict whether or not he’s going to be successful.

Paris as an Example

The Paris Climate Accords is a good example of his doing what he has consistently said he is going to do.  If you read my Forbes piece, you know that my reasoning for believing he would pull the U.S. out of the Accords is due to the facts that a) he repeatedly promised to do so throughout his election campaign, and b) that he’s already gone about rescinding or rewriting pretty much every executive or regulatory action taken during the Obama years in their efforts to comply with the commitments Mr. Obama made on behalf of the country.   Thus, if President Trump had decided to remain in the Accord, the question would have become how in the world would he plan to bring the country into compliance with its demands?

Now, if you view Mr. Trump as an inhuman clown or monster who does things for no logical reason, then you can’t engage in the logical analysis necessary to reach that conclusion.  But if you view him as a human being – a pretty intelligent and wildly successful one, at that – then you already know that, where policy is concerned, he has shown a consistent bias towards acting in exactly this logical manner.  But he is human and humans make mistakes and often act illogically.  Paris could have turned out to be one such instance where Trump is concerned, but the smart money was always on his deciding to leave an agreement related to which he has already largely dismantled the country’s ability to comply.

Repeal and Replacement of ObamaCare

Repeal and replacement of Obamacare is another great example.  The “smart people” in DC largely expressed surprise that, upon assuming office, President Trump didn’t forget his promise to make it his top legislative priority and instead focus on easier things. Why?  Because they all believe he is an irrational clown or monster who doesn’t mean what he says.  But anyone who took the time to read Trump’s book and study his history had to conclude that he has throughout his life been someone who does basically what he has said he was going to do.  Yes, he’s open to negotiation over the details, but he has always worked to reach the overarching goals he has set.

Trump repeatedly promised during the campaign that repealing and replacing Obamacare would be his #1 legislative priority, and he has followed through on making it his #1 legislative priority.  Not tax reform, not anything else – Obamacare.  This should come as a surprise to…well, to no one.

When the first vote in the House failed, no one among the “smart people” in DC predicted that another, successful vote would take place less than a month later.  But it did. Why?  Because, right after the failed first vote, Trump issued a verbal “kill shot” at the members of the House Freedom Caucus, blaming them for the vote’s failure.  Not wanting to take that blame, it was the Freedom Caucus members who worked hardest to make sure a deal ultimately got made.

Again, that was all very predictable to anyone who had taken the time to actually observe how Trump influences people.

Now, we have Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell already complaining that he can’t see how he could ever possibly cobble together 50 votes to get Obamacare repealed and replaced, or on comprehensive tax reform, even though he and every other senate Republican who was up for re-election last year campaigned strongly on both promises.

Trump has been distracted recently by his international trip – a predictably very successful trip, by the way, despite conventional wisdom in DC that it would be a huge failure – and is now focused on getting his White House staff in order.  But it is a safe bet that, within the next couple of weeks, the President is going to begin to direct his kill shots and other means of persuasion on the Majority Leader, and that the Majority Leader’s rhetoric on those two big priorities will begin to “evolve.” In fact, he already began aiming tweets in McConnell’s direction on Tuesday.

The conventional wisdom in DC right now says that the President cannot hope to convince congress to act on major legislative priorities because of all of the leaks, impeachment talk and myriad other fake news that permeates the air waves.  This is utter nonsense.

In fact, the President obviously thrives on chaos, and has always viewed it as an opportunity rather than a hindrance.  Where congress is concerned, all of the sound and fury around Trump and the Democrats’ “Russia collusion” fantasy actually provides a great deal of cover for the legislative branch to get a ton of positive things done without attracting the main focus of a hostile press.  Despite all the false negative reporting about the President’s first 100 days in office, the truth is that congress sent more bills to his desk during that time than during the first 100 days of any recent president, more than twice as many as the Democrat-dominated 2009 congress sent to then-President Obama.

Why Scandal Talk Actually Helps

Where all the scandal talk is concerned, anyone with actual historical perspective would know that both Richard Nixon and Bill Clinton signed all sorts of major legislation during the periods of time when they were under threat of impeachment.  Those congresses, controlled by opposition parties, actually used those situations as leverage.  The reality today is that Republicans in congress have at least as much invested in both the Obamacare and tax reform issues as the president does.  Really even more so on tax reform, to which Mr. Trump was actually a late-comer.

Right now, pretty much all of the “smart people” in DC are telling you that Mr. Trump and the congressional Republicans will not be able to reach success on either issue.   They tell you this because their own de-humanization of the president clouds their judgment, and because of their lack of historical perspective.

Some Predictions

I’m telling you today, June 1, 2017, that President Donald Trump will, less than a year from today, have signed bills that repeal and replace Obamacare with a better system, and that enact major personal and corporate tax reform.  I’m also going to tell you that he will serve out his first term in office, be easily re-elected, and serve out his second term, unless the ongoing efforts by the Democrats and fake news media to de-humanize him and encourage violence against him and his supporters result in a successful assassination attempt, which is always a possibility.

But hey, who you gonna believe – me, or all those famous “smart people” who pop up on your TV each night?

This really is not rocket science.  Really.

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