Here’s our latest show featuring Christi Craddick of the Texas Railroad Commission! We also have the Associate editor of SHALE Oil & Gas Business Magazine, David Blackmon on the show to update us on where the price of oil is heading. Enjoy!
In The Oil Patch – Episode 109: host Kym Bolado and her cohost Alvin Bailey welcome our associate editor of SHALE Oil & Gas Business Magazine and resident politics/energy expert, David Blackmon back onto the show. This week’s show is completely focused on OPEC and the recent agreement they reached to extend the oil production output cut.
On Monday, I wrote about the concerns of the offshore oil and gas industry regarding a set of last-minute Obama-era amendments to the Jones Act, and the failure of most of the Texas congressional delegation to engage on the matter. The Jones Act is a 19th century law that requires vessels carrying cargoes between U.S. ports to be U.S.-flagged and staffed by U.S. crews.
I won’t repeat the details here, other than that the industry is concerned that finalization of the proposed regulations in question, which would extend Jones Act requirements to include vessels carrying cargoes between U.S. ports and offshore oil and gas rigs and platforms, would result in a lack of needed shipping capacity and create needless delays in offshore development.
This morning, word came from the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Service (CBP), under whose authority the amended regulations were proposed, that it will suspend and reconsider them rather than finalize them, which it had been expected to do any day now:
“Based on the many substantive comments CBP received, both supporting and opposing the proposed action, and CBP’s further research on the issue, we conclude that the Agency’s notice of proposed modification and revocation of the various ruling letters relating to the Jones Act should be reconsidered. Accordingly, CBP is withdrawing its proposed action relating to the modification of HQ 101925 and revision of rulings determining certain articles are vessel equipment under T.D. 49815(4), as set forth in the January 18, 2017 notice. “
Photo Credit: Offshorepost.com
Battles tend to be pretty noncompetitive when only one side engages in the fight, and we see that happening right now in a dust-up over a last-minute action taken by former President Obama related to the Jones Act, an archaic 19th century law that mandates that only U.S.-flagged vessels are allowed to carry cargoes from one U.S. port to another.
Some background: on January 18, just two days prior to leaving office, the Obama Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which has regulatory authority under the Jones Act, issued a regulation that would reverse 40 years of court rulings by extending Jones Act flagging requirements to the various kinds of ships and barges that move equipment between ports and offshore drilling rigs and platforms. This move, like so many last-minute regulatory actions taken by the past Administration, was placed on a fast track designed to minimize stakeholder engagement that is required under the Administrative Procedures Act.
Had Trump officials not chosen to intervene, the original 30-day public comment period would have expired on Feb. 17, allowing CBP to issue a final rule just 30 days afterwards. As things stand, the 60-day extension of the comment period expired on April 18, and so CBP could issue a final regulation in the next handful of days.
So, you ask, why is this important? Well, first because offshore oil and gas producers don’t believe there currently exists an adequate number of U.S.-flagged vessels necessary to service the industry at its current level of activity, which is depressed by historical standards. And second, because the policy flies in the face of the stated goals of the Trump Administration to increase domestic energy production, largely by the elimination of last-minute Obama-era regulations just like this one.
I appeared on Bryan Crabtree’s radio program on Monday to talk about President Donald Trump’s impact on energy policy and the oil and gas industry. Follow the link below to listen in:
I really enjoyed doing this panel discussion on the impacts on energy policy from President Trump’s first 100 days with Jacki Pick and Dr. Lawrence Fedewa.
The grades are in and our panel is ready. Join us as Jacki Pick, David Blackmon & Dr. Lawrence Fedewa discuss President Trump’s first 100 days in office.
Had fun talking about how anti-fossil fuels conflict groups have made the pipeline industry their newest boogeyman target for demonization earlier today with Ryan Mills at @AFPM:
Some thoughts on the domestic oil and gas situation as we move into May…
More rigs, more jobs, more drilling, but for how much longer…: As I pointed out at the beginning of April, the U.S. oil and gas industry added more than 200 new active drilling rigs during the first quarter of 2017. The pace of new rig activation slowed somewhat during April, but the count continued to rise as a total of 46 new rigs came online during the month. The current U.S. domestic rig count of 870 is more than double the count of 420 at the end of April, 2016.
It will be interesting to see how much longer this upwards trend in the rig count will continue, given the softening oil price. The corporate upstream companies have now implemented their capital plans for the first half of 2017, and are beginning the process of evaluating how those plans should be adjusted for the second half of the year. The rising drilling activity and increasing demand for service companies and their products has predictably resulted in corresponding increases in service costs. One would expect that, combined with a sub-$50 oil price, to result in a leveling off and possibly even a falling rig count for the last two quarters of the year.
But so much of that depends what OPEC does.: Will OPEC extend its current agreement to curtail production, which expires on June 30, or won’t they? The answer to this question, more than any other single factor, will determine where the price of crude goes, and thus where the U.S. rig count and drilling budgets go for the second half of 2017.